Small Craft Advisory 10, NWS Gaylord, MI

414 
WHUS73 KAPX 170301
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1001 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LMZ323-344>346-171115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.120117T1200Z-120118T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1001 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 PM EST TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ342-171115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.120117T1000Z-120118T0400Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1001 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST
TUESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347>349-171115-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0004.120117T1800Z-120118T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1001 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

461 
WHUS73 KAPX 170915
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
415 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

LHZ347>349-171715-
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0004.120117T1800Z-120118T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0005.120117T1800Z-120118T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
415 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-344>346-171715-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.120117T1200Z-120118T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
415 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-LSZ321-322-171715-
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.120117T0915Z-120118T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
415 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ342-171715-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.120117T0915Z-120118T1000Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
415 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

ARNOTT

679 
WHUS73 KAPX 171545
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

LMZ323-344>346-172345-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120118T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1045 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347>349-172345-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.120117T1800Z-120118T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1045 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-172345-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1045 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

408 
WHUS73 KAPX 172129
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
429 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

LMZ323-344>346-180400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120118T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
429 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347>349-180530-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
429 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-180530-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
429 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

812 
WHUS73 KAPX 180346
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1046 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

LMZ323-344>346-181000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1046 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347>349-181000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
1046 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-181000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1046 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

192 
WHUS73 KAPX 180934
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
434 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

LMZ323-344>346-181745-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0006.120118T2200Z-120119T2200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
434 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347>349-181745-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120119T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0005.120119T0400Z-120120T0400Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
434 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. A
GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THE GALE WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LMZ341-342-181745-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120118T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0006.120118T2200Z-120119T2200Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
434 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ321-322-181745-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120119T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0005.120119T0400Z-120120T0400Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
434 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

177 
WHUS73 KAPX 181557
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1057 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-182200-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-120119T0400Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0005.120119T0400Z-120120T0400Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0006.120119T0400Z-120120T0400Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1057 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-182200-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0006.120118T2200Z-120120T0400Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1057 AM EST WED JAN 18 2012

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EST THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
411 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 408 PM/

A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE
OVER MISSOURI...WILL MIGRATE ALONG THE FRONT AND BE LOCATED OVER
BATTLE CREEK...BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE
NORTHEASTWARD AND MOVE TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS LOW WILL
SPREAD LIGHT SNOW OVER ALL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WHICH COULD BEGIN
AS A PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE IN SPOTS. TEMPERATURES WILL TURN
COLDER THAN NORMAL WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES FROM TIME TO TIME. MILDER
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN BACK INTO THE 30S NEXT WEEKEND.

HALBLAUB

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 408 PM/...TONIGHT

NO SURPRISES (YET) WITH MID AFTERNOON ANALYSIS SHOWING
SLOWING COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN AS STRONG
JAMES BAY LOW PRESSURE PUSHES NORTHEAST INTO QUEBEC. LOW LEVEL WARM
AND MOIST ADVECTION IN SOUTHWEST WIND REGIME...OVERRIDING STABLE
AIRMASS OVER LAKE MICHIGAN...CONTINUES TO GENERATE WIDESPREAD
STRATUS OVER MUCH OF THE NORTH WOODS. DESPITE APPROACHING
FRONT...DEARTH OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE (PWAT VALUES AROUND 0.30
INCHES) PREVENTING ANY PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES DID NOT WARM AS
MUCH AS ANTICIPATED...WITH CLOUDS AND LIGHT WIND FIELDS PREVENTING
LOW LEVEL MIXING. STILL...READINGS REMAIN A TOUCH ABOVE NORMAL...
ESPECIALLY FAR SOUTHWEST AREAS...WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE PUSHED INTO
THE UPPER 30S. PRIMARY SYSTEMS OF INTEREST STILL GETTING THEIR ACT
TOGETHER UPSTREAM...WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING WELL DEFINED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CUTTING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WITH
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI.
THE COMBO OF THESE SYSTEMS LOOK TO BRING A DECENT BOUT OF WINTER
WEATHER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. FORECAST CONCERNS THROUGH TUESDAY ARE
CENTERED ON SUCH...SPECIFICALLY FREEZING DRIZZLE POTENTIAL
TONIGHT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY...AND ASSOCIATED HEADLINE
DECISIONS.

