Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 79, NWS Buffalo, NY

October 9, 2012

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Oct 9, 2012, 3:57 PM EDT. It took effect at Oct 10, 2012, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2012, 3:57 PM EDT (19:57 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 10, 2012, 4:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 12, 2012, 6:52 PM EDT
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

604 
WHUS71 KBUF 091957
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

LEZ040-041-LOZ045-100400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T0800Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
357 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-100400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T1300Z-121011T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
357 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-100400-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T1400Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
357 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM
EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/THOMAS
16 follow-up statements
694 
WHUS71 KBUF 100130
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
930 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

LEZ040-041-LOZ045-100930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T0800Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
930 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-100930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T1300Z-121011T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
930 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-100930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T1400Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
930 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH
287 
WHUS71 KBUF 100756
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

LEZ040-041-LOZ045-101600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T0800Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
356 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-101600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T1300Z-121011T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
356 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-101600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T1400Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
356 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
305 
WHUS71 KBUF 101344
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

LEZ040-041-LOZ045-102145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
944 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-102145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121011T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
944 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-102145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.121010T1400Z-121011T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
944 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
907 
WHUS71 KBUF 101946
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

LEZ040-041-110400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
346 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-110400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
346 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-110400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
346 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-110000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121011T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
346 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK/THOMAS
746 
WHUS71 KBUF 110116
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
916 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

LEZ040-041-110930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
916 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-110930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
916 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-110930-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
916 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH
964 
WHUS71 KBUF 110801
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
401 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

LEZ020-111615-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.121011T1600Z-121012T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
401 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-111615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
401 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-111615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
401 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-111615-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
401 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
524 
WHUS71 KBUF 111355
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
955 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

SLZ022-112200-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.121011T2000Z-121012T0800Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
955 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-112200-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.121011T1600Z-121012T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
955 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-112200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
955 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-112200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
955 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-112200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
955 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
850 
WHUS71 KBUF 111955
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
355 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

LOZ030-120200-
/O.EXA.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121012T0200Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
355 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-120400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
355 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-120200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121012T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
355 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-120400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
355 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-120400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
355 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-120400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.121011T2000Z-121012T0800Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
355 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
782 
WHUS71 KBUF 120147
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
947 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

LOZ030-120300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121012T0200Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
947 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

SLZ022-120300-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121012T0800Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
947 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LEZ020-121000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121012T1400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
947 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-121000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
947 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-121000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
947 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-121000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
947 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH
877 
WHUS71 KBUF 120757
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LEZ020-120900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-121012T1400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LEZ040-041-121200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-121600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-121600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
971 
WHUS71 KBUF 121216
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
816 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LEZ040-041-121330-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T1200Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
816 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...


$$

LOZ042>044-122030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
816 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-122030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
816 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
107 
WHUS71 KBUF 121227
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
827 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LOZ042>044-122030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
827 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-122030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
827 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

APFFEL
970 
WHUS71 KBUF 121353
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
953 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LOZ042>044-122200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
953 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-122200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
953 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

APFFEL
621 
WHUS71 KBUF 121614
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1214 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LOZ042-121715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1214 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED.

$$

LOZ043>045-122200-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1214 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

APFFEL
793 
WHUS71 KBUF 121938
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
338 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LOZ045-122045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121012T2200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
338 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LOZ043-044-130000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121013T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
338 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
121 
WHUS71 KBUF 122252
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
652 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

LOZ043-044-130000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0079.000000T0000Z-121013T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
652 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 9, 3:46 PM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 3:46 PM EDT, 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL FEATURE MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
NOT AS CHILLY AS THE NIGHT BEFORE. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ALONG WITH A GUSTY BREEZE. A
GREATER CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS WILL COME WEDNESDAY NIGHT DOWNWIND
OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WHERE A WESTERLY WIND WILL BRING LAKE
EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS INLAND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THIS AFTERNOON OUR REGION IS QUIETLY SITUATED BETWEEN A SFC HIGH
OVER ATLANTIC CANADA AND A LOW PRESSURE NEARING JAMES BAY. VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYS A FEW PATCHES OF CLOUDS HANGING OVER THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WITH MUCH OF THE REGION TO THE WEST
SUNNY. FARTHER TO THE WEST CLOUDS ARE THICKENING AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT IS NEARING LAKE MICHIGAN.

