Small Craft Advisory 6, NWS Buffalo, NY

018 
WHUS71 KBUF 120253
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
953 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

LOZ042-043-121100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.120112T0600Z-120112T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
953 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-121100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0001.120113T1100Z-120114T0400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
953 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

886 
WHUS71 KBUF 120908
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
408 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

LEZ040-041-121715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0007.120113T0000Z-120113T1100Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0001.120113T1100Z-120114T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1100Z-120114T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
408 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY.
THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES
  FRIDAY. 

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-121715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120112T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1800Z-120114T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
408 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTH TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON. 

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-063>065-121715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1800Z-120114T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
408 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON. 

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-121715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0007.120113T1000Z-120114T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
408 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-121715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120112T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
408 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

194 
WHUS71 KBUF 121508
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1008 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

LOZ043-122315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120112T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1800Z-120114T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1008 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-122315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0007.120113T0000Z-120113T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1100Z-120114T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1008 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-063>065-122315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1800Z-120114T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1008 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-122100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120112T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1008 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-122315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0007.120113T1000Z-120114T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1008 AM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

031 
WHUS71 KBUF 122052
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

LOZ043-130500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120112T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1800Z-120114T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
352 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-130500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0007.120113T0000Z-120113T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1100Z-120114T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
352 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-130500-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120112T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0007.120113T1000Z-120114T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
352 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-063>065-130500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0018.120113T1800Z-120114T0400Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
352 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-130500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0007.120113T1000Z-120114T0400Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
352 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
409 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL
SEND RAIN...AND A WINTRY MIX FOR THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION...ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. A BRIEF LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION LATER
TOMORROW AS THE RAIN AND WINTERY MIX PUSHES NORTHWARD BEFORE
ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW SWEEPS IN FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT.
WINDS WILL BECOME BLUSTERY FRIDAY WITH WIDESPREAD
SNOWFALL...BECOMING MORE CONCENTRATED DOWNWIND OF BOTH OF THE
LAKES...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO CONTINUE
INTO SATURDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT 19Z A COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES TO EVOLVE THIS AFTERNOON
AS A SYSTEM WITHIN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM INTERACTS
WITH A SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM.

AT THE SFC A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS NEAR KY/IN THIS
AFTERNOON...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE WAS FOUND NEAR THE QUEBEC/NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND BORDER. AN INVERTED TROUGH ON THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS WAS POKING NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE ATLANTIC
COASTLINE WHERE A COASTAL LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM.

MAIN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM
HELD BACK ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE IN THE
NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET...A DIGGING TROUGH WAS CROSSING THE
DAKOTAS.

A LOOK AT REGIONAL RADARS AND SFC OBS AT 19Z SHOW A SWATH OF RAIN
REACHING NORTHWARD THROUGH OH AND PENNSYLVANIA THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-80 AT 19Z. VISIBLE SATELLITE
DISPLAYS A LINGERING MID LEVEL DECK OF CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE NORTH COUNTRY...WHILE HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO
STREAM ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND INTO THE FINGER LAKES REGION THIS
MID AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURE WISE AT 19Z MANY AREAS HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE 40S THIS
AFTERNOON UNDER SUNNY SKIES...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NORTH
COUNTRY WHERE UNDER A LINGERING DECK OF CLOUDS TEMPERATURES IN THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY REMAIN IN THE 20S...WHILE 30S ARE FOUND
FARTHER SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AND THE TUG HILL.

