Alert archive / New York / Gale Watches in 2012

Gale Watch 12, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 30, 2012

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale watch at Dec 30, 2012, 3:41 AM EST. It took effect at Dec 31, 2012, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 30, 2012, 3:41 AM EST (08:41 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 31, 2012, 1:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 31, 2012, 3:49 AM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

834 
WHUS71 KBUF 300841
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
341 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

LOZ042-301645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
341 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-301645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
341 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-301645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
341 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-301645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.121230T2200Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
341 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-301645-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0012.121231T1800Z-130101T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
341 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

RSH
5 follow-up statements
643 
WHUS71 KBUF 301158
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
658 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

LOZ045-302000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.121230T1158Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
658 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST AS HIGH AS 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-302000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
658 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST AS HIGH AS 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-302000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
658 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST AS HIGH A 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-302000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
658 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST AS HIGH AS 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-302000-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.121231T1800Z-130101T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
658 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST AS HIGH AS 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...AS HIGH AS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

JJR/RSH
958 
WHUS71 KBUF 301446
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
946 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

LOZ042-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
946 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
946 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
946 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
946 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-302300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.121231T1800Z-130101T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
946 AM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST GALES TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
767 
WHUS71 KBUF 302045
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

LEZ020-310445-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.121231T1100Z-130101T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-310445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-310445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-310445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-310445-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062-310445-
/O.EXA.KBUF.GL.A.0012.121231T1800Z-130101T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-310445-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.121231T1800Z-130101T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
345 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
760 
WHUS71 KBUF 310300
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1000 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

LOZ042-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1000 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
1000 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1000 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1000 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.121231T1100Z-130101T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1000 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO
6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-311100-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0012.121231T1800Z-130101T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1000 PM EST SUN DEC 30 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...8 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
466 
WHUS71 KBUF 310849
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 AM EST MON DEC 31 2012

LOZ062>065-311000-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.A.0012.121231T1800Z-130101T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
349 AM EST MON DEC 31 2012

...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WATCH. 

WHILE GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES...WEST WINDS
WILL AVERAGE 30 KNOTS OR LESS.

$$

LOZ042-311700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
349 AM EST MON DEC 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-311700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
349 AM EST MON DEC 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ045-311700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
349 AM EST MON DEC 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-311700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-130101T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
349 AM EST MON DEC 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-311700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0115.121231T1100Z-130101T0300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
349 AM EST MON DEC 31 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RSH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale watch went out at Dec 29, 11:02 PM EST, 4 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 11:02 PM EST, 4 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1102 PM EST SAT DEC 29 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND AREA WIDE OVERNIGHT WITH
WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS BRINGING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKES. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF QUIETER WEATHER BEFORE ANOTHER SERIES OF
SYSTEMS BRINGS A CHANCE OF SNOW BY MONDAY NIGHT WITH A SIGNIFICANT
COOL DOWN BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ALL WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN CANCELED THIS EVENING.

THE STORM SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT THE WIDESPREAD SNOW THAT WE SAW
EARLIER TODAY IS CENTERED JUST OFF CAPE COD WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT ON THE BACK SIDE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO NEW YORK
STATE. THIS HAS BROUGHT NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES WHERE LOCAL RADARS ARE SHOWING LAKE EFFECT SNOW ONGOING
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LAKES.

THE COMBINATION OF THE WEAKLY SHEARED FLOW AND SFC-850 DELTA-T
VALUES IN THE 15-17 DEGREE RANGE HAVE BROUGHT LOOSELY ORGANIZED LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS USUAL UPSLOPE AREAS SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
OF THE LAKES. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTORS WILL BE THE REASONABLY SHORT
FETCH BUT AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON IS OBSERVED ON
CANADIAN RADAR WHICH IS ENHANCING THE ACTIVITY OVER LAKE ERIE TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY. THE LOCAL WRF MODELS ALSO SHOWS THIS
AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT KEEPS THIS TO THE SOUTH OVER ERIE COUNTY
PENNSYLVANIA. A SOLID 2-3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND EVEN SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO OVERNIGHT WITH MORE
MODEST ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH OR SO WHERE LAKE SNOWS REACH
FURTHER INLAND ACROSS THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND TOWARDS THE FINGER
LAKES. THESE AMOUNTS WILL HOLD BELOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA.  TEMPERATURES WILL DIP INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S
AS A SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS ADVECTS INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT.

FOR SUNDAY...LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THROUGH
THE DAY AS SURFACE RIDGING NOSES EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES...THOUGH ANOTHER INCH OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SNOWBELTS
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES IN THE MORNING WITH NEGLIGIBLE AMOUNTS OF A
HALF INCH OR LESS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. EXPECT CLOUDS TO LINGER
THROUGH THE DAY HOWEVER AS LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN ONSHORE AND
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY CHILLY WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SUNDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC STATES WHILE LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTH TOWARD JAMES BAY. THE
WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL ADVECT WARMER
AIR ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER LAKES. 850 MB TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB TO AROUND -4C ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...TO ABOUT -8C
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. AS A RESULT...ANY LINGERING LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AT THE START OF THE NIGHT WILL
STEADILY LIFT NORTH WHILE CONTINUING TO WEAKEN OVER TIME. OFF LAKE
ERIE...EXPECT MOST OF THE LINGERING SNOW OR FLURRIES TO END AROUND
MIDNIGHT...BUT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH
THE NIGHT DUE TO THE COLDER AIR ALOFT.