FOR TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST AND LOW PRESSURE TO OUR
WEST A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS WILL
KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS MORNING...EVEN
THOUGH SKIES WILL BE RATHER CLEAR THROUGH THE NIGHT. EXPECT
OVERNIGHT LOWS TO DROP BACK INTO THE 40S FOR MOST AREAS...LOW 40S IN
THE TRADITIONALLY COOLER INLAND VALLEYS AND UPPER 40S ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE LAKE SHORE.

CLOUDS WILL THICKEN TOWARDS THE WEST LATE TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT
WILL REACH TOWARDS WESTERN END OF LAKE ERIE BY 12Z TOMORROW. ALONG
AND JUST AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT IS A LOW LEVEL JET AROUND 35 TO 40
KNOTS. BELIEVE WITH THE WAA PATTERN AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...AND
THERMAL INVERSION IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER THAT THESE WINDS WILL NOT
MIX DOWN AT FIRST.

MODERATE MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONT WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF
SHOWERS TO THE REGION TOMORROW. THROUGH THE MORNING SHOWERS WILL BE
LIKELY ACROSS WNY...AND AS MOISTURE LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD THESE
SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH SOME AS THEY ENTER INTO THE GENESEE VALLEY LATE
MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. BY THE AFTERNOON WITH MOISTURE
FOCUSED UPON THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION SHOWERS CHC WILL
INCREASE AGAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THE FRONT PASSING THROUGH.

ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT A GREATER MIXING DEPTH WILL TRANSPORT
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE SFC. WIND GUSTS 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL
BE COMMON ACROSS THE REGION...WHILE DOWNWIND OF THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES WINDS FUNNELING OFF THE LAKES WILL BRING GUSTS UPWARDS TOWARDS
35 KNOTS. THIS IS PRETTY CONSISTENT WITH UPSTREAM OBS WHERE A 31 AND
35 KNOT WIND GUST WAS NOTED AT KBIV AND KMKG AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT 850 HPA TEMPERATURES WILL FALL 0C TO THE
EAST...AND -3C TOWARDS THE WEST. COOLER AIR OVER THE YET WARM LAKES
WILL LIKELY PROMPT THE FORMATION OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN. OFF LAKE
ERIE... WINDS MAY BE A BIT STRONG AT FIRST...AND PERPENDICULAR TO
THE LAKE AND WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN EAST OF LAKE ERIE. OFF LAKE ONTARIO A LONGER FETCH OVER THE
LAKE WILL LIKELY FORM A SINGLE BAND LATE AFTERNOON PUSHING INTO THE
TUG HILL REGION. WITH LAKE INDUCED EQL LEVELS RISING TO 22 TO 24 KFT
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A A DEEP BAND FORMATION WITH POSSIBLE LIGHTING
WITHIN THE BAND BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL FAVOR THE 50S FOR MOST AREAS. THE WARMEST
LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS THE GENESEE VALLEY AND NORTHERN
FINGER LAKES REGION WHERE SEVERAL ADDITIONAL DAYTIME HOURS AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT...COMBINED WITH THE LOWEST CHCS FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY
ALLOW FOR UPPER 50S...AND LOWER 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL REVOLVE AROUND LAKE EFFECT RAIN POTENTIAL. A
MODERATELY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE WELL EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY
EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW A WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW OF CHILLY AIR TO DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER LAKES. BOTH LAKES WILL
LIKELY SEE SOME ACTIVITY...BUT LAKE ONTARIO APPEARS TO HAVE A MORE
FAVORABLE SETUP.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...
EXPECT A BROKEN BAND OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS TO BE ONGOING EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING AT THE EAST END OF THE LAKE ACROSS THE TUG HILL
REGION. OVERNIGHT BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL VEER MORE NORTHWEST...
CARRYING LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS SOUTH ACROSS OSWEGO COUNTY. THE BAND
WILL ALSO CLIP PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA
COUNTIES AT TIMES...AND MAY EVEN BRUSH THE LAKESHORE ALONG THE
ORLEANS/MONROE COUNTY SHORES. LAKE INDUCED CAPE RISES TO OVER
1000J/KG WITH EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS OF UP TO 22K FEET...ALL OF THIS IN
A WELL ALIGNED FLOW WITH A GOOD AMOUNT OF SYNOPTIC SCALE MOISTURE.
THIS SHOULD PRODUCE A RATHER WELL ORGANIZED AND STRONG BAND OF LAKE
EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TUG HILL INTO OSWEGO
COUNTY. WITH SUCH A DEEP LAKE INDUCED MIXED LAYER...THUNDER IS ALSO
PROBABLE WITHIN THIS BAND. 850MB TEMPS BOTTOM OUT AROUND -3C OR SO
AND WITH A WARM BOUNDARY LAYER THIS WILL KEEP THE VAST MAJORITY OF
THE PRECIP IN THE FORM OF RAIN...BUT SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS
WILL PROBABLY BRING SOME GRAUPEL TO THE SURFACE.

