Alert archive / New York / Heavy Freezing Spray Warnings in 2012

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 11, 2012

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this heavy freezing spray warning at Feb 11, 2012, 11:53 AM EST. It was in force for 22 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2012, 11:53 AM EST (16:53 UTC)
Expired
Feb 12, 2012, 10:00 AM EST
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

197 
WHUS71 KBUF 111653
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1153 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

LOZ043-044-120100-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.120211T1653Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1153 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ042-120100-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.120211T1653Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1153 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-120100-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.120211T1653Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1153 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ062>064-120100-
/O.NEW.KBUF.UP.W.0001.120211T1653Z-120212T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1153 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ045-120100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1153 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-120000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120212T0000Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1153 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
641 
WHUS71 KBUF 112046
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

LOZ043-044-120500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
346 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ042-120500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
346 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-120500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
346 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ062>064-120500-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
346 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ045-120500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
346 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ030-120300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120212T0300Z/
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
346 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
149 
WHUS71 KBUF 120333
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1033 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

LOZ043-044-121145-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1033 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ042-121145-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1033 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-121145-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1033 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ062>064-121100-
/O.CON.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1033 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* FREEZING SPRAY: THE COMBINATION OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING IN THE 
  REGION AND HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ045-121145-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120213T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1033 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
917 
WHUS71 KBUF 120922
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
422 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

LOZ043-044-121730-
/O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120214T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
422 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-121730-
/O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120214T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
422 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>064-121030-
/O.CAN.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
422 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY WARNING. 

$$

LEZ040-041-121730-
/O.EXT.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120214T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
422 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...THE COMBINATION OF COLD AIR IN THE REGION AND
  HIGH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HEAVY
  FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN
BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS
NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE
WARNING AREA.

&&

$$

LOZ045-121730-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120214T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
422 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
497 
WHUS71 KBUF 121434
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

LEZ040-041-122245-
/O.EXP.KBUF.UP.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120212T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120214T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
934 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120214T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
934 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-122245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-120214T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
934 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this heavy freezing spray warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heavy freezing spray warning went out at Feb 11, 10:41 AM EST, 1 hour 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 10:41 AM EST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1041 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY AND USHER IN MUCH COLDER
AIR ALONG WITH SOME SNOW...WHICH WILL BE MOST PERSISTENT ACROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK. ANOTHER PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH
SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW AS WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES. ANY LINGERING
SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES MONDAY MORNING WILL END AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME
LIGHT WET SNOW ON TUESDAY AS TEMPERATURES MODERATE TO A LITTLE ABOVE
AVERAGE AGAIN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
REGIONAL RADARS CONTINUING TO SHOW WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW ACROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK LATE THIS MORNING. BAND OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOWS
ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO IN WAKE OF THE ARCTIC FRONT
WILL CROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS GENERALLY IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE...BUT COULD SEE HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN THE 2 TO 4 INCHES RANGE WHERE UPSLOPE IS MAXIMIZED ACROSS
CHAUTAUQUA/CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO DROP OFF THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON IN THE
STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN. ALL AREAS SHOULD BE IN
THE TEENS BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH WIND CHILL VALUES DROPPING TO
NEAR ZERO.

EXPECT THE SNOW TO TAPER OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST FROM MID
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING...WITH JUST A FEW LINGERING SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND FINGER LAKES
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. THERE MAY ALSO BE A FEW SCATTERED
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS PERSISTING ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER
AND OFF LAKE ONTARIO FROM ROCHESTER TO WAYNE COUNTY...BUT LOW
INVERSION HEIGHTS AND VERY LIMITED MOISTURE WILL PREVENT ANYTHING
NOTABLE.

