Alert archive / Michigan / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2012
Lake Effect Snow Warning 1, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 19, 2012, 12:00 AM EST for Antrim County, Leelanau County, Otsego County, Michigan. It took effect at Jan 19, 2012, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 22 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 19, 2012, 12:00 AM EST (05:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 19, 2012, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2012, 10:57 PM EST
- In force
- 22 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Antrim County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Otsego County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 5 | Suttons Bay, MI | 12 HR ESTIMATED TOTAL THRU 6 AM. COURTESY OF 9 AND 10 NEWS. |
| Jan 19, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | 2 W Suttons Bay, MI | 12 HR ESTIMATED TOTAL THRU 6 AM. |
| Jan 19, 6:45 AM EST | SNOW 5 | 2 W Greilickville, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 645 AM. |
| Jan 19, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.6 | 5 Ssw Northport, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 700 AM. SNOWDEPTH UNAVBL. |
| Jan 19, 7:15 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Lake Leelanau, MI | 8 HR TOTAL THRU 715 AM. |
| Jan 19, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 3 | Gaylord, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 15 IN. |
| Jan 19, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 4 | 8 Nnw Traverse City, MI | 24 HR TOTAL THRU 800 AM. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN. |
| Jan 19, 8:00 AM EST | SNOW 4 | Alba, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN. |
| Jan 19, 10:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | 3 Ese Elmira, MI | 8 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM. SNOWDEPTH 13 IN. |
| Jan 19, 1:00 PM EST | SNOW 3.1 | 9 Ssw Gaylord, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 1 PM. SNOWDEPTH 14 IN. MEASURED AT NWS OFFICE. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 668 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 222 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 227 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
609 WWUS43 KAPX 190500 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1200 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY CROSS THE REGION EARLY THURSDAY...ALLOWING FOR MUCH COLDER AIR TO FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THIS SETUP WILL BRING INCREASING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...SOME HEAVY...TO MANY AREAS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. QUITE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES. MIZ019-021-022-191300- /O.UPG.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.120119T0600Z-120120T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0001.120119T0600Z-120120T0400Z/ CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD 1200 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL REDEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-191300- /O.UPG.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0001.120119T0600Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 1200 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY WEST OF A LINE FROM TROUT LAKE TO PARADISE. SNOW MAY FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WEST OF M-123 TONIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. * ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP OFF LAKE SUPERIOR THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY NORTH OF M-28. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ023-191300- /O.EXA.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.120119T0600Z-120120T0400Z/ MONTMORENCY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ATLANTA 1200 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL REDEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-191300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1700Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 1200 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...TAPERING OFF LATER THURSDAY MORNING. A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 1 AM AND 7 AM...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR FOR A BRIEF TIME. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY NOON ON THURSDAY. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-027-028-191300- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.120119T0600Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1200 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL REDEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ015-191200- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1200Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 1200 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE WEST OF M-123 THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...FALLING HEAVILY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED WEST OF M-123... WITH LESS THAN 2 INCHES TO THE EAST. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE BREVORT AND REXTON AREAS. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT... ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US-2 CORRIDOR. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ AJS
7 follow-up statements
951 WWUS43 KAPX 190647 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 147 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY CROSS THE REGION EARLY THURSDAY...ALLOWING FOR MUCH COLDER AIR TO FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THIS SETUP WILL BRING INCREASING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...SOME HEAVY...TO MANY AREAS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. QUITE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES. MIZ015-191200- /O.UPG.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1200Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 147 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE WEST OF M-123 THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...FALLING HEAVILY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED WEST OF M-123... WITH LESS THAN 2 INCHES TO THE EAST. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF NEAR A FOOT ARE EXPECTED IN THE REXTON AREA. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE NEAR ZERO OVERNIGHT... ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US-2 CORRIDOR. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-019-021-022-191500- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...CHARLEVOIX... MANCELONA...GAYLORD 147 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL REDEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-191500- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1700Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 147 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS...TAPERING OFF LATER THURSDAY MORNING. A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 1 AM AND 7 AM...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR FOR A BRIEF TIME. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY NOON ON THURSDAY. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-027-028-191500- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 147 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL REDEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ023-191500- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ MONTMORENCY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ATLANTA 147 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL REDEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THURSDAY EVENING. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ JZ
