Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Watches in 2012

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

February 1, 201215 counties in Colorado

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO issued this winter storm watch at Feb 1, 2012, 4:09 AM MST for 15 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Feb 2, 2012, 5:00 PM MST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2012, 4:09 AM MST (11:09 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 2, 2012, 5:00 PM MST
Expired
Feb 2, 2012, 5:07 AM MST
In force
Issued by
NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Counties Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2012-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2012-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2804 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

283 
WWUS45 KBOU 011109
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
409 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...MAJOR WINTER STORM DEVELOPING...

.A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA
BY LATE TONIGHT...AND THEN TRACK EAST OR NORTHEAST INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BY SATURDAY. THE STORM WILL BE SLOW MOVING...SO A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THERE ARE STILL
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTIES WITH REGARD TO THE INTENSITY AND EXACT
PATH OF THIS STORM. HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR THAT MUCH OF EASTERN
COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS AND NEBRASKA COULD BE LOOKING AT A
MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. STAY
TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING THIS WINTER STORM.

COZ039>051-011915-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.A.0002.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...
LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...
DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...LITTLETON...
PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...KIOWA...LARKSPUR...SIMLA...
BRIGGSDALE...GROVER...PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...STONEHAM...EATON...
FORT LUPTON...GREELEY...ROGGEN...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...
WIGGINS...BENNETT...BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...
LIMON...MATHESON...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER...
CROOK...MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...
OTIS...JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
409 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
  THURSDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY
  EVENING THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING
  FRIDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE STORM TRACK...SOME LOCATIONS WILL
  LIKELY SEE MORE THAN 1 FOOT OF SNOW.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
  40 MPH EAST OF I-25. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST
  OF DENVER WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF
  NOT IMPOSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

* OTHER IMPACTS...PETS AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE HARSH WINTER
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A PROTECTIVE LOCATION BEFORE THE
  ONSET OF THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL MAY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AND IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND
POSSIBLE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL
CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER THIS WEEKEND. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING
THIS STORM...KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY
CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH/DANKERS
4 follow-up statements
394 
WWUS45 KBOU 011927
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1227 PM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...WINTER STORM ON THE WAY...

.A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA BY
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND THEN TRACK EAST OR NORTHEAST INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY SATURDAY. THE STORM WILL BE SLOW MOVING...SO
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY EVENING
INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THERE ARE STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTIES
WITH REGARD TO THE INTENSITY AND EXACT PATH OF THIS STORM.
HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR THAT OVER EASTERN COLORADO...THE SNOW
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS CREATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING. 
STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS
MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING THIS WINTER STORM.

COZ039>051-020330-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.A.0002.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...
LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...
DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...LITTLETON...
PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...KIOWA...LARKSPUR...SIMLA...
BRIGGSDALE...GROVER...PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...STONEHAM...EATON...
FORT LUPTON...GREELEY...ROGGEN...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...
WIGGINS...BENNETT...BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...
LIMON...MATHESON...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER...
CROOK...MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...
OTIS...JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
1227 PM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO 
  THURSDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY 
  EVENING THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING 
  FRIDAY NIGHT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES 
  WILL BE POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE STORM TRACK...SOME 
  LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY SEE MORE THAN 1 FOOT OF SNOW. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 MPH EAST OF I-25. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST 
  OF DENVER WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF 
  NOT IMPOSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...PETS AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE HARSH WINTER 
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A PROTECTIVE LOCATION BEFORE THE 
  ONSET OF THIS STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL MAY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AND IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND
POSSIBLE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL
CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER THIS WEEKEND. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING
THIS STORM...KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY
CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.

&&

$$
699 
WWUS45 KBOU 012147
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
247 PM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...WINTER STORM ON THE WAY...

.THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO THE FORECAST AREA
STARTING THURSDAY AFTERNOON CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE
STORM WILL BE SLOW MOVING...SO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY NIGHT.
UNCERTAINTIES STILL EXIST WITH REGARD TO THE INTENSITY AND PATH
OF THIS STORM.  HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR THAT OVER EASTERN
COLORADO...THE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PRETTY STRONG WINDS
CREATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING. STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING
THIS WINTER STORM.

