Special Weather Statement, NWS Columbia, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
518 PM EDT FRI AUG 3 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM HUMID AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE AS WE GO THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
BEST INSTABILITY REMAINS ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOCUS IN THE SOUTHEAST
MIDLANDS THIS EVENING.

TONIGHT...ANY SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY THAT DOES FORM SHOULD
DISSIPATE ACROSS THE CWA BY MIDNIGHT. MAY HAVE SOME LINGERING
CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IF CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS
FROM CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN AL...NW GA...ERN TN CAN MAKE IT
INTO THE AREA. WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT. LOW
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO FALL ONLY INTO THE MIDDLE 70S FOR MOST AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO STAY JUST TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO THE AREA SOUTH OF THE
FRONT. EXPECT AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION TO CONTINUE WITH CHANCE
POPS. TEMPS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS 90-95 AND LOWS 70-75.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODELS SETTLE A WEAK TROF OVER THE EASTERN US DURING THE WEEK WITH
A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES MOVING THROUGH. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE ALONG WITH THE CHANCE OF RAIN INTO MID WEEK.
EXPECT TEMPS TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOWER
90S AND LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY PORTIONS OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. SOME
SCTD CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT SHOULD DIMINISH BY SUNSET. REGION
WILL DEAL WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID-LEVEL CU AROUND 4-6 KFT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OUT LATER THIS EVENING WITH
MAINLY HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH 06Z. TOWARDS MORNING THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO LOWER VISIBILITIES AT MOST SITES INTO
THE UPPER END OF THE MVFR CATEGORY THROUGH SUNRISE. AFTER SUNRISE
EXPECT A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS.

FOR THE REMAINING PART OF THIS AFTERNOON...THERE REMAINS A SMALL
POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWER OR STORM. CONFIDENCE
IS NOT REAL HIGH THAT TERMINALS WILL BE IMPACTED...SO HAVE LEFT
OUT MENTION FOR NOW.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE IN EARLY
MORNING FOG/STRATUS...AS WELL AS SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
415 AM EDT FRI AUG 3 2012

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-040815-
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
415 AM EDT FRI AUG 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. ISOLATED
STRONG STORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
548 PM EDT FRI AUG 3 2012

SCZ035-041-032245-
BAMBERG-BARNWELL-
548 PM EDT FRI AUG 3 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF BAMBERG AND BARNWELL
COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM EDT...

AT 543 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...NEAR BLACKVILLE  ... NEARLY STATIONARY.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
BARNWELL...BLACKVILLE AND DENMARK...

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1...8 7
7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 8146 3347 8130 3345 8126 3344 8125
      3344 8122 3343 8120 3341 8119 3341 8116
      3337 8108 3315 8114
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 027DEG 2KT 3334 8122