Lakeshore Flood Warning 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

905 
WHUS41 KBUF 022048
CFWBUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
348 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

NYZ010-019-085-030500-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.W.0004.120303T0700Z-120304T0400Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
348 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM
EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ERIE SHORE OF CHAUTAUQUA AND ERIE COUNTIES.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE 
  RAPID WATER RISES ON LAKE ERIE. THE WATER LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO 
  PEAK AT 8 TO 9 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM SATURDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND VERY LARGE WAVES MAY PRODUCE 
  MINOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN HARBORS AND NEAR THE MOUTH OF 
  CREEKS FLOWING INTO THE LAKE. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT OVER WASH ON 
  ROUTE 5 IN ATHOL SPRINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...
IS IMMINENT... OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...
OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

554 
WHUS41 KBUF 030253
CFWBUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
953 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

NYZ010-019-085-031100-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.W.0004.120303T0700Z-120304T0400Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
953 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 11 PM
EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ERIE SHORE OF CHAUTAUQUA AND ERIE COUNTIES.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE 
  RAPID WATER RISES ON LAKE ERIE. THE WATER LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO 
  PEAK AT 8 TO 9 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM SATURDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND VERY LARGE WAVES MAY PRODUCE 
  MINOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN HARBORS AND NEAR THE MOUTH OF 
  CREEKS FLOWING INTO THE LAKE. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT OVER WASH ON 
  ROUTE 5 IN ATHOL SPRINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...
IS IMMINENT... OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...
OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

TMA

177 
WHUS41 KBUF 030836
CFWBUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
336 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

NYZ001-031645-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0000Z/
NIAGARA-
336 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKESHORE
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...UPPER NIAGARA RIVER.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...WATER LEVELS ON LAKE ERIE ARE EXPECTED TO
  RAPIDLY RISE THIS MORNING AND WILL ALSO FORCE WATER LEVELS TO
  RISE IN THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER. THE LEVEL ON LAKE ERIE IS
  EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 9 TO 9.5 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM THIS
  MORNING...THEN REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG
  THE NIAGARA RIVER...INCLUDING THE SHORELINE OF GRAND ISLAND...
  RIVER ROAD...AND CAYUGA ISLAND IN NIAGARA FALLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING,
IS IMMINENT, OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...
OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

NYZ007-031645-
/O.EXB.KBUF.LS.W.0004.120303T1400Z-120304T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-
336 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKESHORE
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE OF JEFFERSON COUNTY...MAINLY
  IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK RIVER BAY.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL
  FORCE THE WATER LEVEL TO RISE SEVERAL FEET AT THE NORTHEAST END
  OF LAKE ONTARIO.

* TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE LAKE
  ONTARIO SHORE...ESPECIALLY IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK RIVER BAY.
  SOME COTTAGES ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THESE BAYS MAY BE IMPACTED
  BY HIGH WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING,
IS IMMINENT, OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...
OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

NYZ010-019-085-031645-
/O.EXT.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
336 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ERIE SHORE OF CHAUTAUQUA AND ERIE COUNTIES.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
  RAPID WATER RISES ON LAKE ERIE. THE WATER LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO
  PEAK AT 9 TO 9.5 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM THIS MORNING...THEN
  REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.


* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND VERY LARGE WAVES MAY PRODUCE 
  MINOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN HARBORS AND NEAR THE MOUTH OF 
  CREEKS FLOWING INTO THE LAKE. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT OVER WASH ON 
  ROUTE 5 IN ATHOL SPRINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...
IS IMMINENT... OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...
OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

932 
WHUS41 KBUF 031139
CFWBUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
639 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

NYZ001-010-019-085-031945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0000Z/
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
639 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ERIE SHORE OF CHAUTAUQUA AND ERIE COUNTIES AND
  THE UPPER NIAGARA RIVER.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
  HIGH WATER LEVELS ON LAKE ERIE. THE WATER LEVEL PEAKED AT 8.7
  FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM AT 340 AM AND HAS SINCE FALLEN. THE
  WATER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO OSCILLATE BETWEEN 6 AND 8 FEET
  ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM TODAY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND VERY LARGE WAVES MAY PRODUCE 
  MINOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN HARBORS AND NEAR THE MOUTH OF 
  CREEKS FLOWING INTO THE LAKE. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT OVER WASH ON 
  ROUTE 5 IN ATHOL SPRINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...
IS IMMINENT...OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION... OR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

NYZ007-031945-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.W.0004.120303T1400Z-120304T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-
639 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE OF JEFFERSON COUNTY...
  MAINLY IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK RIVER BAY. 

