Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 24, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this small craft advisory at Feb 25, 2012, 10:19 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 26, 2012, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 25, 2012, 10:19 PM EST (03:19 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 26, 2012, 10:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 27, 2012, 10:00 PM EST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
032 WHUS73 KAPX 260319 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1019 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 LHZ346>349-261130- /O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-120226T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.120226T1500Z-120228T0300Z/ ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 1019 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. THE PREVIOUS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ342-344>346-261130- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0012.120226T1800Z-120227T0900Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1019 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345-LMZ323-341-261130- /O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.120226T1500Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- 1019 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
9 follow-up statements
242 WHUS73 KAPX 260320 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1020 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 LMZ342-344>346-261130- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0012.120226T1800Z-120227T0900Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1020 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-261130- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.120226T1500Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- 1020 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD ARNOTT
126 WHUS73 KAPX 260906 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 406 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 LMZ342-344>346-261715- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0012.120226T1800Z-120227T0900Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 406 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST MONDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-261715- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.120226T1500Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- 406 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
105 WHUS73 KAPX 261616 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1116 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 LMZ342-344>346-270030- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0012.120226T1800Z-120227T0900Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1116 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-270030- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- 1116 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
466 WHUS73 KAPX 262124 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 424 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 LMZ342-344>346-270530- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120227T0900Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 424 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-270530- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- 424 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
021 WHUS73 KAPX 270359 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1059 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 LMZ342-344>346-271000- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-120227T0900Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1059 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ347-348-271000- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0013.120227T1800Z-120228T0300Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1059 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345-346-349-271000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 1059 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-341-271000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- 1059 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST MONDAY. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
590 WHUS73 KAPX 270830 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 330 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 LHZ347-348-271630- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0013.120227T1800Z-120228T0300Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 330 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345-346-349-271630- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 330 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-341-342-344>346-271630- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 330 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
521 WHUS73 KAPX 271555 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1055 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 LMZ342-344-280000- /O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0013.120227T1555Z-120228T0300Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- 1055 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ347-348-280000- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0013.120227T1800Z-120228T0300Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1055 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345-346-349-280000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 1055 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-341-345-346-280000- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1055 AM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
277 WHUS73 KAPX 272117 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 417 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 LMZ342-344-280300- /O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- 417 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ347-348-280300- /O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 417 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. $$ LHZ345-346-349-280300- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- 417 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ LMZ323-341-345-346-280300- /O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 417 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
186 WHUS73 KAPX 280302 MWWAPX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1002 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 LHZ347-348-280415- /O.EXP.KAPX.GL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING BOIS BLANC ISLAND- PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY- 1002 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. $$ LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-280415- /O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-120228T0300Z/ STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI- GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE- NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI- POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI- MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI- 1002 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 25, 10:07 PM EST, 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 10:07 PM EST, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1007 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1002 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
FORECAST CONTINUES ON TRACK WITH LITTLE CHANGES FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED PRETTY MUCH WELL-
BEHAVED...WITH ONLY A FEW DROPS /SEE CURRENT 15F AT KCAD/...BUT
GENERALLY REMAINING NEAR OR ABOVE 20F AS STRATUS HAS HELPED KEEP
ANY FALLS IN CHECK. STILL EXPECTING LOWS GENERALLY IN THE MID
TEENS...CLOSER TO 20F NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN COAST WHERE STRATUS
WILL BE MORE CONTINUOUS. FLURRIES EXPANDING ON APX 88D FROM US-
131 WEST ATTM ARE HAVING TROUBLE REACHING THE GROUND IN ANY
CAPACITY WITH SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS NEARING 10F. STILL...
EXPECT THAT WE/LL CONTINUE TO SEE FLURRIES IN THE AIR...GENERALLY
WEST OF I-75 FOR THE OVERNIGHT...WITH THIS FLURRY AREA SLOWLY
SHIFTING NORTH AND BECOMING MORE CONFINED TO THE COAST AS WINDS
RELAX AND SHIFT MORE SOUTHERLY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS PASSES
EAST OF OUR LONGITUDE.
UPDATE ISSUED AT 653 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
GOING FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE...BUT LOTS OF LITTLE UPDATES IN STORE
GIVEN THIN STRATUS DECK ADVANCING EAST WITH A PRETTY SIZEABLE HOLE
TAKING SHAPE OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. FIRST...REMOVED ALL POPS
AND TRANSITIONED TO FLURRY WORDING AS VSBYS HAVE BEEN NO LOWER
THAN 7SM OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. EXPECT CURRENT FLURRIES TO
CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST...BUT GRADUALLY ERODE AS THEY DO WITH LITTLE
REACHING THE LAKE HURON COAST.
FRANKFORT DROPPED 6F LAST HOUR AS THE STRATUS HOLE ARRIVED AND
EXPECT QUICK TEMPERATURE DIPS AS THIS BREAK IN THE CLOUDS ALSO
MOVES EAST WITH WINDS QUICKLY DECOUPLING AS HIGH PRESSURE AXIS
SETTLES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. WILL STAY ON TOP OF HOURLY
CHANGES...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF MANY LOCATIONS NORTH OF
M55 AND WEST OF US 131 SAW THEIR LOWS THIS EVENING BEFORE
ADDITIONAL STRATUS PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 316 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
OHIO VALLEY HIGH PRESSURE WILL INCREASE ITS INFLUENCE OVER THE GREAT
LAKES TONIGHT. IN THE MEANTIME...LOW PRESSURE WILL EJECT INTO SOUTH
DAKOTA. THIS LOW WILL HEAD EAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
WHILE STILL SPREADING LIGHT SNOW OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN.
SOME MINOR LAKE EFFECT WILL LINGER IN ITS WAKE MONDAY. STRONG BUT
QUICK-MOVING HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
TUESDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER NORTHERN PLAINS LOW THAT
WILL SPREAD SNOW AND RAIN INTO THE REGION.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 316 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
SFC TROUGH AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN STEADILY WEAKENING
AND PULLING OUT OF THE REGION...WHILE SFC RIDGE AXIS GRADUALLY
FILLS IN ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. WEDGE OF FAIRLY DRY AIR
HAS WORKED INTO A GOOD PART OF THE CWA...RESULTING IN MAINLY SUNNY
SKIES OVER EASTERN UPPER AND A GOOD PART OF NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...AXIS OF BETTER MOISTURE/DAYTIME HEATING AND
FAVORABLE WIND TRAJECTORIES FROM LAKE SUPERIOR DOWN INTO PARTS OF
NW LOWER MICHIGAN STILL PRODUCING A SOLID AREA OF LAKE AND DIURNAL
STCU FROM CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN DOWN THROUGH THE SW PART OF THE
CWA. APX 88D PICKING UP LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES ACROSS THAT
AREA...WHICH HAS BEEN ADDRESSED WITH EARLIER FORECAST UPDATES.
TONIGHT...SFC-LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT WITH WINDS BACKING SW AND ULTIMATELY SOUTH SUNDAY MORNING.
WITH THE BACKING WINDS...SUSPECT THAT REMAINING LAKE CLOUDS OVER
LAKE MICHIGAN TODAY WILL GET SHOVED INLAND THOUGHT THE COURSE OF
THE NIGHT...ALONG WITH SOME LOW END SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER CHANCES
ACROSS NW LOWER MICHIGAN. CLOUDS/SOME LIGHT SFC WINDS WILL OF COURSE
HAVE AN IMPACT ON FORECAST LOW TEMPS AND WILL NUDGE FORECAST LOWS
UP A FEW DEGREES AS A RESULT. ONLY CAVEAT...ANY PERIOD OF CLEARING
SKIES EITHER THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT COULD ALLOW SFC WINDS TO GO
LIGHT AND TEMPS TO DROP QUICKLY. EXPECT UPDATES THROUGH THE EVENING.
SUNDAY...PACIFIC ORIGIN SHORT WAVE IN THE NRN ROCKIES TODAY WILL
ADVANCE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS LATER TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE NRN
LAKES SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...ATTENDING SFC LOW TRACKING ACROSS
UPPER MICHIGAN PRIMARILY SUNDAY NIGHT. NICE CORE OF STRONGER LOW-
MID LEVEL FLOW AND RESULTING PULSE OF WARM ADVECTION FORCING
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE (PARTICULARLY THE NRN
HALF) FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...AS WITH
MANY NRN STREAM SYSTEMS WITH A LIMITED OR NON-EXISTENT MOISTURE
TAP FROM THE SOUTH...MOST IF NOT ALL SUBSTANTIAL PRECIP WILL
REMAIN CONFINED TO ALONG AND NORTH OF THE LOW TRACK. ESSENTIALLY
UPPER MICHIGAN AND PERHAPS JUST INTO THE TIP OF THE MITT COUNTIES.
GOING FORECAST ALREADY HAS THIS IDEA WITH LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL
POPS ACROSS THE NRN THIRD OF THIS CWA SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AN INCH OR TWO BY SUNDAY EVENING.
NO HEADLINES ANTICIPATED AT THIS POINT. BUT A COUPLE CAVEATS...S/SE
FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN AHEAD OF THE LOW AND SUFFICIENT OVER WATER
INSTABILITY COULD BRING A BOOST TO SNOWFALL/ACCUMULATIONS OVER
WESTERN MACK/CHIP COUNTIES. ALSO...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SOME
BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW THAT MIGHT ULTIMATELY JUSTIFY AN ADVISORY.
.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 316 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
ENTERTAINING...ALBEIT CHALLENGING...PERIOD OF WEATHER SET TO
CONTINUE AS PROGRESSIVE...YET AMPLIFIED...PATTERN PERSISTS THROUGH
THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. MAINTENANCE OF POSITIVE NAO/AO
TELECONNECTIONS AND A TREND TOWARDS A NEUTRAL PNA SIGNATURE ALL
SUGGEST MAINTENANCE OF SEASON-LONG LACK OF ANY SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT
COLD OUTBREAKS. HOWEVER (AND IN TYPICAL LATE WINTER SEASON
FASHION)...TIGHTENING NORTHERN CONUS BAROCLINIC ZONE (PERHAPS
AUGMENTED BY LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK) MAKES FOR A
EXTREMELY CHALLENGING PRECIP TYPE FORECAST WITH ANY PASSING SYSTEMS.
FORECAST CONCERNS CENTER ON JUST THAT...MAINLY PRECIP TYPE AND
TIMING...WITH MOST FOCUS DIRECTED AT POTENTIAL HIGH IMPACT SYSTEM
SLATED TO VISIT THE NORTH WOODS DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
CURRENT NORTHWEST CONUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH RACES EAST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN CONUS THIS WEEKEND...DEAMPLIFYING AS IT DOES SO. MULTI-DAY
GUIDANCE TRENDS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT AN ASSOCIATED STEADILY FILLING
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO CUT ACROSS EASTERN UPPER/SOUTHERN LAKE
SUPERIOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. PRE-SYSTEM WAA WILL BE
ONGOING...WITH MAIN FOCUS FOR ASCENT AND DEEP LAYER SATURATION STILL
PROGGED TO OCCUR FROM THE STRAITS NORTH LATER SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
EVENING. DEEP LAYER DRY SLOT PIVOTS INTO MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN QUICKLY SUNDAY EVENING...ESSENTIALLY CUTTING OFF ANY
MEANINGFUL SNOWFALL. QUICK MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM AND COMPLETE LACK OF
ANY GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE (MIXING RATIOS ONLY AVERAGING 1 TO 2
G/KG) STILL SUPPORTS ANY ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SUNDAY NIGHT
OF UNDER 2 INCHES...AND ONCE AGAIN PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE STRAITS
(MUCH LESS THAN THAT SOUTH OF THE BRIDGE). GOING TO BE QUITE
BLUSTERY...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY EVENING...WITH TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND 925MB 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET STREAK SUPPORTING GUSTY SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 KNOTS AT TIMES. SYSTEM
AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT EXIT STAGE RIGHT EARLY MONDAY MORNING...
WITH JUST ENOUGH POST-FRONTAL CAA TO ENTICE A LIGHT LAKE EFFECT
RESPONSE IN FAVORED NORTHWEST FLOW AREAS. WAVERING WIND FIELDS AND
LOSS OF SYNOPTIC SUPPORT SHOULD KEEP INTENSITY LEVELS AND COVERAGE
IN CHECK...WITH THE MOST NUMEROUS ACTIVITY EXPECTED IN THE SNOW
BELTS OF EASTERN UPPER. EVEN THERE...WOULD ANTICIPATE JUST MINIMAL
ACCUMULATIONS. TEMPERATURES PRETTY MUCH STEADY-STATE OR SLOWLY
FALLING THROUGH THE DAY...WITH READINGS BY EVENING GENERALLY IN THE
20S.
LINGERING LIGHT LAKE INDUCED SNOWS AND FLURRIES EARLY MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH ATTENTION THEN DIRECTED TOWARD A POTENTIALLY MORE
SIGNIFICANT STORM LATER TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. NEXT SHORTWAVE IN
THE PACIFIC WAVE-TRAIN EXPECTED TO UNDERGO DEEP AMPLIFICATION ACROSS
THE INTERIOR WEST...WITH SIGNIFICANT LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURRING
OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AS THE MID LEVEL CLOSED LOW EJECTS OUT
OF THE ROCKIES LATER TUESDAY. PLETHORA OF TIMING AND PLACEMENT
ISSUES WITH THE ABOVE WITHIN BOTH HIGH RES OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE AND
THEIR LOW RES ENSEMBLES. OPERATION GFS AND CANADIAN MODELS BOTH
REMAIN A TOUCH FURTHER NORTH AND MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE 00Z ECMWF
(WHICH IS A GOOD 12 HOURS SLOWER). UNFORTUNATELY...EITHER SOLUTION HAS
MERIT...BOTH WITHIN MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE CLUSTERING AND PATTERN
RECOGNITION OF ONGOING PROGRESSIVE FLOW REGIME. UNLIKE THIS UPCOMING
SUNDAY EVENT...NO SHORTAGE OF MOISTURE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO WORK
WITH...WITH SUSTAINED GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE ADVECTION SUPPORTING
PWAT VALUES APPROACHING AN INCH BY EARLY WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN LAKES. STRONG WAA AND MOISTURE SURGE NORTH OF DEVELOPING
OHIO /MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WARM FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT AN EXTENSIVE
AREA OF PRECIP AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST INTO THE REGION. HAVE KIND
OF SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE WITH REGARDS TO TIMING...SOMEWHAT SLOWING
ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TUESDAY...WHILE MAINTAINING LIKELY WORDING
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. PRECIP TYPE JUST AS CHALLENGING...WITH
THE FURTHER SOUTH 00Z ECMWF MAINTAINING MAINLY AN ALL SNOW SCENARIO
THROUGH THE DURATION...WHILE BOTH THE LATEST GFS AND CANADIAN
SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME MIX POTENTIAL ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.
PATTERN RECOGNITION OF THE LATTER TWO ALSO SUPPORT A GOOD FREEZING
RAIN POTENTIAL...WITH MAINTENANCE OF DRY AND COLD EAST SURFACE WINDS
ROTATING AROUND SLOWLY DEPARTING EAST CANADA HIGH PRESSURE. WILL NOT
GET THIS DETAILED JUST YET IN THE FORECAST...AND SIMPLY KEEP
INHERITED RAIN/SNOW WORDING SOUTH OF THE STRAITS WEDNESDAY...AND ALL
SNOW TO THE NORTH. NO DOUBT THIS SYSTEM REMAINS WORTHY OF A MENTION
IN BOTH AFTERNOON UPDATED ON-LINE HAZARDOUS WEATHER BRIEFING AND HWO
PRODUCTS.
PENDING SPEED ADJUSTMENTS...ABOVE SYSTEM IS SLATED TO DEPART
SOMETIME ON THURSDAY...WITH NOT MUCH REPRIEVE UNTIL THE NEXT STORM
TAKES AIM ON THE REGION. NOT MUCH POINT IN DISCUSSING SURE-TO-CHANGE
THERMAL PROGS AND PRECIP TYPE POTENTIAL THIS EARLY (LETS GET THROUGH
THE MID WEEK SYSTEM FIRST)...BUT MOUNTING EVIDENCE FOR ANOTHER
MOISTURE RICH SYSTEM TO VISIT OUR AREA BY LATTER FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY.
&&
.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 653 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
VFR AT MBL/TVC/APN WITH FLURRIES AN MVFR CIGS AT PLN. STRATUS WITH
SOME OCCASIONAL BREAKS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH NO MROE
THAN A POTENTIAL FLURRY. EXPECT CURRENT MVFR CIGS AT PLN TO BE
SHORT-LIVED...LIKELY 1-2 HOURS BEFORE SOME PARTIAL BREAKS DEVELOP.
STRATUS COULD RE-FORM LATER TONIGHT NEAR 3KFT...BUT CONFIDENCE IN
THIS IS LOW.
ANY STRATUS SHOULD GIVE WAY TO A BKN MID DECK FOR THE DAY ON
SUNDAY WITH SOME LOWERING OF THE CLOUDS AT PLN TOWARDS EVENING. NO
RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED...HOWEVER.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO CALM THIS EVENING BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHEAST
AND STRENGTHENING MARKEDLY SUNDAY MORNING...REACHING 15G25KTS BY
LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
&&
.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 316 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS EVENING LEADING TO
A PERIOD OF LIGHTER WINDS/WAVES TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. MAY
BE ABLE TO KILL A MARINE HEADLINES FOR A NIGHT. BUT...NEXT AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THROUGH THE NRN LAKES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
SUNDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE LOW...ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NRN MICHIGAN LEADING TO AT LEAST SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR ALL NEARSHORE AREAS. WINDS JUST OFF THE SFC
WILL TOP 40 KNOTS RAISING GALE FORCE GUST CONCERNS. BUT ARRIVAL OF
MUCH WARMER AIR OVER THE LAKES WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL LEAD TO
INCREASING OVER WATER STABILITY WHICH TENDS TO KEEP HIGH END GUSTS
IN CHECK. BEST BET FOR GALE GUSTS WILL OCCUR FROM MANISTEE TO THE
STRAITS...WHERE FAVORABLE COASTAL CONVERGENCE WIND DIRECTIONS WILL
LEAD TO STRONGER WINDS/GUSTS. WITH THAT IN MIND...PLAN ON HOISTING A
GALE WARNING FROM THE NW LOWER MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS...SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL SCA/S WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
ELSEWHERE SUNDAY NIGHT. POST-FRONTAL GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED
ON MONDAY...WITH A BRIEF BREAK MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE THE
NEXT STRONG STORM ARRIVES DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...NONE.
LM...GALE WARNING FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR LMZ342-
344>346.
LS...NONE.
&&
UPDATE...JA
SHORT TERM...BA
LONG TERM....MB
AVIATION...JA
MARINE...BA/MSBHazardous weather outlook, Feb 25, 3:31 PM EST, 6 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 331 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042- 261200- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 331 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ALONG WITH SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREAS...SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. PLEASE SEE THE NEARSHORE FORECAST FOR DETAILS. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE MIDWEST WILL LIKELY BRING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. SNOW MAY MIX WITH RAIN AND/OR ICE AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER... SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ADAM
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Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.