FOR THIS EVENING...PRECIPITATION INITIALLY AS RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS CONVERGENCE ALONG A 50 KNOT 900 HPA
JET...COMBINED WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT PROVIDES LARGE SCALE ASCENT.
DEEPEN MOISTURE IN THE LOWER LEVELS...WITH PWATS RISING TO NEAR +2SD
OVERNIGHT WILL FUEL THE PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. ALOFT
THE RIGHT FRONT QUAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET AT 250 HPA WILL LIFT
ACROSS OUR REGION...FURTHER SUPPORTING THE LARGE SCALE LIFT ACROSS
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. EXPECT BASIN QPF AVERAGES TO BE AROUND 0.40
TO 0.75 INCHES OVERNIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS TOWARDS THE
EAST...CLOSER TO THE CORE OF THE LLJ.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WELL INTO THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON... AND A
LOOK AT AMDAR SOUNDINGS SHOW A WEDGE OF DRIER AIR AT 18Z JUST ABOVE
850 HPA. THIS DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW FOR EVAPORATIVE COOLING...COOLING
THE LOWER BOUNDARY LAYER TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK. HOWEVER WETBULB
TEMPERATURES ON BOTH THE NAM AND GFS REMAIN JUST ABOVE ZERO ALLOWING
FOR JUST PLAIN RAIN ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND INTO THE GENESEE
VALLEY. HOWEVER A FEW WET SNOWFLAKES MAY MIX IN THIS EVENING
GENERALLY TOWARDS THE INTERIOR SOUTHERN TIER...AND TOWARDS THE
SOUTHERN GENESEE VALLEY...AND WILL INCLUDE JUST A CHC FOR WET
SNOWFLAKES THIS EVENING WITH NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.

THE PRIMARY SFC LOW OVER KENTUCKY WILL DEEPEN AND BASED ON MODEL
GUIDANCE OF THE 12Z NAM/GFS/ECMWF REMAIN AS DEEP OR DEEPER THAN THE
COASTAL SFC LOW THROUGH 12Z TOMORROW. WITH THE DEEPER LOW TO OUR WEST...WARM
AIR ALOFT SHOULD CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
TIME PERIOD. WITH THE PRIMARY SFC LOW REMAINING JUST TO THE WEST AND
SOUTH OF OUR REGION THROUGH 12Z...AREAS FARTHER TO THE NORTH...AND
CLOSER TO THE HIGH PRESSURE WHICH WILL STILL BE ANCHORED TO OUR NORTH
AND EAST OVER QUEBEC THE SURGE OF WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL LOSE ITS
NORTHWARD PUSH ACROSS OUR NORTHERN SECTIONS AS COLDER AIR IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS ENTRENCHED. HERE FROM THE NORTHERN FINGER
LAKES NORTHWARD A WINTRY MIX WILL BE OF CONCERN.

A LOOK AT SOUNDING PROFILES SHOWS A SLIGHTLY WARMER PROFILE ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY FOR THE OVERNIGHT THAN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS WHICH
WILL DIMINISH THE AMOUNT OF SNOW...THOUGH WITH SFC TEMPERATURES
STILL REMAINING BELOW FREEZING...ESPECIALLY IN VALLEYS AREAS OF
FREEZING RAIN WILL STILL BE OF CONCERN. WILL GO WITH A GENERAL ONE
TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN SNOW/SLEET
COMBINATION...WITH UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE FROM FREEZING
RAIN. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION...THOUGH BEGIN THE ADVISORY AT 10PM...ABOUT THE TIME WHEN
THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE REACHING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

WITH THE 45 TO 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET AT 2K-3K FEET SOME MIXING OF
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL BRUSH PAST THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER...BRISTOL HILLS AND THE NORTH COUNTRY. WE WILL HAVE
WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ACROSS THE PEAKS FOR THE OVERNIGHT TIME
PERIOD AS THE LLJ PASSES. ELSEWHERE WINDS SHOULD NOT BE QUITE AS
GUSTY UNDER THE WARM AIR SURGING NORTHWARD ALOFT.

TOMORROW AN OCCLUDED FRONT FROM THE PRIMARY LOW WILL PUSH NORTHWARD
TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO BY AFTERNOON. EXPECT
THE SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION TO END EARLY IN THE DAY THURSDAY AS THIS
BOUNDARY AND DRIER AIR SURGE NORTHWARD INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW
YORK. WILL DROP POPS BACK TO CHC/SLIGHT CHC THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...EXCEPT FOR ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE AND THROUGH
THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION WHERE THIS REGION WILL REMAIN NORTH
OF THE SFC BOUNDARY.

