Gale Watch 6, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

233 
WHUS71 KBOX 240525
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1225 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

ANZ235-237-241330-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120225T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
1225 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SEAS WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET WITH EAST TO
  SOUTHEAST GUSTS OF 25 KTS POSSIBLE TODAY. WEST WINDS 20 TO 30
  KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY WITH
  SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-241330-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120225T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1225 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SEAS WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET WITH EAST TO
  SOUTHEAST GUSTS OF 25 KTS POSSIBLE TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35
  KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY WITH
  SEAS 9 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-241330-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120225T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1225 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SEAS WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET WITH EAST TO
  SOUTHEAST GUSTS OF 25 KTS POSSIBLE TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY WITH SEAS
  9 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-241330-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120225T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1225 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SEAS WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET WITH EAST TO
  SOUTHEAST GUSTS OF 25 KTS POSSIBLE TODAY. WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY WITH SEAS
  7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ230>234-236-251-241330-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-NARRAGANSETT BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1225 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SEAS WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET WITH EAST TO
  SOUTHEAST GUSTS OF 25 KTS POSSIBLE TODAY. WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO SATURDAY WITH SEAS
  3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

617 
WHUS71 KBOX 240933
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
433 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

ANZ254>256-241745-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120224T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0001.120224T2300Z-120225T2300Z/
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
433 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE GALE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>234-241745-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120224T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0001.120224T2300Z-120226T1100Z/
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
433 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. A
STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WATCH HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-241745-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120224T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0001.120224T2300Z-120226T1100Z/
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
433 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GALE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.
  SEAS 6 TO 11 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN.  IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-241745-
/O.UPG.KBOX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0010.120224T2300Z-120226T1100Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
433 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT.
  SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ251-241745-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0010.120224T2300Z-120226T1100Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
433 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-236-241745-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0006.120225T0400Z-120225T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0010.120224T2300Z-120226T1100Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
433 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
SUNDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.
  WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
118 PM EST THU FEB 23 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION SHUNTING MOST OF THE
DISTURBED WEATHER OUT OF OUR REGION BY MIDDAY. A SECOND LOW PRESSURE
WILL BRING SNOW CHANGING OVER TO RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THIS STORM EXITS. HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS DRY
CONDITIONS MUCH OF THE EARLY WEEK. A COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

GUSTY CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE CWA AS SHORTWAVE MOVES OFFSHORE. A CU
FIELD HAS STARTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION AND WITH IT SOME
SHOWERS. GOOD AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY ACROSS THE SOUTH
SHORE...HOWEVER BELIEVE CONDITIONS ARE TO MINIMAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS BUT CANNOT RULE IT OUT AT THIS TIME. HAVE RECEIVED
SOME REPORTS OF VERY SMALL HAIL IN HIGHER STORMS THANKS TO LOW
FREEZING LEVELS. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA AND HAVE UPDATED GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR
THIS. MAIN BULK OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND HAVE TWEAKED GRIDS
TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TRENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

A CHALLENGING SYSTEM. IN BREVITY...A NEG TILTED TROF AND ATTENDANT
SFC LOW WILL SLIDE NEWD OUT OF THE MID-MS VLY INTO THE ERN GRT LKS
RGN...IMPACTING THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT FRIDAY. DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND
ENHANCED ASCENT THRU THE ATMOS COLUMN /NOTABLY WITHIN BETTER
SNOW-GROWTH RGNS ALOFT/ WILL PROMOTE AN OVERRUNNING SITUATION OF THE
WARM/MOIST CONVEYOR BELT NWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND ALONG AN E TO W
ORIENTED SFC WARM FRNT.

NOW FOR THE NITTY GRITTY. BLOCKING ACROSS THE E ATLANTIC LENDS ME TO
BELIEVE A SLOWER SOLN IS WARRANTED AS STORMS WILL BOTTLE-NECK ACROSS
THE RGN. IN EVALUATING LLVL TEMP PROFILES...THE PAST FEW DAYS HAVE
BEEN VERY WARM AND ABOVE AVG FOR THIS TIME OF YR. AM NOT CONFIDENT
THAT A COLD SOLN IS TO BE EXPECTED...IT HAS BEEN A MILD WINTER. THAT
BEING SAID...AM NOT IN FAVOR OF LLVL PROFILES ADVERTISED BY THE NAM.
HAVE LEANED MORESO TOWARDS ECMWF/CANADIAN SOLNS WITH WARMER AIR AT
H925-85 PUSHING NWD INTO THE INTERIOR MORE EFFECTIVELY.

THE BIGGEST FOCUS HAS BEEN ON SFC TEMPS AND ANTICIPATED PRECIP
AMNTS. FROM THE DISCUSSION ABOVE...THE BETTER PERIOD OF SNOW
CHANGING OVER TO A WINTRY MIX BEFORE BECOMING PLAIN RAIN APPEARS TO
BE SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY INTO THE MORNING COMMUTE. MOST
LOCALES SHOULD CHANGE OVER COMPLETELY TO RAIN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
S NH WHICH MAY REMAIN A WINTRY MIX BY MIDDAY INTO THE EARLY AFTN.
FIRST GUESS SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS EVENT PUT ROUGHLY 1 TO 3 INCHES
FOR S NH AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF N AND W MA. THIS IS LIKELY TO CHANGE
AS FCST SOLNS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT. WHILE SNOW IS EXPECTED
ALONG AND N OF THE CT/RI-MA BORDER AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COASTLINES AND ACROSS THE INTERIOR...AFOREMENTIONED AREAS OF ACCUM
HAVE THE BETTER CHC OF LONGER DURATION WHILE ALL OTHER AREAS WILL
SEE JUST A QUICK BOUT OF SNOW BEFORE CHANGING OVER RATHER QUICKLY.

AS FOR TEMPS...HAVE TO REALLY EVALUATE SFC DEWPOINTS FROM THE
SUBSEQUENT PRECEDING RIDGE. LIKELY DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS WILL BE
LARGE WITH ONSET. FIGURING EVAPORATIVE COOLING...HAVE UTILIZED
DEWPOINTS ALONG WITH ANTICIPATED SFC TEMPS TO FACTOR WETBULB TEMPS.
A 2:1 T/TD BLEND SUFFICED WELL IN GETTING AN INITIAL HANDLE ON
EXPECTED SFC TEMPS. LOOKING AT UPR 20S FOR S NH WITH LOW TO MID 30S
FOR LOWS N OF THE CT/RI-MA BORDER...WITH UPR 30S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
SHORES AS ELY WINDS WILL ENHANCE WITH THE APPROACHING SYS...TURNING
SLY AS THE STORM LIFTS THRU NEW ENGLAND...HIGH TEMPS ON FRIDAY WARM
AROUND THE MID 40S...WITH UPR 30S FOR S NH AND N/W MA. COULD SEE
SOME BLUSTERY SLY WINDS AS THE STORM DEEPENS WITH ITS EVENTUAL EXIT.

AT THIS PRESENT TIME THE EVENT APPEARS MARGINAL AND STILL CLOAKED IN
A FAIR AMNT OF UNCERTAINTY. WILL FORGO ANY ISSUANCE OF SHORT-FUSED
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS AND FOCUS ON HITTING THE HAZARDS IN THE HWO.
A FIRST-GUESS OF SNOW ACCUMS DOES SHOW LIGHT ACCUMS /AS MENTIONED
ABOVE/ ACROSS S NH INTO N/W MA. BUT ADVISORY LEVEL SNOW ACCUMS MAY
REMAIN BELOW THE 3 INCH CRITERIA FOR MA...AND BELOW THE 4 INCH
CRITERIA FOR S NH.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY A
SLIGHT WARMUP EARLY NEXT WEEK
* A LOW PRESSURE PASSES BY TO OUR NORTH EARLY NEXT WEEK
* ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SHOULD ARRIVE DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
WITH WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE

MODEL PREFERENCES...
TWO MAIN MODEL CAMPS WITH THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST.  NCEP MODELS
ARE FASTER TO PUSH A LOW PRESSURE OUT TO SEA AND INITIATE SECONDARY
CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE GULF OF MAINE.  INTERNATIONAL MODELS ARE
SLOWER AND MAINTAIN AN OPEN SURFACE TROUGH.  DO NOT YET SEE A POTENT
ENOUGH SHORTWAVE UPSTREAM IN THE SATELLITE DATA WHICH WOULD INCREASE
CONFIDENCE IN THE NCEP MODELS WITH THE SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS.  AS
SUCH..FAVORED THE INTERNATIONAL CONSENSUS SOLUTION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.  BOTH THE NCEP AND INTERNATIONAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH MOST OF THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.  MORE SIGNIFICANT TIMING DIFFERENCES DEVELOP WITH A MORE
SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE WHICH COULD IMPACT OUR REGION DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  AT THIS TIME...THINK A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE WILL PROVIDE A REASONABLE FORECAST.

FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...
A LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE
MARITIMES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.  THE TIMING IS STILL A LITTLE
IN DOUBT.  DESPITE THE LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFFSHORE...STILL
EXPECTING SCATTERED SHOWERS DURING FRIDAY EVENING WITH STRONG
CYCLONIC CURVATURE PERSISTING.  LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD STILL BE
ABOVE NORMAL DURING THIS PERIOD.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST.  MORE
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES RETURN TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  THE COLDEST
NIGHT LOOKS TO BE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE CORE OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE
DIRECTLY OVER OUR REGION.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
EXPECTING A LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  THIS WILL PLACE OUR REGION IN THE WARM SECTOR
OF THIS STORM.  DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATE WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE...WE COULD SEE A MIX OF SNOW AND/OR
RAIN SHOWERS.

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY MOVE THROUGH OUR
REGION.

WEDNESDAY...
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SHOULD APPROACH FROM THE WEST.  THE EXACT
TIMING IS UNCERTAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
  LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT
  MODERATE...30 PERCENT TO 60 PERCENT
  HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT

BEFORE 00Z...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF THROUGH 00Z. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO
DOMINATE. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING GOOD CU FIELD WHICH MAY HAVE
VIRGA ASSOCIATED WITH IT BUT OTHERWISE ALL TERMINALS SHOULD BE
DRY. ALTHOUGH...SOME MVFR CIGS WILL STREAM ACROSS THE NH SITES OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE
ESP AFTER 09Z. EXPECT MIX OF RAIN/SNOW SOUTH OF THE TURNPIKE
WHILE NORTHWARD WILL BE ALL SNOW FOR MOST OF THE MORNING. HIGH
CONFIDENCE THAT TAFS WILL DETERIORATE AT LEAST TO MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS...LOW CONFIDENCE ON TIMING. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY
IMPROVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

KBOS TERMINAL...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN FIRST 6 HRS OF TAF. EXPECT WESTERLY WINDS
TO GUSTS NEAR 25KTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WHILE A FEW MVFR CIGS
LINGER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. DEVELOPING CU FIELD MAY
STREAM ACROSS BUT SHLD DISSIPATE BY 00Z. MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON TAF
AFTER 00Z AS MIX OF RAIN/SNOW MOVES INTO THE AREA. LOW CONFIDENCE
ON TIMING OF SWITCHOVER BACK TO RAIN. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE
TO MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS BY FRIDAY MORNING.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

FRIDAY NIGHT...
MODERATE CONFIDENCE. GUSTY WEST WINDS WITH A LOW POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS
30-40 KNOTS.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY-MONDAY...
MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR.  POTENTIAL WEST WIND GUSTS 30-40
KNOTS SATURDAY...WITH WINDS DIMINISHING LATE IN THE DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...
ANTICIPATE WINDS TO SHIFT OUT OF THE W THRU THE DAY AND GUST
AROUND 25 KTS FOR ALL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES OUT
ACCORDINGLY. SHOULD SEE WAVES IN EXCESS OF 5 FEET ACROSS THE OPEN
WATERS. SOME INSTABILITY ACROSS THE WATERS MAY YIELD TO A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OUTER WATERS...LOW CONFIDENCE HOWEVER.

