Small Craft Advisory 98, NWS Gaylord, MI

348 
WHUS73 KAPX 221537
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1137 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-222100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1137 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-222100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1137 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-222100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1137 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

433 
WHUS73 KAPX 222016
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
416 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-231000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
416 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-231000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
416 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-230300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
416 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

728 
WHUS73 KAPX 230124
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
924 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-230930-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0900Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
924 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY.
A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ345>349-230930-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0900Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
924 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY.
A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LSZ321-322-230900-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0900Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
924 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

112 
WHUS73 KAPX 230709
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
309 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

LSZ322-231515-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0900Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
309 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ346-349-LMZ341-231515-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T0900Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
309 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LMZ323-342-344>346-231515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
309 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ345-347-348-231515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
309 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LSZ321-231515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
309 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

322 
WHUS73 KAPX 231557
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1157 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

LMZ323-342-344>346-240000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1157 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ345-347-348-240000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1157 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LSZ321-232100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1157 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-LMZ341-LSZ322-240000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1157 AM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

513 
WHUS73 KAPX 232006
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

LMZ323-342-344>346-240400-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.120924T1200Z-120925T0900Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-347-348-240400-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.120924T1200Z-120925T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-240400-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-120923T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-240400-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.120924T1200Z-120925T0900Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-240400-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.120924T1200Z-120925T0900Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM EDT
TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-240400-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0019.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0031.120924T1200Z-120925T0300Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 23 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY. THE
GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
257 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION
THIS WEEKEND. COOL AIR WILL CONTINUE TO ENTER THE REGION BEHIND THE
DEPARTING LOW. LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...ENHANCED AT TIMES BY PASSING WEATHER SYSTEMS. THE UPCOMING
WORK WEEK WILL BE MUCH QUIETER AND SOMEWHAT MILDER...THOUGH A WEAK
COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS EARLY MORNING AN ABSOLUTE THING OF
BEAUTY...WITH EXCEPTIONALLY AMPLIFIED MERIDIONAL FLOW ACROSS
NOAM...FEATURING STOUT WEST COAST RIDGING AND AN UNBELIEVABLY DEEP
EAST CENTRAL NOAM TROUGH AXIS. AMPLIFICATION OF ABOVE ABOUT MAXED
OUT...WITH 00Z RAOB ANALYSIS CONFIRMING GUIDANCE INITIALIZATION OF
STRONG 120+ KNOT H25 JET CORE GETTING SET TO TAKE THE TURN EAST OVER
THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY....WITH COMPACT AND WELL DEFINED UPPER
MISSISSIPPI MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW SUITE LATER TODAY.
DESPITE "BEST" DYNAMICS PASSING OFF TO OUR SOUTHWEST...STILL A
MYRIAD OF LOWER AMPLITUDE WAVES EMBEDDED IN PARENT SYSTEM AFFECTING
MICHIGAN WEATHER. ONE SUCH WAVE IMPACTING AREAS JUST TO OUR SOUTH...
RESPONSIBLE FOR A WIDESPREAD SOUTHERN MICHIGAN RAIN EVENT THIS PAST
EVENING. THE WAVE OF MOST IMPORTANCE LOCALLY IS CUTTING INTO CENTRAL
LAKE MICHIGAN AS OF THIS TYPING. SLUG OF MID LEVEL SUPPORT OUT AHEAD
OF THIS FEATURE...COMBINED WITH DECENT OVER-WATER INSTABILITY
REGIME...CONTINUES TO KICK OFF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS...A FEW
OF WHICH HAVE PRODUCED PEA SIZE HAIL. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE
IS ATTEMPTING TO ORGANIZE ACROSS THE STATE...BUT WILL WAIT TILL ITS
WELL NORTHEAST LATER TODAY BEFORE REALLY DEEPENING. FORECAST
CONCERNS RUN THE GAMUT THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH SHOWER COVERAGE...
THUNDERSTORM AND HAIL/GRAUPEL POTENTIAL AND WATERSPOUT POSSIBILITIES
ALL NEEDING TO BE ADDRESSED.

