Alert archive / New York / Dense Fog Advisories in 2012
Dense Fog Advisory 1, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this dense fog advisory at Mar 16, 2012, 4:36 PM EDT for 16 counties in New York. It took effect at Mar 16, 2012, 5:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 16, 2012, 4:36 PM EDT (20:36 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 16, 2012, 5:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2012, 10:47 AM EDT
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -99 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 601 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 215 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 229 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
527 WWUS71 KBUF 162036 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 436 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 NYZ010-019-085-170000- /O.NEW.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.120316T2100Z-120317T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 436 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...ERIE AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES. * TIMING...LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SHARP REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY WILL IMPACT TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS CLOSE TO LAKE ERIE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN, AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ TJP
9 follow-up statements
719 WWUS71 KBUF 162341 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 741 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 NYZ019-170045- /O.CAN.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T0000Z/ CHAUTAUQUA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN 741 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE DENSE FOG HAS LIFTED NORTH OF CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NYZ010-085-170400- /O.EXT.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T0400Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 741 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS...ERIE COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ TJP
336 WWUS71 KBUF 162354 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 754 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 NYZ001-170400- /O.EXA.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T0400Z/ NIAGARA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NIAGARA FALLS 754 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS...NIAGARA COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE COUNTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN, AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ010-085-170400- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T0400Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 754 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS...ERIE COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ TJP
640 WWUS71 KBUF 170205 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1005 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 NYZ001-010-085-171015- /O.EXT.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1100Z/ NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1005 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SATURDAY... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF ERIE COUNTY AND NIAGARA COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ TJP
021 WWUS71 KBUF 170519 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 119 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 NYZ002-011-012-019-020-171200- /O.EXB.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1200Z/ ORLEANS-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN... OLEAN 119 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN, AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ006>008-171200- /O.EXB.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 119 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN, AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ001-010-085-171200- /O.EXT.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1200Z/ NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 119 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...ALL OF ERIE COUNTY AND NIAGARA COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$
447 WWUS71 KBUF 170755 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 355 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 NYZ013-014-171200- /O.EXA.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1200Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 355 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES....AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN, AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-171200- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1200Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 355 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES....AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ006>008-171200- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1200Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 355 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES....AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ WOOD/THOMAS
742 WWUS71 KBUF 171109 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 709 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 NYZ021-171500- /O.EXB.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 709 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...ALL OF ALLEGANY COUNTY. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN, AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-171500- /O.EXT.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 709 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE MORNING. * VISIBILITIES....AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ006>008-171500- /O.EXT.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 709 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE MORNING. * VISIBILITIES....AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ013-014-171500- /O.EXT.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA 709 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE MORNING. * VISIBILITIES....AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$
