Small Craft Advisory 52, NWS Brownsville, TX

657 
WHUS74 KBRO 120719
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
119 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...COLD FRONT TO RACE ACROSS COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. BRINGING STRONG NORTH WINDS OF 20
TO 30 KNOTS...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE OPEN GULF
WATERS. SEAS HAVE REMAINED VERY ROUGH DUE TO PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST
WINDS AND THE ABRUPT SWITCH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT CHURN ON THE ALREADY AGITATED GULF WATERS...CONTINUING
TO PRODUCE SEAS ABOVE 10 FEET AT TIMES. WATERS ACROSS THE LAGUNA
MADRE WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT MORE NORTHEASTERLY MONDAY NIGHT...AND REMAIN
NEAR 20 KNOTS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH SEAS REMAINING ROUGH.

GMZ150-155-170-175-121700-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-121112T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.GL.W.0005.121112T1000Z-121112T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.SC.Y.0053.121112T2100Z-121114T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
119 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AFTER THE GALE WARNING
EXPIRES UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY.

* WINDS: WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH 25 TO 30 KNOTS
  WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
  WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST.

* SEAS: SEAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 8 TO 10 FOOT RANGE POSSIBLY
  APPROACHING 12 FEET AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
  SEAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 7 TO 9 FEET RANGE THROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE OCCURRING...OR
FORECAST TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...IN THIS CASE IN
A MATTER OF 4 TO 12 HOURS. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS
REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ130-132-135-121700-
/O.EXT.KBRO.SC.Y.0052.121112T0900Z-121113T0100Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
119 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH
  OCCASIONAL GUST REACHING 35 KNOTS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. WATERS
  ON THE LAGUNA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JGG
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV

885 
WHUS74 KBRO 120932
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
332 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...COLD FRONT TO RACE ACROSS COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT IS PUSHING INTO THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT STRONG NORTH
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS...WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OVER
THE OPEN GULF WATERS ARE EXPECTED. SEAS HAVE REMAINED VERY ROUGH DUE TO
PERSISTENT SOUTHEAST WINDS AND THE ABRUPT SWITCH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT CHURN ON THE ALREADY AGITATED GULF
WATERS...CONTINUING TO PRODUCE SEAS ABOVE 10 FEET AT TIMES. WATERS
ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH THROUGH THE
DAY MONDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT MORE NORTHEASTERLY MONDAY
NIGHT...AND REMAIN NEAR 20 KNOTS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH SEAS
REMAINING ROUGH.

GMZ150-155-170-175-121745-
/O.EXP.KBRO.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-121112T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.GL.W.0005.121112T1000Z-121112T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0053.121112T2100Z-121114T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
332 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM CST TUESDAY.


* WINDS: WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH 25 TO 30 KNOTS 
  WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  TONIGHT WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SHIFT TO THE 
  NORTHEAST. 

* SEAS: SEAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 8 TO 10 FOOT RANGE POSSIBLY 
  APPROACHING 12 FEET AT TIMES MONDAY MORNING AND EARLY 
  AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 7 TO 9 FEET RANGE THROUGH 
  TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE OCCURRING...OR
FORECAST TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...IN THIS CASE
IN A MATTER OF 4 TO 12 HOURS. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE OCCURRING...OR
FORECAST TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...IN THIS CASE
FROM NOW THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ130-132-135-121745-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-121113T0100Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
332 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS
  WITH OCCASIONAL GUST REACHING 35 KNOTS DURING THE DAY MONDAY.
  WATERS ON THE LAGUNA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JGG
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV

351 
WHUS74 KBRO 121720
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1120 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON...

.IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNINGS COLD FRONT...STRONG WINDS OF 20 TO
30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE WITH FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE
OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS. SEAS WILL REMAIN VERY ROUGH WITH SEAS
APPROACHING 13 FEET AT TIMES. WATERS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE WILL BE
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT
MORE NORTHEASTERLY MONDAY NIGHT...AND REMAIN NEAR 20 KNOTS THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH SEAS REMAINING ROUGH.

GMZ150-155-170-175-130130-
/O.CON.KBRO.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121112T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0053.121112T2100Z-121114T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1120 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY. 

* WINDS: WINDS WILL REACH 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS ABOVE 35
  KNOTS. LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 20
  TO 25 KNOTS AND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST.

* SEAS: SEAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 8 TO 10 FOOT RANGE POSSIBLY
  APPROACHING 13 FEET AT TIMES. SEAS WILL REMAIN IN THE 7 TO 9
  FEET RANGE THROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE OCCURRING...OR
FORECAST TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...IN THIS CASE
IN A MATTER OF 4 TO 12 HOURS. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE OCCURRING...OR
FORECAST TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...IN THIS CASE
FROM NOW THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. OPERATING A VESSEL IN
GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED
VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE
PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ130-132-135-130100-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-121113T0100Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
1120 AM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS AND WAVES: WINDS WILL REACH 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL
  GUSTS APPROACHING 35 KNOTS DURING THE DAY. WATERS ON THE LAGUNA WILL
  BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV

897 
WHUS74 KBRO 122126
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
326 PM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...ADVERSE MARINE CONDITIONS LIKELY THE NEXT 72 HOURS...

.STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG 
THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO THE EARLY
MONDAY MORNING PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES 
ARE LIKELY THROUGH THAT TIME PERIOD.

GMZ150-155-170-175-130530-
/O.EXP.KBRO.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-121112T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KBRO.SC.Y.0053.000000T0000Z-121114T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
326 PM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY
FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND FROM 0 TO 60
NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. MEANWHILE...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW
GALE WARNING CRITERIA...AND THE GALE WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AT 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS: NORTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
  THROUGH THE PERIOD.

