Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2012
Special Weather Statement, NWS Binghamton, NY
NWS Binghamton, NY issued this special weather statement at Jul 4, 2012, 6:01 PM EDT for Broome County, New York. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 4, 2012, 6:01 PM EDT (22:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2012, 6:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 29 min
- Issued by
- NWS Binghamton, NY
County Broome County, NY
The radar
The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 189 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 97 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -69 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 864 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 175 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 167 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 4, 3:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 3:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 320 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 .SYNOPSIS... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT WHICH WILL PASS OVERNIGHT. BEHIND THIS FEATURE...NOTICEABLY COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE NOSES SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN CANADA. ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID DAY IS THEN EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID AIR MOVES BACK INTO THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 320 PM UPDATE... CONVECTION HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME INITIATING THIS AFTERNOON WHICH IS DUE TO THE LACK OF A FORCING MECHANISM. AS STATED IN PREVIOUS UPDATES...MUCH OF CENTRAL NY AND NORTHEAST PA REMAINS IN-BETWEEN TWO SEPARATE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVES...ONE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND THE OTHER ACROSS EASTERN CANADA. IN ADDITION...POLAR JETSTREAK NOW DIVING INTO NORTHERN NY PLACES MUCH OF NORTHERN NY/NEW ENGLAND UNDER THE FAVORABLE LEFT EXIT REGION...WHILE OUR REGION TO THE SOUTHWEST REMAINS IN UPPER CONVERGENCE ALOFT. ALL TOLD...THINGS ARE JUST NOT COMING TOGETHER THIS AFTERNOON TO FAVOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. LATEST LOOK AT 18Z SFC OBS SHOW A DEVELOPING LAKE SHADOW SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS GRAPHICS SUGGESTING INCREASE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IN ITS VICINITY. FOR AREAS FURTHER SOUTH...MUCH BETTER INSTABILITY IS PRESENT WITH LATEST GRAPHICS SHOWING A MLCAPE INSTABILITY AXIS CHARACTERIZED BY VALUES APPROACHING 3000 J/KG EXTENDING NORTH FROM CENTRAL PA INTO THE CENTRAL FINGER LAKES. DESPITE STRONG INSTABILITY...NO APPRECIABLE SFC FEATURES ARE CURRENTLY AVAILABLE TO INITIATE CONVECTION. THE ABOVE SAID...WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY ISO-SCT MENTION ACROSS THE CWA AS ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT IF STORMS ACTUALLY GET GOING. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THINGS HOLD OFF UNTIL COLD FRONT BEGINS WORKING THROUGH THE AREA TOWARDS 00Z. UNDER THIS SCENARIO HOWEVER...THE PEAK HEATING/MAXIMUM INSTABILITY WINDOW WILL HAVE BEEN ELAPSED WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT FCST OF ONLY AN ISO-SCT MENTION. IF STORMS ARE ABLE TO GET GOING...ISO SEVERE STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS STRONG 0-3KM WINDS IN A UNIDIRECTIONALLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WOULD FAVOR SHORT BOWING LINES. IF SHWRS/ISO STORMS DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT...EXPECT DRYING CONDITIONS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS FRONT CLEARS THE AREA. WITH RESPECT TO OVERNIGHT LOWS...EXPECT VALUES TO FALL INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE NOSING SOUTH FROM SOUTHERN CANADA WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN ON THURSDAY. WITH THE INFLUX OF DRIER AIR...SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST INTO THU NIGHT AS WEAK UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF A NORTHERN STREAM CLOSED LOW MOVING SOUTH OF HUDSON BAY. AS THIS OCCURS...A WARM FRONT ATTACHED THIS FEATURE WILL SLOWLY BEGIN LIFTING THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WHICH FOR ALL INTENSIVE PURPOSES APPEARS TO MOVE PASS THROUGH UNEVENTFULLY. FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE...H85 TEMPS QUICKLY WARM BETWEEN 20-22C ACROSS THE REGION WHICH WILL SUPPORT HIGH TEMPS WARMING WELL INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S FRI AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS COMBINED WITH INCREASING AMOUNTS OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT HEAT INDICES REACHING INTO THE UPPER 90S ACROSS MOST AREAS. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT HEAT RISKS IN THE HWO PRODUCT. A FAIR AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH RESPECT TO NEXT COLD FRONT PROGGED TO ENTER THE FCST AREA ON SAT. NEWLY ARRIVING GFS AND ECMWF SUGGEST FRONT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AT LEAST 12Z SAT...WHILE THE WRF SUGGEST FEATURE WILL ENTER EARLIER IN THE MORNING. FOR NOW...CONSIDERING THE TIME OF YEAR...WILL FAVOR THE SLOWER GFS/ECMWF SOLUTIONS AS FRONTS TYPICALLY HAVE A MORE DIFFICULT TIME MOVING SOUTH ESPECIALLY WHEN ENCROACHING UPON A WELL ESTABLISHED UPPER RIDGE AXIS. IN ANY EVENT...UNSETTLED CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE ON TAP THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY WITH ISO-SCT SHWRS/STORMS EXPECTED. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... MDLS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LARGER SCALE PTRN SHOWING THE INCREASING AMPLITUDE OF THE NE U.S. TROF. WE CAN'T RULE OUT THE CHC FOR SCT, MAINLY DIURNALLY FORCED CONVECTION IN THIS PTRN BUT TIMING OF S/WV'S THIS FAR OUT IS VERY DIFFICULT. ALL IN ALL THE MAIN THEME WILL BE FOR MUCH MORE COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE START OF THE WORK WEEK. WE FOLLOWED HPC GUIDANCE...BUT TWEEKED THE SAT NGT/EARLY SUNDAY FCST TO ALLOW FOR SLOWER FROPA PER THE GFS/EURO SOLUTIONS (NAM LOOKS TO FAST IN OUR OPINION). SO AFTER THE THREAT FOR TSRA ON SAT/SAT NGT...GNRLY FAIR WX AND SEASONABLE TEMPS WITH AN OUTSIDE CHC FOR A STRAY SHRA/TSRA. && .AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... OVERALL...VFR WILL PREVAIL THRU 18Z THURSDAY. THE CAVEATS ARE THE POTNL FOR ISOLD/WDLY SCT SHRA/TSRA THIS AFTN INTO THE EARLY EVNG HRS WHICH COULD PRODUCE RESTRICTIONS...BUT WITH LTL TO FOCUS ON W/RESPECT TO INITIATION AND QUESTIONABLE CVRG...WE DID NOT INTRODUCE PCPN WITH THIS TAF PCKG. THE BEST CHC OF THIS OCCURING WOULD APPEAR TO BE AT AVP. LATER TNGT...WE COULD SEE A BRIEF PD OF MVFR ACRS THE SRN TIER AND NE PA IN THE 08-12Z TIME FRAME SHORTLY AFTER FROPA DUE TO A COMBINATION OF HZ/BR AND PSBLY A BRIEF PD OF MVFR CIGS. WINDS THIS AFTN GNRLY W TO NW 10-20 KTS...BECMG NWLY ARND 5 KTS TNGT...THEN N TO NW ON THU 10-20 KTS. OUTLOOK... FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR. SAT/SAT NGT...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN DEVELOPING SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY. SUN/MON...VFR. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...NONE. NY...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...CMG NEAR TERM...CMG SHORT TERM...CMG LONG TERM... AVIATION...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 2:21 PM EDT, 3 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 221 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043- 044-047-048-072-051830- NORTHERN ONEIDA-YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-ONONDAGA-STEUBEN- SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-CORTLAND-CHENANGO- OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-SUSQUEHANNA- NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-SOUTHERN WAYNE- 221 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOWER 90S ACROSS MOST AREAS. EXPECT HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 94 AND 97 DEGREES BEFORE CONDITIONS BEGIN TO COOL TOWARDS EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS... WITH STRONG WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HOT HUMID CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY EXTEND INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S ON FRIDAY...AND POSSIBLY UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ON SATURDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY APPROACH 100 DEGREES FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER VALUES ANTICIPATED ON SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 4, 6:01 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 601 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 NYZ055-056-PAZ038-039-042230- BRADFORD PA-BROOME NY-SUSQUEHANNA PA-TIOGA NY- 601 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EXTREME NORTHEASTERN BRADFORD... NORTHWESTERN SUSQUEHANNA...SOUTHEASTERN TIOGA AND SOUTHWESTERN BROOME COUNTIES... * AT 555 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR APALACHIN...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... TIOGA TERRACE AND VESTAL AT 605 PM EDT... VESTAL CENTER AT 610 PM EDT... FRIENDSVILLE AT 620 PM EDT... BRACKNEY AT 625 PM EDT... WYOANNA AND HALLSTEAD AT 630 PM EDT... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LAT...LON 4198 7567 4179 7585 4206 7630 4221 7616 RRM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 6:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Tioga | 52 min |
| Jul 4, 6:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Lackawanna | 26 min |
| Jul 4, 6:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Susquehanna | 35 min |
| Jul 4, 6:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Lackawanna, Pike, Susquehanna, Wyoming | 43 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in New York, 2012Every special weather statement in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.