933 WWUS71 KBUF 171244 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 844 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 NYZ003>005-171500- /O.EXA.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 844 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. * LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN AN EIGHTH OF A MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN, AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-171500- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 844 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN AN EIGHTH OF A MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ006>008-171500- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 844 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS OF JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN AN EIGHTH OF A MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ013-014-021-171500- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...WELLSVILLE 844 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN AN EIGHTH OF A MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$
030 WWUS71 KBUF 171354 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 954 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 NYZ006>008-012>014-019>021-085-171500- /O.CAN.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE... WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 954 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. INCREASING SUNSHINE WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE FOG THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NYZ003>005-171500- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 954 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ001-002-010-011-171500- /O.CON.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO... BATAVIA 954 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. * TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SUDDEN REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN DENSE FOG WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION AND SLOW DOWN... AS OBJECTS ON AND NEAR ROADWAYS WILL BE SEEN ONLY AT CLOSE RANGE. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ TJP
418 WWUS71 KBUF 171447 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1047 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 NYZ001>005-010-011-171600- /O.CAN.KBUF.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120317T1500Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 1047 AM EDT SAT MAR 17 2012 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. INCREASING SUNSHINE WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE THE FOG THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this dense fog advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this dense fog advisory went out at Mar 16, 3:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 3:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 317 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...THEN SETTLE OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING EXTRAORDINARILY WARM WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION...WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS FORECAST FOR THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 70S IN MANY LOCATIONS...A BIT COOLER EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE SHORES. IT WILL BE DRY FOR THE MOST PART...OUTSIDE OF A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING...AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL CONTINUE TO EXIT TO THE EAST. LINGERING CLOUDS BEHIND THIS WILL GRADUALLY ERODE...WITH A CLEARING TREND THROUGH SUNSET. CLOUDS WILL LINGER LONGEST SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...WHERE THERE IS MORE MOISTURE AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. PATCHY FOG MAY LINGER THERE AS WELL. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH CALM WINDS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SOME RADIATION FOG...MAINLY IN THE TYPICAL VALLEY AND LOW LYING AREAS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. EXPECT STRATUS OR FOG TO DEVELOP ON LAKE ONTARIO...HOWEVER A WEAK EASTERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY PUSH THIS ON THE NORTH AND WEST SHORES...MORE LIKELY TO IMPACT CANADA. EVEN WITH THE GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...LOWS WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM...IN THE 40S IN MOST SPOTS. WHILE WE DO NOT KEEP RECORDS FOR "NICE"...TOMORROW MAY VERY WELL SET THAT RECORD IF WE DID. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE INTO THE 70S IN MOST LOCATIONS...A BIT COOLER ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE SHORE. ANY LINGERING CLOUDS OR FOG IN THE MORNING SHOULD GIVEWAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BY LATE MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IN ADDITION...WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD...WINDS SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE...WITH AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZES THE MAIN SOURCE OF WINDS. WITH LAKE TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE UPPER 30S...EXPECT NOTABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE SHORE...WHERE HIGHS MAY ONLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WITH THE LIGHT FLOW...THIS WILL PROBABLY ONLY BE WITHIN A FEW MILES OF THE LAKESHORE. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST BREEZES WILL MAINTAIN MILD CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL MAINLY IN THE LOWER 50S ACROSS WESTERN NY AND THE FINGER LAKES REGION...WITH UPPER 40S ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND IN THE NORTH COUNTRY. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE REGION. THIS SHORTWAVE SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH OF A TRIGGER TO FIRE OFF A FEW SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...PARTICULARLY FROM THE FINGER LAKES WEST. EXPECT TO SEE CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A SLIGHTLY TIGHTER THETA-E GRADIENT AS THE UPPER TROUGH PENETRATES THE RIDGE. WILL HAVE HIGHER CHANCE POPS INTO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER EARLY IN THE DAY...LIFTING NORTH AND SPREADING EAST THROUGH THE DAY. COULD SEE SCATTERED MORNING CONVECTION IN THE WEST...A LULL AT MID DAY...THEN REFORMATION OVER THE FINGER LAKES TO CENTRAL NY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ONLY ABOUT A THIRD TO HALF OF SREF MEMBERS SHOWING MEASURABLE PRECIP AND LIKEWISE NAM12 HAS ONLY MID RANGE CHANCE POPS...SO WILL STAY WITH CHANCE POPS FOR NOW. GFS IS RUNNING TOO FAST AND TOO FAR NORTH AND EAST GIVEN THE TRACK OF THE UPPER WAVE AND THE EXPECTED SUBSIDENCE CLOSER TO THE RIDGE AXIS. TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL RUN ABOUT A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN SATURDAY DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER FROM DEVELOPING CONVECTION...STILL VERY WARM FOR MARCH WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO THE MID 70S. LINGERING CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS SUNDAY WITH YET ANOTHER MILD NIGHT ON TAP. WITH SOME LINGERING CLOUD COVER...EXPECT LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT TO REMAIN IN THE MID 50S ACROSS MOST AREAS. THIS WILL LIKELY BREAK THE RECORD FOR WARMEST LOW