FOR TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AND BOTTOM OUT SHORTLY AFTER THE
ONSET OF RAIN AS THE LOWER BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS TO THE WET BULB
TEMPERATURES. FROM THERE DO NOT EXPECT MUCH MORE COOLING...AND
TEMPERATURES MAY ACTUALLY RISE A DEGREE OR TWO AS THE OCCLUDED
BOUNDARY NEARS FROM THE SOUTH. FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND LOWER ARE
STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. DO NOT EXPECT
THE FREEZING TEMPERATURES TO SCOUR OUT OF THE VALLEYS TILL MIDDAY
TOMORROW...WHERE HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE 40S SOUTH OF THE OCCLUDED
BOUNDARY AND 30S NORTH OF THE OCCLUDED BOUNDARY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
A VERY COMPLEX WEATHER SCENARIO WILL BE UNFOLDING DURING THIS PERIOD
AS THE SOUTHERN STREAM LOW LIFTING INTO THE NORTHEAST CONUS IS
INTERCEPTED BY A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DROPPING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES WITH THE RESULT BEING A DOUBLE
SURFACE LOW STRUCTURE ACROSS THE REGION. THE DOMINANT LOW WILL BE
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...WHILE THE SECONDARY WEAKER LOW RESIDES OFF
THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. THE MAIN
OCCLUSION WILL BE NORTH OF THE AREA WHICH SHOULD HAVE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK IN A RELATIVE LULL IN PRECIPITATION AT THE BEGIN OF
THURSDAY NIGHT. LATER THURSDAY NIGHT THERE WILL BE RAPID CYCLONE
INTENSIFICATION BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WHICH WILL CORRESPOND
WITH INCREASE LAKE ENHANCEMENT OFF LAKE ERIE AND INCREASING ATLANTIC
MOISTURE INFLOW...WHICH SHOULD POINT TO THE EXPANSION OF SNOW OR
MIXED PRECIPITATION ACROSS EASTERN SECTION ALONG THE INTENSIFYING
BAROCLINIC ZONE UNDERNEATH THE DEEPENING COUPLED JET CIRCULATION
ALOFT. THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL BE LIFTING THROUGH SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE SUGGESTION OF A TROWAL FEATURE
DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE MID LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE.
ORIENTATION OF THIS FEATURE DIFFERS FROM MODEL TO MODEL MAKING THE
PLACEMENT OF POTENTIAL HEAVY SNOWFALL AXIS FRIDAY RATHER DIFFICULT.
STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY TO HOW THE SYNOPTIC PORTION OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL PLAY OUT PLACING RELATIVE LOW CONFIDENCE IN SNOWFALL
FORECAST FOR THE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY TIME FRAME. WE ARE LIKELY
LOOKING AT A GENERAL ACCUMULATING SNOW SEVERAL INCHES...ALTHOUGH
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS TO THE LEE OF THE LAKES WILL BE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY IF LAKE ENHANCEMENT CAN GET GOING EARLY ENOUGH.

STARTING LATE FRIDAY...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BEGIN IN EARNEST AS
THE FLOW VEERS TO WEST...THEN TO WEST NORTHWEST AND 850 MB
TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE NEGATIVE LOWER TEENS CELSIUS. PLENTY OF
SYNOPTIC SCALE MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE ALLOWING IMPRESSIVE DEPTH
OF FAVORABLE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION TO INTERSECT OMEGA
MAXIMUM. THIS WOULD SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE SNOWS IN
THE TRADITIONAL WEST NORTHWEST FLOW REGIONS SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND
WATERTOWN. STRONG WIND FIELDS MAY HAMPER THE ORGANIZED OF PROLONGED
LAKE BANDS...BUT THIS CAN BE ADDRESSED IN LATER FORECAST ISSUANCES.
LAKE EFFECT SETUP STILL FAR ENOUGH IN ADVANCE TO KEEP HEADLINES OUT
OF FORECAST FOR NOW.