LATER TONIGHT THAT WILL BEGIN TO CHANGE AS ANOTHER WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH APPROACHES THE LOWER LAKES. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER
WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TO WESTERN NY LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALSO
IMPROVE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR LAKE EFFECT AS LAKE INDUCED
EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISE TO 7-8K FEET. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ALSO BACKS
A LITTLE LATE TONIGHT...WHICH WILL IMPROVE FETCH. WITH THIS IN
MIND...EXPECT LAKE ENHANCED/UPSLOPE SNOW TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ERIE/WYOMING
COUNTIES. ALSO EXPECT SOME LAKE SNOW TO ORGANIZE OVER WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES...AND ALSO LIKELY CLIP PARTS OF MONROE
COUNTY FROM THE LAKESHORE INTO THE EASTERN SUBURBS. WE MAY
EVENTUALLY NEED ADVISORIES IN SOME OF THESE AREAS...BUT GIVEN THIS
WILL BE LATE SECOND AND THIRD PERIOD...WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL THE EVENT
DRAWS A LITTLE CLOSER.

LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE HELD UP SOME BY CLOUD COVER ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA WITH LOW TO MID TEENS. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AT LEAST SOME
CLEAR TIME THIS EVENING AND NO OVER-LAKE TRAJECTORY WILL ALLOW TEMPS
TO DROP BELOW ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT WILL BE ONGOING SUNDAY WITH NORTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS ORIENTED ALONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN A SURFACE LOW OFF THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST WHICH WILL BE
RAPIDLY DEEPENING AS IT LIFTS TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND AND A BROAD
SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NATIONS MID-SECTION.

LAKE BANDS WILL BE LOCATED OFF BOTH LAKES AS 850MB TEMPS WILL BE
RUNNING AROUND -15C. WITH LAKES TEMPS IN THE MID 30S F BUFKIT
PROFILES ARE SHOWING STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH LAKE INDUCED
CAPE VALUES OF 300 TO 400 J/KG. THIS WILL PROVIDE SOME NARROW CORES
OF HEAVIER SNOW NEAR THE CENTER OF THE BANDS. WIND DIRECTIONS OF
280-290 DEGREES WILL FOCUS A LAKE BAND OFF ONTARIO FROM NORTHERN
MONROE COUNTY ACROSS WAYNE COUNTY TOWARD SOUTHERN CAYUGA. THE ERIE
BAND SHOULD BE IMPACTING CHAUTAUQUA/CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTIES. THE NAM12 AND HIGH RESOLUTION 4KM ARW WRF BOTH SHOW THESE
BAND ORIENTATIONS.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 3-5/4-6 INCH RANGE BASED
ON 15:1/20:1 SNOW RATIOS WITHIN SNOW GROWTH ZONE FOR A FEW HOURS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. QPF FROM HPC SHOWS 0.15/0.30 LIQUID. LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. THE WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING A BIT WHICH WILL RESULT IN THE
BANDS SHIFTING NORTH AND SOUTH WHICH WOULD KEEP ANY ONE AREA FROM
PICKING UP WARNING CRITERIA SNOWS.

TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 20S AND WIND
CHILLS IN THE SINGLES AND TEENS. LAKE SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY
NIGHT MAINLY OFF LAKE ONTARIO WITH A POSSIBLE HURON/GEORGIAN BAY
UPSTREAM MOISTURE CONNECTION. ON MONDAY THE ONTARIO BAND WILL BE
SHIFTING NORTHWARD AND TAPERING OFF AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. RIDGES INTO THE FORECAST AREA
LOWERING THE INVERSION AND CUTTING OF INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE.

