Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 88, NWS Columbia, SC

May 16, 2012Richland County, South Carolina

NWS Columbia, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 16, 2012, 8:23 PM EDT for Richland County, South Carolina. It was in force for 37 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 16, 2012, 8:23 PM EDT (00:23 UTC)
Expired: May 16, 2012, 9:00 PM EDT
In force: 37 min
Issued by: NWS Columbia, SC
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Richland County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 16, 8:30 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 E Forest Acres, SC	TREES DOWN ON SPRING LAKE RD.
May 16, 8:30 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 Ese Columbia, SC	LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON WHEAT STREET NEAR WACCAMAW AVE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
May 16, 8:30 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	1 Nnw Forest Acres, SC	TREES DOWN ON HUTTO CT.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1393 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1014 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

252 
WUUS52 KCAE 170023
SVRCAE
SCC079-170100-
/O.NEW.KCAE.SV.W.0088.120517T0023Z-120517T0100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
823 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL RICHLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 816 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  FOREST ACRES...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH.

* SOME COMMUNITIES IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE FIVE POINTS...FORT
  JACKSON...WOODFIELDS...ST. ANDREWS...FOREST ACRES...DENTSVILLE...
  COLUMBIA AND ARCADIA LAKES

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...TOLL FREE 1 877 6 3
3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3407 8069 3393 8100 3397 8105 3399 8105
      3401 8108 3404 8112 3418 8089 3412 8079
      3407 8072 3408 8070
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 346DEG 5KT 3402 8101

$$

LM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Columbia, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 16, 7:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 7:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
721 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
THE AREA INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR RAIN IN THE
FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH
BY FRIDAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
UPPER TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE EASTER PART OF THE COUNTRY WITH A
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE REGION. WEAK
MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE CAROLINAS AND GA. SCATTERED
CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET...THEN BEGIN TO
DIMINISH. PRECIPITABLE WATER RANGE FROM 1.3 INCHES WEST TO 1.5
INCHES EAST. SO HEAVY DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE.

LOWS OVERNIGHT SHOULD FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
SURFACE BOUNDARY IS STILL FORECAST TO BE SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE
EASTERN FORECAST AREA. ALOFT...REGION SHOULD BE UNDER A MID-LEVEL
COLD POOL. WITH GOOD AFTERNOON HEATING...EXPECT TO SEE SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AGAIN ACROSS THE AREA.
BEST CHANCE SHOULD BE ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA WHERE
THERE SHOULD BE SOME INTERACTION WITH THE SEA-BREEZE FRONT.
MAX TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S. RAINFALL WILL COME TO AN END
AFTER SUNSET THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME DRYING MAY BE SEEN AS WE GET
INTO FRIDAY...WITH THE DEEPEST MOISTURE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.
MUCH OF THE FORECAST WILL BE DRY ON FRIDAY...EXCEPT EXTREME EAST
WHERE AN ISOLATED STORM MAY BE POSSIBLE. TEMPS ON FRIDAY WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. SATURDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO
FRIDAY...BASICALLY SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP EAST...AND TEMPS IN THE
LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW EAST COAST TROUGH PATTERN THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A FEW WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH
THE FLOW. LOOKS AS IF THE CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS WILL INCREASE
AS WE GO THROUGH THE LONGER TERM PERIOD. TEMPERATURES DURING THIS
PERIOD SHOULD REMAIN NEAR NORMAL. AS WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST
DISCUSSIONS....IT IS STILL WORTH NOTING THAT THIS REMAINS A LOW
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO THE LACK OF RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY
AMONG THE MODELS AND RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW PATTERN...LEADING TO A
FORECAST DOMINATED BY SMALLER SCALE FEATURES WHICH ARE TOUGH TO
PINPOINT IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE.
ISOLATED-SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING
WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MVFR OR IFR STRATUS
AND FOG POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT MORE CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT AFTER 15Z THURSDAY WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR PUSHING IN
FROM THE WEST.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. FOG/STRATUS POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 4:03 AM EDT, 16 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
403 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-170815-
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
403 AM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY COMBINING WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE AND
AFTERNOON INSTABILITY COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 16, 4:21 PM EDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
421 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

SCZ015-162115-
LANCASTER-
421 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF LANCASTER COUNTY
THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

AT 420 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF IRWIN...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...
ELGIN...IRWIN AND LANCASTER...

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN
AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1...8 7
7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8063 3458 8075 3456 8086 3460 8090
      3462 8090 3478 8081
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 247DEG 7KT 3460 8087

Special weather statement, May 16, 5:46 PM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
546 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

SCZ031-162215-
SUMTER-
546 PM EDT WED MAY 16 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SUMTER COUNTY THROUGH
615 PM EDT...

AT 540 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...NEAR PINEWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...
HEAVY RAINFALL...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1...8 7
7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3371 8043 3373 8043 3373 8045 3371 8046
      3371 8048 3367 8049 3365 8053 3366 8055
      3368 8057 3368 8059 3382 8053 3381 8038
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 219DEG 6KT 3373 8051

The office that day

Everything else NWS Columbia, SC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 16, 8:03 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CAE	Kershaw, Lexington, Richland, Saluda	117 min
May 16, 8:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CAE	Richland	61 min
May 16, 9:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CAE	Richland	55 min
May 16, 9:35 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	CAE	Richland	76 min
May 16, 9:42 PM EDT	River Flood Advisory	CAE	Lexington, Richland	9 hr
May 16, 9:55 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	CAE	Calhoun, Lexington, Richland	13 hr
May 17, 3:07 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CAE	Barnwell	53 min
May 17, 3:53 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	CAE	Aiken, Barnwell	112 min
May 17, 12:07 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CAE	Chesterfield	23 min
May 17, 12:32 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CAE	Fairfield	43 min
May 17, 1:01 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CAE	Newberry	44 min
May 17, 1:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CAE	Newberry, Saluda	51 min
May 17, 2:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	CAE	Kershaw, Lee	51 min
May 17, 3:18 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CAE	Calhoun, Richland, Sumter	42 min
May 17, 4:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CAE	Aiken, Lexington	45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2012 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.