WAVE IMPACTING THE NORTHERN LAKES SLATED TO PUSH EAST OF THE REGION
THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH WILL LIKELY NEED TO ADDRESS SOME LINGERING
RAIN CHANCES OVER NORTHEAST LOWER UNTIL IT CLEARS THE REGION (WILL
BE A LAST SECOND ADJUSTMENT PER RADAR TRENDS). ATTENTION THEN TURNS
TO INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE LAND AND WATER INSTABILITY REGIME AS
CENTER OF MID LEVEL COLD CORE ANOMALY MOVES OVERHEAD...DROPPING H50
TEMPERATURES TO NEAR -30C. EXPECT LAKE ENHANCED SHOWERS TO BE
ONGOING THIS MORNING ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR...IMPACTING THE
TRADITIONAL NORTHWEST FLOW BELTS OF EASTERN UPPER. MAY TAKE A LITTLE
LONGER FOR BETTER ORGANIZATION OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WITH
BRIEF SUBSIDENCE REGIME BEHIND THIS MORNINGS WAVE. DEEPENING
MOISTURE PROFILES AND COOLING 850MB TEMPERATURES SHOULD GET THINGS
GOING BY LATER THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH ANTICIPATE THINGS TO REMAIN
SOMEWHAT DISRUPTED GIVEN INCREASING LAND BASED INSTABILITY. MUCH
LIKE EASTERN UPPER...PRIMARY TARGET AREAS WILL BE IN THE FAVORED
NORTHWEST FLOW BELTS OF NORTHWEST LOWER. NOT TO BE OUTDONE...
MAGNITUDE OF OFF THE DECK COLD AIR SUPPORTS AT LEAST SCATTERED MOIST
CONVECTION DEVELOPING ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. THUNDER POTENTIAL REMAINS...WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
EXCEEDING 7C/KM AND RELATIVELY LOW FREEZING LEVELS OF 4-5K FEET
SUPPORTING SMALL HAIL WITH NEARLY ANY DECENT UPDRAFT. WHILE SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...IT WOULD NOT BE TOTALLY SHOCKING TO SEE AN
ISOLATED SEVERE SIZE HAIL REPORT. HIGHS TODAY WILL AVERAGE A GOOD 10
OR SO DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...WITH READINGS ONLY TOPPING OUT IN THE
50S.

LAKE ENHANCEMENT WILL KICK INTO OVERDRIVE THIS EVENING AS COLDEST
AIR SINCE LAST SPRING OVERSPREADS THE WATERS...WITH 850MB
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO AOB -2C. COUPLE THIS WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND
NON-EXISTENT INVERSION LEVELS VIA APPROACHING LOW AMPLITUDE
WAVE...AND LAKE INDUCED CAPE PROFILES REMAIN IN EXCESS OF 1.0K J/KG.
LOSS OF LAND BASED INSTABILITY AND WEAKISH CYCLONIC FLOW SHOULD ONLY
HELP THE CAUSE...WITH POTENTIAL FOR GOOD BANDING STRUCTURES
DEVELOPING THIS EVENING. TARGET AREAS REMAIN THE TRADITIONAL WNW-NW
FLOW AREAS OF BOTH PENINSULAS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS IF SLOW WAVERING BANDING STRUCTURE IS REALIZED.
GOOD LAPSE RATES UP THROUGH THE MID LEVELS AND MAGNITUDE OF
INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO SUPPORT SOME THUNDER POTENTIAL...ANY OF
WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PUTTING DOWN SMALL HAIL. LOWERING WET-BULB
ZERO HEIGHTS TO SUB 4.0KFT LEVELS EVEN SUPPORTS POTENTIAL FOR SOME
GRAUPEL IN THE HEAVIER ELEMENTS. MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND
CLOUDS/SHOWERS WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT PARTIALLY IN-CHECK...WITH COLDEST
INTERIOR LOCATIONS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S...WITH READINGS IN
THE LOWER 40S ELSEWHERE.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

UPPER LOW WILL LIFT UP TO HUDSON BAY BY THE START OF THE WORK
WEEK...THOUGH WITH CONSIDERABLE TROFFING LINGERING OVER THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO MID-WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS GENERALLY BELOW
NORMAL...BUT ALLOW FOR SOME RECOVERY...AND RESULT IN DIMINISHING
PRECIP CHANCES. POPS/TEMPS ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

SUNDAY...PRIMARY 500MB TROF AXIS/SHORTWAVE WILL SCOOT QUICKLY EAST
AWAY FROM LAKE HURON. THAT PROVIDES MOST OF NORTHERN MI WITH SOME
MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE/WARMING IN ITS WAKE IN THE MORNING...ESPECIALLY
AT AND ABOVE 700MB (650MB TEMPS WARM ABOUT 4C). HOWEVER...DELTA T/S
OVER THE LAKES REMAIN IN THE UPPER TEENS/NEAR 20C...WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ABUNDANT UP TO 700MB/-10C. SO LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS MAY
DECREASE A BIT IN INTENSITY/COVERAGE...BUT THEY CERTAINLY WON/T
STOP. REASONABLY WIDESPREAD POPS REMAIN IN ORDER FOR PLACES IMPACTED
BY A NW FETCH...WITH A TENDENCY TOWARD SLIGHT BACKING IN THE
1000-850MB FLOW AS THE MORNING PROCEEDS.

IN THE AFTERNOON...ANOTHER DIGGING WAVE WILL DROP TOWARD SUPERIOR.
THIS SHOULD PROVIDE FOR MOISTENING AND FORCING FOR ASCENT IN UPPER
MI LATER IN THE DAY. THE MODELS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY EXCITED ABOUT
THIS THOUGH...PERHAPS BECAUSE 500MB HEIGHTS ARE GENERALLY ON THE
REBOUND EVEN WITH THIS WAVE ARRIVING. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY (850MB TEMPS AROUND -1C) AND AN INCOMING WAVE IS USUALLY
PLENTY SUFFICIENT FOR INCREASING PRECIP IN THE WNW/NW-FLOW FETCHES.
AM INCLINED A BOOST POPS A BIT IN THESE AREAS.

MAX TEMPS MAINLY 50-55F.

SUN NIGHT/MONDAY...AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE ACROSS NORTHERN MI
SUNDAY EVENING...WITH SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHTS RISES ALOFT OVERNIGHT INTO
MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...AND
EVOLVE EASTWARD TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY MONDAY EVENING. WILL
EXTEND SOMEWHAT HIGHER POPS INTO SUNDAY EVENING (ESPECIALLY EARLY).
HOWEVER...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK...WITH CONSIDERABLE DRY/WARM
ADVECTION DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. POPS WILL RAPIDLY FALL OFF...WITH
ONLY A SMALL RISK FOR SHRA IN THE STRAITS AND SURROUNDING AREAS BY
DAYBREAK MONDAY. NEXT INCOMING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH
WILL BE NEARING EASTERN UPPER MI BY LATE MONDAY...PUSHED ALONG BY A
DIGGING SHORTWAVE NEARING THE NORTH SHORE OF SUPERIOR. MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF THIS FRONT IS NON-EXISTENT. WILL REDUCE POPS IN
EASTERN UPPER MI ON MONDAY. MONDAY WILL SEE A FAIR BIT OF
SUNSHINE...THOUGH WITH INCREASING MID CLOUDS IN EASTERN UPPER IN THE
AFTERNOON.

MIN TEMPS 30 TO 40F SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH FROST A POSSIBILITY IN THE
USUAL COLD INTERIOR AREAS. MAX TEMPS MONDAY 60-65F...WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS.