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES 
  WILL FORCE THE WATER LEVEL TO RISE SEVERAL FEET AT THE 
  NORTHEAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO. 

* TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE 
  LAKE ONTARIO SHORE...ESPECIALLY IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK 
  RIVER BAY. SOME COTTAGES ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THESE BAYS MAY 
  BE IMPACTED BY HIGH WATER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...
IS IMMINENT...OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...OR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

905 
WHUS41 KBUF 031514
CFWBUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1014 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

NYZ010-019-085-032315-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.LS.Y.0002.120303T1514Z-120304T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1014 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKESHORE
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ERIE SHORE OF CHAUTAUQUA AND ERIE COUNTIES.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
  CAUSE LAKE LEVELS TO FLUCTUATE TODAY. THE WATER LEVEL WILL
  CONTINUE TO OSCILLATE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM
  TODAY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND VERY LARGE WAVES MAY PRODUCE
  SPLASH OVER IN TYPICALLY VULNERABLE AREAS...INCLUDING HARBORS AND
  CREEKS FLOWING INTO THE LAKE...AND PORTIONS OF ROUTE 5 IN ATHOL
  SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS WILL
GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE LAKESHORE.

&&

$$

NYZ001-031615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0000Z/
NIAGARA-
1014 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING. 

WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE TODAY...BUT SHOULD NOT
RISE ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING IN NIAGARA COUNTY.

$$

NYZ007-032315-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-
1014 AM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE OF JEFFERSON COUNTY... 
  MAINLY IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK RIVER BAY. 

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES 
  WILL FORCE THE WATER LEVEL TO RISE SEVERAL FEET AT THE 
  NORTHEAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO. 

* TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE 
  LAKE ONTARIO SHORE...ESPECIALLY IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK 
  RIVER BAY. SOME COTTAGES ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THESE BAYS MAY 
  BE IMPACTED BY HIGH WATER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...
IS IMMINENT...OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...
OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

APFFEL

900 
WHUS41 KBUF 032024
CFWBUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

NYZ007-040300-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-
324 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE OF JEFFERSON COUNTY... 
  MAINLY IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK RIVER BAY. 

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES 
  WILL FORCE THE WATER LEVEL TO RISE SEVERAL FEET AT THE 
  NORTHEAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO. 

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE 
  LAKE ONTARIO SHORE...ESPECIALLY IN CHAUMONT BAY AND BLACK 
  RIVER BAY. SOME COTTAGES ALONG THE SHORELINE OF THESE BAYS MAY 
  BE IMPACTED BY HIGH WATER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING MEANS LAKESHORE FLOODING IS OCCURRING...
IS IMMINENT...OR IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. LISTEN TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVISION...
OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

$$

NYZ010-019-085-040000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120304T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
324 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ERIE SHORE OF CHAUTAUQUA AND ERIE COUNTIES.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
  CAUSE LAKE LEVELS TO FLUCTUATE. THE WATER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE
  TO OSCILLATE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND VERY LARGE WAVES MAY PRODUCE 
  SPLASH OVER IN TYPICALLY VULNERABLE AREAS...INCLUDING HARBORS 
  AND CREEKS FLOWING INTO THE LAKE...AND PORTIONS OF ROUTE 5 IN 
  ATHOL SPRINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS WILL
GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE LAKESHORE.

&&

$$

APFFEL

933 
WHUS41 KBUF 032234
CFWBUF

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
534 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

NYZ007-032345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120304T0300Z/
JEFFERSON-
534 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING. 

WIND AND WAVES HAVE SUBSIDED EARLY THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...THE 
LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

NYZ010-019-085-040000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120304T0000Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
534 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...LAKE ERIE SHORE OF CHAUTAUQUA AND ERIE COUNTIES.

