Red Flag Warning 28, NWS Boise, ID

847 
WWUS85 KBOI 270506
RFWBOI

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1106 PM MDT SUN AUG 26 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING CANCELLED...

.THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE DISTRICT AS OF 11PM
MDT...THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CAN CELLED.

IDZ400>404-408-418-419-ORZ636-637-270615-
/O.CAN.KBOI.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-120827T0600Z/
NORTHERN BOISE BLM-WESTERN PAYETTE NATIONAL FOREST-
EASTERN PAYETTE NATIONAL FOREST-NORTHERN BOISE NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTHERN BOISE NATIONAL FOREST-TREASURE VALLEY-
WESTERN TWIN FALLS BLM-OWYHEE MOUNTAINS-BURNS BLM-VALE BLM-
1106 PM MDT SUN AUG 26 2012 /1006 PM PDT SUN AUG 26 2012/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR LIGHTNING FOR NORTHERN BOISE
BLM...WESTERN PAYETTE NATIONAL FOREST...EASTERN PAYETTE NATIONAL
FOREST...NORTHERN BOISE NATIONAL FOREST...SOUTHERN BOISE NATIONAL
FOREST...TREASURE VALLEY...WESTERN TWIN FALLS BLM...OWYHEE
MOUNTAINS...BURNS BLM AND VALE BLM...WHICH ARE FIRE WEATHER ZONES
400...401...402...403...404...408...418...419...636 AND 637...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BOISE HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING.


$$


L

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
324 AM MDT SUN AUG 26 2012

.SHORT TERM...MONSOON MOISTURE IN NERN NEVADA MOVING INTO SCENTRAL
IDAHO THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE NEWD INTO CENTRAL IDAHO THIS
AFTERNOON.  LIGHTNING AT 08Z IN ERN NEVADA SHOWS CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL FOR OUR ERN ZONES LATER TODAY.  WE PUT SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS WHERE NAM HAS AT LEAST -2 LIFTED INDEX AND 100 J/KG
CAPE...AND A BETTER CHANCE WHERE NAM HAS -3 OR LOWER LIFTED INDEX.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MIDNIGHT IN
CENTRAL IDAHO.  OREGON ZONES WILL BE OUT OF IT EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE IN THE SERN CORNER OF MALHEUR COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.
CONTINUED HOT TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY WITH SURFACE THERMAL PRESSURE
TROUGH REMAINING NEAR THE IDAHO/OREGON BORDER.  LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS
INTO THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL KEEP WRN IDAHO SMOKY THROUGH MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...MODELS REMAIN
CONSISTENT BRINGING A WEST COAST TROUGH INLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OREGON AND IDAHO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE A DRY COLD FRONT PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES COOLING TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
MODELS MAINTAIN SOME FORM OF TROUGHING ALONG THE WEST COAST LATE IN
THE WEEK WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY TREND UP IN THE LATE PERIODS WITH HINTS THAT
SOME MOISTURE MAY GET PULLED INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH NEXT
WEEKEND BUT WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY AT THIS POINT.

&&

.AVIATION...WILDFIRE SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF MVFR
TO IFR VISIBILITIES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST IDAHO TODAY AND
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY THE TREASURE VALLEY AND BOISE MOUNTAINS.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH INCREASING MID CLOUDS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR THE NEVADA BORDER THIS MORNING...THEN ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE
FROM KMYL TO KBOI TO KREO. LIGHT SLOPE AND VALLEY WINDS EXPECTED
TODAY EXCEPT GUSTY NEAR SHOWERS. WINDS ALOFT AT 10K FEET MSL SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST AVERAGING NEAR 20 KTS.

&&

.AIR STAGNATION...LIGHT EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS INTO THERMAL PRESSURE
TROUGH ALONG THE IDAHO/OREGON BORDER WILL KEEP WESTERN IDAHO SMOKY
THROUGH MONDAY.  WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE MID-MORNING HOURS AFTER
DRAINAGE WINDS DURING THE NIGHT HAVE CARRIED SMOKE WESTWARD.
SLIGHTLY BETTER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON DUE TO IMPROVED
MIXING.  SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL CARRY HIGH-LEVEL SMOKE FROM
CALIFORNIA INTO OUR SRN AND ERN ZONES THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....TL
AVIATION.....TL
AIR STAGNATION...LC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
610 AM MDT SUN AUG 26 2012

IDZ011>016-028>030-033-ORZ061>064-271215-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-LOWER TREASURE VALLEY ID-BOISE MOUNTAINS-
UPPER TREASURE VALLEY-SOUTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY-
CAMAS PRAIRIE-OWYHEE MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN TWIN FALLS COUNTY-
UPPER WEISER RIVER-HARNEY COUNTY-BAKER COUNTY-MALHEUR COUNTY-
LOWER TREASURE VALLEY OR-
610 AM MDT SUN AUG 26 2012 /510 AM PDT SUN AUG 26 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
IDAHO...SOUTHWEST IDAHO...WEST CENTRAL IDAHO...NORTHEAST OREGON
AND SOUTHEAST OREGON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.