Small Craft Advisory 64, NWS Caribou, ME

948 
WHUS71 KCAR 232112
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
412 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

ANZ052-240600-
/O.EXA.KCAR.SC.Y.0064.121124T1500Z-121125T1200Z/
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
412 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ050-051-240600-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0064.121124T1500Z-121125T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
412 PM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

537 
WHUS71 KCAR 240811
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
311 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

ANZ050>052-241615-
/O.UPG.KCAR.SC.Y.0064.121124T1500Z-121125T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.GL.W.0017.121125T0900Z-121126T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
311 AM EST SAT NOV 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1158 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TODAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1155 AM UPDATE...JUST ABOUT ALL THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG HAVE BURNED
OFF, THOUGH SATELLITE DOES SHOW SOME SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS
BEGINNING TO SPILL INTO WESTERN SECTIONS. MOST SPOTS SHOULD SEE
SUNSHINE TODAY, THOUGH IT WILL BE FILTERED THROUGH THE CIRRUS.
HIGHS WILL STILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. HAVE MADE
ADJUSTMENTS TO SKY COVER AND TEMPS TO MATCH CURRENT TRENDS.
OTHERWISE, NO OTHER CHANGES WERE NEEDED.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION:
CHALLENGE THIS TERM WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE CLOUDS AND
TEMPERATURES.

STRATUS AND FOG SETTLED IN AGAIN THIS MORNING W/S FLOW NOW
ESTABLISHED IN THE BLYR. 00Z UA INDICATED A WEAK FLOW ABOVE 925MBS
WHICH WILL ALLOW THE STRATUS TO HANG ON LONGER THIS MORNING. FOG
WILL BEGIN TO LIFT AND BURN OFF AFTER SUNRISE. A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT WAS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SOME ICY ROADS DUE TO
THE FOG THIS MORNING. LATEST SHORT RANGE GUIDANCE SHOW UPPER FLOW
TO STRENGTHEN FROM THE SW TODAY TO ALLOW TO STRATUS TO MIX OUT
LATER THIS MORNING. DOWNEAST AND THE COAST WILL HANG ONTO THE
STRATUS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON W/IMPROVEMENT AFTER 18Z. THE NAM12
AND CANADIAN GEM SHOW WARMER TEMPERATURES TAKING PLACE THIS
AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO THE WAA ALREADY IN PLACE. DECIDED TO STAY
CLOSE TO THE DAYCREW'S FCST OF UPPER 40S TO AROUND 50 NORTH AND
AROUND 50 OVER THE DOWNEAST AND COAST AS S FLOW COULD KEEP
READINGS DOWN A FEW DEGREES. THE GEM SHOWS THIS WELL AND WAS DOING
THE BEST W/THE LATEST TEMPERATURES.

THE LOW CLOUDS WILL RETURN ONCE AGAIN THIS EVENING DUE TO
ESTABLISHED S FLOW AND INCREASING LLVL RH THROUGH 850MBS. THE
LATEST NAM SOUNDINGS PICK UP ON THIS POTENTIAL. THE NAM WAS
HANDLING THE LLVL MOISTURE WELL THIS MORNING. DECIDED TO STAY AWAY
FROM THE MENTION OF FOG AS THE FLOW WILL BECOME SW AFT 06Z. SOME
FOG COULD FORM BEFORE THAT TIME-FRAME, BUT THINKING HERE IS THAT
WILL BE ERODE AS THE FLOW VEERS THROUGH THE COLUMN. APCHG COLD
FRONT FROM THE WEST WILL PUSH INTO WESTERN MAINE BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING W/SOME RAIN SHOWERS ASSOCIATED W/IT AS TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ABOVE FREEZING. FAR WESTERN AREAS SUCH THE OW LYING AREAS COULD
SEE COLDER TEMPERATURES AND POSSIBLY SOME SNOW SHOWERS INITIALLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTHWEST OF THE STATE ON SATURDAY WHILE
ANOTHER LOW TRACKS TOWARD THE MARITIMES. EXPECT THE CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS ON SATURDAY THE LOWS TRACK NORTHEAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL
TROF TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN
TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION DURING SATURDAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS
CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHWEST AREAS LATER SATURDAY
MORNING AND THEN ACROSS EASTERN AREAS LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE MARITIMES CONTINUES TO
INTENSIFY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH THE CHANCE FOR
SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
COLD NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO DIVERGE WITH REGARD TO
POTENTIAL STORM SYSTEM FOR LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LATEST OP
RUN OF THE GFS TRACKS THE LOW ACROSS INTERIOR DOWNEAST MAINE
DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A PERIOD OF SNOW TUESDAY
NIGHT CHANGING TO RAIN WEDNESDAY.

LATEST ECMWF STILL KEEPS THE SYSTEM WELL TO OUR EAST WITH AND THIS
WOULD BRING LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION.

INTERESTING TO NOTE THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN TRACKS THE LOW ACROSS
THE GULF OF MAINE AND THEN INTO THE BAY OF FUNDY. THIS TRACK WOULD
RESULT IN MORE IN THE THE WAY OF SNOW ACROSS THE REGION. WILL
MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS LATER TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A KEEP PTYPE
MORE IN THE WAY OF SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH AND SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN
OF OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX DOWNEAST. COLDER AND DRIER WEATHER WILL
FOLLOW FOR LATER IN THE WEEK BEHIND THE SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR/LIFR THIS MORNING WILL GO MVFR BY MID MORNING AND
THEN CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR. KBGR AND KBHB WILL BE
SLOWER TO IMPROVE TO THE S FLOW. TONIGHT, VFR WILL GRADUALLY DROP
TO MVFR AND THEN IFR FOR JUST ABOUT ALL THE TERMINALS.

SHORT TERM: MVFR AND IFR ALL TERMINALS SATURDAY. MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED NORTHERN TERMINALS SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY IN CIGS SNOW
SHOWERS. VFR RETURNS FOR MONDAY AND MOST OF TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
1155 AM UPDATE...ALLOWED THE SCA TO EXPIRE AT 10 AM AS WAVES ARE
NOW AROUND 4 AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY INTO
TONIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSION:
NEAR TERM: KEPT THE SCA FOR SEAS GOING ATTM. SWELLS WERE BOUNCING
FROM 4 TO 6 FT UP THROUGH 06Z. THE LATEST OBS INDICATE THE SWELL
IS SUBSIDING AS THE LOW STARTS TO FILL AND PULL AWAY FROM THE MID
ATLC COAST. WILL TAKE A LOOK BEFORE 7 AM TO SEE IF THE HAZARD CAN
BE DROPPED. ATTM, STAYED W/WAVE HEIGHTS OF 4-5 FT W/A LONG PERIOD
SWELL. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE APCHG COLD FRONT
W/S WINDS OF 10-20 KTS AFTER 06Z. USED A BLEND OF THE NAM12 AND
GFS40 FOR THE WINDS AND THEN MANUALLY ADJUSTED SPEEDS DOWN A BIT
TONIGHT AS THE GUIDANCE TENDS TO RUN HIGH W/THIS SET UP AT NIGHT.

SHORT TERM: STRONG SCA CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE COLD ADVECTION
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...HASTINGS/HEWITT
SHORT TERM...DUDA
LONG TERM...DUDA
AVIATION...HASTINGS/HEWITT
MARINE...HASTINGS/HEWITT/DUDA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
452 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-241000-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
452 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ050>052-241000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
452 AM EST FRI NOV 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HEWITT