* LAKE SHORE FLOODING...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
  CAUSE LAKE LEVELS TO FLUCTUATE. THE WATER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO
  OSCILLATE BETWEEN 4 AND 6 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER LEVELS AND VERY LARGE WAVES MAY PRODUCE 
  SPLASH OVER IN TYPICALLY VULNERABLE AREAS...INCLUDING HARBORS 
  AND CREEKS FLOWING INTO THE LAKE...AND PORTIONS OF ROUTE 5 IN 
  ATHOL SPRINGS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS WILL
GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE LAKESHORE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1016 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A BRIEF RETURN TO QUIET AND DRY WEATHER
TODAY. A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AND BRING A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A PROLONGED PERIOD OF STRONG WINDS LATER
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS TODAY BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
LINGERING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW
PRESSURE LIFTING NORTHEAST FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS
WILL DEEPEN AND INCREASE IN STRENGTH. THIS WILL ACT TO SCOUR OUT ANY
LINGERING LOW CLOUDS ACROSS OUR AREA...THE BACK EDGE OF WHICH HAS
ALREADY PUSHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. AT THE SAME TIME...
MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS WARM ADVECTION PICKS
UP ALOFT. COMBINED...THESE DEVELOPMENTS WILL LEAD TO SKIES TURNING
PARTLY SUNNY FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY IN MOST PLACES...BEFORE
CLOUDS THICKEN AGAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

THE COMBINATION OF THE PARTIAL SUNSHINE...INCREASING SOUTH TO
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL BRING A
RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY...WITH 925 MB TEMPS OF -1C
TO +5C SUPPORTING AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 40S ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY...TO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A FAIRLY NICE EARLY SPRING DAY...ALBEIT
ONE THAT WE WILL PAY A RATHER STEEP PRICE FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

AS WE GET INTO TONIGHT...THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO
OUR WEST WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN AND LIFT NORTHEAST FROM
SOUTHERN MICHIGAN TO GEORGIAN BAY BY SATURDAY MORNING...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A POWERFUL PARENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH/TIGHT CLOSED LOW
LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. BY SATURDAY MORNING...THE
NAM/GFS HAVE THE SURFACE LOW DEEPENING TO 974 AND 972 MB
RESPECTIVELY...A VERY POTENT SYSTEM MOVING ALONG A CLASSIC TRACK
VERY FAVORABLE FOR STRONG WINDS ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. MORE ON
THIS IN A MOMENT.

IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION...THIS SYSTEM'S ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL
BRING A ROUND OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE AREA BETWEEN THIS EVENING AND THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH
THE STRONG WARM FRONTAL/WARM ADVECTIVE LIFT FURTHER AIDED BY A
STRONGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW AND SWATH OF HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT. THIS WILL
ADD UP TO A 3-5 HOUR PERIOD IN WHICH PRECIP WILL BE A NEAR
CERTAINTY WITH THE WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH THE STRONG LIFT AND
PRESENCE OF SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY ALSO LEADING TO THE
POSSIBILITY OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS.

FOLLOWING THIS INITIAL ROUND OF PRECIPITATION...STRONG DRY SLOTTING
WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE AREA FOR THE BALANCE OF THE NIGHT. THIS
WILL LEAD TO A SHARP SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST REDUCTION IN SHOWER
ACTIVITY...THOUGH A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS MAY STILL MANAGE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE TRAILING COLD FRONT AS IT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT.

NOW BACK TO THE WINDS...WHICH WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THIS
SYSTEM. INITIALLY...THE STRENGTHENING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OUT
AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER WINDS IN
THE TYPICALLY FAVORED AREAS ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE AND ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER THIS EVENING...
THEN IN THE BLACK RIVER VALLEY AND ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. DURING THIS TIME FRAME...THE STRONGEST WINDS
ALOFT /75-80 KTS AT 850 MB/ WILL BE LARGELY HELD ABOVE THE SURFACE
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF A TEMPERATURE INVERSION AT THE LOWER
LEVELS...HOWEVER SOME WIND GUSTS TO HIGH-END ADVISORY/LOW-END
WARNING CRITERIA WILL STILL BE A POSSIBILITY IN THE AFOREMENTIONED
AREAS DUE TO TERRAIN INFLUENCES. SOME SIMILARLY STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE PRETTY MUCH ANYWHERE WITHIN ANY STRONGER
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS THAT DO MANAGE TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE MAIN SWATH
OF PRECIPITATION...THOUGH THESE REMAIN MUCH MORE DIFFICULT TO TIME
AND PLACE THIS FAR IN ADVANCE.

