Small Craft Advisory 6, NWS Gaylord, MI

072 
WHUS73 KAPX 090303
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1003 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

LMZ341-342-344>346-091115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0002.120109T1000Z-120109T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1003 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-091115-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.120109T1000Z-120109T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1003 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-091115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120109T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1003 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

102 
WHUS73 KAPX 090849
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
349 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

LMZ341-342-344>346-091700-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0002.120109T1000Z-120109T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
349 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-091700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.120109T1000Z-120110T0400Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
349 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-091700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
349 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

174 
WHUS73 KAPX 091616
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1116 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

LMZ341-342-344>346-092200-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120109T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1116 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-100030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1116 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-100030-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1116 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

856 
WHUS73 KAPX 092058
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
358 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

LMZ341-100400-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120109T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
358 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ342-344>346-100400-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
358 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-100400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
358 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-100400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
358 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

646 
WHUS73 KAPX 100350
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1050 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

LMZ342-344>346-101000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-120110T0400Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T1000Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1050 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-101000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1050 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-101000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1050 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

199 
WHUS73 KAPX 100859
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
359 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-101000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
359 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-101700-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-120110T1800Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
359 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
359 PM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 353 PM/

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR... WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. UNTIL HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION MONDAY MORNING... BRINGING VERY MILD
TEMPERATURES AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL BEGIN TO GENERATE SNOW SHOWERS
LATE WEDNESDAY...AND THEN THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION THURSDAY NIGHT... DRAMATICALLY
DECREASING TEMPERATURES... WITH GUSTY WINDS AND PRODUCING LAKE
EFFECT SNOW FALL.

LOCKER

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 353 PM/...TONIGHT

WEAK SURFACE LOW TRAVERSING EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR THIS AFTERNOON...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM THE LOW RIGHT ALONG THE ST.
MARY'S RIVER SEPARATING COLDER AIR OVER ONTARIO FROM MILDER
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE UPPER PENINSULA.  SURFACE CONVERGENCE AXIS
ALSO EXTENDS FROM THIS LOW SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND ALONG THE
NORTHWEST LOWER SHORELINE...WHICH IS HELPING WITH LAKE CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH A SMALL VORTICITY CENTER
SPINNING ITS WAY TOWARD BEAVER ISLAND.  SNOW HAS BEEN PERSISTENT IN
SOME SPOTS WITH SAULT STE. MARIE PICKING UP MORE THAN AN INCH OF
SNOW SO FAR TODAY.  COMBINATION OF SC/AC HAS OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN EXPECT FOR GLADWIN/ARENA COUNTIES
WHERE SKIES HAVE BEEN MOSTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON.

NOT MUCH HAPPENING SYNOPTICALLY TONIGHT...AWAITING THE APPROACH OF A
SHORT WAVE TROUGH OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA FOR MONDAY.  WARM ADVECTION
CONTINUES TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL FLOW TENDS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY.  LAKE
INDUCED CLOUDINESS HAS NEEDED QUITE A BIT OF HELP FROM LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE/FORCING THIS AFTERNOON...AND AS THAT FORCING ENDS TONIGHT
WITH CONTINUED LOW LEVEL WARMING LAKE CLOUDS WILL HAVE A TOUGH TIME
REGENERATING.  WILL LET RADAR TRENDS DICTATE WHERE EARLY EVENING
SNOW SHOWER CHANCES ARE REQUIRED...BUT THE GENERAL TREND FOR TONIGHT
WILL BE DRYING/DECREASING CLOUD COVER.  THINK OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 20S...FLY IN THE OINTMENT WOULD BE EARLY CLEARING AND
DECOUPLING OF WINDS ALLOWING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE INTERIOR TO
DROP QUICKLY.  BUT WINDS EXPECTED TO PICK UP LATER TONIGHT WHICH
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND.

JPB

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 353 PM/...MONDAY AND BEYOND

SHORT RANGE (MONDAY)...STRONGER PIECE OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY COMING
DOWN OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA.  DECENT SHOT OF UPWARD QG FORCING WITH
THIS FEATURE...CLOUDS/SNOWFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE ALREADY IN
EVIDENT ACROSS NORTHERN MANITOBA...SO LOOKS LIKE MUCH OF THE AREA
WILL STAND A CHANCE FOR SEEING SOME PRECIPITATION FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD.  WILL USE PROBABILISTIC QPF GUIDANCE FOR POP DISTRIBUTION
(GRADIENT FROM NORTH (HIGHER POPS) TO SOUTH).  SURFACE BASED WARM
LAYERS...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF LAKE MICHIGAN MAY RESULT IN MIXED
PRECIPITATION OR ALL RAIN.  DESPITE CLOUD COVER WILL STILL BE A MILD
DAY BY MID JANUARY STANDARDS WITH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
30S/NEAR 40 IN SPOTS.

JPB

OUTLOOK RANGE (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER POTENTIAL: PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY
NIGHT.  SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
SATURDAY...MOST LIKELY OVER THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWBELT REGIONS
/NORTHWEST FLOW/...WITH QUESTION REMAINING ON HOW MUCH SNOW FALLS
OUTSIDE OF THESE REGIONS.

TELECONNECTIONS: CURRENT GEFS FORECASTS FOR THE NAO BRING IT BACK TO
POSITIVE TERRITORY AFTER SPENDING MOST OF THE COMING WEEK AND
UPCOMING WEEKEND NEUTRAL TO SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE. THE PNA LOOKS TO
REMAIN CLOSE TO NEUTRAL.  GIVEN THAT THESE TWO INDICES ARE NOT
REALLY BUCKING WHAT HAS BEEN OCCURRING SO FAR THIS WINTER...THE WILD
CARD REMAINS THE AO.  CURRENT VALUES OF THE AO ARE AT THEIR LOWEST
SINCE NOVEMBER...BUT ARE ON THE RISE BACK TO WHERE IT HAS BEEN ALL
WINTER.  THIS WILL REMAIN SO THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK...BUT...AS
MENTIONED YESTERDAY...THERE REMAIN SIGNS THAT A SHIFT TO MORE
NEGATIVE VALUES IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE TWO WEEK TIME FRAME.
THERE IS LITTLE CERTAINTY IN THIS REGARD...BUT IN TERMS OF THE
ENSEMBLES...IT/S THE MOST PROMISING SIGN WE HAVE HAD IN WEEKS FOR A
BONA-FIDE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN.  NEVERTHELESS...WITH THE NAO/PNA
REMAINING PRETTY MUCH LOCK STEP WITH WHERE THEY HAVE BEEN...IT
APPEARS AN ACTIVE PACIFIC WILL CONTINUE...REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THIS
ACTIVITY WILL HAVE MORE COLD AIR TO WORK WITH ONCE IT ARRIVES OVER
OUR AREA.

LARGE SCALE PATTERN EVOLUTION:  PERIOD BEGINS TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
FLATTENING RIDGE SPREADING EAST BEFORE UPSTREAM AMPLIFICATION OF THE
PATTERN OCCURS AS RIDGE BUILDING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF NOAM /DUE
TO A DIGGING TROUGH IN THE GULF OF ALASKA/ LEADS TO TROUGH
DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY...TAPPING SOME OF THE
BITTER COLD AIR THAT HAS BEEN OVER MUCH OF ALASKA OF LATE.  THIS
TROUGH THEN CLOSES OFF /BUT LIKELY DOESN/T CUT OFF/ OVER THE EASTERN
CONUS THURSDAY-FRIDAY BEFORE PULLING EAST THIS WEEKEND AND LEAVING
OUR REGION IN AN AREA OF COOL NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  AS MENTIONED
YESTERDAY...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR HIGH IMPACT WEATHER WILL BE
AS THE TROUGH ARRIVES THURSDAY...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.  MORE
CERTAIN THAN SNOWFALL...HOWEVER IS THAT TEMPERATURES WILL TURN MUCH
COOLER FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

CONFIDENCE:  FSU CONFIDENCE GRAPHICS AS WELL AS GEFS RMOP GRAPHICS
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE PERIOD AFTER 00Z THURSDAY IS OF BELOW
NORMAL CONFIDENCE...AND WITH SUCH A LARGE SCALE TROUGH CLOSING OFF
OVERHEAD...THIS IS NOT A SURPRISE.  THE PRIMARY DIFFERENCES AT THIS
RANGE ARE THE SPEED OF THIS STRENGTHENING TROUGH...WITH THE GFS
CONTINUING TO BE QUITE FAST AS COMPARED TO THE ECMWF/GGEM AND MORE
DISTURBING THE GEFS.  HPC CONTINUES TO DOWNPLAY THE GFS AND HAVE NO
REASON TO ARGUE WITH THIS GIVEN A KNOWN GFS BIAS OF MOVING CLOSED
UPPER LOWS TOO FAST TO THE EAST. STILL..WITH TODAY/S 12Z CYCLE...A
THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE IS BEGINNING TO SHRINK /SEE BELOW/.

MONDAY NIGHT...WEAK AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN AS SHORTWAVE
MOVES TOWARDS THE NORTHEASTERN STATES.  COLD ADVECTION COMES TO AN
END...AND REVERSES ITSELF OVERNIGHT AS MID LEVEL HEIGHTS RECOVER
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  T85S THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT /NEAR -7C/
MAY BE JUST COLD ENOUGH TO TAP SOME MOISTURE OFF THE LAKES...AND
HIGHER RES NAM WANTS TO EXPAND A PLUME OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER AT
LEAST THE NORTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA AS A RESULT. THIS LOOKS QUITE
REASONABLE AND WILL ADD A CHANCE OF SHSN FOR EXTREME NORTHEAST LOWER
AND MOST OF EASTERN UPPER GIVEN THIS FLOW TRAJECTORY...WITH A FEW
FLURRIES LINGERING EVEN AFTER MIDNIGHT.  CLOUDS WILL LIKELY HOLD UP
TEMPS OVER EASTERN UPPER...AND NORTHEAST LOWER.  SOUTHWEST OF
THIS...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED ARRIVING RIDGE AXIS...THE FLOW WILL
LIKELY GO LIGHT ENOUGH TO DECOUPLE...SO WILL BRING LOCATIONS LIKE
CAD DOWN A FEW DEGREES /MID 20S AS OPPOSED TO NEAR 30 NORTH AND
EAST/ WITH FURTHER DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENT POSSIBLE.

WARM AIR ADVECTION STRENGTHENS OVER THE FORECAST AREA ON TUESDAY
WITH T85S WARMING ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK AT LEAST FROM THE BRIDGE
SOUTH BY AFTERNOON.  ABOVE THIS LEVEL...LIFT ON THE 295K /NEAR
750MB/ SUGGESTS A BAND OF MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS MAY IMPACT THE REGION
FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...BUT DRIER LOW LEVELS LIKELY PRECLUDING ANY
PRECIPITATION REACHING THE GROUND.  EASTERN UPPER MAY ALSO BE
DEALING WITH LEFTOVER CLOUDINESS FROM MONDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE WARM
FRONT REMAINS NEAR THE STRAITS THROUGH EVENING.  MAIN IMPACT OF THE
CLOUDS WILL BE ON TEMPERATURES...WHICH COULD REACH THE MID 40S IF
FULL MIXING TO T92 OCCURS.  WILL KEEP EASTERN UPPER A GOOD DEAL
COOLER THAN THIS...MID 30S UNDER THE LOW CLOUDS...WITH HIGH TEMPS
SOUTH OF THE BRIDGE GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 40S.

SURFACE WARM FRONT SHOULD PUSH NORTH AND EAST OF THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT WITH A PRETTY MILD AIR MASS IN PLACE AS WEAK AXIS OF LOW
PRESSURE SETTLES IN FROM THE NORTH AND WEST AHEAD OF APPROACHING/
DIGGING TROUGH JUST EAST OF THE ROCKIES.  WITH THE MOIST AIR MASS IN
PLACE...AND SLACKENING WIND FIELDS...WILL ADD SOME FOG TO THE
FORECAST AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH AREAS SOUTH OF THE BRIDGE MOST LIKELY
TO SEE SOME BREAKS AND THEREFORE THICKER FOG DEVELOPMENT.  LOWS DO
LOOK BALMY FOR THE SECOND WEEK OF JANUARY...GENERALLY UPPER 20S TO
AROUND 30.

LAST WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE DAY IS SLATED FOR WEDNESDAY AS
HEIGHTS BUILD ONE MORE TIME AHEAD OF AFOREMENTIONED DIGGING TROUGH
WHICH WILL STRETCH FROM THE DAKOTAS SOUTHWEST INTO NEBRASKA AND
COLORADO BY EVENING.  AT THE SAME TIME...WELL-ADVERTISED CUTOFF LOW
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL BEGIN THE TURN NORTH AND EAST.
TROUGH AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH INTO
THE REGION...WITH MOIST AREAS IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THIS ILL-DEFINED
LOW PRESSURE AREA /SAVE EASTERN UPPER/.  OUTSIDE OF LINGERING LOW
CLOUDS/LIGHT FOG IN EASTERN UPPER...SOME BREAKS OF SUN LOOK LIKE A
GOOD BET OVER NORTHERN LOWER...AND WITH T92 STILL AROUND THE
FREEZING MARK...HIGHS WILL LIKELY AGAIN MAKE A RUN AT 40 /OR HIGHER/
OVER NORTHERN LOWER...WHILE BEING STUCK IN THE MIDDLE 30S FURTHER
NORTH.  AS LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO CONSOLIDATE OVERHEAD IN THE
AFTERNOON...AND BEGIN DRAWING THE SURFACE COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE
REGION...COULD SEE A LITTLE LATE DAY RAIN/SNOW ESPECIALLY OVER FAR
NORTHERN AREAS BUT THIS SHOULD BE OF LITTLE CONSEQUENCE THROUGH
00Z.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...A VERY INTERESTING PERIOD APPEARS
TO BE SHAPING UP AS OF THIS WRITING WITH A GRADUALLY INCREASING
MODEL CONSENSUS IN REGARDS TO THE DEVELOPING/ARRIVING LONG WAVE
TROUGH POISED TO TAKE UP RESIDENCE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF NOAM
LATE THIS WEEK.  APPROACHING TROUGH WILL TAKE ON A NEUTRAL/NEGATIVE
TILT BY THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH STRONG QG SUPPORT FOR ASCENT TO IT/S
EAST DRIVING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT SOMEWHERE JUST TO OUR
EAST BY LATE IN THE DAY.  BIGGEST QUESTIONS AT THIS TIME ARE THE
IMPACTS OF AFOREMENTIONED CUTOFF AND ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW MOVING UP
THE EAST COAST AND WHETHER THE LOW DEVELOPING IN THE GREAT LAKES
REGION CAN TAP ANY OF IT/S MOISTURE.  IF THE TAP IS THERE...WE COULD
HAVE A PRETTY SNOWY DAY THROUGHOUT ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
IF NOT...THIS EVENT WILL BE MORE PURE LAKE EFFECT IN NATURE WITH
REDUCED /AND NOT AS WIDESPREAD/ SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

WITH TODAY/S 12Z GUIDANCE PACKAGE THE ECMWF/GFS HAVE BEEN CONVERGING
TOWARDS A SOLUTION THAT SUGGESTS AT LEAST SOME MOISTURE WILL WRAP
BACK INTO THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE WESTERN LOW FOR
THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH THIS SIGNATURE AND INCREASING MODEL
AGREEMENT...FEEL COMPELLED /IN COLLABORATION WITH MQT/GRR/DTX/ TO
INCREASE POPS TO LIKELY FOR THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT IN MOST AREAS.
DEPENDING ON WHEN PRECIPITATION REALLY GETS GOING...SOME RAIN/SNOW
MIX ISN/T OUT OF THE QUESTION OVER SOUTHEASTERN AREAS AS LATE AS
EARLY THURSDAY...BUT WILL NOT GET THAT FANCY WITH THE GRIDDED
FORECAST AT THIS JUNCTURE.

AS THE COLD AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY /T85S
FALL INTO THE UPPER MINUS TEENS/ BONA-FIDE NORTHWEST /OR WEST
NORTHWEST FLOW/ LAKE EFFECT LOOK LIKELY AND WILL CONTINUE LIKELY
POPS IN THESE AREAS.  DWINDLING SYNOPTIC MOISTURE SUGGESTS KEEPING
POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY AFTER THIS...BUT SOME LAKE EFFECT /AND
POTENTIALLY A NORTHERN STREAM CLIPPER/ IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SUNDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL NOSEDIVE BEGINNING THURSDAY WITH EARLY HIGHS NEAR
/OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE/ 30 DROPPING TO 20 FOR FRIDAY...WITH LOWER 20S
LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  LOWS IN THE TEENS ARE MOST
LIKELY...WITH SINGLE DIGITS /AND EVEN SOME BELOW ZERO VALUES/
POSSIBLE AS THE LAKE EFFECT WEAKENS AND CLOUD COVER THINS
SATURDAY-SUNDAY.

ARNOTT

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 353 PM/

SHORT RANGE (MONDAY)...STRONGER PIECE OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY COMING
DOWN OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA.  DECENT SHOT OF UPWARD QG FORCING WITH
THIS FEATURE...CLOUDS/SNOWFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE ALREADY IN
EVIDENT ACROSS NORTHERN MANITOBA...SO LOOKS LIKE MUCH OF THE AREA
WILL STAND A CHANCE FOR SEEING SOME PRECIPITATION FROM LATE MORNING
ONWARD.  WILL USE PROBABILISTIC QPF GUIDANCE FOR POP DISTRIBUTION
(GRADIENT FROM NORTH (HIGHER POPS) TO SOUTH).  SURFACE BASED WARM
LAYERS...ESPECIALLY DOWNWIND OF LAKE MICHIGAN MAY RESULT IN MIXED
PRECIPITATION OR ALL RAIN.  DESPITE CLOUD COVER WILL STILL BE A MILD
DAY BY MID JANUARY STANDARDS WITH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
30S/NEAR 40 IN SPOTS.

JPB

MONDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND...WINDS/WAVES WILL SUBSIDE MONDAY NIGHT AS
A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. THIS RESPITE
WILL BE SHORT-LIVED...HOWEVER...AS A NEW REGION OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH POTENTIAL SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS LATER TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. AFTER ANOTHER BREAK ON
WEDNESDAY...A MORE PROLONGED PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS
UNDER GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS LOOKS LIKELY BEGINNING THURSDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. GALES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL DURING
THIS PERIOD...MOST LIKELY THURSDAY-THURSDAY NIGHT.

ARNOTT

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1234 PM/...VALID FOR 18Z TAFS

MVFR CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING. SOME
IFR VISIBILITIES IN SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE AT PLN THROUGH 22Z. LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE AN ISSUE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST MONDAY FOR LMZ323.
     GALE WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY FOR LMZ341-342-344>346.
LS...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
413 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
091200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
413 AM EST SUN JAN 8 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKE MICHIGAN VERY LATE TONIGHT.
SEE GALE WATCHES AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY ON MONDAY...WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH
POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. GALE FORCE
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ON LAKE MICHIGAN ON MONDAY. SEE GALE WATCHES
AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

ACCUMULATING SNOW ALONG WITH BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS
MUCH COOLER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

JZ