Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Columbia, SC

April 2, 2012Fairfield County, Kershaw County, Lancaster County, South Carolina

NWS Columbia, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 2, 2012, 4:31 PM EDT for Fairfield County, Kershaw County, Lancaster County, South Carolina. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2012, 4:31 PM EDT (20:31 UTC)
Expired
Apr 2, 2012, 5:15 PM EDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS Columbia, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Fairfield County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2012-04-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 313 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2012-04-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
313 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1154 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Columbia, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 1, 4:44 PM EDT, 23 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 1, 4:44 PM EDT, 23 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
444 PM EDT SUN APR 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH ON
MONDAY. A SLIGHTLY STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA
LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
SCENARIO IS A LOT LIKE YESTERDAY WITH A WEAK SHORT WAVE
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST AT THE MOST UNSTABLE TIME OF THE
DAY. BOTH SPC AND NSSL WRF MODELS SUGGEST AT LEAST WIDELY
SCATTERED CONVECTION MAINLY THIS EVENING...IF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY
CAN HOLD TOGETHER EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. DRY RIGHT NOW...BUT WILL
ADJUST FORECAST UP DEPENDING ON RADAR TRENDS THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
OTHERWISE A MILD NIGHT WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE UPPER 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE NAM AND GFS SHOW A WEAKENING COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHWARD
AND STALLING IN THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY. THIS FRONT MAY SUPPORT
THUNDERSTORMS BUT THE CHANCE STILL APPEARS LIMITED BY SHALLOW
MOISTURE AND UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. WILL
ADVERTISE MAINLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD
WEAKEN BY TUESDAY AS AN ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT WITH SOME WEAK IMPULSES ALOFT SO WILL
INCREASE POPS TO LOW CHANCE FOR TUESDAY. MONDAY MAX TEMPS QUITE
WARM WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 AHEAD OF THE WEAK
FRONT...COOLING A BIT BEHIND THE BOUNDARY ON TUESDAY. TEMPS
GENERALLY CLOSE TO MODEL CONSENSUS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SOME LOW CONFIDENCE WITH TIMING OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST LATER IN THE WEEK. GFS AND ECMWF HAVE
SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE ASSOCIATED CLOSED UPPER LOW
LIFTING OUT OF THE GREAT PLAINS BY LATE WEDNESDAY. DRYING MAY
OCCUR SATURDAY AS THE SYSTEM SHIFTS EASTWARD. GENERALLY LOW CHANCE
POPS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AND MOSTLY DRY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AS THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL WEDNESDAY...AND NEAR NORMAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NOT MUCH GOING ON CURRENTLY WITH CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...
A WEAK SHORT WAVE CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. THIS FEATURE MAY HELP TO KICK OFF SOME WIDELY SCATTERED
OR PERHAPS ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS EVENING
00Z-03Z TIME FRAME. BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY VFR
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS TONIGHT AND A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DROPS SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY.
DUE TO TIMING AND AERIAL COVERAGE ISSUES ...DECIDED NOT TO MENTION
AT TAF SITES THIS EVENING OR MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
SORT OF LIMITED OVERNIGHT BUT TAF SITES OF AGS AND OGB MAY STILL
EXPERIENCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR VBSYS IN FOG AROUND DAYBREAK
MONDAY. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO DISAPPEAR QUICKLY AFTER THE SUN
COMES UP.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...PERIODS OF MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Columbia, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 1, 8:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCAELexington, Richland, Saluda39 min
Apr 1, 8:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCAEAiken43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2012Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.