TONIGHT...COLD FRONT SLIPS SOUTHEAST...SLOWING AS IT DOES SO IN
RESPONSE TO INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. FRONT IS EXPECT TO CLEAR THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT...STALLING ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN BY MORNING AS LOW
PRESSURE PUSHES INTO SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN. INITIAL DYNAMICS NOT OVERLY
IMPRESSIVE FOR "MEASURABLE" PRECIP THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH DEEPEST
WAA ASCENT REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH. HOWEVER...WEAK LOW LEVEL ASCENT
AND MOISTURE ADVECTION LOOKS INCREASINGLY LIKELY TO KICK OFF PATCHY
FREEZING DRIZZLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES...ARCHING UP
INTO THE INTERIOR HIGHLANDS LATER THIS EVENING AS WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW
COMMENCES. NOT A COMPLETELY CLASSIC DRIZZLE SCENARIO...WITH NOT A
TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF WIND SHEAR AT THE TOP OF THE MOIST LAYER...BUT
SIMPLE INCREASING DEPTH OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PROFILE SUPPORTS
PATCHY DRIZZLE FORMATION. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES PRETTY MUCH STAY
STEADY-STATE OVERNIGHT...MOST AREAS UNFORTUNATELY LOOK TO STAY BELOW
FREEZING. INCREASING ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH "SHOULD"
ALLOW LIGHT SNOW TO BREAK OUT BY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF M-72. SNOW SHOULD BE LIGHT IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT WITH
PRIMARY DYNAMICS...TIED TO APPROACHING MID LEVEL SUPPORT...REMAINING
TO OUR WEST. COULD EVEN SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIXTURE DOWN NEAR SAGINAW
BAY AS THE LAYER FROM 850MB TO THE SURFACE WARMS TO JUST ABOVE
FREEZING.

MSB

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 408 PM/...TUESDAY AND BEYOND

TUESDAY...DECENT SNOWFALL STILL EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY FROM THE
MIGHTY MAC AND POINTS SOUTH...WITH DEVELOPING DEFORMATION AND FGEN
DYNAMICS NORTH OF STEADILY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE PUSHING INTO
SOUTHEAST ONTARIO. MOISTURE PROGS NOT OVERLY SUPPORTIVE OF
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS...WITH PWAT VALUES APPROACHING HALF AN
INCH EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE DEEPEST MOISTURE PULLS OFF TO THE EAST.
ALSO HELPING LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE
SYSTEM AS UPPER LEVEL FLOW REMAINS AGGRESSIVE. ADDING TO THE
COMPLEXITY IS INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE NNW FLOW LAKE ENHANCEMENT DURING
THE AFTERNOON AS CAA DROPS 850MB TEMPERATURES TO THE MID TEENS BELOW
ZERO. WITH ABOVE MENTIONED SYNOPTIC DYNAMICS AND LAKE CONTRIBUTIONS
...WOULD EXPECT MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER TO REACH ADVISORY SNOW
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...HEAVIEST IN FAVORED NNW FLOW AREAS.
EASTERN UPPER APPEARS A LITTLE TOO FAR REMOVED FOR HEAVIEST
SNOWS...BUT A FEW INCHES REMAIN POSSIBLE.

KINDA A COMPLICATED HEADLINE DECISION WITH FREEZING DRIZZLE POTENTIAL
TONIGHT. FOR SIMPLICITY...INCLUDED ALL AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF M-32
(EXCLUDING LEELANAU COUNTY WHICH SHOULD MISS OUT ON THE FREEZING
DRIZZLE) IN A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY STARTING LATER THIS
EVENING...RUNNING THROUGH TUESDAY...FOR A COMBINATION OF FREEZING
DRIZZLE (TONIGHT) AND ACCUMULATING SNOW (TUESDAY). REMAINING
COUNTIES OF NORTHERN LOWER WILL BE UNDER AN ADVISORY FOR TUESDAY
ONLY (7AM-7PM) FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW.

MBS

TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. ACRS NORTHEAST LOWER...SYNOPTIC LIFT AND MSTR
WILL DIMINISH GREATLY AFT 06Z...AS A CLIPPER AND UPPER TROUGH EXIT
EAST OF THE REGION. 850/500MB RH QUICKLY DIMINISHES FROM 80PCT IN
THE EVENING TO 40PCT OVERNIGHT. ACROSS NORTHWEST LWR AND ERN UPPER
...WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AS 925/850MB WINDS TURN NORTHWEST. 850MB TEMPS WILL FALL TO
ARND -16C DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH 850/500MB RH SLOWLY
DIMINISHING FROM 90PCT TO 40 PCT BY 12Z WED. SNOWFALL OVER THE WRN
LAKES COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE EVENING...WITH INVERSION
HEIGHTS TO NEARLY 6K FT AND MSTR EXTENDING FROM THE SFC THROUGH
500MB.

WEDNESDAY...THERE WILL BE A BRIEF QUITE PERIOD INTO EARLY WED
AFTN...AS A NARROW RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SWEEPS OVR THE STATE. THIS
NARROW SFC RIDGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK 500MB RIDGE/NEARLY
ZONAL FLOW INTO THE AFTN. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE OF SNOW RETURNS BY
THE AFTN IN RESPONSE TO A SYSTEM CLIPPING ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS.
THIS FEATURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WRN LAKES DURING THE AFTN/EVENING.
850/500MB MSTR WILL INCREASE FROM ARND 40PCT EARLY TO NEARLY 80PCT
ARND 06Z THURSDAY...IN ADVANCE OF THE SFC FEATURE AND DIGGING UPPER
TROUGH. ADDITIONALLY...LAKE ENHANCED SNOWS WILL AFFECT ERN UPPER AND
THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AS 925/850MB WINDS
TURN SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO SFC FEATURE MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THE NRN PLAINS FEATURE AND WEAK UPPER
TROUGH...WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY BEFORE EXITING
EAST BY FRIDAY. UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME SLOWLY MOVE ZONAL FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE EXITING FEATURES...WHILE AN AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES REGION.
OVERALL EXPECT WIDESPREAD SNOW CHANCES OVER NRN MI THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY. THURSDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRIVEN BY SYNOPTIC FORCING...WITH
SOUTHWEST FLOW LAKE ENHANCEMENTS OVER EAST UPPER AND THE LAKE
MICHIGAN SHORELINE. LAKE EFFECTS WILL LINGER OVER NW LWR AND EAST
UPPER INTO EARLY FRIDAY...AS 850MB TEMPS LINGER BTWN -16C AND -21C
AND WINDS TURN NORTHWEST. EXPECT MAINLY A DRY DAY SATURDAY WITH SOME
SUN IN RESPONSE TO SFC AND UPPER LVL RIDGING OVER THE GREAT LAKES...
WHILE 850/500MB RH DROPS TO AROUND 40PCT. SOME LAKE INFLUENCE IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE WRN LAKES SAT...AS WINDS SLOWLY ORGANIZE SOUTHWEST
IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING PLAINS SYSTEM. HOWEVER LAKE INFLUENCE WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY...AS MID LVLS QUICKLY WARM FROM
-12C EARLY TO -7C BY THE EVENING.

AFTN TEMPS THROUGH FRIDAY WILL REMAIN GENERALLY IN THE TEENS AND
LOWER 20S IN DEVELOPING NEARLY ZONAL UPPER FLOW. AFTN TEMPS WILL
WARM SLIGHTLY SATURDAY...AS MID LEVELS WARM IN ADVANCE OF DEVELOPING
PLAINS SYSTEM.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...A WARMER PERIOD TO BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES
AND UPPER MIDWEST THRU MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. 850MB TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO
WARM WELL ABOVE 0C TO AROUND 6C...IN ADVANCE OF A SYSTEM ORGANIZING
OVER CENTRAL CANADA WHILE A 500MB TROUGH DIGS INTO THE NRN PLAINS
AND UPPER MIDWEST. OVERALL WILL KEEP CURRENT TEMP TREND IN THE 30S
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WILL ALSO KEEP THE MENTION OF RAIN/SNOW OVER
THE CWA THROUGH THE PERIOD...AS MID LEVELS WARM AND MSTR INCREASES
IN RESPONSE TO PLAINS SYSTEM.

SWR

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 408 PM/

BRIEF LULL IN THE ACTION THROUGH LATE TONIGHT BEFORE NORTH
FLOW INTENSIFIES AS LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES TO OUR SOUTHWEST. STORM
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN TUESDAY...CUTTING INTO SOUTHEAST ONTARIO
DURING THE AFTERNOON. TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND INCREASING
OVER-WATER INSTABILITY SUPPORTS MARGINAL GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS FROM
GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT AND POINTS SOUTH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING
(GALE WARNING ISSUED). COASTAL CONVERGENCE MAY TIP THE SCALES TO LOW
END GALES ALONG THE NORTHEAST LOWER COASTLINE LATER TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT (GALE WATCH ISSUED).

MSB

SCA CRITERIA NORTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY NIGHT...WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT AS A NARROW AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT
LAKES. VARIABLE WINDS WEDNESDAY MORNING...WILL INCREASE AND BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTHWEST...IN ADVANCE OF A SYSTEM MOVING OVR THE
NRN PLAINS AND INTO THE WRN LAKES.

SWR

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 241 PM/...VALID FOR 18Z TAFS

...MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATION ALL NRN MI AIRPORTS DAYLIGHT HRS OF TUE...

PLEASE SEE SYNOPSIS PORTION OF THIS PRODUCT FOR DISCUSSION OF WX
FEATURES.

THRU 00Z: UNLIMITED VSBYS AND MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL WITH S WINDS
DIMINISHING TO LGT AND VARIABLE. MVFR CIGS COULD BRIEFLY TURN SCT AT
MLB APN AND HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO'S THRU 22Z.

CONFIDENCE HIGH ALL ELEMENTS.

TNGT: MVFR CIGS PREVAIL. MOS FCSTS INDICATE MVFR VSBYS IN LGT FOG
AND CALM/VRB03 WINDS TO START MAY HELP. MOS IS ALSO INDICATING CIGS
DECAY TO IFR. BOTH CIG/VSBYS ARE BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE. AFTER 03Z
WINDS GRADUALLY PICK UP FROM THE NNE 4-8 KTS INITIALLY AND MAY
INCREASE TO 8-18 KTS AND BECOME GUSTY BY 10Z.

TUE THRU 18Z: -SN OVERSPREADS WITH IFR/OCNL LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS. N
WINDS INCREASE AND GUSTY UP TO 25 KTS. STRONGEST CROSS WINDS WILL BE
AT TVC MBL. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ALL ELEMENTS...BUT TIMING OF
BEGINNING OF -SN IS ONLY AVERAGE CONFIDENCE.

SNOW CHARACTER: PROBABLY BEGINS ON MOIST SIDE WITH 10 OR 12:1 RATIO
AS FLAKES SHOULD ENCOUNTER CONSIDERABLE RIMING AND AGGREGATION WITH
MAX UPLIFT BELOW THE DGZ. AS THE EVENT PROGRESSES...THE MAX UPLIFT
TRANSITIONS TO ABOVE THE DGZ. SO SNOWFLAKES WILL TURN SMALLER/DRIER
BUT REMAIN FAIRLY DENSE AS IT ACCUMULATES.

SNOW AMTS: 2-4" PLN MBL
           3-5" TVC APN

HALBLAUB

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
     TUESDAY FOR MIZ021>036-041-042.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR
     MIZ016>020.
LH...GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
     LHZ347>349.
LM...GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 11 PM EST TUESDAY FOR LMZ323-344>346.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM EST TUESDAY FOR LMZ342.
LS...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
421 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
171200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
421 PM EST MON JAN 16 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
TONIGHT. PLEASE SEE ONGOING ADVISORIES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE ONGOING
ADVISORIES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

GALE FORE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ON PARTS OF NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN NEARSHORE WATERS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING. PLEASE SEE
SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE HURON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SEE THE LATEST MARINE
FORECASTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE
FAVORED SNOWBELT REGIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. REPORTS MAY BE MADE ONE OF TWO WAYS:

BY PHONE: 1-800-647-8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS)

BY FACEBOOK: FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.GAYLORD.GOV

MSB