THURSDAY MORNING LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL BE ON THEIR
WAY DOWN...BUT STILL SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A FEW MORE
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AT THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE LAKE. BY
AFTERNOON THE INVERSION LOWERS FURTHER...WITH A FEW REMAINING
SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLY MOVING NORTH TOWARDS WATERTOWN BEFORE
ENDING AS THE FLOW BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST.

OFF LAKE ERIE...
THE WESTERLY TO WEST-NORTHWEST FETCH WILL BE SHORTER THAN LAKE
ONTARIO...BUT STILL SUFFICIENT TO LIKELY PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS ACROSS
THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. LAKE INDUCED CAPE PEAKS AT ABOUT 1000J/KG
WITH EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS AROUND 18K FEET. THE SYNOPTIC SCALE AIRMASS
IS SOMEWHAT DRIER AND MORE ANTICYCLONIC WITH CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE
SURFACE HIGH. THAT COMBINED WITH THE SHORTER FETCH SHOULD KEEP THIS
ACTIVITY LESS INTENSE THAN LAKE ONTARIO...WITH RAIN AMOUNTS OF A
TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH. THE INVERSION BEGINS TO LOWER EARLIER...
WITH A WEAKENING TREND OVERNIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOULD BE
OVER BY THURSDAY MORNING.

ON THURSDAY HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE MID ATLANTIC...WITH A
SOUTHWEST RETURN FLOW INCREASING ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE DEPARTING HIGH AND THE NEXT
FAST MOVING SYSTEM. IT WILL BECOME QUITE WINDY ESPECIALLY ACROSS
WESTERN NY WITH GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH POSSIBLE...STRONGEST DOWNWIND OF
LAKE ERIE DUE TO FUNNELING DOWN THE LAKE. HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM...BUT ANY RAIN
SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER DARK.

THURSDAY NIGHT A FAST MOVING SURFACE LOW AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
WILL RACE EAST ACROSS QUEBEC...WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT DROPPING
SOUTH ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. THIS FRONT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED...
BUT WILL HAVE STRONG FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WHICH WILL PRODUCE AT LEAST
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.

FRIDAY MORNING THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA WITH
ANY SHOWERS ENDING DURING THE MORNING. THE AIRMASS IS QUITE COLD
BEHIND IT...BUT IS ALSO DRY WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE SO THIS SHOULD
PREVENT MUCH OF A LAKE RESPONSE WITH A RETURN TO SOME PARTIAL
SUNSHINE BY AFTERNOON.

FRIDAY NIGHT A STRONG SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD DIRECTLY OVER THE
REGION WITH 850MB TEMPS OF AROUND -4C. WITH A CHILLY AIRMASS IN
PLACE ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...FRIDAY NIGHT IS
SHAPING UP TO BE THE COLDEST OF THE FALL SEASON SO FAR. THIS WOULD
PRODUCE WIDESPREAD FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLY END THE
GROWING SEASON FOR MUCH OF THE AREA EXCEPT THE IMMEDIATE LAKESHORES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEXT WEEKEND A SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP WILL TAKE PLACE AFTER A VERY
CHILLY START SATURDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT TO NEW
ENGLAND ON SATURDAY WITH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW INCREASING THROUGH
THE DAY. THIS WILL BOOST 850MB TEMPS WELL ABOVE ZERO BY LATE
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN NY...WHICH WILL SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO AROUND 60 IN THE WEST...AND LOW TO MID 50S EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO WHERE WARMER AIR IS SLOWER TO ARRIVE.

BY SUNDAY THE NEXT MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL
SWING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. THE GFS REMAINS CONSIDERABLY STRONGER
WITH THE SURFACE LOW...CARRYING A 986MB LOW THROUGH THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC WHILE THE ECMWF HAS A 997MB LOW ON
A SIMILAR TRACK. IN EITHER CASE...WARM ADVECTION WILL BRING A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY ONGOING RAIN CHANCES ON
SUNDAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. IF THE GFS WERE TO
VERIFY...SUCH A DEEP LOW TAKING THIS TRACK COULD BRING STRONG WINDS
TO WESTERN NY...BUT GIVEN THE MUCH WEAKER ECMWF SCENARIO THIS IS LOW
CONFIDENCE AT THIS POINT. 850MB TEMPS SOAR TO AROUND +10C WHICH WILL
SUPPORT MID TO UPPER 60S IN MANY AREAS...AND LOWER 70S IN DOWNSLOPE
AREAS FROM THE LAKE ERIE SHORE TO BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER.

THE MAIN MID LEVEL TROUGH AND WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL SWING
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF A
FEW MORE SHOWERS AND MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE LOWER LAKES BY NEXT TUESDAY IN LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE WHICH WOULD BRING A RETURN TO DRY AND MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS AT 18Z WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL LIGHTEN SOME OVERNIGHT...THOUGH LIKELY
REMAIN ABOVE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. A COLD FRONT WILL NEAR WNY AROUND
12Z...WITH CLOUDS QUICKLY INCREASING AND LOWERING. EXPECT THIS COLD
FRONT TO BRING SOME RAIN SHOWERS TO WNY...BUT MORE IMPACTING...
TRANSPORT GUSTY WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE. AS SOON AS THE MORNING
INVERSION MIXES OUT BETWEEN 12-14Z EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME
GUSTY...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF BOTH GREAT LAKES WHERE A 30 TO 35
KNOT GUST IS POSSIBLE. JUST PRIOR TO THE COLD FRONT A LLJ OF 30 TO
35 KNOTS WILL LIKELY NOT MIX DOWN...NECESSITATING MARGINAL LLWS TO BE
ADDED INTO THE TAFS.

ONLY MODERATE MOISTURE IS FOUND ALONG THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ANY
SHOWER COULD BRING BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR FLIGHT
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER. THE PROBABILITY OF
SHOWERS ACROSS THE GENESEE VALLEY IS SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN WNY..AND
WILL CARRY JUST A VCSH HERE FOR NOW. ACTIVITY WILL REACH THE EASTERN
LAKE ONTARIO REGION 18Z OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR IN SHOWERS LIKELY EAST OF LAKE ERIE...AND
CATEGORICAL EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. VFR LIKELY OVER NORTHERN NIAGARA
FRONTIER.
THURSDAY...MVFR IN A CHC OF SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...OTHERWISE
VFR.
THURSDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...BECOMING VFR.
SATURDAY...VFR.
SUNDAY...CHC MVFR IN SHOWERS...LLWS LIKELY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WEST ACROSS NEW YORK STATE WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
TO THE EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...WHILE LOW PRESSURE HEADS NORTH
TOWARDS JAMES BAY. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL
PICK UP A BIT TONIGHT...BUT WAVES ALONG THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF BOTH
LAKES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA.

A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL CROSS THE LAKES
ON WEDNESDAY. BRISK WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
RESULT IN SCA CONDITIONS FROM LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE LAKES THURSDAY NIGHT.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS SETTING UP BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL MAINTAIN
SCA CONDITIONS ON BOTH LAKES THROUGH MOST OF FRIDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY
         FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
         LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT
         THURSDAY FOR LOZ042>044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EDT
         THURSDAY FOR LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...THOMAS
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 9:03 AM EDT, 6 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
903 AM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-101315-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
903 AM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS CHILLY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-101315-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
903 AM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-101315-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
903 AM EDT TUE OCT 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO AS ANOTHER CHILLY
AIRMASS BUILDS OVER THE LOWER LAKES. WATERSPOUTS ARE MOST LIKELY
IN AND NEAR BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS AND CLOUDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.