TONIGHT...
WINDS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE WATERS AS HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO THE
RGN. BUT EXPECT WAVES TO STILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 5 FEET FOR THE
OPEN WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES EXTENDED ACCORDINGLY. WILL
SEE SEAS BEGIN TO BUILD AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY IN RESPONSE
TO A BUILDING SYSTEM THRU THE ERN GRT LKS...ELY FLOW TO INCREASE
ALONG WITH WAVE HEIGHTS.

FRIDAY...
STRONG STORM SYSTEM POISED TO LIFT THRU NEW ENGLAND. ELY FLOW TO
REVERT SWLY WITH TIME AND INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEPENING
SYS. LIKELY TO SEE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 KTS WITH BUILDING
SEAS UP TO 10 FT. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF GALE FORCE WIND
GUSTS LATE IN THE PD.

OUTLOOK...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

GUST POTENTIAL WILL BE AS HIGH AS 45 KNOTS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY AS COLDER AIR MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS BEHIND A DEPARTING
LOW PRESSURE. GALE WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS EVENT. WINDS
DIMINISH SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS A HIGH PRESSURE BUILD OVER
THE WATERS.  WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA MONDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
FEBRUARY OF 2012 IS SHAPING UP TO BE ANOTHER MONTH WITH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  IN FACT...FROM JULY
2011 ONWARD EVERY MONTH HAS AVERAGED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AT
ALL 4 MAJOR CLIMATE SITES.

FEBRUARY MONTHLY AVERAGE AND DEPARTURES THROUGH THE 21TH:

BOSTON - 36.3 DEGREES WHICH IS +5.2 ABOVE NORMAL: TIED FOR 5TH

TOP 5 WARMEST FEBRUARIES IN BOSTON SINCE 1872
1) 38.0 DEGREES IN 1925
2) 37.6 DEGREES IN 1984
3) 37.3 DEGREES IN 1976
4) 36.4 DEGREES IN 1954 AND 1981
5) 36.3 DEGREES IN 2002

PROVIDENCE - 35.2 DEGREES WHICH IS +3.9 ABOVE NORMAL

TOP 5 WARMEST FEBRUARIES IN PROVIDENCE SINCE 1905: NOT IN TOP 5
1) 37.4 DEGREES IN 1981
2) 37.1 DEGREES IN 1984
3) 37.0 DEGREES IN 1998
4) 36.5 DEGREES IN 1997
5) 36.3 DEGREES IN 1949

WINDSOR LOCKS - 35.4 DEGREES WHICH IS +6.4 ABOVE NORMAL: 3RD SO FAR

TOP 5 WARMEST FEBRUARIES IN WINDSOR LOCKS SINCE 1905
1) 36.2 DEGREES IN 1954 AND 1998
2) 35.6 DEGREES IN 1925
3) 35.3 DEGREES IN 1981
4) 34.8 DEGREES IN 1976
5) 34.7 DEGREES IN 1997

WORCESTER - 32.2 DEGREES WHICH IS +5.9 ABOVE NORMAL

TOP 5 WARMEST FEBRUARIES IN WORCESTER SINCE 1892: NOT IN TOP 5
1) 34.0 DEGREES IN 1984
2) 33.4 DEGREES IN 1925
3) 32.9 DEGREES IN 1998
4) 32.8 DEGREES IN 1981
5) 32.4 DEGREES IN 1954

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ230>234-236-251.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ235-237-250-
     254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...BELK/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...BELK/SIPPRELL/DUNTEN
SHORT TERM...SIPPRELL
LONG TERM...BELK
AVIATION...BELK/SIPPRELL/DUNTEN
MARINE...BELK/SIPPRELL
CLIMATE...STAFF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
508 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

MAZ002>004-008-009-026-NHZ011-012-015-241015-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
508 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE PROBABILITY FOR ENOUGH SNOW
ACCUMULATION TO WARRANT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. PLEASE MONITOR LATER FORECASTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-010>024-RIZ001>008-241015-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
508 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...ALL
OF MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT FOR NORTHERN WORCESTER COUNTY AND WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...AND RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-241015-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
508 AM EST THU FEB 23 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THAT WEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO
45 KNOTS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST CHANCE
WOULD BE ACROSS THE WATERS SOUTH OF RHODE ISLAND AND MASSACHUSETTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.