Gale Watch 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

880 
WHUS71 KBUF 161511
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LEZ040-041-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST 
  WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING. 

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-162315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1011 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

984 
WHUS71 KBUF 162059
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LEZ040-041-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING 10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-170500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KNOTS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 35 KNOT GALES TUESDAY EVENING.

* WAVES...2 TO 4 FEET BUILDING TO 10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-170300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-170500-
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
359 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* WINDS...35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

109 
WHUS71 KBUF 170302
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LEZ020-LOZ030-170415-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...


$$

LEZ040-041-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T0600Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-171115-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1002 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

201 
WHUS71 KBUF 170905
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

LOZ045-171715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0019.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-171715-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-120117T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0019.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>044-062>065-171715-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0002.120118T0000Z-120118T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0019.120117T2300Z-120118T1000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 40 KNOTS.

* WAVES...BUILDING TO 11 TO 15 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-171715-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0009.120117T2200Z-120118T1500Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
405 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM
EST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 AM EST MON JAN 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER COLD START TO THE DAY THIS
HOLIDAY MONDAY THOUGH AMPLE SUNSHINE AND A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING
MILDER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION BY AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL
THICKEN...FIRST IN THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON AND LATER TO THE EAST
AS PRECIPITATION REACHES THE REGION LATE AFTERNOON...AND BECOMES
MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. A WINTRY MIX IS LIKELY ACROSS
THE INLAND SOUTHERN TIER...AND FINGER LAKES AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
REGION TONIGHT BEFORE TURNING TO ALL RAIN ON TUESDAY...THEN CHANGING
BACK TO SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT WITH BLUSTERY
WINDS SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A LOOK AT THE SFC MAP THIS MORNING AT 08Z DISPLAYS A BROAD AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE NYS/NEW ENGLAND BORDER. TO THE NORTH A
DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CROSSING ONTARIO PROVINCE TOWARDS
JAMES BAY...WITH A COLD FRONT DRAPED BACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
AND TOWARDS THE ROCKIES. A SFC WAVE IS FORMING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
ON THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES.

IR SATELLITE DISPLAYS MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES...WITH VIRTUALLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES.

SFC OBS THIS MORNING TELL OF ANOTHER COLD START TO THE DAY WITH THE
TRADITIONALLY COLDER NORTH COUNTRY DOWN INTO THE NEGATIVE TEENS WITH
SINGLE DIGITS FOUND ELSEWHERE ACROSS MUCH OF WNY AND CNY.

FOR TODAY...SUNSHINE THIS MORNING WILL SHARPLY FADE FROM WEST TO
EAST AS A MOIST...ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FLOW REACHES WNY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH THICKENING CLOUDS. BEFORE THIS...AMPLE SUNSHINE
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND A BRISK SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING
TEMPERATURES AT THE SFC BACK INTO THE 20S...AND TOWARDS 30 ACROSS
THE NORTHERN NIAGARA FRONTIER BY NOONTIME. ALOFT A 45 TO 50 KNOT
JET AT 1K TO 2K WILL STREAM NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE STRONG HIGH OVER THE EAST COAST AND
LOW PRESSURE NEAR JAMES BAY. THIS LOW LEVEL JET WILL REACH THE
SOUTHERN TIER THIS MORNING AND WITH THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS THAT
WILL DOWNSLOPE OFF THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE...30 TO 35 MPH WINDS WILL
CROSS PERPENDICULAR TO THE NYS THRUWAY THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WILL CONTINUE WITH THE WIND ADVISORY...THOUGH THESE STRONG
DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL BECOME LESS OF A THREAT THROUGH THE PM
HOURS AS THE WINDS VEER TO MORE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY. AS THESE
WINDS DO VEER THE THREAT FOR STRONG SUB ADVISORY WIND GUSTS WILL
SHIFT TO ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE INLAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN
NIAGARA FRONTIER AND TOWARDS THE NORTHERN GENESEE VALLEY...AS WELL
AS ALONG THE EASTERN SHORELINE OF LAKE ONTARIO. ALSO...HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND TOWARDS THE BRISTOL HILLS WILL
HAVE WIND GUSTS WITHIN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE TODAY AS SUNSHINE
SHOULD ALLOW FOR MIXING OF THE LOW LEVEL JET JUST OFF THE SFC.

AS WE HEAD TOWARDS MONDAY AFTERNOON A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION BETWEEN A SFC LOW NEAR JAMES BAY...AND A
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE NOW FOCUSED JUST OFF THE CAROLINA COASTLINE.

MOISTURE ROUNDING THE PERIPHERY OF THIS STRONG SFC HIGH WILL
QUICKLY ADVANCE FROM THE WESTERN GULF NORTHWARD THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE TO THICKEN ACROSS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES MONDAY EVENING. ISENTROPIC LIFT THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY...COMBINED WITH THE THICKEN MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE THE
INCREASING CHCS FOR PRECIPITATION LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON TOWARDS THE
WEST AND THEN MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE
CWA.

