Small Craft Advisory 28, NWS Gaylord, MI

239 
WHUS73 KAPX 101607
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1107 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

LMZ323-341-342-110015-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120311T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1107 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-110015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120311T0300Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1107 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

$$

LHZ345>349-110015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.120310T1800Z-120311T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1107 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

489 
WHUS73 KAPX 102103
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

LMZ323-341-342-110300-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120311T0300Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
403 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-110300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120311T0300Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
403 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

$$

LHZ345>349-110515-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120311T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
403 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

914 
WHUS73 KAPX 110225
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
925 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

LMZ323-341-342-110900-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-120311T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120311T0900Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
925 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-110900-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120311T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120311T0900Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
925 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. THE STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-110900-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120311T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
925 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

445 
WHUS73 KAPX 110316
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1016 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-110900-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120311T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1016 PM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

117 
WHUS73 KAPX 110756
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
356 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-111600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120312T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
356 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

888 
WHUS73 KAPX 111457
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-112300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120312T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1057 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

466 
WHUS73 KAPX 112001
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
401 PM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-120415-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
401 PM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

802 
WHUS73 KAPX 120214
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1014 PM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-121015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1014 PM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

305 
WHUS73 KAPX 120839
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
439 AM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-121600-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
439 AM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

380 
WHUS73 KAPX 121525
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1125 AM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-122330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1125 AM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

399 
WHUS73 KAPX 122041
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
441 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-130445-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
441 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

572 
WHUS73 KAPX 122119
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
519 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-122230-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
519 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ342-344>346-130530-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
519 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

044 
WHUS73 KAPX 130215
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1015 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

LMZ342-344>346-131000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1015 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

688 
WHUS73 KAPX 130736
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
336 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

LMZ345-346-130845-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T1000Z/
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
336 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-131500-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
336 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ342-344-131500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T2100Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
336 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

395 
WHUS73 KAPX 131359
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
959 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-342-344-132100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120313T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
959 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

391 
WHUS73 KAPX 131954
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
354 PM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-342-344-140300-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120314T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
354 PM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

912 
WHUS73 KAPX 140207
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1007 PM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-342-344-140315-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-120314T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
1007 PM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
408 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 406 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY SHIFT EAST
TODAY...ALLOWING MUCH WARMER AIR TO BEGIN MOVING INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THAT TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE...WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST
NEXT WEEKEND...INTERRUPTED ONLY BY OCCASIONAL CHANCES FOR RAIN
SHOWERS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL COME ON MONDAY AS
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CROSSES THE REGION...WITH SMALLER CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/00Z UPPER CHARTS REVEALING UPPER TROUGH/CORE OF
COLD AIR EXITING EAST OF THE REGION...SUBSTANTIAL RIDGING AND WARM
AIR ADVANCING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. SFC WARM FRONT SITS FROM
THE DAKOTAS SE THROUGH IOWA WITH TEMPS POPPING INTO THE 60S BEHIND
THE FRONT. SFC RIDGE AXIS/LIGHT WINDS AND EARLIER CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
THE CWA HAVE RESULTED IN COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPS WITH SOME AREAS IN
SINGLE DIGITS (LAST SINGLE DIGIT READINGS FOR THIS WINTER SEASON
MAYBE?) BUT ENCROACHING CLOUD COVER AND INCREASING WINDS WILL PUSH
TEMPS BACK UP BY MORNING.

TODAY...BAND OF WARM ADVECTION CLOUD COVER/FLURRIES OR VERY LIGHT
SNOW WILL EXIT THE EASTERN REACHES OF THE CWA BY MID-LATE MORNING
WITH VERY LITTLE FANFARE. SFC WARM FRONT WILL FOLLOW SUITE DURING
THE AFTERNOON WITH THINNING CLOUDS AND TEMPERATURES WARMING QUICKLY
TO THE HIGH 30S NORTH TO THE HIGH 40S SOUTH BEHIND THE FRONT.