COZ039>051-020600-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.A.0002.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...
LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...
DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...LITTLETON...
PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...KIOWA...LARKSPUR...SIMLA...
BRIGGSDALE...GROVER...PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...STONEHAM...EATON...
FORT LUPTON...GREELEY...ROGGEN...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...
WIGGINS...BENNETT...BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...
LIMON...MATHESON...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER...
CROOK...MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...
OTIS...JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
247 PM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY
  EVENING. MODERATE SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY EVENING
  THROUGH INTO FRIDAY EVENING GRADUALLY DECREASING INTO SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE. DEPENDING ON THE STORM TRACK...SOME LOCATIONS COULD
  SEE MORE THAN 12 INCHES OF SNOW. 

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
  40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF COLORADO. BLIZZARD
  CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF DENVER WITH VISIBILITIES
  LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF NOT
  IMPOSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

* OTHER IMPACTS...PETS AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE HARSH WINTER 
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A PROTECTIVE LOCATION BEFORE THE 
  ONSET OF THIS STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL MAY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AND IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND
POSSIBLE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL
CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER THIS WEEKEND. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING
THIS STORM...KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY
CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.

&&

$$
168 
WWUS45 KBOU 020435
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
935 PM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...MAJOR WINTER STORM APPROACHING COLORADO...

.THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO THE FORECAST AREA
STARTING LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. THE STORM WILL BE SLOW MOVING...SO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH MUCH OF FRIDAY
NIGHT. UNCERTAINTIES STILL EXIST WITH REGARD TO THE INTENSITY AND
PATH OF THIS STORM. HOWEVER...IT DOES APPEAR THAT OVER EASTERN
COLORADO THE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS CREATING
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IF THE STORM BECOMES EVEN SLOWER AND
MORE CONSOLIDATED THEN AMOUNTS MAY EVEN BE HIGHER THAN FORECAST. STAY
TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING THIS DANGEROUS WINTER STORM.

COZ039>051-021245-
/O.CON.KBOU.WS.A.0002.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...
LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...
DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...LITTLETON...
PARKER...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...KIOWA...LARKSPUR...SIMLA...
BRIGGSDALE...GROVER...PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...STONEHAM...EATON...
FORT LUPTON...GREELEY...ROGGEN...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...
WIGGINS...BENNETT...BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...
LIMON...MATHESON...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER...
CROOK...MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...
OTIS...JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
935 PM MST WED FEB 1 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY
  EVENING. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY
  NIGHT THROUGH INTO FRIDAY EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY DECREASING
  INTO SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR...WHILE
  LOCATIONS EAST OF INTERSTATE 25 AND STRETCHING ACROSS THE
  NORTHEAST PLAINS COULD SEE FROM 10 TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS OF COLORADO. 
  BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF DENVER WITH 
  VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. 

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF 
  NOT IMPOSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY EVENING. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...PETS AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE HARSH WINTER 
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A PROTECTIVE LOCATION BEFORE THE 
  ONSET OF THIS STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL MAY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AND IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW AND POSSIBLE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL
UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER THIS WEEKEND. ROAD CLOSURES ARE A
POSSIBILITY OVER THE PLAINS. 

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING THIS STORM...KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...A
FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.

&&

$$
882 
WWUS45 KBOU 021207
WSWBOU

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
507 AM MST THU FEB 2 2012

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO AFFECT NORTHERN COLORADO TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE AND PLAINS
OF NORTHEAST COLORADO...

.A WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO THE FORECAST AREA
STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE STORM WILL BE SLOW MOVING...SO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW WILL
OCCUR FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH HEAVY SNOW AT
TIMES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. OVER THE PLAINS OF NORTHEASTERN COLORADO
THE SNOW WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WINDS CREATING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH VERY POOR
VISIBILITIES.

COZ041-044>051-022015-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0002.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.BZ.W.0002.120203T0600Z-120204T0600Z/
ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET-
MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-
SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-
LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CASTLE ROCK...ELBERT...KIOWA...
LARKSPUR...SIMLA...BRUSH...FORT MORGAN...GOODRICH...WIGGINS...
BENNETT...BYERS...DEER TRAIL...LEADER...AGATE...HUGO...LIMON...
MATHESON...FORDER...KARVAL...KUTCH...PUNKIN CENTER...CROOK...
MERINO...STERLING...PEETZ...AKRON...COPE...LAST CHANCE...OTIS...
JULESBURG...OVID...SEDGWICK...AMHERST...HAXTUN...HOLYOKE
507 AM MST THU FEB 2 2012

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM MST
FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY
  DECREASE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 12 TO 24 INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE WITH 8 TO 16 INCHES OVER THE
  NORTHEAST PLAINS.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 AFTER
  MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE ON FRIDAY...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
  BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING EAST OF A GREELEY TO DENVER TO CASTLE
  ROCK LINE WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF
  NOT IMPOSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE
  PALMER DIVIDE AND THE NORTHEAST PLAINS OF COLORADO.

* OTHER IMPACTS...PETS AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE HARSH WINTER 
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A PROTECTIVE LOCATION BEFORE THE 
  ONSET OF THIS STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL WILL BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO EXPECTED BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE
LATER THIS WEEKEND. ROAD CLOSURES ARE A POSSIBILITY OVER THE
PLAINS AND ACROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING THIS STORM...KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...
A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. SUSTAINED WIND AND/OR FREQUENT WIND GUSTS
OF 35 MPH OR HIGHER WILL COMBINE WITH CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE QUARTER
OF A MILE.  TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND IS DISCOURAGED
IN THESE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER
SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.

&&

$$

COZ039-040-042-043-022015-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0002.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0003.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARVADA...BOULDER...GOLDEN...LAKEWOOD...
LONGMONT...AURORA...BRIGHTON...CITY OF DENVER...
DENVER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...HIGHLANDS RANCH...LITTLETON...
PARKER...BRIGGSDALE...GROVER...PAWNEE BUTTES...RAYMER...
STONEHAM...EATON...FORT LUPTON...GREELEY...ROGGEN
507 AM MST THU FEB 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL TONIGHT AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE BY
  SATURDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 18 INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR. CLOSER TO THE
  WYOMING BORDER ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
  35 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILTIES
  AT TIMES ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-25.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF NOT
  IMPOSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* OTHER IMPACTS...PETS AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE HARSH WINTER 
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A PROTECTIVE LOCATION BEFORE THE 
  ONSET OF THIS STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL WILL BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING AND IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
WHICH WILL PRODUCE VERY POOR VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. CONSIDER
DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER THIS WEEKEND.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING THIS STORM...KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...
A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.


&&

$$

COZ038-022015-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0003.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT COLLINS...HEREFORD...LOVELAND...
NUNN
507 AM MST THU FEB 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER
  TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE
  FRIDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHEASTERN LARIMER
  COUNTY.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
  35 MPH WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILTIES
  AT TIMES ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-25.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IF NOT
  IMPOSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* OTHER IMPACTS...PETS AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE HARSH WINTER 
  CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MOVED TO A PROTECTIVE LOCATION BEFORE THE 
  ONSET OF THIS STORM. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL WILL BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS LAE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING AND IS DISCOURAGED DUE TO SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WHICH WILL
PRODUCE VERY POOR VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL
UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER THIS WEEKEND.

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING THIS STORM...KEEP EXTRA FOOD...WATER...
A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO ARRIVE.

&&

$$

COZ035-036-022015-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WS.W.0003.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
LARIMER AND BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-
JEFFERSON AND WEST DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR
CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ESTES PARK...GLENDEVEY...NEDERLAND...
RED FEATHER LAKES...BAILEY...CENTRAL CITY...EVERGREEN...
GEORGETOWN...IDAHO SPRINGS...WESTCREEK
507 AM MST THU FEB 2 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER
  THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN GRADUALLY
  DECREASE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
  POOR AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL AND BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT LATER
  TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
AS ROADS WILL BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP
EXTRA FOOD...WATER...A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY CLOTHING IN YOUR
VEHICLE. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR
HELP TO ARRIVE.

&&

$$

COZ033-034-022015-
/O.NEW.KBOU.WW.Y.0004.120203T0000Z-120204T0600Z/
SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/
GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE
9000 FEET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMERON PASS...
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS...RABBIT EARS RANGE...
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...WILLOW CREEK PASS...
BERTHOUD PASS...BRECKENRIDGE...EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE...
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...EISENHOWER TUNNEL...
INDIAN PEAKS...KENOSHA MOUNTAINS...MOUNT EVANS...
WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS...WINTER PARK
507 AM MST THU FEB 2 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM MST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST FRIDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE DECREASING BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES MAINLY ON EAST FACING
  SLOPES.

