Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Caribou, ME

830 
WWUS51 KCAR 292134
SVSCAR

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
534 PM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

MEC003-021-025-292200-
/O.CON.KCAR.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-120629T2200Z/
PISCATAQUIS ME-SOMERSET ME-AROOSTOOK ME-
534 PM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL AROOSTOOK...NORTH CENTRAL SOMERSET AND NORTHWESTERN
PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES...

AT 531 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLAYTON
LAKE TO BILLY-JACK DEPOT...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES
NORTHEAST OF CLAYTON LAKE TO 22 MILES SOUTH OF ST. JUSTE...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CHURCHILL DAM...TAMWAY...CHAMBERLAIN LAKE AND CAUCOMGOMOC LAKE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 4605 7030 4607 7032 4613 7025 4619 7031
      4631 7022 4635 7021 4642 7006 4670 7001
      4685 6986 4680 6901 4601 6952 4597 7032
      4602 7033
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 279DEG 31KT 4668 6933 4624 6994

$$

DUDA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS THE REGION  THROUGH THE
WEEKEND KEEPING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
CONVECTION IS STARTING TO FIRE UP ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWEST MAINE
AS OF LATE THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE
ACROSS SOUTHWEST QUEBEC. STILL EXPECTING CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHWEST MAINE AND EVENTUALLY PROGRESS EASTWARD
INTO THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN MAINE AS THE SHORT WAVE CONTINUES
TO MOVE EAST. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. STILL APPEARS THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE
ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE WITH LESSER CHANCE THE FURTHER SOUTH
WHERE THINGS APPEAR A LITTLE MORE STABLE. ANY CONVECTION SHOULD
DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
EXPECTED. LOW TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60 ACROSS
THE REGION.

EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TO START OUT THE DAY ON
SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND SCT THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE REGION. ANY
CONVECTION SHOULD MAINLY BE NORTH OF A CLAYTON LAKE TO HOULTON
LINE. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S
NORTH AND LOW TO MID 80S DOWNEAST...BUT COOLER ALONG THE COAST.
&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
CONVECTION IN NORTHERN ZONES...NORTH OF HOULTON...IS EXPECTED
GRADUALLY WIND DOWN BEFORE MIDNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWLY
CROSSES THE STATE. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. FOG
IS AN OUTSIDE POSSIBILITY FOR THESE ZONES DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
RAIN FALLS AS WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SKIES WILL CLEAR. THE OTHER
VARIABLE WILL BE WHETHER NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS FORM TOWARDS THE
COAST AS THE FRONT WILL ALIGN ITSELF ALONG THE DOWN EAST COAST BY
DAYBREAK SUNDAY. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MOVED JUST
SOUTH OF THE STATE FOR SUNDAY. THIS MEANS A GENERALLY DRY DAY WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW. THE DRY NW FLOW CONTINUES FOR SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
LOWS DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S. AN UPPER TROUGH CROSSES
THE AREA MONDAY AND WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S. THE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.
&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE AREA FOR TUESDAY.
THIS MEANS THE THREAT OF INSTABILITY LINGERS FOR THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EARLY EVENING. WHILE SKIES SHOULD CLEAR FOR TUESDAY NIGHT
AND ALLOW LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE RACES
TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE A
CLOUDY DAY WITH SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM.
THIS SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEPART THURSDAY EVENING AND HIGH
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD FRIDAY. HIGHS DURING THE PERIOD ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 70S TO NEAR 80F AND LOWS WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60F.
&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: SCT TSTMS MAY AFFECT THE NORTHERN TERMINALS...KFVE...KCAR
KPQI...KHUL THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS SHOULD
GENERALLY BE VFR BUT COULD BRIEFLY DECLINE TO MVFR/IFR IN ANY
HEAVIER CONVECTION. CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN VFR MOST OF SATURDAY
BUT ONCE AGAIN SCT CONVECTION MAY AFFECT THE NORTHERN TERMINALS
WITH BRIEF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH SATURDAY.
SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT AND MOST OF
SATURDAY...BUT COULD APPROACH SCA LEVELS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: AN SCA FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT.
IT IS TOO CLOSE TO CALL RIGHT NOW AND WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW. SEAS
COULD REACH 6 FT IN A SOUTH SWELL.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...MCW
LONG TERM...MCW
AVIATION...DUDA
MARINE...DUDA/MCW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
418 PM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-302030-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
418 PM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA WILL
PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION THE REMAINDER OF THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ050>052-302030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
418 PM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.