WINDS MAY BECOME AN ISSUE FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES
WITH BUFKIT MOMENTUM TRANSFER SCHEMES SUGGESTING A PERIOD OF SUSTAIN
WINDS OVER 25 KNOTS AND GUSTS OVER 40 KNOTS WHICH MAY PROMPT
HEADLINES IN LATER FORECASTS AS WELL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND...AIR MASS STILL LOOKS PLENTY COLD ENOUGH
WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES IN THE NEGATIVE MID TEENS CELSIUS TO
MAINTAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR LINGERING LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES. SOME SUGGESTION THAT INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL BE LOWERING...
THEREFORE THE INTENSITY OF THE LAKE SNOWS IS IN QUESTION AT THIS
POINT. LAKE ACTIVITY WILL SHUT DOWN COMPLETELY SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY AS BROAD RIDGE PUSHES ACROSS THE REGION. THE RIDGE LOOKS TO
SLIDE EAST MONDAY NIGHT AND A STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN SETS
UP BEHIND IT AND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING ELONGATED COLD FRONT.
INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INFLOW AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WILL INCREASE
THE THREAT FOR SNOW IN THE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY TIME FRAME...
WITH THE ADDED LAKE COMPONENT AS COLDER AIR SPILLS BACK ACROSS THE
LOWER LAKES. AIR MASS LOOKS COLD ENOUGH WITH ENOUGH SYNOPTIC SCALE
MOISTURE TO REGENERATE WEST NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE SNOWS FOR TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 18Z VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS REMAINED ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A MID
DECK OF CLOUDS STILL LINGERING OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY. CONDITIONS
WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR AS RAIN ADVANCES INTO THE REGION FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH THIS EVENING. EXPECT LARGELY MVFR IN THE RAIN...THEN
DROPPING TO IFR BEHIND AN OCCLUDED FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION VERY LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY.
EXCEPTION WILL BE THE NORTH COUNTRY WHERE THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
NOT CROSS TILL MUCH LATER IN THE DAY.

A LLJ AROUND 45 TO 50 KNOTS WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...THOUGH
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE NIAGARA
FRONTIER...AND HAVE ELECTED NOT TO INCLUDE LLWS IN THE KBUF AND KIAG
TAFS.

RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE MORNING HORUS
TOMORROW...THOUGH LOW CIGS WILL LINGER.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...MVFR TO IFR WITH SCATTERED RAIN.
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MVFR TO IFR WITH RAIN CHANGING TO
LIKELY SNOW.
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MVFR IN CHC SNOW...HEAVIER SNOW LIKELY
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES WITH IFR CONDITIONS.
SUNDAY...MVFR TO VFR IN LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE IN SPEED OVERNIGHT WINDS AND WAVES WILL
RISE ABOVE SCA CRITERIA...AND WILL ISSUE A SMALL CRAFT FOR THE
WESTERN HALF OF LAKE ONTARIO FOR LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SURGE ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARM LAKE WATERS
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL PROMOTE STRONG MIXING WITHIN THE
LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...RESULTING IN A CHANCE FOR GALE
FORCE WINDS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. WILL ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR
LAKE ERIE STARTING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS ON LAKE
ONTARIO WILL INCREASE LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY...WITH WINDS NEARING
GALE FORCE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY
         FOR LOZ042-043.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...TMA
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-121045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEAST HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BRING SIGNIFICANT SYNOPTIC SNOWS WITH A POTENTIAL FOR LAKE
ENHANCEMENT TO WESTERN NEW YORK THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS PERSISTING INTO SATURDAY. WHILE IT REMAINS
DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE LAKE SNOWS THIS
FAR IN ADVANCE...EARLY INDICATIONS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
LAKE SNOWS TO DEVELOP OVER OR NORTH OF THE BUFFALO AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT...BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTH TO THE SOUTHERN TIER FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-121045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

WARM MOIST AIR ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. WHILE TEMPERATURES
NEAR LAKE ONTARIO WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING...AREAS INLAND OF THE
LAKE ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW FREEZING CREATING THE POTENTIAL
FOR ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP
TO ONE QUARTER INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE ADVISORY PERIOD.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FRIDAY. LINGERING WARM
AIR ALOFT COULD RESULT IN A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET
QUICKLY CHANGING OVER TO SNOW. LAKE ENHANCEMENT COULD RESULT IN POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TAPERING OFF SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ021-121045-
ALLEGANY-
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE REGION
COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>005-013-014-121045-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE REGION
COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-121045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-121045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-121045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
538 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF