Small Craft Advisory 112, NWS Gaylord, MI

466 
WHUS73 KAPX 281946
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
346 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

LHZ345>349-290400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121029T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
346 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-290400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
346 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-290400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
346 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-290400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
346 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

516 
WHUS73 KAPX 290130
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

LHZ345>349-290930-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121029T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-342-290930-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T0130Z-121029T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY.
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-290930-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.


$$

LSZ321-322-290930-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-290930-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
930 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.


$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

703 
WHUS73 KAPX 290335
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1135 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

LHZ345>349-291145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121029T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1135 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-291145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1135 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-342-291145-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1135 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY.
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-291145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1135 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-291145-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1135 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.


$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

977 
WHUS73 KAPX 290354
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1154 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

LHZ348-349-291200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121029T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T0354Z-121031T0000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1154 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-291200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121029T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
1154 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-291200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1154 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-342-291200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1154 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-291200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1154 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-291200-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121030T0000Z-121031T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
1154 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MONDAY TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO
8 PM EDT MONDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

446 
WHUS73 KAPX 290725
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
325 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

LMZ344>346-291530-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
325 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-291530-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0111.000000T0000Z-121029T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
325 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-342-291530-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.000000T0000Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
325 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-LSZ321-322-291530-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0112.121029T1200Z-121030T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0038.121029T1800Z-121031T0000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
325 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-291530-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-121029T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SR.W.0002.121029T2100Z-121030T1500Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
325 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM
EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
THIS AFTERNOON. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.


$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1113 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN CONTROL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN WEATHER
THROUGH MONDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. HURRICANE SANDY...WILL TRACK NORTH ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
TODAY AND MONDAY...MOVING ONSHORE AS A STRONG STORM OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. THE REMNANTS OF SANDY AND
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...WILL BACK INTO THE GREAT
LAKES...AND GENERATE WINDY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION
THROUGH MIDWEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE TO END THE WORK
WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1112 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

SYNOPTIC MAP FEATURES NEARLY IDENTICAL TO YESTERDAY THIS TIME.
MID LEVEL NEGATIVE TILT TROUGH AXIS STRETCHES DOWN THROUGH THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WITH A POTENT SHORT WAVE DIGGING THROUGH
THE SE STATES...ABOUT TO INTERACT WITH HURRICANE SANDY. STRONG
N-S ORIENTED UPPER JET CORE SITS ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES UP
INTO CANADA...BEHIND A STALLED FRONT STRETCHED ALONG THE EAST
COAST. SFC RIDGING STRETCHES FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE WESTERN
GREAT LAKES. PERSISTENT NORTHERLY FLOW AND LINGERING LAKE
INSTABILITY MANAGED TO PRODUCE LIGHT/NUISANCE LAKE EFFECT PRECIP
OFF LAKES MICHIGAN AND HURON DURING THE OVERNIGHT/MORNING HOURS.
STILL A FEW RADAR RETURNS (SPITS) DOWN NEAR HARRISVILLE.

REST OF TODAY...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE UNDER A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT. AIRMASS IS A BIT DRIER AS COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY...HENCE FORECAST SOUNDINGS REVEAL MUCH LESS SHALLOW
CAPE/CU POTENTIAL. WILL STILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH QUITE A BIT OF
LAKE CLOUDS NEAR THE COAST AND SOME INLAND CU AS WELL AS HIGH
CIRRUS OVERHEAD. WILL TWEAK SKY FORECASTS ACCORDINGLY.

SIMILAR AIRMASS/THERMAL PROFILES AS YESTERDAY AND HENCE ANTICIPATED
SIMILAR HIGH TEMPS...MAYBE A SMIDGE WARMER INLAND WITH A LITTLE
MORE SUN.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 646 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

JUST MINOR TWEAKS ON INHERITED FORECAST...CENTERED ON SOME MINOR
CLOUD ADJUSTMENTS (ACCOUNTING FOR MORE AGGRESSIVE CLEARING OF
INTERIOR STCU EARLY THIS MORNING) AND ADDITION OF SCATTERED
SPRINKLE MENTION FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH LIGHT RETURNS NOTED
ENTERING SHORELINE AREAS OF ALPENA AND ALCONA COUNTIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

MIDNIGHT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE BLEEDING INTO THE
UPPER MIDWEST...WITH A CENTER OF 1028MB OVER NORTHERN WISCONSIN
REACHING NORTHWESTWARD BACK TOWARDS THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES.  THIS
HIGH...COMBINED WITH 960 MB HURRICANE SANDY OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES COAST IS PRODUCING A NORTHERLY GRADIENT ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA...ALBEIT FAIRLY WEAK /FOR NOW/.  WEAK COLD ADVECTION
CONTINUES EAST OF THE APPROACHING HIGH...WITH T8 AT -6C FROM THE 00Z
APX RAOB.  ALSO QUITE PROMINENT IS THE SUBSIDENCE INVERSION NEAR 800
MB...WHICH CONTINUES TO TEAM UP WITH LAKE/AIR DELTA T/S IN THE MID
TEENS TO PRODUCE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD STRATOCUMULUS...AND EVEN A FEW
LIGHT RADAR RETURNS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHWEST LOWER.  BROADENING
OUT SOME...CONUS-SCALE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS POTENT SHORTWAVE
DIVING EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON IT/S WAY
TO CAPTURE THE SANDY VORTEX AND CAUSE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER-RELATED
HEADACHES ALONG THE EAST COAST TO START NEXT WEEK...WITH SOME
IMPACTS HERE AS WELL /SEE LONG TERM DISCUSSION BELOW/.  THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST...CONCERNS WILL CENTER AROUND
LAKE CLOUDS/LIGHT PRECIP WITH THE FOCUS EVENTUALLY TURNING TOWARDS
STRENGTHENING WINDS AND APPROACHING SYNOPTIC SCALE PRECIPITATION AS
SANDY MAKES A LEFT TURN AND HEADS INTO THE NORTHEAST.

CLOUDS WERE DIFFICULT TO DISLODGE YESTERDAY AND WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPS ALOFT ALONG WITH A STRENGTHENING SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
OVERHEAD...WE WILL LIKELY DEAL WITH THEM FOR MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY.
ONLY THING WORKING IN OUR FAVOR TODAY WILL BE EVER SO SLOW VEERING
TO THE FLOW IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH TRAJECTORIES BECOMING MORE
NORTHEASTERLY AS THEY DAY GOES ON. OTHER COMPLICATING FACTOR WILL BE
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  EXPECT THE DAY TO DAWN MOSTLY CLOUDY IN MOST
LOCATIONS...WITH SIGNIFICANT LAKE CLOUDINESS ALONG BOTH
COASTS...ALONG WITH THICKENING HIGH CLOUDS.  HOWEVER...AS THE DAY
WEARS ON...SOMEWHAT DRIER LLEVEL TRAJECTORIES SHOULD HELP RESTRICT
LAKE INDUCED CLOUDINESS CLOSER TO THE NW AND NE LOWER COASTS...WITH
SOME CONTINUED UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS SUGGESTING BRIGHTENING TO THE
SKIES...BUT NOT FULL CLEARING.  THESE CLOUDS...AS WELL AS THE WEAK
CAA MENTIONED ABOVE SUGGESTS HIGHS A TAD COOLER THAN
YESTERDAY...GENERALLY LOWER TO MID 40S.

FOR TONIGHT...OVERALL FLOW CONFIGURATION REMAINS FAIRLY STEADY AS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH SOUTH OF THE REGION REACHES THE EAST COAST.
BECAUSE OF THE NORTHEASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE LLEVEL FLOW...EXPECT
THAT WE/LL DEAL WITH SOMEWHAT LESS LLEVEL CLOUD COVER AS COMPARED TO
RIGHT NOW....BUT CAN/T RULE OUT SOME SCT/BKN STCU...AGAIN NEAR BOTH
LAKESHORES.  WE/LL STILL HAVE UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS TO DEAL
WITH...PARTICULARLY OVER EASTERN AREAS AS JET STREAK ENHANCED BY
SANDY BEGINS TO BEND BACK WESTWARD.  EXPECT THE NIGHT TO BE
PRECIPITATION FREE...BUT THE SOMEWHAT CLEARER SCENARIO MAY NOT YIELD
SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS HOWEVER AS THE LLEVEL GRADIENT
STRENGTHENS /1000MB GEOSTROPHIC WINDS NEAR 35 KNOTS/.  THUS...WILL
STICK WITH A GUIDANCE CONSENSUS ON LOWS OVERNIGHT...WHICH KEEPS
READINGS IN THE MID/UPPER 20S.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT BROUGHT RAIN TO OUR AREA LATE LAST WEEK WILL
BEGIN TO PUSH WESTWARD AS NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH "CATCHES" SANDY
AND BEGINS TO PULL ITS CIRCULATION WESTWARD.  THIS REMNANT FRONTAL
ZONE WILL SERVE AS A REGION OF STRENGTHENING FRONTOGENESIS AS THE MORE
TROPICAL AIRMASS TOWARDS THE COAST PUSHES WEST...UP AND OVER THE
IN-SITU COLD DOME. GUIDANCE CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO KEEP ANY
PRECIPITATION AT BAY THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...AND HAVE NO REASON TO
ARGUE FOR A FASTER ARRIVAL AS THE SANDY CIRCULATION WILL ONLY HAVE
JUST STARTED IT/S WESTWARD TURN...AND THUS THERE WILL NOT REALLY
YET BE A SIGNIFICANT PUSH WESTWARD TO THE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW.
THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE WITH GOING DRY FORECAST. WILL LIKELY
HAVE SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS TO DEAL WITH...HOWEVER...
ESP OVER EASTERN AREAS AND THIS WILL LIKELY INHIBIT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE AMPLE USE
OF RAW 2M MODEL TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE...WHICH ONLY YIELDS MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...WITH LOWER 40S ALONG/EAST OF
INTERSTATE 75...AND MID 40S WEST...WHERE SOME DOWNSLOPING WILL
LIKELY GIVE HIGHS A SMALL BOOST. FINAL THING TO DEAL WITH WILL BE
THE WINDS...AS THE SQUEEZE PLAY BETWEEN THE WESTWARD MOVING
SANDY...AND HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR WEST STRENGTHENS. WILL ADD SOME
10M RAW MODEL WINDS INTO THE MIX OVER LAND...WHICH SUGGESTS
COASTAL VALUES 15-20KTS BY AFTERNOON /PARTICULARLY ON LAKE HURON/
WITH GUSTS LIKELY NEARING 30KTS. INLAND...10-15KTG20-25KTS SHOULD
ABOUT DO IT...ENSURING A PRETTY RAW FEELING FALL AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

OF COURSE...ALL EYES DIRECTED AT EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG (HISTORIC?)
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLATED TO COME ASHORE IN THE MID ATLANTIC
SOMETIME MONDAY NIGHT...RETROGRADING WEST WHILE FILLING INTO THE
MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. ALL THE PLAYERS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS BEHEMOTH ON THE TABLE PER EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...
WITH HURRICANE SANDY (ALREADY PARTIALLY EXTRATROPICAL) TRUDGING
NORTH OFF THE SOUTHEAST COASTLINE...WHILE STRONG SHORTWAVE DIVES
INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. IT IS THIS LATTER FEATURE
THAT WILL EVENTUALLY "GRAB" AND MORPH WITH SANDY...COMPLETING THE
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND SENDING A LIKELY SUB 960MB LOW INTO NEW
JERSEY. AT LEAST SOME IMPACTS APPEAR A CERTAINTY FOR THE NORTHERN
LAKES FROM THIS SYSTEM AS IT RETROGRADES THROUGH MID WEEK. SORTING
OUT THE DETAILS REMAIN THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE TO THIS
INCREASINGLY BUSY EXTENDED FORECAST.

JUST SOME FINE TUNING NOW WITH GUIDANCE PROGS...WITH ALMOST
OVERWHELMING AGREEMENT FOR LOW PRESSURE TO PUSH INTO VICINITY
WESTERN/CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA BY LATER TUESDAY. STILL SOME VARIANCE
ON EXACT STRENGTH...ALTHOUGH NO DOUBT SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
SUBSTANTIALLY AS IT BECOMES COMPLETELY VERTICALLY STACKED AND
INCREASINGLY BAROTROPIC. EXACT STRENGTH REALLY DOESN'T MATTER...AS
NORTHERN LAKES WILL BECOME CENTERED UNDER INCREASINGLY TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT REGIME WITH HIGH PRESSURE NOSING FROM HUDSON BAY
DOWN THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. GUIDANCE WIND PROGS
CONFIRM AS SUCH...WITH NEAR 60 KNOT 850MB JET...AND WELL OVER 40
KNOTS DOWN THROUGH 950MB ON TUESDAY. LITTLE DOUBT SURFACE WINDS WILL
RAMP UP CONSIDERABLY...AND COULD EVENTUALLY SEE THE NEED FOR SOME
TYPE OF OVERLAND WIND HEADLINE...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE BIG WATERS
WHERE INSTABILITY WILL ONLY HELP THE CAUSE. STILL HAVE A LITTLE TIME
TO SORT THESE DETAILS OUT...AND WILL HOLD OFF ANY HEADLINE ISSUANCE
FOR NOW. TIMING OF PRECIP AND PRECIP TYPE THE NEXT CONCERN AS
ANTECEDENT LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL BE VERY DRY AS FORCING MOVES IN
FROM THE EAST. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND DECAYING UPPER JET FORCED
DYNAMICS WILL EVENTUALLY ALLOW PRECIP TO SPREAD IN FROM THE
EAST...ALTHOUGH INTENSITY SHOULD BE WANING AS IT DOES SO. GIVING
INITIAL DEARTH OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...DID SLOW ONSET OF PRECIP DOWN
A TOUCH MONDAY NIGHT...BUT NOT QUITE AS AGGRESSIVE AS BOTH NAM-WRF
AND ECMWF PROGS WOULD SUGGEST (BOTH HOLD OFF ARRIVAL OF DEEPER
MOISTURE UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING). NAM REMAINS THE WARMEST MODEL BY
SEVERAL DEGREES...WITH PRONOUNCED WARM NOSE DEVELOPING COINCIDENT
WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIP. WILL CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARD THE COOL END
OF THE SPECTRUM AS PAST HISTORY HAS SHOWN THE NAM CAN OFTEN BE TOO
AGGRESSIVE IN THIS REGARD. IN ADDITION...INITIAL SUB-CLOUD
EVAPORATION SHOULD ONLY AID IN COOLING THE COLUMN OVER THE
HIGHLANDS. REALLY LIKE INHERITED FORECAST SHOWING PREDOMINATELY SNOW
ACROSS THE INTERIOR...WITH MAINLY RAIN AS ONE HEADS TOWARDS THE
WARMING INFLUENCES OF THE BIG WATERS. COULD EVEN SEE A SLUSHY
ACCUMULATION OF THE WHITE STUFF AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
INITIALLY SLOW TO RESPOND TUESDAY MORNING. TREND SHOULD BE MORE
TOWARD A LIQUID ONE HEADING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS
WARMING SLOWLY WINS OUT. NOT OVERLY EXITED ABOUT PRECIP AMOUNTS
THROUGH THIS PERIOD AS SYSTEM WEAKENS AND JET DYNAMICS ARE LOST.
DESPITE WARMING...STILL COLD ENOUGH TO ENTICE A NORTH FLOW LAKE
RESPONSE...WHICH COULD ADD TO SOME OF THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR LAKE
MICHIGAN.