REST OF THE FORECAST...COLD FRONT WILL VERY SLOWLY SETTLE SOUTHWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN MI MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY...HELD UP BY A WEAK WAVE
THAT FORMS ALONG IT AND FINALLY HEADS EAST TUESDAY. SOME SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND ESPECIALLY JUST BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS
WON/T BE A WASHOUT BY ANY MEANS...BUT SMALL POPS ARE CERTAINLY IN
ORDER (MAINLY IN NORTHERN AREAS MONDAY NIGHT...A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD
TUESDAY). AFTER THAT...LARGE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE-WARD FROM S
CENTRAL CANADA...PROVIDING DRY WX WITH COOLISH DAYS AND CRISP NIGHTS
WED/THU. DEVELOPING RETURN FLOW MAY HELP CRANK UP SOME PRECIP
CHANCES BY FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1150 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2012

SCATTERED/NUMEROUS LAKE ENHANCED RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT MUCH OF NRN LWR MICHIGAN THRU SATURDAY NIGHT....TARGETING
FAR NORTHERN AND NW LWR MICHIGAN (PLN/TVC/MBL) FOR THE BEST CHANCE
OF PRECIP. ISOLD THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS COLDER AIR
ALOFT SLIDES INTO NRN MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY. OVERALL
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR...ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY
DECREASE TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS/ISOLD
STORMS. W/SW WINDS UNDER 10 KTS OVERNIGHT WILL QUICKLY STRENGTHEN
TO 15 TO 25 KTS DURING THE MORNING...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

OVER-WATER INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN PHENOMENAL RIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY AS NORTHERN LAKES REMAIN ENTRENCHED UNDER DEEP TROUGH AXIS.
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT EXCELLENT MIXING INTO ELEVATED WIND CORES
ASSOCIATED WITH PASSING DISTURBANCES. MAIN WIND MAXIMA EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...EASILY
SUPPORTING SCA CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL NEARSHORE WATERS. WILL NEED TO
WATCH FOR ISOLATED GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN AND FROM THE STRAITS TO
PRESQUE ISLE ON LAKE HURON. WINDS BEGIN TO SUBSIDE SOME LATER
TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH EXTENSIONS TO SCA/S LIKELY RIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
FOR AT LEAST SOME AREAS. VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARRIVE
MONDAY...POSSIBLY SUPPORTING A PERIOD OF GALES ON NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

WATERSPOUTS...EXCELLENT LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS/EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WHILE NO WELL DEFINED SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL BE PRESENT...OVERHEAD
COLD CORE ANOMALIES/TROUGHING AND EXCELLENT INSTABILITY SUPPORT
INHERITED WATERSPOUT MENTION ACROSS ALL NEARSHORE WATERS THROUGH
TONIGHT.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR LHZ345>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LMZ323-341-
     342-344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LSZ321-322.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JZ
SHORT TERM...MB
LONG TERM...JZ
AVIATION...MR
MARINE...MB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
222300-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS FAR NORTHERN AND
NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH
STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE DIME SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN ALL NEARSHORE ZONES OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

WATERSPOUTS WILL REMAIN A THREAT ACROSS ALL NEARSHORE WATERS OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA ON SATURDAY.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGERS...PLEASE RELAY ANY SMALL HAIL REPORTS OR WATERSPOUT SIGHTINGS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/APX (ALL
LOWERCASE)

JK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2012

MIZ017>019-021>023-220430-
ANTRIM MI-CHARLEVOIX MI-CHEBOYGAN MI-MONTMORENCY MI-OTSEGO MI-PRESQUE
ISLE MI-
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2012

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 1100 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CENTRAL LAKE...OR NEAR BELLAIRE...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  EAST JORDAN...
  BOYNE CITY...
  GAYLORD...
  ATLANTA...
  JORDAN TOWNSHIP...
  WARNER TOWNSHIP...
  ALBA...
  BOYNE FALLS...
  ELMIRA...
  VANDERBILT...
  SPARR...
  WOLVERINE...
  JOHANNESBURG...
  PICKEREL LAKE...
  EASTERN CORWITH TOWNSHIP...
  HETHERTON...
  AFTON...
  ALLIS TOWNSHIP...
  BRILEY TOWNSHIP...
  TOWER...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1226 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 AM     HAIL             2 NW EAST JORDAN        45.18N 85.16W
09/22/2012  M0.25 INCH       CHARLEVOIX         MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

MBOGUTH