Small Craft Advisory 115, NWS Gaylord, MI

194 
WHUS73 KAPX 100215
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
915 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

LMZ341-342-101015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.121110T1200Z-121111T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
915 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>348-101015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.121110T1200Z-121111T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
915 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

914 
WHUS73 KAPX 101601
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1101 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

LMZ344>346-110015-
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0040.121111T0900Z-121112T0600Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1101 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-110015-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121111T0600Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1101 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-110015-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1101 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-110015-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.121111T0600Z-121112T0600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1101 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>348-110015-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121111T0600Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1101 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-110015-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1101 AM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

629 
WHUS73 KAPX 102109
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

LMZ323-110515-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.121111T0600Z-121112T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0040.121111T0900Z-121112T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-110515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0040.121111T0900Z-121112T0000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-110515-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T1000Z/
STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>348-110515-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-110400-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121111T0400Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-110515-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-110515-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
409 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

730 
WHUS73 KAPX 110314
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1014 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

LMZ323-344>346-111115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0040.121111T0900Z-121112T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1014 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-111115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1014 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-111115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1014 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-111115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1014 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-110415-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121111T0400Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1014 PM EST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

488 
WHUS73 KAPX 112008
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
308 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

LMZ323-344>346-120600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
308 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-120600-
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.121111T2008Z-121113T1200Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
308 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-120600-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
308 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

289 
WHUS73 KAPX 120341
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1041 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

LMZ323-344>346-121145-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-121112T0600Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1041 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-121145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1041 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ322-121145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1041 PM EST SUN NOV 11 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

210 
WHUS73 KAPX 121608
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1108 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012

LSZ322-121715-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0116.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1108 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LSZ321-121715-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1108 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-130015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1108 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-130015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1108 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

858 
WHUS73 KAPX 122107
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
407 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

LSZ321-130500-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.121113T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
407 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-342-344>346-130500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
407 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-130500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
407 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-130500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
407 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

549 
WHUS73 KAPX 130334
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1034 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

LMZ341-342-344>346-131145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1600Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1034 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST TUESDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-131145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1034 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-131145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1034 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-131145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
1034 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

015 
WHUS73 KAPX 131610
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1110 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2012

LMZ341-342-344>346-131900-
/O.EXP.KAPX.SC.Y.0115.000000T0000Z-121113T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0117.121113T1610Z-121113T1900Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1110 AM EST TUE NOV 13 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
417 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 417 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN LATER TONIGHT RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY...ALLOWING
THE PRECIPITATION TO MIX WITH...AND CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS
MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT. LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY...WITH DRY WEATHER RETURNING FOR THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 417 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

SOME LIGHT RETURNS ON RADAR OVER NORTHERN LOWER AS ISENTROPIC
UPGLIDE WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY CONTINUES OVER FRONTAL BOUNDARY
DRAPED ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER. TONIGHT...SURFACE LOW WILL BEGIN TO
PUSH EAST OUT OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WITH WARM FRONT SLOWLY
WORKING NORTHWARD THRU SOUTHERN MICHIGAN.  MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY INCREASE BELOW 750MB SEEN THRU POSITIVE ADIABATIC OMEGA ON
THE 300K SURFACE AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE PROGS.  THE FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ARE SLOW TO SATURATE COMPLETELY IN THE BL /POSSIBLY DUE TO
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BEING BACKED TO THE SOUTHEAST/.  LOOKING LIKE
MAINLY A DRIZZLE/FOG SCENARIO DEVELOPING...WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN TOWARD MORNING AS MOISTURE DEPTH INCREASES TOWARD 700MB.
CHALLENGING FORECAST IN TERMS OF WHEN FOG WILL GO TO DRIZZLE
TONIGHT...BUT IT LOOKS AS IF MOST WIDESPREAD DRIZZLE WILL COME AFTER
MIDNIGHT OVER NORTHERN LOWER AS WE SEE GREATER MOISTURE SATURATION
BELOW -10C ON FCST SOUNDINGS AND A SLIGHT UPTICK IN FORCING AS
SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  PCPN WILL BE SLOW TO ARRIVE IN
EASTERN UPPER /MORE TOWARD MORNING/. TEMPS COULD CREATE A PROBLEM IF
NORTHERLY FLOW HOLDS ON LONG ENOUGH TONIGHT AND TEMPS FALL TOWARD
FREEZING /WHICH IS POSSIBLE/.  THIS COULD RESULT IN A BRIEF PERIOD
OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN/DRIZZLE /MORE ON THIS FOR SATURDAY/.
CONTINUED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL GRADUALLY PUSH DEW POINTS
INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER...
PUTTING A "FLOOR" ON LOW TEMPERATURES.

SATURDAY...A WET AND DREARY DAY FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN.
SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION
/LIKELY REMAINING SOUTH OF THE STRAITS THRU LATE AFTERNOON/...WITH
SHORTWAVE ENERGY SLIDING ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN. AS MENTIONED
PREVIOUSLY...PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER POSSIBLY DEALING WITH A
PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING AS BL SATURATES
BELOW -10C WITH SFC TEMPS NEAR FREEZING. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE NOT
HIGH IN THIS SCENARIO...ENOUGH IMPACT POTENTIAL TO WARRANT A MENTION
IN THE FORECAST/HWO.  FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...PERIODS OF
LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY...BECOMING MORE SCATTERED
OVER SOUTHERN AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS DEEPEST MOISTURE WANES
/MID LEVEL DRYING DEVELOPS/.  LAPSE RATES STEEPEN DRAMATICALLY IN
THE 850-500MB LAYER OVER NORTHERN LOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
ELEVATED /VERY ELEVATED!/ THUNDER A POSSIBILITY.  MILD TEMPS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S /WARMEST TEMPS FAR SOUTH/.

&&

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 417 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

LARGE SCALE PATTERN/FORECAST: NORTH AMERICAN PATTERN FEATURES SPLIT
FLOW ACROSS THE WEST...WITH AN ARCTIC BRANCH OF THE JET ABOVE 50N
LATITUDE...AND A DIGGING TROUGH IN THE POLAR BRANCH OVER THE GREAT
BASIN.  FLAT RIDGING LIES EAST OF THE WESTERN TROUGH ACROSS THE
MIDWEST...WITH ANOTHER AMPLIFIED TROUGH ALONG THE EAST COAST.  THE
WESTERN TROUGH WILL BE THE DOMINANT PLAYER IN GREAT LAKES WEATHER
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...EVEN WELL BEFORE THE
TROUGH ARRIVES WITH DEEP LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF IT PUSHING
MILDER AIR INTO MICHIGAN OVER THE COMING DAYS.  TROUGH WILL SWING
THROUGH IN THE LATER MONDAY/EARLY TUESDAY TIME FRAME...AFTER WHICH
TEMPERATURES WILL CRASH BACK TO REALITY THOUGH MAY ONLY BE A
TEMPORARY COOL DOWN.

HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD INTO THE NATION'S MIDSECTION SATURDAY...
WITH LEE CYCLOGENESIS SPINNING UP A LOW THAT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD
INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND EVENTUALLY INTO NORTHWEST ONTARIO
SUNDAY.  STATIONARY FRONT EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS SOUTHERN
MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY WILL RETURN NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
EARLY SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY.  SO
ISSUES WITH PRECIPITATION EVOLUTION...TEMPERATURES...AND WINDS WILL
DOMINATE THE NEAR TERM PART OF THE FORECAST.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY:  FORECAST PERIOD STARTS WITH A
STATIONARY FRONT CUTTING ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...EXTENDING
BACK TO THE WEST TO A DEVELOPING LOW OVER EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.  AS
THE SURFACE LOW LIFTS NORTH INTO MINNESOTA...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT...CROSSING NORTHERN MICHIGAN SUNDAY
MORNING.  PRECIPITATION EVOLUTION NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL BE
INTERESTING...AS INITIAL PUSH OF DEEPER MOISTURE ACROSS THE FRONTAL
ZONE WILL BE TEMPERED SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A POCKET OF LOW LEVEL DRY
AIR COMING UP OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO LOWER MICHIGAN (AND
EVENTUALLY ACROSS THE WARM FRONT).  THIS RESULTS IN A WEDGE OF DRY
AIR ABOVE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED BENEATH THE FRONTAL INVERSION.
MEANWHILE...STEEP LAPSE RATES (850-500MB LAPSE RATES ABOVE 7C/KM)
OVERSPREAD THE FORECAST AREA WITHIN A LAYER OF MID/UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE AND WARM ADVECTION.  SO WE COULD SEE SEVERAL THINGS GOING
ON SATURDAY NIGHT...AREAS OF DRIZZLE (NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT)
INTERSPERSED WITH SOME HIGH BASED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS (THUNDER?).
AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE
50S OVERNIGHT.