SFC TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY RISE THROUGH THE NIGHT...THOUGH CONCERN
IS OVER THE SNOW PACK OF THE INLAND SOUTHERN TIER A BRIEF PERIOD OF
TIME BELOW FREEZING WILL ALLOW FOR SOME FREEZING RAIN/WINTRY MIX ON
THE ONSET. WE WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INLAND
SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES STARTING THIS LATE AFTERNOON AND AS THE
BOUNDARY LAYER AND SFC TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH THE WET BULB
TEMPERATURE RISE ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH THE NIGHT UNDER WAA THE
THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN WILL DIMINISH.

FARTHER NORTH FREEZING RAIN ALONG WITH SLEET/SNOW WILL BE A CONCERN
ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND INTO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.
THE GFS IS A LITTLE COLDER THAN THE NAM WITH THE PUSH OF WARMER AIR
ALOFT...BUT GIVEN THE LACK OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS QUEBEC WILL FAVOR
THE NAM WHICH BRINGS THE NOSE OF ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE
925-850 HPA LAYER TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION
OVERNIGHT. THIS SCENARIO WILL FAVOR MORE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FINGER LAKES...WITH MORE OF A SNOW/SLEET MIX FARTHER TO
THE NORTH. WE WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN
CAYUGA AND THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION STARTING AT 23Z AND
RUNNING THROUGH THE TUESDAY MORNING HORUS. WITH A COLDER THERMAL
PROFILE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AN INCH OR SO OF SNOW IS
LIKELY.

UNDER CONTINUED ISENTROPIC LIFT AND A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER RAIN WILL
CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND
BECOME MORE LIKELY TOWARDS DAWN AND TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE SFC LOW
DEEPENS...AND NEARS THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. PRECIPITATION TYPE
SHOULD BE ALL RAIN BY 12Z...SAVE FOR A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE NORTH
COUNTRY WHERE COLD AIR STILL IN SHELTERED AREAS WILL PROMOTE PATCHY
FREEZING RAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
ANOTHER DEEP STORM SYSTEM WILL PLOW ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AT
THE START OF THIS PERIOD AND THIS WILL SLAM THE BRAKES ON OUR WARM
UP AS TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE BACK TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS. THE
ABRUPT TRANSITION BACK TO WINTER WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY ANOTHER
ROUND OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH RENEWED LAKE SNOWS.

THE MAKINGS OF THE UPCOMING STORM SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND ON WV IMAGERY
EARLY THIS MORNING AS AN IMPRESSIVELY LARGE SHORTWAVE CAN BE SEEN
DIVING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS FEATURE WILL CRUISE OVER
THE ROCKIES DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS BEFORE IT EMERGES OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AT THE START OF THIS SHORT TERM PERIOD. THE VIGOROUS
SHORTWAVE WILL ENERGIZE A DEVELOPING SFC CYCLONE OVER THE MID
WEST...HELPING IT TO DEEPEN SOME 10MB IN 12 HOURS FROM ARND 1000MB
TUESDAY MORNING TO 990MB BY TUESDAY EVENING.

MODERATELY STRONG WARM ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF THIS STRENGTHENING
SFC LOW ON TUESDAY WILL COMBINE WITH THE DYNAMICS FROM A COUPLED H25
JET TO GENERATE DEEP LIFT ACROSS OUR REGION. WHILE THERE MAY BE SOME
LEFTOVER LIGHT MIXED PCPN EAST OF LK ONTARIO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...
WARM ADVECTION AT ALL LEVELS WILL SUPPORT FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RAIN.
QPF AMOUNTS WILL NOT BE IMPRESSIVE THOUGH...AS THE BEST OVERRUNNING
SURFACE (TIGHTEST BAROLCLINIC ZONE) WILL BE TO OUR NORTH. BASIN
AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE UNDER A QUARTER INCH.

THE TRACK OF THE STRENGTHENING SFC LOW WILL BE TO THE WEST AND NORTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA...AND WHILE THIS WILL INITIALLY TRANSLATE INTO
A 'WARM' EVENT FOR THE REGION...IT ALSO MEANS THAT WE WILL
EXPERIENCE ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS. THE LOW WILL MOVE
FROM ABOUT DTW TO YYZ DURING THE COURSE OF TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE
MAKING ITS WAY TO THE KINGSTON AREA TUESDAY EVENING. THIS IS THE
CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORED COURSE TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS FROM LAKE
ERIE TO THE BUF-ROC-ART CORRIDOR...PARTLY DUE TO THE FUNNELLING OF
THE WINDS UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE. THIS WILL ALSO PRODUCE A 3 TO
5 FOOT SEICHE ON LAKE ERIE TUESDAY EVENING WHEN IT WILL BE QUITE
STORMY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THESE LEVELS WOULD NOT REQUIRE ANY
'FLAGS'.