TEMPERATURES FOR MANY LOCATIONS IN THE FORECAST AREA...WHICH IS 49 DEGREES IN 1919 FOR BUFFALO AND 47 DEGREES FOR ROCHESTER ALSO IN 1919. MONDAY MAY BE A REPEAT OF SUNDAY WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS FOR CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH THE PRECIP SHOULD BE FARTHER EAST AND NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL NY TO THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO COUNTIES WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND WEAK SURFACE LOW EXITING THE REGION TO THE EAST AND THE LARGER SCALE UPPER RIDGE BECOMING RE-ESTABLISHED OVER WESTERN NY. HIGH TEMPS ON MONDAY WILL EDGE UP A COUPLE OF DEGREES WITH WIDESPREAD MID 70S OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TO NEAR 80 DEGREES IN THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES. MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE SIMILARLY MILD...A CONTINUATION OF THE OPPORTUNITY TO BREAK OVERNIGHT WARM LOW TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE BIG STORY IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE THE ONGOING INCREDIBLE WARMTH WHICH SHOWS NO SIGNS OF ABATING MOST OF NEXT WEEK. THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL STAGNATE ACROSS NORTH AMERICA WITH A VERY DEEP AND SLOW MOVING TROUGH IN THE WEST...AND A MASSIVE EASTERN RIDGE WHICH WILL EVOLVE INTO AN OMEGA BLOCK OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER LAKES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. 850MB TEMPS WILL RUN IN THE +10C TO +12C RANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON MOST DAYS...THIS WILL TRANSLATE INTO HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH THE WARMER SPOTS OF THE GENESEE VALLEY LIKELY MAKING A RUN AT 80 ON AT LEAST A FEW DAYS. EXPECT SYNOPTIC FLOW TO BE WEAK ENOUGH ON MOST DAYS TO ALLOW LOCAL LAKE BREEZES TO FORM...KEEPING THE IMMEDIATE LAKESHORES COOLER. AS FAR AS PRECIP CHANCES GO...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AGAIN...WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. WITH MODERATE AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND MODEST INSTABILITY IN PLACE...THERE IS ALWAYS A SMALL CHANCE OF ISOLATED DIURNAL CONVECTION BENEATH THE RIDGE AXIS...BUT VERY WARM MID LEVEL TEMPS AND NO SYNOPTIC FORCING WILL KEEP THIS VERY LIMITED. WITH THIS IN MIND...HAVE JUST CONTINUED THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. 12Z GFS IS SHOWING A LITTLE MORE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE CLOSED/CUTOFF LOW FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE OHIO VALLEY FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. THIS IS SIMILAR TO 00Z ECMWF...FASTER BUT SIMILAR. WILL INTRODUCE CHANCE POPS FOR SHRA/TSRA ON FRIDAY IN CONJUNCTION WITH APPROACH OF THE UPPER LOW. WE MAY SEE THE BREAKDOWN OF THE PRONOUNCED EASTERN UPPER RIDGE AND AFTER THE EFFECTS OF THE REMAINS OF THE CUTOFF LOW CROSSING THE REGION SOMETIME DURING THE END OF THE WEEK...WE MAY SETTLE INTO A MORE ZONAL PATTERN...STILL MILD BUT NOT AS MUCH ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. && .AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...THE MAIN IMPACT TO AVIATION WILL BE LINGERING MOISTURE FROM AN EXITING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. FOR MOST SITES...THERE WILL BE A MVFR CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. CIGS WILL BE LOWEST AND LINGER LONGER FURTHER TO THE EAST...WITH ART LIKELY TO MAINTAIN MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS LONGEST. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT SKIES TO CLEAR OUT THIS EVENING. AFTER THIS...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR RADIATION FOG AS CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS MAY ALLOW FOG TO FORM AT SOME LOCATIONS. FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECT THIS TO BE PATCHY AND FAIRLY LIGHT EXCEPT AT JHW WHERE IT MAY FOG IN FOR A BRIEF PERIOD IN LIFR CONDITIONS. EXPECT STRATUS TO DEVELOP ON LAKE ONTARIO...HOWEVER FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP IT TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF ALL TAF SITES. ANY FOG LINGERING SATURDAY MORNING WILL LIFT...WITH WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE DAY. OUTLOOK... SATURDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR. PATCHY FOG. SUNDAY AND MONDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH CHANCE -TSRA. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...VFR. && .MARINE... QUIET CONDITIONS ON THE LAKES SHOULD CONTINUE WITH THE COLD LAKE WATERS STABILIZING WINDS AND WAVES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WAVES GENERALLY 2 FEET OR LESS WELL INTO NEXT WEEK. && .CLIMATE... ...MARCH OF 2012 MAY TURN OUT TO BE THE WARMEST MARCH ON RECORD... ITS NO SECRET THAT WE HAVE HAD ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS MONTH...WITH MOST OF WESTERN NEW YORK ALREADY RUNNING ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. FOR THE NEXT WEEK...TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. BASED ON TODAYS FORECAST...BOTH BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER WILL HAVE MULTIPLE OPPORTUNITIES TO BREAK RECORD HIGHS DURING THIS PERIOD. WHILE MARCH IS ONLY HALF DONE...IF FORECAST TEMPERATURES TURN OUT CORRECT...THERE WILL BE NEARLY A WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING ABOUT 25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PROJECTING THIS OUT...EVEN IF THE PAST FEW DAYS OF MARCH TURN OUT TO BE NEAR NORMAL...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT THE MONTHLY AVERAGE WILL TURN OUT TO BE BETWEEN 45 AND 48 DEGREES. THE WARMEST MARCH ON RECORD IS 44.5 DEGREES SET IN 1946. SO WHILE ITS A BIT EARLY TO PROCLAIM A RECORD...ITS BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT MARCH OF 2012 WILL BE RECORD SETTING. && .BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NY...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...APFFEL NEAR TERM...APFFEL SHORT TERM...WCH LONG TERM...WCH AVIATION...APFFEL MARINE...APFFEL/WCH CLIMATE...APFFEL
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 16, 12:26 PM EDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1226 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 NYZ001>003-010>013-019>021-085-171630- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 1226 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-171630- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- 1226 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ004>008-014-171630- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-ONTARIO- 1226 PM EDT FRI MAR 16 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 5:07 PM EDT | Marine Dense Fog Advisory | BUF | 3 hr |
Nearby
Dense Fog Advisories in New York, 2012Every dense fog advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.