Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 15, NWS Gaylord, MI

January 27, 2012

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this small craft advisory at Jan 27, 2012, 4:07 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 28, 2012, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 43 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 27, 2012, 4:07 PM EST (21:07 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 28, 2012, 9:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 30, 2012, 3:30 AM EST
In force
43 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

782 
WHUS73 KAPX 272107
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
407 PM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

LHZ347-348-280515-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-120127T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.120128T1400Z-120129T2200Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
407 PM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 5 PM EST
SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 5 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-280515-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.120128T1400Z-120129T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
407 PM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 5 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 5 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
11 follow-up statements
314 
WHUS73 KAPX 280325
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1025 PM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-281000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.120128T1400Z-120129T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1025 PM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO
5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO
5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
704 
WHUS73 KAPX 280839
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
339 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-281645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.120128T1400Z-120130T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
339 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
889 
WHUS73 KAPX 281559
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1059 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-290000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1059 AM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
764 
WHUS73 KAPX 282103
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

LMZ323-342-344>346-290515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
403 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-290515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
403 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-347-348-290515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
403 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-290515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T1000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
403 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
099 
WHUS73 KAPX 290140
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
840 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

LMZ342-344-290945-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0008.120129T0140Z-120129T1000Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
840 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-345-346-290945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
840 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-290945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
840 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-347-348-290945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
840 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-290945-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T1000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
840 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
759 
WHUS73 KAPX 290334
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

LMZ342-344-291000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120129T1000Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-345-346-291145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-291000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-347-348-291145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-291000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T1000Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1034 PM EST SAT JAN 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
150 
WHUS73 KAPX 290845
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
345 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LMZ342-344-291600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120129T1600Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
345 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-291645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
345 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ346-349-291645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
345 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-345-346-291645-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
345 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-347-348-291645-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
345 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
593 
WHUS73 KAPX 291529
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1029 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LMZ342-344-292330-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120129T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
1029 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-349-LMZ341-291630-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120129T2200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1029 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ323-345-346-292330-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1029 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-292330-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1029 AM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
865 
WHUS73 KAPX 292057
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
357 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LMZ323-342-344>346-300400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
357 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-348-300400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
357 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
890 
WHUS73 KAPX 300345
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

LHZ347-348-LMZ345-346-300445-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1045 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ323-342-344-301000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
1045 PM EST SUN JAN 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
251 
WHUS73 KAPX 300830
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
330 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

LMZ323-342-344-300930-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-120130T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
330 AM EST MON JAN 30 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 27, 4:03 PM EST, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 27, 4:03 PM EST, 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 400 PM/

PERIODS OF SNOW ARE ON TAP FOR NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO MONDAY...WHICH WILL FRESHEN UP THE SNOW COVER ACROSS THE
REGION.  A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP ACROSS MICHIGAN SATURDAY...
BRINGING A SWATH OF SNOW TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN STARTING LATER
TONIGHT.  SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH COLDER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM SETTING UP
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS DOWNWIND OF LAKES MICHIGAN AND SUPERIOR FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.  WARMER AIR WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD BACK
INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES MONDAY...AS IT DOES THIS WILL BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE.

JPB

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 400 PM/...TONIGHT

ON THE LATEST SURFACE WEATHER MAP...1016 MB HIGH PRESSURE WAS OVER
TENNESSEE AND 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER EASTERN MINNESOTA.
SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
NORTHERN MICHIGAN WITH APX OBVIOUSLY VOID OF ANY RETURNS. SHORT
TERM FORECAST CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND THE TIMING OF THE EXPECTED
SNOW ARRIVAL LATE TONIGHT.

THE RIDGING WILL QUICKLY SHIFT OF TO OUR EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE SHOULD STILL BE A SMALL WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP OFF THIS EVENING WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS. SO GENERALLY EXPECTING LOWS
RANGING FROM THE MIDDLE 20S EAST TO AROUND 30 WEST. LATER THIS
EVENING INTO OVERNIGHT...CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AND LOWER WITH SNOW
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE LATE ACROSS WESTERN ZONES (06Z-09Z) AS THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE AND RELATED FORCING ACROSS MINNESOTA MOVE INTO THE
REGION (REACHING THE FAR EAST TOWARD DAYBREAK). ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO TWO INCHES EXPECTED WEST WITH LESS THAN AN INCH EAST DUE TO THE
LATE ARRIVAL OF THE SNOW.

SULLIVAN

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 400 PM/...SATURDAY AND BEYOND

SATURDAY...THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION IN THE MORNING. SO SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL ZONES TO START
THE DAY. BEHIND THE SYSTEM AFTER A SHORT BREAK IN THE ACTION (DUE TO
SUBSIDENCE)...WEST NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT BACKING WEST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DELTA TS ARE NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE (MID TEENS)
BUT MOISTURE LOOKS FAIRLY GOOD (850-700 MB RH 60 TO 70 PERCENT). SO
GENERALLY ANOTHER INCH OR TWO ACCUMULATION IN THE MORNING (HIGHEST
EAST) THEN ONE TO PERHAPS AS MUCH AS TWO INCHES FROM LAKE EFFECT IN
THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM
THE UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S (STILL 5 TO 7 DEGREES OR SO ABOVE
AVERAGE FOR LATE JANUARY).

SULLIVAN

REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST...AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE PATTERN WITH ERN
TROF TRANSITIONS TO QUASI-ZONAL IN THE MEDIUM RANGE WITH PACIFIC
JET ONCE AGAIN DOMINATING THE FLOW ACROSS THE LOWER 48. INITIAL
FORECAST CONCERNS CENTERED AROUND LAKE EFFECT EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...WITH FAST MOVING PACIFIC DRIVEN WAVE TRAIN TAKING SHAPE
NEXT WEEK /RESULTING IN DIMINISHING FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
DETAILS/.

SYNOPTIC SYSTEM PULLS AWAY AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BECOME THE MAIN
WEATHER STORY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.  LOW LEVEL MEAN
WIND DIRECTION LIKELY WEST OR WEST SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF SATURDAY
NIGHT AS UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROF SLIDES JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE
AREA.  ALTHOUGH THERMAL PROFILES SHOW INCREASING OVERLAKE
INSTABILITY /DELTA T/S MOVING TOWARD 16-20C/...MOISTURE FIELDS ARE
LESS THAN IDEAL.  THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE OVER NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN WHICH ENDS UP SITTING IN BETWEEN 2 AREAS OF DEEPEST
850-700MB MOISTURE AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY SPLITS THE AREA. IN
ADDITION...INVERSION HEIGHTS GENERALLY LESS THAN 5K...AT LEAST
PARTIALLY THE RESULT OF SUBSIDENCE BEHIND SYNOPTIC FEATURE. OVER
EASTERN UPPER...DEEPER MOISTURE AND INVERSION HEIGHTS TOWARD 500MB
POINT TOWARD HEAVIER SNOW POTENTIAL.  THIS THREAT CONTINUES INTO
SUNDAY FOR THIS AREA AS SECONDARY TROF DRAPES ITSELF ACROSS THE AREA
WITH CONTINUING FAVORABLE LES PARAMETERS.  BECAUSE OF THIS...WILL
ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

WINDS VEER MORE WEST/NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY WITH LINGERING MOISTURE ON
THE BACKSIDE OF DEPARTING UPPER FEATURE.  THIS WILL BRING LAKE
EFFECT SNOWSHOWERS TOWARD GAYLORD/KALKASKA IN NORTHERN LOWER AND
SAULT STE MARIE IN EASTERN UPPER.  SOME MODEL INCONSISTENCIES ON THE
DEPTH OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND FORCING...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY
DETERMINE THE INTENSITY OF THE LAKE EFFECT.  FOR NOW WILL PAINT
LIKELY POPS IN FAVORED WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW AREAS...BUT WILL KEEP
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE LIGHT SIDE.  LOW LEVEL FLOW QUICKLY BACKS TO
THE SOUTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT AS WARMER AIR BEGINS TO MAKE A PUSH
TOWARD THE AREA.  WITH CORE OF COLDEST AIR LEAVING THE AREA...WILL
HAVE TO SEE IF THERE IS ENOUGH OVERLAKE INSTABILITY TO COINCIDE WITH
INCREASING WARM AIR ADVECTION LOW/MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO RESULT IN
SOME LAKE RESPONSE OVER LAKE MICHIGAN.

MONDAY WILL BRING A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA WITH IMPRESSIVE /BUT
BRIEF/ POSITIVE ADIABATIC OMEGA ON THE 290K SURFACE...RESULTING IN A
WIDESPREAD LIGHT WARM AIR ADVECTION SNOW.  NOT EXPECTING LARGE
ACCUMULATIONS AS FORCING IS CONFINED TO A 6 HOUR WINDOW AND PWATS
ARE FAIRLY LOW.  REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
SHOWS DIMINISHING CONFIDENCE...AS PACIFIC JET WITH NUMEROUS EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVES SLIDE ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE COUNTRY.  FIRST ONE
WILL LIKELY BRING LIGHT RAIN TO THE AREA ON TUESDAY WITH SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR FILTERING BACK INTO THE REGION FOR A POSSIBLE CHANGEOVER
TO LIGHT SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  ADDITIONAL LIGHT PCPN
CHANCES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

JK

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 400 PM/

A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY...AND THEN ANOTHER SUNDAY.
WITH EACH COLD FRONT...COLDER AIR FILLS INTO THE GREAT LAKES WITH
GROWING INSTABILITY. SCA WINDS (POSSIBLE GALES) SATURDAY AND
MARGINAL SCA'S AFTER SUNDAY'S COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1240 PM/...VALID FOR 18Z TAFS

VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
GAINS CONTROL TEMPORARILY. LOW PRESSURE OVER MINNESOTA WILL THEN
TRACK ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING BRINGING A PERIOD OF SNOW ALONG WITH IFR VSBYS AND MVFR TO
IFR CIGS. WESTERLY FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON (WITH PLN IMPACTED THE MOST).
LAKE EFFECT SHOULD THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

AJS

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MIZ008.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 5 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
     LHZ345>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 5 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
     LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
LS...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 27, 5:13 AM EST, 10 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
513 AM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
281315-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
513 AM EST FRI JAN 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF FREEZING FOG AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL END THIS
MORNING.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND BRING SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
TO ALL OF NORTHERN LOWER BY DAYBREAK. THE HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 75....PARTICULARLY IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN. SEE LATEST FORECAST FOR SPECIFIC AMOUNTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL IN ALL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY MORNING. THERE IS MORE CONFIDENCE
IN LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH THE STRAITS REGION WITH MODERATE
ACCUMULATIONS FOR MOST COMMUNITIES BY AFTERNOON. EXPECTATIONS ARE
THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS EASTERN UPPER...AND
PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN WHERE SOME
LAKE MICHIGAN ENHANCEMENT MAY OCCUR. THAT SAID...ALL AREAS WILL
BE IN LINE TO SEE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WEST WINDS OVER 30 MPH WILL
DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL RESULT IN BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF NEW SNOWFALL.

COLDER AIR THEN MOVES INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED
TO ACCUMULATE. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL FALL ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHWEST LOWER...AND IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY
CHIPPEWA COUNTY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

POTTERS ARE ALWAYS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. TRY POSTING ON OUR NWS GAYLORD FACEBOOK PAGE.

SMD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 27, 3:55 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchAPX12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.