Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Billings, MT

July 1, 2012Carter County, Fallon County, Montana

NWS Billings, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2012, 5:46 PM MDT for Carter County, Fallon County, Montana. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2012, 5:46 PM MDT (23:46 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2012, 6:45 PM MDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Billings, MT
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Carter County, MT, Fallon County, MT

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 238 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 1, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 979 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2012-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -63 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
979 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-306 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1390 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Billings, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 5:17 PM MDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 5:17 PM MDT, 29 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 3:02 PM MDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
302 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

MTZ028>042-056>058-063>068-WYZ098-099-022200-
SOUTHERN WHEATLAND-MUSSELSHELL-TREASURE-NORTHERN ROSEBUD-CUSTER-
FALLON-NORTHERN STILLWATER-YELLOWSTONE-POWDER RIVER-CARTER-
SOUTHERN BIG HORN-EASTERN CARBON-NORTHERN PARK-
NORTHERN SWEET GRASS-GOLDEN VALLEY-RED LODGE FOOTHILLS-
NORTHERN BIG HORN-SOUTHERN ROSEBUD-JUDITH GAP-PARADISE VALLEY-
LIVINGSTON AREA-BEARTOOTH FOOTHILLS-ABSAROKA/BEARTOOTH MOUNTAINS-
CRAZY MOUNTAINS-NORTHEAST BIG HORN MOUNTAINS-SHERIDAN FOOTHILLS-
302 PM MDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA...SOUTHEAST MONTANA AND NORTH
CENTRAL WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. LATE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S TO AROUND 105
CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE
STRONG AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE OVER
EASTERN MONTANA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HOT TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL RETURN TUESDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS
FRONT WILL PRODUCE A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND SHIFT AND GENERATE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVES THROUGH. THIS ALL TRANSLATES
INTO ANOTHER POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 1, 4:24 PM MDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 1, 4:53 PM MDT, 53 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Billings, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 3:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Custer, Fallon50 min
Jul 1, 4:53 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZFallon67 min
Jul 1, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Custer, Fallon62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2012Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.