Alert archive / New York / Areal Flood Advisories in 2012
Areal Flood Advisory 21, NWS Binghamton, NY
NWS Binghamton, NY issued this areal flood advisory at Jul 31, 2012, 2:46 PM EDT for Steuben County, New York. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 31, 2012, 2:46 PM EDT (18:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 31, 2012, 8:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Binghamton, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
County Steuben County, NY
The radar
The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 295 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -115 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 710 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 69 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jul 31, 2:28 PM EDT, 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 2:28 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 228 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012 .SYNOPSIS... A UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THEN A COLD FRONT WILL VERY SLOWLY PROGRESS THROUGH THE ARE TOMORROW AND THURSDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... RADAR SHOWING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO SCATTERED COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE APPROACHES THE AREA AND DAYTIME HEATING MAXIMIZES WITH THE LOSS OF THE MARINE LAYER. THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR SOME HAIL TO FORM IN SOME OF THESE STORMS. HOWEVER, THEY WILL BE PULSE TYPE STORMS, SO ANY HAIL WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MODELS ARE INDICATING A REDUCTION IN ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH, WILL KEEP A CHC OF SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER MOST OF THE AREA, ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE FRONT. ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE ANY STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN, ESPECIALLY OVER STEUBEN COUNTY, WHERE WELL OVER AN INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN TODAY. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS QUICKLY RISING. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE FRONT WILL APPROACH VERY SLOWLY FROM THE WEST TOMORROW MORNING. AS IT DOES, IT WILL BE A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY. MODELS SHOW THE FRONT WASHING OUT, POSSIBLY LEAVING MORE OF A WIND SHIFT BOUNDARY LAYING ACROSS THE CWA THROUGH THE DAY. ALONG WITH HEATING, ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP. WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING WILL INTO THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE, THERE WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A STEERING FLOW. PWATS WILL BE BETWEEN AN INCH AND AN INCH AND A HALF TOMORROW. THIS COULD ALLOW SOME ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINERS, AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME MINOR FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN LOCATIONS WITH STEEP SLOPES. BY THURSDAY MORNING, A LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AND MOVE OFF THE COAST. THIS WILL DRAG THE BOUNDARY EASTWARD, ALONG WITH THE PRECIPITATION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, ALLOWING FOR RAIN SHOWERS TO DIMINISH THURSDAY AND A QUIET DAY ON FRIDAY. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... SOME WEAK RIDGING THURSDAY NIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR LOW CHC POPS AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THEN, A SFC TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND STALL. THIS WILL KEEP A CHC OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED IN THE AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING. && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... 18Z UPDATE... ISOLD-SCTD TSRA WILL DOT CNY THROUGH EARLY EVE...SO WE'VE INCLUDED BRIEF PDS OF MVFR RESTRICTIONS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. KAVP SHOULD REMAIN VFR...WITH MUCH OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY STAYING TO THE W. LATE TNT/EARLY WED...MARINE LYR LOW CLDNS IS EXPECTED TO FORM AGN...ALTHOUGH LIKELY A BIT FARTHER E AND LESS EXTENSIVE THAN WE SAW EARLIER THIS MRNG. ATTM...WE'VE INCLUDED MVFR CIG RESTRICTIONS AT KAVP AND KBGM ONLY. TOUGH CALL ON PSBL FOG DEVELOPMENT AT KELM. IN-HOUSE CHECKLIST LEANS TWDS AT LEAST A BRIEF PD OF IFR TWDS DAYBREAK...SO WE'VE INCLUDED THIS IN THE FCST AS WELL. MAINLY VFR IS ANTICIPATED LATER WED MRNG INTO THE EARLY AFTN. ISOLD-SCTD TSRA COULD WELL FORM AGN BY EARLY AFTN...BUT UNCERTAIN COVERAGE AND THE FACT THAT IT'S NEARLY 24 HRS OUT...PRECLUDE ANY MENTION OF SUCH IN THE TERMINALS ATTM. OUTLOOK... THU THROUGH SUN...MVFR RESTRICTIONS PSBL...IN DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...NONE. NY...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...SLI NEAR TERM...SLI SHORT TERM...SLI LONG TERM...SLI AVIATION...MLJ/MSE
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 2:33 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
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</html>In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 2:20 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
220 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012
NYZ022-311900-
STEUBEN NY-
220 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2012
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN STEUBEN COUNTY...
* AT 217 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL
HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED SOUTHWEST
OF GREENWOOD AND SOUTH OF HORNELL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
* THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
WEST GREENWOOD AND GREENWOOD AT 230 PM EDT...
HARTSVILLE AT 245 PM EDT...
CANISTEO AT 255 PM EDT...
BUENA VISTA AND HORNELL AT 300 PM EDT...
THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY!
LAT...LON 4208 7775 4217 7775 4218 7775 4229 7774
4246 7760 4231 7733 4199 7771 4199 7775
4208 7776
MLJThe office that day
Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Steuben | 40 min |
| Jul 31, 2:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Steuben | 46 min |
| Jul 31, 3:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Schuyler | 42 min |
| Jul 31, 3:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Yates | 47 min |
| Jul 31, 4:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Chemung | 45 min |
| Jul 31, 4:54 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Seneca | 66 min |
| Jul 31, 6:14 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Steuben, Yates | 61 min |
| Jul 31, 6:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Cortland | 44 min |
| Jul 31, 7:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | Oneida | 64 min |
Nearby
Areal Flood Advisories in New York, 2012Every areal flood advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.