* WINDS/VISIBILITY...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. VISIBILITIES WILL BE
  POOR AT TIMES IN AREAS OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL MAY MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH
  FRIDAY EVENING DUE TO POOR VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN AREAS OF
  HEAVIER SNOWFALL.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS ROADS
BECOME SNOWPACKED AND ICY. IF YOU TRAVEL...KEEP EXTRA
FOOD...WATER...A FLASHLIGHT...AND DRY CLOTHING IN YOUR VEHICLE. IF
YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE AND WAIT FOR HELP TO
ARRIVE.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Denver/Boulder, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 1, 3:54 AM MST, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 3:54 AM MST, 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
354 AM MST WED FEB 1 2012

.SHORT TERM...ONE MORE DRY AND MILD DAY CAN BE EXPECTED BEFORE BIG
CHANGES BEGIN TOMORROW. A WEAK SHORT WAVE HAS PASSED ACROSS THE
FRONT RANGE EARLY THIS MORNING LEAVING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...HIGH CLOUDS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM ARE TIMED TO REACH THE FORECAST AREA BY 18Z-19Z.
THICKEST CLOUD FORMATION SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BE ON THE LEE SIDE OF
THE FRONT RANGE WITH MOUNTAIN WAVE ENHANCEMENT. THAT COULD HOLD
TEMPS BACK A COUPLE DEGREES...BUT READINGS WILL STILL BE ABOVE
NORMAL.

BY TONIGHT...LARGE SCALE Q-G LIFT WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF
THE DEVELOPING WINTER STORM. THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO
THE MOUNTAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.LONG TERM...IT LOOKS LIKE A VERY INTERESTING WEATHER PATTERN
SHAPING UP FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THE GENERAL FORECAST IS FOR A
VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE PRESENTLY OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON AND WESTERN
OREGON TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD AND FORM INTO AN UPPER LOW OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. THEN THE UPPER LOW WILL SLOWLY
MOVE EASTWARD AND EJECT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY CONTAINS LARGE VALUES OF
ABSOLUTE VORTICITY...A SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL VORTICITY LOBE AND
STRONG DRYING EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. IT ALSO HAS A 100+
KNOT JET DRIVING IT SOUTHWARD. IT CERTAINLY IS A POTENT LOOKING
FEATURE AT THE PRESENT TIME. AS THE TROUGH DIVES OVER THE GREAT
BASIN...EACH OF THE MODELS KEEP THE UPPER LOW CIRCULATION FAIRLY
BROAD. Q-G DIAGNOSTICS PACKAGE SHOWS A LOT OF RISING MOTION OUT
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING LOW. AT THE SURFACE...A DEVELOPING LOW OVER
NEW MEXICO IS GOING TO BE OPEN ON THE EAST SIDE ALL THE WAY TO THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL BE ABLE TO
ADVECT NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND FEED INTO THE
DEVELOPING STORM. BY THURSDAY NIGHT...MOST OF EASTERN COLORADO
SHOULD BE SEEING PRECIPITATION...POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS RAIN AND
RAPIDLY CHANGING TO SNOW. SNOWFALL WILL THEN INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT
AS THE SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO OCCLUDE AND A BIT OF A TROWAL
DEVELOPS OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL
BE INCREASING WITH WINDS ON THE PLAINS BECOMING GUSTY. BLOWING
SNOW MAY THEN BECOME A PROBLEM AS THE SYSTEM COOLS AND SNOW
CONTINUES FALLING. EACH OF THE FOUR MODELS HAVE THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL IN A DIFFERENT LOCATION...VARYING FROM THE 06Z GFS
BULLSEYE OVER DENVER AND THE I-76 CORRIDOR TO THE ECMWF PLACING
THE HEAVIEST SNOW IN NORTHWEST KANSAS WITH A SECONDARY MAXIMUM
OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE. WITH A HEALTHY DOSE OF UNCERTAINTY...BUT
ALSO A STRONG POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY SNOW OVER NORTHEAST
COLORADO...WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THURSDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO EXTEND THE WATCH
INTO THE FOOTHILLS...BUT UNCERTAINTIES IN THE EVENTUAL STORM TRACK
MAKE ME CAUTIOUS FOR NOW. AS THE UPPER TROUGH HAS MOVED ONSHORE
THIS MORNING...THE NEXT FEW MODEL RUNS SHOULD BENEFIT FROM BETTER
SAMPLING...AND HOPEFULLY THE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS WILL BEGIN TO
NARROW.