ON MONDAY...THE SURFACE LOW WILL SLIDE EAST INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC
...WHILE ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACHES LAKE ONTARIO LATE IN
THE DAY. SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO GIVEN CONTINUED MARGINALLY COLD TEMPS ALOFT...WHILE THE REST
OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY INTO THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS.
AFTER THAT...BOTH SYNOPTIC-SCALE MOISTURE AND LARGE-SCALE LIFT
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE BOTH IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT AND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH MID AND UPPER LEVEL JET STREAKS...WHICH COULD LEAD
TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF MORE GENERAL LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS BY THE END OF
THE DAY.

AS THE SURFACE LOW SLIDES EAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES MONDAY
NIGHT...ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS NEW YORK
STATE. THIS WILL LEAD TO MORE SYNOPTIC-SCALE SNOW SHOWERS
AREAWIDE...WHICH MAY BE BRIEFLY ENHANCED AT TIMES DOWNWIND OF THE
LAKES. HOWEVER...A LACK SUFFICIENTLY DEEP MOISTURE AND THE PRESENCE
OF A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPEED SHEAR WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE RESPONSE FROM
THE LAKES.

A WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLDER AIR WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE AREA
TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
WHICH WILL TEND TO DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A WEAK RIDGE
CRESTS OVER LAKE ONTARIO.

ANOTHER LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARE FORECAST TO DROP
SOUTHEAST TOWARD LAKE ONTARIO TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...ANY ONGOING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIFT NORTH TOWARD KBUF AND KART.

IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES...EXPECT READINGS TO MODERATE INTO THE
UPPER 20S/LOWER-MID 30S ON MONDAY. ON TUESDAY BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE THROUGH THE 20S...BUT AREAS EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO TEMPERATURES MAY STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE TEENS.
IT WILL BE QUITE COLD TUESDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
DIP INTO THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHILE THE LOWER
TEENS PREVAIL ACROSS THE REST OF THE CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MID WINTER-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MOST OF
THIS PERIOD AS A SERIES OF POTENT SHORT WAVES REINFORCE THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL BE IN PLACE OVER EASTERN CANADA AND THE
NORTHEAST U.S.

AT THE SURFACE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY. A BURST OF SNOW...WITH SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT...WILL
LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.  A NORTHERLY FLOW OF VERY COLD
AIR WILL SET UP BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS SOME
QUESTION AS TO HOW FAVORABLE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW PARAMETERS WILL
BE. THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS.

ON THURSDAY...THE GFS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE CRESTING RIGHT OVER NEW
YORK STATE...WHILE THE ECMWF PUSHES A WEAK WAVE ACROSS THE LOWER
LAKES. FOR NOW...WILL FOLLOW THE MORE CONSISTENT GFS SOLUTION WHICH
FAVORS THE PLACEMENT OF THE RIDGE. BASED ON THIS...WILL INDICATE A
GENERAL TREND OF DECREASING POPS ON THURSDAY DUE TO SUBSIDENCE AND
DRIER AIR IN THE VICINITY OF THE HIGH.

THE MODELS SHOW SOME INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ON FRIDAY AS A
SOUTHWEST FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES. THE GFS AND ECMWF
SHOW SOME DISCREPANCIES REGARDING THE PLACEMENT OF A SECOND CLIPPER
THAT MAY DROP SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO. THEREFORE...WILL JUST
MAINTAIN LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS EAST AND NORTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES.

THE MAIN WEATHER STORY DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE TRANSITION TO
AN ARCTIC AIRMASS ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF
THE ARCTIC FRONT ON WEDNESDAY...HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY WILL RANGE THROUGH TEENS...WITH JUST SINGLE DIGITS EXPECTED
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
NIGHT ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO TO PLUS SINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE. A SLOW MODERATING TREND IS
FORECAST TO GET UNDERWAY FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AS
A SOUTHWEST FLOW SETS UP AHEAD OF THE NEXT CLIPPER AND ITS
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WIDESPREAD STEADY SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
EVENING AS THE STORM WHICH BROUGHT IT LIFTS NORTH OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE NOW DEVELOPED ALONG WITH
LINGERING MVFR/IFR CIGS IN WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AT LOW LEVELS.
EXPECT GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR BY LATE TONIGHT FOR ALL TAFS.
THE MOST ORGANIZED LAKE SNOW WILL BE FOUND ACROSS CHAUTAUQUA AND
MONROE COUNTIES WHERE KROC IS SEEING THE LOWEST VIS AT 04Z.

MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KJHW WHICH SHOULD STAY MVFR THROUGH
TOMORROW COURTESY OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING INTO WNY BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL IMPROVE
CONDITIONS TO VFR.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH CHANCE OF A FEW SNOW
SHOWERS.
WEDNESDAY...AREAS OF MVFR/IFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST HAS BROUGHT A NORTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING WHICH HAS PROMOTED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW. WINDS AND WAVES HAVE
INCREASED THIS EVENING AS A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS BETWEEN
THE LOW OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING EAST
FROM THE CENTER PART OF THE COUNTY. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WINDS BACK TO WESTERLY AND CONTINUE SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS.
ADVISORIES ISSUED AS OUTLINED BELOW.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY FOR
         LOZ042>044.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST MONDAY
         FOR LOZ045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SMITH
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...TJP
LONG TERM...TJP
AVIATION...SMITH
MARINE...SMITH
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 29, 10:09 PM EST, 5 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1009 PM EST SAT DEC 29 2012

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-310315-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1009 PM EST SAT DEC 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...MOST OF WHICH WILL BE
ON THE LIGHT SIDE. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION SHOULD MAINLY BE LIGHT...BUT
MORE PERSISTENT BANDS MAY BRING LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-310315-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1009 PM EST SAT DEC 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

APFFEL

Nearby

Gale Watches in New York, 2012Every gale watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.