* WAVES: SEAS OF 9 TO 14 FEET WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 6 TO 9 FEET
  DURING THE PERIOD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ130-132-135-130100-
/O.CON.KBRO.SC.Y.0052.000000T0000Z-121113T0100Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
326 PM CST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS
EVENING FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE. 

* WINDS: NORTH WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
  EARLY EVENING HOURS. 

* BAY CONDITIONS: ROUGH BAY WATERS ARE LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO THE
  STRONG WINDS FROM THE NORTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
...GENERALLY WITH COMBINED SEAS OF 7 FEET OR MORE. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/RGV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
523 PM CST SUN NOV 11 2012

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER
SUNSET...AND BECOME L/V AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH GUSTY NW WINDS
BEGINNING RIGHT AROUND SUNRISE. WINDS OF 15G25KTS WILL DOMINATE
THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE TAILING OFF LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT AND MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS BEFORE QUICKLY DISPERSING BY NOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 207 PM CST SUN NOV 11 2012/

SHORT TERM/TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
ALONG WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM NEAR DEL RIO TO DALLAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH IS LOCATED OVER THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON FROM
LAREDO TO SAN ANTONIO. THE WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DECREASE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT DECREASES AND THE PRE-FRONTAL
BOUNDARY APPROACHES. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE IN THE NORTHERN
AND WESTERN ZONES BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM AND THE MID AND LOWER
VALLEY FROM 3 AM TO 6AM THEN OFFSHORE THE LOWER VALLEY BEFORE 9 AM.
EXPECT NORTH WINDS TO INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES TO FALL 10 TO 15
DEGREES. SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE RATHER QUICKLY IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AS VERY DRY FILTERS INTO THE REGION. LINGER
CLOUDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

FIRE WEATHER...VERY LOW DEW POINTS WILL WORK THEIR WAY INTO DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS MONDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. HUMIDITY LEVELS TO CRASH
EARLY AND COMBINE WITH MODERATELY STRONG NORTH WINDS TO PRODUCE NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN COUNTIES FOR THE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW AND
SLOWLY RETREATING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP A TUG OF WAR
BETWEEN DRIER AIR UPSTREAM AND MOISTER AIR OFFSHORE. WITH THE MAIN
HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER EAST TEXAS BEGINNING TO SHIFT EAST ON
TUESDAY...NORTHWEST GULF MOISTURE WILL BE INFLUENCED BY A WEAK
COASTAL TROUGH. THIS WILL BE JUST ENOUGH TO KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR A COUPLE MORE DAYS AFTER FROPA ON MONDAY.
TUESDAY WILL BE A BIT MORE OF AN OVER RUNNING SITUATION WITH WEST
WINDS ALOFT OVER NORTHEAST WINDS BELOW...AND COULD THUS SEE SOME
SPRINKLES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT HOWEVER...AT WHICH POINT DRIER AIR SEEMS TO
GET THE UPPER HAND...PUTTING THE KIBOSH ON RAIN CHANCES...WHICH FADE
OUT TOWARD MID WEEK. CLOUDIER AND COOLER WEATHER WILL BE ON TAP
OVERALL EARLY ON...WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW TEMPS. HIGHS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 70S...WHILE LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO 50S OR
LOWER 60S. A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH
TEMPS BECOMING ABOVE NORMAL ONCE AGAIN. ALSO...RAIN CHANCES WILL NOT
COMPLETELY DISAPPEAR. MID LEVEL FLOW WILL UNDULATE OVERHEAD WITH
MINOR DISTURBANCES AND...WHEN COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL COASTAL SURFACE
TROUGHING...WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES ALIVE. THUS...20 PERCENT CHANCE
POPS WERE LEFT ALONE FOR SATURDAY AT THE END OF THE LONG TERM.

MARINE...
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...THE STRONG SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT DECREASES THIS EVENING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES CONTINUE
THROUGH 4 PM FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND UNTIL 6 PM FOR THE GULF
WATERS EAST OF PADRE ISLAND. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED IF THE SEAS ARE SLOW TO SUBSIDE THIS EVENING. A BRIEF
LULL IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL
WATERS MONDAY MORNING WITH NORTH WINDS INCREASING RATHER QUICKLY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE ANTICIPATED FOR MONDAY CONTINUING
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL BE
OVER EAST TEXAS TUESDAY MORNING...AND WILL INFLUENCE THE NORTHWEST
GULF. THE CENTER WILL BE UNDER ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW...AND WILL TEND
TO SHIFT EAST...BUT RESIDUAL NORTHEAST WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS WILL
START OUT THE LONG TERM FORECAST. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS
WILL PREVAIL...WITH WAVE HEIGHTS STILL AT OR ABOVE SEVEN FEET. THE
SETTLING PROCESS WILL BE GRADUAL HOWEVER...WITH LOW END ADVISORY OR
SCEC CONDITIONS ON THE GULF LINGERING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND EVEN
WEDNESDAY. MORE REASONABLE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL FINALLY DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MODERATE EAST WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL RETURN
ON THURSDAY. ISOLATED GULF SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
A FEW MAY DRIFT NORTH ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR TXZ248-249-252.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ150-155-
     170-175.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

64

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
749 PM CST SUN NOV 11 2012

TXZ248>257-130200-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
749 PM CST SUN NOV 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA JIM HOGG AND STARR
COUNTIES MONDAY MID MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON.

RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG AREA BEACHES WILL BE HIGH MONDAY AND
REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-130200-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
749 PM CST SUN NOV 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF WATERS TONIGHT
FOR SEAS 7 FEET AND HIGHER. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
COASTAL WATERS REGIONS LATE OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS SWITCHING TO
THE NORTH AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND
OFFSHORE WATERS MONDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. SOME GUSTS COULD
APPROACH GALE FORCE OFFSHORE MONDAY MORNING.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.