AS LONG AS THE WARM FRONT CAN CLEAR EASTERN UPPER (WHICH CAN BE
TRICKY)...LOOKS LIKE THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ENTIRELY WITHIN THE
WARM SECTOR OF THE UPSTREAM CYCLONE SUNDAY.  WHICH MEANS THAT THE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE SCOURED OUT (AT LEAST TO START THE
DAY)...STILL SOME WAY ELEVATED INSTABILITY TO CONTEND WITH
ESPECIALLY THE FARTHER NORTH YOU GO TO START THE DAY.  BUT LOOKING
LIKE MUCH OF THE DAY WILL BE DRY...AND WINDY AS WELL EVEN WITH JUST
SOME MODEST MIXING.  SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS OF 30-40MPH APPEAR TO BE
IN THE OFFING ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER (WHERE MIXING DEPTH LIKELY TO BE
GREATEST).  EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 60S AT LEAST ACROSS
NORTHERN LOWER...WHICH COULD THREATEN A FEW RECORDS (WHICH ARE: PLN
64/2010...TVC 69/1915...GLR 63/2010...APN 66/1927...HTL 65/1927).

COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING BY SUNDAY EVENING...WITH AN ELONGATED
BAND OF RAIN EXPECTED ALONG IT THAT WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE
FORECAST AREA FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT.  SHOULD BE A PRETTY
EFFICIENT RAIN MAKER WITH DEEP LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW AND A RELATIVELY
NARROW BUT SLOW MOVING RAIN BAND...FORECASTING 0.50-1.00 INCH
AMOUNTS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.  BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO HAVE SWEPT ACROSS THE LOWER
PENINSULA...WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION IN ITS WAKE AS
850MB TEMPERATURES PLUMMET TOWARD -10C BY MONDAY EVENING.  SO
MORNING RAIN WILL GIVE WAY TO LAKE INDUCED RAIN/SNOW AND EVENTUALLY
ALL SNOW SHOWERS HEADING INTO MONDAY NIGHT.  EXPECT FALLING
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...BACK INTO THE LOWER-MID 30S BY
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

EXTENDED FORECAST (TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY):  KEPT IN SNOW SHOWERS
FOR TUESDAY WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE...BUT TRENDED FORECAST DRIER
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK WITH A MODERATING TREND IN
TEMPERATURES TO GO WITH IT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

A SOUTHWARD SAGGING COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE INTO NRN
LOWER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. GENERALLY MVFR/VFR CIGS
HOLDING STEADY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA. AREAS OF SPRINKLES/FOG ALSO
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT MBL. WARM FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE STATE TONIGHT...WITH FOG/DRIZZLE/LIGHT RAIN GRADUALLY
INCREASING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. CIGS BECOMING WIDESPREAD MVFR WITH
AREAS OF IFR/LIFR DEVELOPING TOWARD 12Z. VERY LOW CIGS /IFR-LIFR/
ON SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD FOG/DRIZZLE/LIGHT RAIN AS WARM FRONT
WORKS THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN. WINDS BECOMING EAST/SOUTHEAST
TONIGHT AND INCREASING.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 417 PM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS DEVELOP ON SATURDAY OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
LAKE MICHIGAN AND LAKE HURON AS PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES IN
ADVANCE OF APPROACHING WARM FRONT.  ADVISORY WINDS CONTINUE ON
PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN INTO SUNDAY AS WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AREA.  POTENTIAL GALES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
AS A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.  RAINFALL
WILL ACCOMPANY BOTH THE WARM AND COLD FRONTS...WITH A CHANGEOVER TO
SNOW POSSIBLE BY LATER MONDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
     LHZ345>348.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 5 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
     LMZ341-342.
LS...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NTS
SHORT TERM...JRK
LONG TERM...JPB
AVIATION...JRK
MARINE...JRK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
404 AM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
101215-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
404 AM EST FRI NOV 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/APX (ALL
LOWERCASE)

SMD