ONCE THE COLD FRONT PLOWS ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT...COLD
ADVECTION ON A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
THEN HELP TO TRANSPORT MORE OF THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE
SURFACE...LIKELY BEGINNING IN 07Z-10Z TIME FRAME ACROSS FAR WESTERN
NEW YORK...AND BETWEEN 10Z-12Z ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION.
GIVEN THE CONTINUED IMPRESSIVE STRENGTH OF THE WIND FIELDS
ALOFT...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE IN THE 60-70 KT RANGE IN THE
925-850 MB LAYER LATE TONIGHT...MORE WIDESPREAD GUSTS TO BETWEEN 60
AND 70 MPH WILL BECOME A NEAR CERTAINTY DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS FOUND IN THE TYPICALLY FAVORED AREAS
DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. IF SOME DECENT CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS DO MANAGE TO FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT ITSELF...THESE COULD
ALSO HELP PRODUCE AN INITIAL BLAST OF SIMILARLY STRONG WINDS
COINCIDENT WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THOUGH WHETHER OR NOT THIS
ACTUALLY HAPPENS REMAINS TO BE SEEN.

CONSIDERING ALL OF THE ABOVE AND THE CONTINUED EXPECTATION OF
ADDITIONAL STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY /MORE
INFORMATION FOLLOWS BELOW ON THOSE/...WE HAVE UPGRADED THE EXISTING
HIGH WIND WATCHES TO WARNINGS FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL
NEW YORK.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A CLASSIC DAMAGING WIND EVENT WILL BE ONGOING BY 12Z SATURDAY ACROSS
WESTERN NY AND WILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF RAMPING UP FARTHER EAST
ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

LOOKING AT THE SYNOPTIC SETUP...A PHASING MID LEVEL VORTEX WILL MOVE
FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC DURING SATURDAY.
AT THE SURFACE DURING THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS ENDING AT 12Z SATURDAY
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN JUST ABOUT ENOUGH TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS BOMBOGENESIS. THE SURFACE LOW WILL REACH MAXIMUM
INTENSITY AROUND 12Z SAT NEAR GEORGIAN BAY BEFORE MOVING INTO
SOUTHERN QUEBEC DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW
AND MID LEVEL FEATURES JUST TO OUR NORTH AND WEST...ALONG WITH THE
RAPID DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW IS A CLASSIC PATTERN RECOGNITION
SIGNATURE FOR A DAMAGING WIND EVENT ACROSS WESTERN NY.

THE DETAILS...THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER WESTERN NY IN THE
06Z-08Z TIME FRAME...REACHING THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION BY 12Z
SATURDAY. WINDS ALOFT ARE VERY IMPRESSIVE WITHIN THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION REGIME BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...WITH 65-70 KNOTS JUST A FEW
THOUSAND FEET OFF THE SURFACE. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WELL
DEVELOPED DRY SLOT WILL WRAP INTO THE DEEPENING CYCLONE...WITH
SUBSIDENCE AND SUNSHINE WITHIN THIS DRY SLOT ACTING TO FURTHER
PROMOTE DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER OF THE VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT.
THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE LOW...AND WELL DEFINED DRY SLOT
SUGGEST AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR A STING JET AS WELL...WHICH
COULD MAXIMIZE DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER ALONG THE SOUTHERN FLANK
OF THE SURFACE LOW WITH A CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE. AS THE
EVENT UNFOLDS...SATELLITE IMAGERY WILL PORTRAY WHETHER THIS
MESOSCALE FEATURE DEVELOPS OR NOT.