TEMPS MONDAY WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN SUNDAY...RUNNING IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S AS A SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
00Z MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK AS UPPER FLOW
BECOMES PACIFIC SOURCED. TWO FEATURES TO WATCH ARE A SHORTWAVE THAT
THE GFS MOVES ACROSS THE OH VALLEY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC TUESDAY.
THIS BRINGS A CHANCE OF SOME SNOW AND/OR RAIN BUT WITH SHORTWAVE
LOSING ITS PUNCH LIFT WILL BE LIMITED TO MAINLY JUST SIGNIFICANT
CLOUDINESS AND LIGHT PRECIP.  WEAK UPPER RIDGING WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY ALLOWING FAIR WEATHER THEN ANOTHER CHANCE FOR PRECIP
RETURNS FOR FRIDAY. BEING A WEEK OUT P-TYPE IS UNCERTAIN...WENT WITH
RAIN/SNOW FOR NOW. BOTH 00Z GFS AND ECMWF SHOW TRACKS THAT WOULD
YIELD RAIN. ECMWF WAS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST WITH THE POSSIBLE LOW
THAN GFS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
RADAR SHOWING WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WESTERN NY THIS MORNING
WITH IFR VSBY AND MVFR TO IFR CIGS. EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD IFR VSBY IN LIGHT SNOW ACROSS
WESTERN NY...WITH LIGHTER AND MORE SCATTERED SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL NY.
SNOW HAS RECENTLY ENDED IN THE NORTH COUNTRY INCLUDING KART...AND
EXPECT MVFR CIGS THERE TO GIVE WAY TO VFR THIS AFTERNOON.

THE STEADIER SNOW IN WESTERN NY WILL TAPER OFF LATE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO MVFR AND THEN VFR BY EARLY EVENING.
MORE LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...
AGAIN FOCUSING MAINLY ON WESTERN NY WITH VSBY DROPPING DOWN TO IFR.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...PERIODS OF IFR IN LIGHT SNOW AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW.
MONDAY...MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES
EARLY...THEN MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...VFR/MVFR IN CHC OF SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND INCREASE THIS MORNING ON
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH THE PASSAGE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT.
THIS WILL PRODUCE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH
SHORES OF BOTH LAKES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. ON SUNDAY WINDS WILL
BECOME MORE WNW WITH SOLID SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS RIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY BEFORE WINDS AND WAVES FINALLY DIMINISH MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ019-020.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/TMA
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 5:31 AM EST, 6 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

NYZ019-020-121045-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP EAST OF LAKE ERIE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS BAND AND
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>005-014-121045-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS BAND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-085-121045-
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP EAST OF LAKE ERIE LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS BAND AND
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-121045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY. VERY COLD WIND
CHILLS OF -10 TO -20 ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS BAND
OVER SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-010-011-013-021-121045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-043-062-063-121045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-121045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-121045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ024-121045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
531 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 11, 11:00 AM EST, 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1100 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

NYZ001-002-111715-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
1100 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL...

AS OF 1100 AM...A NARROW BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL
LOCATED ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTY IS SLOWLY
DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS MORNING. THIS BAND AS IT
DROPS ACROSS THE AREA WILL PRODUCE SNOWFALL RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR. FURTHERMORE...THIS BAND WILL ALSO REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO
LESS THEN HALF AT MILE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

DRIVERS ARE URGE TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS IF YOU ARE TRAVELING ACROSS
NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING AND BE PREPARED FOR
CONDITIONS TO RAPIDLY DETERIORATE. EXPECT ROADS TO BECOME QUICKLY
SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLICK...ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO ARRIVE AT
YOUR DESTINATION.
Special weather statement, Feb 11, 11:05 AM EST, 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1105 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

NYZ001-002-111715-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
1105 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2012

...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL...

AS OF 1100 AM...A NARROW BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL
LOCATED ALONG THE SHORELINE OF NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTY IS SLOWLY
DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS MORNING. THIS BAND AS IT
DROPS ACROSS THE AREA WILL PRODUCE SNOWFALL RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER
HOUR. FURTHERMORE...THIS BAND WILL ALSO REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO
LESS THEN HALF A MILE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

DRIVERS ARE URGE TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS IF YOU ARE TRAVELING ACROSS
NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING AND BE PREPARED FOR
CONDITIONS TO RAPIDLY DETERIORATE. EXPECT ROADS TO BECOME QUICKLY
SNOW COVERED AND VERY SLICK...ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO ARRIVE AT
YOUR DESTINATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 3:59 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Monroe, Ontario and 4 more24 hr
Feb 11, 3:59 PM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego17 hr

Nearby

Heavy Freezing Spray Warnings in New York, 2012Every heavy freezing spray warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.