WINDS...CORE OF 50 TO 60 KNOT WINDS JUST OFF THE SFC WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN BY AFTERNOON. A STRONG WARM ADVECTION REGIME
AND MIXING IS CERTAINLY NOT IDEAL FOR GETTING WIND TO THE SFC. BUT
LIKE THE LAST SYSTEM...GETTING GUSTS UP ABOVE 40 KNOTS PROBABLY NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY LEELANAU
SOUTH WHERE CORE OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL RESIDE. GIVEN THAT...DO
PLAN ON HOISTING WIND ADVISORY FOR THOSE COASTAL COUNTIES AND
CORRESPONDING STORM WARNINGS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

TONIGHT...WARM FRONT SLIPS ON INTO CANADA WHILE IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL
HEIGHTS/RIDGING (500 MB HEIGHTS AROUND 570 DM) BUILD OVER THE STATE.
DRY ATMOSPHERE...NO LAKE EFFECT...WINDS CHURNING THROUGH THE NIGHT
WILL LEAD TO CLEAR SKIES AND MILD TEMPS.

SUNDAY...CRAZY WARM FOR EARLY-MID MARCH. MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SLIDES
OVERHEAD ALONG WITH STRONG WEST-SW FLOW PERSISTING. ALWAYS TOUGH
THIS TIME OF YEAR TO KNOW JUST HOW DEEP MIXING WILL GET ESPECIALLY
GIVEN THE SNOWPACK. BUT...GIVEN THE STRONGER WINDS AND PRETTY MUCH
FULL SUN...TEMPS SHOULD MAKE A RUN AT THE 50S...AND MAYBE A 60 IN
THE DOWNSLOPE AREAS OF NE LOWER.

EARLY SPRING LOVERS (THIS AUTHOR INCLUDED) - THIS PATTERN IS FOR
YOU! MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS INCLUDE SEVERAL CHANCES FOR PRECIP OF
THE LIQUID VARIETY ON MONDAY AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY...BUT MAINLY OF THE
"JUST HOW WARM THINGS WILL GET" VARIETY (THIS IS A GOOD PROBLEM TO
HAVE THIS TIME OF YEAR). AFTER A QUICK RETURN TO WINTER OVER THE
PAST 36 HOURS...BIG PATTERN CHANGE UNDERWAY WITH BURGEONING MONSTER
WESTERN CONUS RIDGING...OVERTOPPING PESKY CLOSED LOW MEANDERING OVER
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS CLOSED LOW WILL BE THE FIRST FEATURE OF
INTEREST FOR US HEADING INTO MAINLY MONDAY AS BRIEF AMPLIFICATION OF
TROUGHING THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS HELPS KICK THIS FEATURE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN LAKES BY MIDDAY MONDAY. QUICK
SURGE OF MODEST BUT DEEP LAYER WARM ADVECTION ASCENT AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT (PWATS UP TO AROUND AN INCH) COMBINED WITH DEEP LAYER QG
UPWARD FORCING PUSH SHOULD RESULT IN A ROUND OF RAIN SHOWERS
CROSSING THE REGION. THUNDER NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION EITHER ON THE
LEADING EDGE OF RAPIDLY EVOLVING DRY SLOT WITH SHOWALTER INDICES
DIPPING TOWARD 0 FOR A TIME...THOUGH BEST CHANCE MAY BE ACROSS
WISCONSIN BENEATH COOL POOL ALOFT AND THUS WITHIN MUCH STEEPER MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

SHOWER THREAT WILL END HEADING INTO MONDAY EVENING OR THE FIRST HALF
OF MONDAY NIGHT WITH PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. THEREAFTER...
PRECIP THREAT BASICALLY NIL INTO TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT AS LOW/MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGING ARRIVES...WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW
REGIME PUMPING VERY WARM AIR NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION LATER TUESDAY
BUT ESPECIALLY INTO WEDNESDAY. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO PEG THE PASSAGE
OF A FAIRLY WEAK COLD FRONT SOMETIME LATER WEDNESDAY...WITH PERHAPS
A BRIEF SHOWER THREAT ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER...GIVEN SEVERE LACK OF ANY
UPPER FORCING HELP...AS PRIMARY SHORTWAVE SKIRTS THROUGH NORTHERN
ONTARIO...NOT OVERLY THRILLED WITH PRECIP POTENTIAL DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME. MUCH MORE INTERESTED IN POTENTIAL FOR AN INCREDIBLY WARM
DAY AS CORE OF LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGING FOLDS OVERHEAD. H8 TEMPS
RUNNING UP TOWARD +10C TO PERHAPS AS MUCH AS +12C PER ECMWF/GFS
ENSEMBLES ARE INDICATIVE OF JUST HOW WARM THIS AIR IS. WHILE MIXING
LIKELY WON'T GET US UP THAT HIGH...SHOULD DO QUITE WELL WITHIN
TIGHTENING GRADIENT...AND REALLY LIKE EARLIER CALL TO BUMP HIGHS
WELL ABOVE ANY GUIDANCE NUMBERS...MUCH CLOSER TO THE RAW ECMWF/GGEM
GUIDANCE...WITH HIGHS OVER NORTHERN LOWER WELL INTO THE 60S...
SLIGHTLY COOLER NORTH OF COURSE. WHILE THAT WILL BE A SOLID 25-30
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR MID MARCH...CURRENT RECORDS ARE MUCH
HIGHER. PERHAPS JUST A BRIEF COOLDOWN (MAYBE 3-5 DEGREES COLDER THAN
WEDNESDAY) FOR THURSDAY...WITH A PEAK AHEAD SHOWING NO END IN SIGHT
WHATSOEVER FOR THE WARMTH WITHIN FAIRLY STABLE 4-WAVE HEMISPHERIC
PATTERN. THIS FITS ANALOG YEARS OF THE TOP 10 WARMEST METEOROLOGICAL
WINTERS VERY WELL...AND IN FACT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE HIGHS
PUSH 70 DEGREES IN SPOTS OVER NORTHERN LOWER EITHER FRIDAY AND/OR
SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

BUILDING SUBSIDENCE...DRY AIR AND STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WAA
WILL REMAIN THE RULE THRU SATURDAY EVENING AS THE SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS MOVES OVERHEAD AND THEN SHIFTS EAST OF LWR MICHIGAN. SOLID
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THRU SATURDAY EVENING ...ALTHOUGH
STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN LLWS AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 KTS ON SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 406 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE IN CANADA AND RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE ALONG
THE EAST COAST...STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP
ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN AND LAKE HURON TODAY. STABLE LOW LEVELS WILL
KEEP WIND GUSTS AT BAY TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. BUT GALE GUSTS ARE
LIKELY ON THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS. IN FACT...A WINDOW OF
STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DOWN AROUND THE FRANKFORT/MANISTEE
AREA.

ON LAKE HURON...WINDS BLOWING OFFSHORE MAY KEEP GUSTS UNDER GALE
CRITERIA...BUT SOLID SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL MOST
CERTAINLY BE FOUND. GUSTY WINDS PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY AND CURRENT
MARINE HEADLINES WILL PROBABLY NEED EXTENDED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 406 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING...ALTHOUGH
THE WATER LEVEL IS ON ITS WAY DOWN. STILL A LITTLE ABOVE HALF A
FOOT OVER FLOOD STAGE. CURRENT HYDROGRAPH SUGGESTS THE RIVER WILL
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL
WATER RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE NEXT
WORK WEEK WITH THE ARRIVAL OF MORE SNOWMELT AND RESULTING RUNOFF.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING
     FOR MIZ020-025-031.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EDT
     SUNDAY FOR LHZ345>349.
LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LMZ323-341-342.
     STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LMZ344>346.
LS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...BA
SYNOPSIS...DL
SHORT TERM...BA
LONG TERM....DL
AVIATION...MR
MARINE...BA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
430 PM EST FRI MAR 9 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
101100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
430 PM EST FRI MAR 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN
SECTIONS OF CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTY THROUGH 7PM. THERE WILL BE
A BRIEF PERIOD OR TWO OF SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY THROUGH
THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER IS NO LONGER
WIDESPREAD.

GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

THE RIFLE RIVER NEAR STERLING IN ARENAC COUNTY REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE...HOWEVER THE WATER LEVEL IS RECEDING AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY. SEE ONGOING FLOOD WARNING
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
LIKELY IN MANY NEARSHORE WATERS SURROUNDING THE GREAT LAKES. STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE NEARSHORES OF LAKE
MICHIGAN. THESE WINDS WILL IMPACT MANY COASTAL COMMUNITIES FROM
MANISTEE TO NORTHPORT IN LEELANAU COUNTY. GUSTS IN THESE LOCATIONS
MAY EXCEED 50 MPH AT TIMES. WINDS FURTHER INLAND ARE EXPECTED TO
GUST 35 TO 40 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. REPORTS MAY BE MADE ONE OF TWO WAYS:

BY PHONE: 1-800-647-8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS)

BY FACEBOOK: FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.GAYLORD.GOV

JPB/SMD