OVER THE WEEKEND...THE PATTERN BECOMES EVEN MORE INTERESTING AS
THE UPPER LOW GETS CUT OFF FROM THE NORTHERN JET STREAM AND A REX
BLOCK DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN 2/3 OF THE COUNTRY. THE LEADING
UPPER LOW MAY STALL OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS A SECONDARY
CIRCULATION ROTATES DOWN INTO THE GREAT BASIN. NORTHEAST COLORADO
WILL REMAIN UNDER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE GREAT PLAINS UPPER
LOW...BUT MAY ALSO SEE SOME EFFECTS FROM THE WEAKER WESTERN UPPER
LOW. THIS WOULD KEEP UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...THE REX BLOCK WILL EVENTUALLY
BREAK DOWN...BUT MODELS WILL STRUGGLE WITH FORECASTING THE DEMISE
OF THE BLOCK. THE ECMWF SHOWS A RIDGE OVER NEVADA AND IDAHO WITH
COLORADO UNDER DRIER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. THIS WOULD KEEP COOLER
TEMPERATURES IN PLACE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY BRIEFLY SHIFT TO WEST/
NORTHWEST AT KDEN AND KAPA THIS MORNING AS DOWNSLOPE TRIES TO
WORK OFF THE FRONT RANGE. KBJC SHOULD SEE A FEW WEST/NORTHWEST
GUSTS AROUND 25 KTS. OTHERWISE EXPECT A SIMILAR WIND REGIME TO
YESTERDAY WITH ANTICYLONIC FLOW RESULTING IN SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
BY 18Z-19Z. WINDS WILL THEN TRANSITION TO DRAINAGE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
BY 02Z-05Z.

COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED AROUND MID MORNING THURSDAY...
WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN THE AREA
SOMETIME THURSDAY AFTERNOON. POSSIBLY HEAVY SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED
FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...TAPERING OFF LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 6-10 INCHES POSSIBLE...BUT TRACK
OF STORM COULD CERTAINLY ALTER THESE AMOUNTS HIGHER OR LOWER.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH ALMOST ALL OF NORTHEAST COLORADO FROM THURSDAY
EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...ZONES 39>51.

&&

SHORT TERM...BARJENBRUCH
LONG TERM....DANKERS
AVIATION...BARJENBRUCH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 10:49 AM MST, 17 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1049 AM MST TUE JAN 31 2012

COZ030>051-011300-
JACKSON COUNTY BELOW 9000 FEET-WEST JACKSON AND WEST GRAND
COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-GRAND AND SUMMIT COUNTIES BELOW 9000
FEET-SOUTH AND EAST JACKSON/LARIMER/NORTH AND NORTHEAST GRAND/
NORTHWEST BOULDER COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
GRAND/WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BOULDER/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/
SUMMIT/NORTH AND WEST PARK COUNTIES ABOVE 9000 FEET-LARIMER AND
BOULDER COUNTIES BETWEEN 6000 AND 9000 FEET-JEFFERSON AND WEST
DOUGLAS COUNTIES ABOVE 6000 FEET/GILPIN/CLEAR CREEK/NORTHEAST PARK
COUNTIES BELOW 9000 FEET-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PARK COUNTY-LARIMER
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-BOULDER AND JEFFERSON
COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-NORTH DOUGLAS
COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/
EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-ELBERT/CENTRAL AND EAST DOUGLAS COUNTIES
ABOVE 6000 FEET-NORTHEAST WELD COUNTY-CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD
COUNTY-MORGAN COUNTY-CENTRAL AND EAST ADAMS AND ARAPAHOE COUNTIES-
NORTH AND NORTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-SOUTHEAST ELBERT COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/SOUTH LINCOLN
COUNTY-LOGAN COUNTY-WASHINGTON COUNTY-SEDGWICK COUNTY-PHILLIPS
COUNTY-
1049 AM MST TUE JAN 31 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE STATE TODAY...WITH DRY CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...BUT STILL
SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO COLORADO ON THURSDAY
BRINGING COLDER AIR AND SNOW TO MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.  SNOW IS
EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS MOST AREAS...
ESPECIALLY FROM THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE EASTWARD. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
REMAIN DIFFICULT TO PIN-POINT AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER SOME PARTS OF
THE PLAINS WILL LIKELY SEE A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL.  SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY LOOK DRY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

D_L/RJK

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Colorado, 2012Every winter storm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.