BUFKIT MOMENTUM TRANSFER SCHEMES FROM BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SHOW
SOLID WARNING CRITERIA WIND GUSTS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION...WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE CORRIDOR FROM LAKE ERIE NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE NIAGARA FRONTIER TO ROCHESTER...AND ALSO AT THE NORTHEAST END OF
LAKE ONTARIO. WITH SUCH FAVORABLE DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER
EXPECTED AND THE VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT...GUSTS OF 70-75 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. PEAK WIND GUSTS WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER
ACROSS THE INTERIOR SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES WHERE THE LAYOUT
OF THE TERRAIN IS NOT AS FAVORABLE...AND WINDS ALOFT NOT QUITE AS
STRONG. HERE...EXPECT GUSTS IN THE 55-60 MPH RANGE. EXPECT THE WORST
OF THE DAMAGING WINDS SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS WESTERN NY AND A FEW
HOURS LATER EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...BUT THIS WILL BE A LONG LASTING
EVENT WITH DAMAGING GUSTS STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND GOING ALL DAY
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

OTHER THAN WINDS...THE DRY SLOT WILL BE DOMINANT ACROSS MOST OF THE
LOWER LAKES REGION SATURDAY WITH ANY SHOWERS ENDING EARLY EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO. WE SHOULD EVEN SEE A DECENT AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE WITHIN
THE DRY SLOT. TEMPS WILL PEAK DURING THE MORNING OR MIDDAY WITH
AROUND 40 IN THE WEST AND MID 40S IN CENTRAL NY...BEFORE SLOWLY
FALLING DURING THE AFTERNOON AS COLD AIR ADVECTION WINS OUT OVER
DIURNAL HEATING.

SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY
DEEPEN ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES...WITH A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL TROUGH
HANGING BACK IN THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE LOW. THIS TROUGH WILL SLOWLY
CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND PROVIDE ENOUGH
CONVERGENCE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH SOME
SPOTTY MINOR ACCUMULATION. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR
LAKE EFFECT AS WELL LATER SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. AS IS
TYPICALLY THE CASE DURING LATE WINTER...THE COLD AIR IS QUITE
SHALLOW AND THIS WILL KEEP LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RATHER
LOW AT 6-7K FEET. THIS SHOULD PREVENT ANY BIG ACCUMULATIONS...BUT
STILL COULD SUPPORT SOME DECENT SNOW.

THE LAKE SNOW WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP ON WESTERLY FLOW LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...TARGETING THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND
SOUTHERN ERIE/WYOMING COUNTIES OFF LAKE ERIE AND THE TUG HILL REGION
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. LATER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT THE PASSAGE OF
THE LOW LEVEL TROUGH WILL SHIFT WINDS MORE NORTHWEST...WITH LAKE
ERIE SNOW EVOLVING INTO UPSLOPE ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...AND THE
LAKE ONTARIO ACTIVITY PUSHING TO THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE LAKE
FROM THE EASTERN SUBURBS OF ROCHESTER EAST TO OSWEGO COUNTY. AT THIS
EARLY JUNCTURE IT APPEARS THIS MAY BE AN ADVISORY TYPE EVENT...BUT
STILL FAR TOO EARLY TO CONSIDER ANY HEADLINES YET.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A BROAD BUT RATHER HIGH AMPLITUDE LONG WAVE PATTERN WILL BE FOUND
ACROSS THE UNITED STATES AT THE START OF THIS PERIOD...WITH A DEEP
RIDGE BEING FOUND OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS PATTERN WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE...SO WE CAN EXPECT A DRAMATIC WARM UP DURING THE COURSE
OF THE WEEK. WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO
MUCH ABOVE NORMAL MERCURY READINGS BY MIDWEEK.

THE BASE OF THE DEEP H5 TROUGH WILL PASS OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY
WHILE A NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW OF -16C H85 AIR WILL POUR ACROSS THE
LOWER LAKES. WHILE A RELATIVELY LOW SUBSIDENCE WILL LIMIT ANY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS...A WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW COULD COMBINE WITH THE
ADDED LAKE MOISTURE TO DELAY CLEARING AND PROMOTE SOME LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES MONDAY ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE MID
20S...WITH TEENS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

A LARGE SFC HIGH WILL BE FOUND OVER THE OHIO VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT
WHILE IMPRESSIVE H5 RIDGING WILL WORK ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS WILL BRING FAIR COLD WEATHER TO THE REGION.

