Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Columbia, SC

033 
WWUS52 KCAE 192115
SVSCAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
515 PM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

SCC061-192200-
/O.CON.KCAE.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-120319T2200Z/
LEE SC-
515 PM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT
FOR LEE COUNTY...

AT 510 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST
OF BISHOPVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH. THE STORM WILL AFFECT 
THE INTERSTATE 20 AREA JUST EAST OF BISHOPVILLE. EXPECT WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 MPH AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING HAIL.

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1...8 7
7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3401 8004 3401 8007 3400 8008 3404 8028
      3425 8025 3428 8014 3422 8010 3420 8011
      3416 8015 3409 8008 3408 8003 3405 8000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 003DEG 16KT 3417 8014

$$

520 
WWUS52 KCAE 192130
SVSCAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
530 PM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

SCC061-192137-
/O.CAN.KCAE.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-120319T2200Z/
LEE SC-
530 PM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LEE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

AT 527 PM WEATHER SERVICE RADAR SHOWED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE LEE AND DARLINGTON COUNTY LINE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20...
AND ALONG THE LEE AND FLORENCE COUNTY LINE. THE SHOWERS WERE
DRIFTING SOUTHWARD NEAR 10 MPH.

RADAR HAS INDICATED A WEAKENING TREND AND THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND
AND HAIL IN LEE COUNTY HAS DIMINISHED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WIND
GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH MAY OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE SHOWERS. 

REPORT LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR FLOODING TO YOUR COUNTY
SHERIFF...OR CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1...8 7
7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3401 8004 3401 8007 3400 8008 3404 8028
      3425 8025 3428 8014 3422 8010 3420 8011
      3416 8015 3409 8008 3408 8003 3405 8000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 003DEG 16KT 3411 8014

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
120 PM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK WHICH WILL
RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS
THE AREA. SHORT WAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND RIDGE TRIGGERING
CONVECTION ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD
REMAIN EAST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. TRIGGER APPEARS TO BE
LACKING FOR CONVECTION. LATEST LAPS SOUNDING INDICATES AIR MASS
BECOMING MODERATELY UNSTABLE BUT MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED. CAN'T
RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ESPECIALLY IN THE PEE DEE BUT
POP LESS THAN 20 PERCENT. MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT WITH SOME HIGH
CLOUDS AT TIMES. NAM SUGGESTING A LOW-LEVEL JET MAY INHIBIT FOG
FORMATION...HOWEVER SREF AND LAMP INDICATING INCREASED FOG THREAT EAST
MIDLANDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE SURFACE WITH A HIGHLY
AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN US. SITUATION WILL
CHANGE SLIGHTLY TUESDAY NIGHT AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE SLIDES
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE COAST. EXPECT THIS TO INCREASE CLOUDINESS
SLIGHTLY TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE DISTURBANCE BEGINS TO
WEAKEN AND PUSH OFFSHORE AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO
CENTRAL TX. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WILL BE IN THE UPPER
70S TO MIDDLE 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF
RUNS...ESPECIALLY IN REGARD TO THE HANDLING OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
WHICH ENTERS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. OVERALL CONFIDENCE REMAINS ON
THE LOW SIDE CONCERNING THE UPPER LOW AS MODELS CONTINUE TO ADJUST
THE TRACK AND TIMING.

UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE VERY SLOW TO PROGRESS EASTWARD AS A REX
BLOCK OVER WESTERN EUROPE AND NEARLY AN OMEGA BLOCK OVER THE CENTRAL
US INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BASIN. THIS WILL KEEP THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN US THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WHEN THE RIDGE WILL
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AS THE BLOCKING PATTERN BEGINS TO RELEASE. THIS
WILL RESULT IN THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUING TO SLIDE
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD ON THURSDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH THE
GULF STATES. UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT/SUNDAY AND MOVE OFFSHORE MONDAY AS THE UPPER LOW REMAINS CUT
OFF FROM THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL PATTERN. WITH MODEL AGREEMENT
IMPROVING HAVE ADJUSTED POPS AND CLOUDS UPWARD SLIGHTLY SURROUNDING
THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LOW. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM
WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN RETURN
TO NEAR NORMAL FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE UPPER LOW COVERS THE
REGION.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PATCHY
FOG MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE
TOWARD 12Z.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS MAY
OCCUR IN LATE NIGHT/MORNING FOG THROUGH EARLY WEEK.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
858 AM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-201258-
AIKEN-BAMBERG-BARNWELL-BURKE-CALHOUN-CHESTERFIELD-CLARENDON-COLUMBIA-
EDGEFIELD-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-LANCASTER-LEE-LEXINGTON-LINCOLN-MCCORMICK-
MCDUFFIE-NEWBERRY-ORANGEBURG-RICHLAND-RICHMOND-SALUDA-SUMTER-
858 AM EDT MON MAR 19 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MIDLANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINA
AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.