BY TUESDAY EVENING...THE POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL BE CENTERED JUST
NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AND THE STAGE WILL BE SET FOR STRONG WINDS TO
BUFFET THE REGION. STRONG COLD AVECTION AND THE SUGGESTION OF A
STRATOSPHEIRC INTRUSION IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSING STORM WILL
MAXIMIZE THE 40KT LOW LEVEL WINDS...WITH A TIGHT SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND 5MB/HR ISALLOBARIC PRESSURE RISES SUPPORTING SFC WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED...
PARTICULARLY ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE/IAG FRONTIER TO ROC.

ALONG WITH THE STRONG WINDS...THE PASSAGE OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL USHER IN THE NEXT BLAST OF WINTRY TEMPERATURES AS MERCURY
READINGS WILL TUMBLE OUT OF THE 40S TUESDAY EVENING INTO THE TEENS
AND 20S OVERNIGHT. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME ICY SURFACES AS OUR PCPN
WILL QUICKLY CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW...AND THEN TO LAKE DRIVEN
SNOW. ALL AREAS SHOULD PICK UP AT LEAST AN INCH OR TWO OF WIND
DRIVEN SYNOPTIC SNOW EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE SNOW BECOMING
CONCENTRATED SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES AFTER MIDNIGHT AS H85 TEMPS OF
-12 TO -16C WILL ONCE AGAIN START UP THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW MACHINE.
AS STATED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...WILL INCLUDE THE MENTION OF
BLOWING SNOW AS WELL. AS A RESULT OF THIS HIGH PROBABILITY
SCENARIO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THE
REGION WITH POSSIBLE LAKE EFFECT HEADLINES FOR THE SNOWBELTS
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

ON WEDNESDAY...THE STILL INTENSIFYING STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY WHILE A FAST MOVING BUT
NARROW RIDGE WILL TRAVERSE THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WHILE THIS WILL
ENCOURAGE LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...H85 TEMPS
OF -17C AND FAVORABLY HIGH A CAP OF ABOUT 10K FT WILL KEEP PROMOTE
MORE LAKE SNOW SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES. IN FACT...WILL BE RAISING
OUR POPS FOR THESE AREAS BY AT LEAST 10 POINTS. OTHERWISE...WE CAN
EXPECT A PARTLY SUNNY AND COLD DAY WITH DIMINISHING WINDS.

AS THE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS OUR REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE ONSET OF
WARM ADVECTION WILL LOWER AN INCREASINGLY STRONGER CAP...WHICH IN
TURN WILL WEAKEN THE LAKE SNOWS. THIS WEAKENING ACTIVITY OFF BOTH
LAKES WILL LIFT NORTH DURING THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT...POTENTIALLY
BRINGING A COATING TO AN INCH OR SO OF FLUFF TO THE BUF/ART METRO
AREAS.

ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT
LAKES ON THURSDAY. FOR WHAT ITS WORTH...WILL ACCEPT THE TRACK
OFFERED UP BY THE ECMWF AND SREF AS THE GFS AGAIN LOOKS LIKE THE
OUTLIER IN ITS MORE SOUTHERN TRACK. THE WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE WILL PRODUCE PLENTY OF CLOUDS ACROSS OUR REGION WITH SOME
SNOW SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY.

AS THIS NEXT STORM SYSTEM RACES ACROSS EASTERN ONTARIO TO QUEBEC
THURSDAY NIGHT...ITS AFFILIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS OUR
FORECAST AREA TO USHER IN THE NEXT ROUND OF VERY COLD AIR. THIS WILL
PROUCE MORE SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE REGION WITH SHORT LIVED LAKE SNOWS
ANTICIPATED ONCE AGAIN FOR THE SNOWBELTS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FOR FRIDAY HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA POKES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES WITH A FRESH ARCTIC AIRMASS CROSSING THE LAKE
WATERS. THE 12Z GFS IS COLDER THAN THE 12Z ECMWF WITH TEMPERATURES
AT 850 HPA CLOSE TO -15 TO -20C ACROSS THE REGION...WHILE THE ECMWF
IS SEVERAL DEGREES COLDER. WILL LOWER TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE
THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT BY SEVERAL DEGREES FROM
CONTINUITY...WHILE MAINTAINING THE LAKE SNOW CHCS DOWNWIND OF THE
LAKES ON ANOTHER NORTHWEST FLOW. TEMPERATURES FOR LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT
ARE STILL UNCERTAIN ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WHERE
OVERNIGHT LOWS MAY BE MUCH LOWER THAN CURRENT FORECAST.