THE WARM UP WILL BEGIN TUESDAY AS THE SFC HIGH MOVES OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES AND RIDGING ALOFT WILL WORK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
H85 TEMPS WILL MODIFY TO AROUND -6C AND WITH FULL SUNSHINE...SFC TEMPS
WILL CLIMB WELL INTO THE 30S TO NEAR 40.

AS THE RIDGE MOVES EAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...H85 TEMPS WILL
CLIMB TO BETWEEN 4 AND 8C. THIS SHOULD MAKE BOTH DAYS QUITE MILD
WITH HIGHS LIKELY BEING FOUND IN THE 50S...WITH HIGHS NEAR 60 NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE NORMALLY WARMER SPOTS OF THE GENESEE
VALLEY.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
15Z UPDATE...CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. ONLY ADJUSTMENT MADE WAS
TO EXTEND PERIOD OF BKN040 CIGS AT KROC FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS.
OTHERWISE SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...A SWATH OF WIDESPREAD MVFR TO LOW VFR
CIGS...WITH EMBEDDED IFR... WILL LIFT TO VFR AND BREAK UP FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST TODAY AS A DEEPENING SOUTHEASTERLY TO
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVERSPREADS THE REGION.

CONDITIONS WILL THEN QUICKLY DETERIORATE TONIGHT AS A POWERFUL AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING INCREASINGLY WINDY CONDITIONS AND A ROUND OF MVFR SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH WIDESPREAD
STRONG WINDS THEN DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA LATE. AVIATION
INTERESTS SHOULD EXPECT SFC WIND GUSTS TO 50-60 KTS AS THESE STRONG
WINDS DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR...WITH STRONG SFC WINDS GUSTING TO 50-60 KTS.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...IFR/MVFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
EAST OF THE LAKES...OTHERWISE MVFR/VFR WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
TUESDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
RELATIVELY QUIET CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES
TODAY. A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...BRINGING A ROUND OF GALE FORCE
WINDS BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY. AT THIS
POINT...IT APPEARS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PEAK IN THE HIGH END OF
THE GALE FORCE RANGE LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH GUSTS TO
STORM FORCE LIKELY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A RAPID WIND SHIFT FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT
FOLLOWED BY STRONG GALE FORCE WINDS ON LAKE ERIE WILL PRODUCE A
VERY FAVORABLE SETUP FOR A SEICHE ON LAKE ERIE. EXPECT RAPID WATER
RISES TO BEGIN RIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT. THE
WATER LEVEL WILL LIKELY PEAK LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING
WITH AN EXPECTED CREST OF 8-9 FEET ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM. FLOOD
STAGE IS 8 FEET. WITH THIS IN MIND...WE HAVE ISSUED A LAKESHORE
FLOOD WATCH FOR THE LAKE ERIE SHORE.

WE MAY ALSO NEED TO WATCH FOR POTENTIAL WATER RISES IN CHAUMONT
BAY IN JEFFERSON COUNTY AT THE NORTHEAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO ON
SATURDAY. THE OPENING TO THAT BAY IS VERY NARROW...SO A VERY
SPECIFIC WIND DIRECTION IS NEEDED FROM THE SSW TO MAXIMIZE THE
PUSH OF WATER INTO THE BAY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SETUP
THERE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NYZ012-019-020-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ010-019-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ004-
     005-013-014-021.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NYZ001>003-010-011.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EST
         SATURDAY FOR LOZ030.
         GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
         LOZ043>045-063>065.
         GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR LOZ042-
         062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/RSH
AVIATION...JJR/WOOD
MARINE...JJR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

NYZ006>008-031045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-013-014-021-031045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-011-031045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-020-031045-
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK THAT A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-085-031045-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK THAT A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-031045-
NORTHERN ERIE-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-031045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-031045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-031045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-031045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-031045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
531 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF