Special Weather Statement, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
646 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2012

.UPDATE...
FOR AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

MOST OF THE STORMS FROM EARLIER TODAY HAVE PUSHED SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. A FEW BOUNDARIES STILL
EXIST FROM PREVIOUS CONVECTION AND HAVE INITIATED A COUPLE OF STORMS
ACROSS MONTGOMERY AND BULLOCK COUNTIES. CLEARING HAS OCCURRED BEHIND
THE CONVECTION MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM LIVINGSTON TO CLANTON TO
ROANOKE. HOWEVER...WEAK CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS IN PLACE ACROSS
AREAS CURRENTLY WITH SUN. QUESTIONS STILL REMAIN ABOUT REDEVELOPMENT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ANY REDEVELOPMENT SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED WITH
PULSE SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE WITH DAYTIME HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. A
FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A LIMITED AMOUNT OF CU
ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. THEREFORE...ADDITIONAL CONVECTION MAY REMAIN
RATHER ISOLATED. THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY STORMS THAT FORM WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT SHOULD
WEAKEN SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

MA

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

ROUND TWO HAS BEGUN...ALTHOUGH MORE ISOLATED THAN EARLIER. MOST OF
THE ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED ALONG A BOUNDARY THAT HAS DEVELOPED NEAR
THE US 78 CORRIDOR IN NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA. STORMS HAVE GONE UP
QUITE HIGH AND QUICKLY. THE INTERESTING PART OF IT IS THAT IT
APPEARS THAT THE ACTIVITY MAY ACTUALLY SPLIT MOST OF THE TERMINALS.
WENT AHEAD AND INCLUDED VCTS FOR TCL...ANB...BHM..AND EET...WITH EET
GETTING A TEMPO FROM 00Z TO 02Z. WILL AMEND THE OTHER SITES IF
NEEDED. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z OUTSIDE THE RAIN
AREAS. KEPT THE CEILINGS VFR OVERNIGHT WITH VIS DROPPING INTO MVFR
TOWARD 11Z. WILL TRY TO REEVALUATE THE POTENTIAL LOWER CLOUDS AND
FOG ON THE NEXT PACKAGE AS ONGOING WEATHER TOOK PRECEDENCE.

NOTE***THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS ISSUING SEASONAL TERMINAL
FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA. THE FORECASTS WILL LAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE
9TH OF MAY. DUE TO THE LIMITED AVAILABILITY OF OBSERVATIONS...KASN
TAF WILL HAVE AMD NOT SKED APPENDED TO THE END OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

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