SYSTEM EXPECTED TO SLOWLY LOOSEN ITS GRIP ON OUR WEATHER ROUNDING
OUT THE WORK WEEK...ALTHOUGH STILL CLOSE ENOUGH (GUIDANCE OFTEN MUCH
TOO QUICK MOVING THESE THINGS ALONG) TO WARRANT A LINGERING LIGHT
SHOWER MENTION INTO THURSDAY. WILL KEEP THE INHERITED DRY THEME
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND WITH THE BELIEF THE SYSTEM
WILL HAVE EXITED FAR ENOUGH INTO EASTERN CANADA TO WARRANT SUCH.
SLIGHT MODERATION STILL RESULTS IN HIGH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...WITH LOW/MID 40 DEGREE HIGHS WEDNESDAY
"WARMING" INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 646 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE REGION. VFR STRATOCUMULUS WILL
GRADUALLY THIN DURING THE DAY TODAY WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED
4-5KFT CLOUDS BY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING BENEATH UPPER LEVEL
CIRRUS. QUIET CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO 10G16KTS FOR THE DAY TODAY
BEFORE SETTLING BACK TO AROUND 10KTS FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

THROUGH TONIGHT...PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER
WISCONSIN/LAKE SUPERIOR AND THE NORTHWARD MOVING HURRICANE SANDY WILL
CAUSE NORTHERLY WINDS TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN.  WITH THE MORNING
PACKAGE...WILL EXPAND SMALL CRAFTS TO INCLUDE MANISTEE-GTLM4 AS
EARLY MORNING OBSERVATIONS SHOW MARGINAL SCA WINDS ALREADY...WITH
SOME STRENGTHENING LIKELY TODAY.  THESE HEADLINES WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT AS WINDS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN.

MONDAY AND BEYOND....BUSY PERIOD OF MARINE WEATHER RIGHT THROUGH MID
WEEK AS  EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG EAST COAST STORM RETROGRADES SLOWLY
WEST ACROSS  PENNSYLVANIA. JUST OFF THE DECK WIND PROGS TOPPING 40
KNOTS BY EARLY TUESDAY SUPPORTS LIKELY GALE CONDITIONS ALL WATERS
MONDAY NIGHT RIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. MAY EVEN SEE SOME STORM
FORCED WIND GUSTS MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY ON LAKE HURON.
WON'T GO DOWN THIS ROAD JUST YET...BUT SOMETHING DEFINITELY TO
MONITOR. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND PULLS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
     LHZ345>349.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LHZ348-349.
LM...GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR LMZ323-
     341-342-344>346.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EDT MONDAY FOR LMZ344>346.
LS...GALE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR LSZ321-
     322.

&&

UPDATE...BA
SYNOPSIS...MB
SHORT TERM...ARNOTT
LONG TERM...MB
AVIATION...JA/MB
MARINE...MB/ARNOTT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1158 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
291000-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1158 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM COMING OFF THE ATLANTIC WILL BACK INTO
THE GREAT LAKES REGION...LATER MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THE
FOLLOWING IMPACTS...

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE GREAT LAKES
STARTING MONDAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE ON PARTS OF LAKE HURON LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY.

STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS INLAND
AREAS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN AND PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH POSSIBLE.

A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/APX (ALL
LOWERCASE)

ADAM