THE WEEKEND BEGINS WITH SNOW/RAIN CHCS AS ANOTHER SFC LOW FORMS ON
THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES IN SOUTHERN CANADA AND TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN CANADIAN PROVINCES. WITH THIS LOW TRACKING FURTHER TO
THE NORTH THAN THE THURSDAY LOW...INCREASING CHCS FOR RAIN TO MIX IN
WITH THIS SYSTEM....ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY AS SFC TEMPERATURES MAY
RISE INTO THE 40S...TO NEAR 50 AS A STRONG...MILD SOUTHERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS. TEMPERATURES OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL SUPPORT JUST PLAIN
RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY...THOUGH WILL KEEP POPS LOW
CHC FOR THIS FAR OUT WITH MODEL UNCERTAINTY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NEW YORK AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS THE HIGH SHIFTS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE HIGH AND A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE TO THE WEST WHILE WARM ADVECTION ALOFT WILL LEAD TO
INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET
WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND THIS COUPLED WITH
A LOW LEVEL INVERSION WILL LEAD TO LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR DEVELOPING
FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE JET MOVES OVERHEAD MONDAY. EXPECT GUSTIER
WINDS TO DEVELOP LATER DURING MONDAY AS THE TEMPERATURES WARM
SUFFICIENTLY TO MIX STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO THE SURFACE. RAIN WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD...
ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST. THE ONSET OF PRECIP OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY
WILL ARRIVE AS A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW...THEN
TRANSITIONING TO RAIN SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT /05Z/.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
MONDAY NIGHT...MVFR WITH RAIN LIKELY...FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE NORTH
COUNTRY.
TUESDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW LIKELY.

&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT WINDS AT 8Z THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE IN
SPEED THROUGH THE DAY AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A SFC
HIGH ADVANCING TOWARDS THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
NEAR JAMES BAY. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT ON LAKE ERIE
TOWARDS DAWN AND LAKE ONTARIO BY MONDAY MORNING. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE LAKES TUESDAY BRINGING A BRIEF RESPITE FROM
WINDS/WAVES BEFORE A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT BRINGING FRESH NORTHWESTERLIES WITH MORE SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS AND WILL
ISSUE A GALE WATCH FOR LAKE ERIE TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ007-008.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ005-006.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST THIS EVENING
     FOR NYZ019-085.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ020-021.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS
         EVENING FOR LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
         FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
         EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LOZ042>044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY FOR LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...THOMAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

NYZ001>003-010-011-162115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS
A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM LAKE ERIE TO THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY. WINDS COULD GUST OVER 45 MPH DURING THIS PERIOD.
THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PLUMMETING
TEMPERATURES...RAIN QUICKLY CHANGING TO SNOW AND THE ONSET OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-020-162115-
WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS
A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM LAKE ERIE TO THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY. WINDS COULD GUST OVER 40 MPH DURING THIS
PERIOD...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE STRONG WINDS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...RAIN QUICKLY
CHANGING TO SNOW AND THE ONSET OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-085-162115-
CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY AGAIN LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT AS A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM LAKE ERIE TO THE
ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. WINDS COULD GUST OVER 45 MPH DURING THIS
PERIOD...ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE ERIE AND ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF SOUTHERN ERIE AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...RAIN QUICKLY CHANGING TO SNOW AND
THE ONSET OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-014-021-162115-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
AS A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM LAKE ERIE TO THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY. WINDS COULD GUST OVER 40 MPH DURING THIS
PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE STRONG WINDS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...RAIN QUICKLY
CHANGING TO SNOW...AND THE ONSET OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-162115-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM LAKE ERIE TO
THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. WINDS COULD GUST OVER 40 MPH DURING THIS
PERIOD. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PLUMMETING
TEMPERATURES...RAIN QUICKLY CHANGING TO SNOW AND THE ONSET OF
ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-162115-
OSWEGO-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE
WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE MID WEST. THE GREATEST THREAT
FOR ICING WILL BE FOUND OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY...AND
IN PARTICULAR ACROSS THE TUG HILL.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
FROM LAKE ERIE TO THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. WINDS COULD GUST OVER 40
MPH DURING THIS PERIOD. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...RAIN QUICKLY CHANGING TO SNOW AND THE
ONSET OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-008-162115-
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

FREEZING RAIN WILL BE LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY AS
LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE MID WEST. WHILE
THIS WOULD LEAD TO TREACHEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS...ICE AMOUNTS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO EXCEED A TENTH OF AN INCH. THIS SHOULD LIMIT
THE THREAT OF POWER OUTAGES.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
FROM LAKE ERIE TO THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY. WINDS COULD GUST OVER 40
MPH DURING THIS PERIOD. THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES...RAIN QUICKLY CHANGING TO SNOW AND THE ONSET
OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY COULD BE SIGNIFICANT OVER THE TUG HILL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-162115-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
403 PM EST SUN JAN 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

RSH/THOMAS