785 WWUS43 KAPX 190909 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 409 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY CROSS THE REGION EARLY TODAY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THIS SETUP WILL BRING INCREASING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...SOME HEAVY...TO MANY AREAS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES. MIZ008-019-021-022-191800- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...CHARLEVOIX... MANCELONA...GAYLORD 409 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ015-191200- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1200Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 409 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE WEST OF M-123 EARLY THIS MORNING...FALLING HEAVILY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED WEST OF M-123... WITH LESS THAN 2 INCHES TO THE EAST. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF NEAR 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE REXTON AREA. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE NEAR ZERO EARLY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US-2 CORRIDOR. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-191700- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1700Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 409 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AS WE APPROACH AFTERNOON. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY NOON. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-027-028-191800- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 409 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF FALLING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ023-191800- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ MONTMORENCY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ATLANTA 409 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ JZ
215 WWUS43 KAPX 190940 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 440 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY CROSS THE REGION EARLY TODAY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THIS SETUP WILL BRING INCREASING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...SOME HEAVY...TO MANY AREAS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES. MIZ008-019-021-022-191800- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...CHARLEVOIX... MANCELONA...GAYLORD 440 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ015-191200- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1200Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 440 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE WEST OF M-123 EARLY THIS MORNING...FALLING HEAVILY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED WEST OF M-123... WITH LESS THAN 2 INCHES TO THE EAST. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF NEAR 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE REXTON AREA. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE NEAR ZERO EARLY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE US-2 CORRIDOR. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ017-191800- /O.EXA.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHEBOYGAN 440 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF FALLING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-032-191700- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1700Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 440 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AS WE APPROACH AFTERNOON. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY NOON. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-023-027-028-191800- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-MONTMORENCY-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...ATLANTA...KALKASKA... GRAYLING 440 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF FALLING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$
094 WWUS43 KAPX 191117 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 617 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY CROSS THE REGION EARLY TODAY. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THIS SETUP WILL BRING INCREASING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...SOME HEAVY...TO MANY AREAS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES. MIZ015-191230- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1200Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 617 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. $$ MIZ020-192000- /O.UPG.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ LEELANAU- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NORTHPORT 617 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY EVENING. * GUSTY WEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ008-019-021-022-192000- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...CHARLEVOIX... MANCELONA...GAYLORD 617 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ025-026-031-032-191700- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120119T1700Z/ BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE... CADILLAC 617 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AS WE APPROACH AFTERNOON. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY NOON. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW THAT FALLS. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-017-023-027-028-192000- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA... KALKASKA...GRAYLING 617 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL EVOLVE INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. * GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY EARLY THIS MORNING...CREATING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF FALLING SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ JZ
942 WWUS43 KAPX 191608 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1108 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT HAVE PASSED THROUGH THE REGION...ALLOWING MUCH COLDER AIR TO FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THIS SETUP WILL BRING CONTINUED LAKE EFFECT SNOWS...SOME HEAVY...TO MANY AREAS OF NORTHWEST LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES. MIZ008-019>022-200000- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD 1108 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...HEAVY AT TIMES. * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS OCCURRING THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALWAYS ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ025-026-031-032-200000- /O.EXT.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE... CADILLAC 1108 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING...GRADUALLY DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-017-023-027-028-200000- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA... KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1108 AM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...HEAVY AT TIMES. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ LAWRENCE
569 WWUS43 KAPX 192059 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 359 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING... .QUITE COLD ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO TONIGHT...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOWS CONTINUING...HEAVY AT TIMES. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CREATE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH LOWERED VISIBILITIES. MIZ008-019>022-200400- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD 359 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING...BRIEFLY HEAVY AT TIMES...BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. * ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. WINDS WILL DIMINSH BY MIDNIGHT. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS OCCURRING THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALWAYS ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647-8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ025-026-031-032-200400- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE... CADILLAC 359 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING... GRADUALLY DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BY MIDNIGHT. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS OCCURRING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ MIZ016-017-023-027-028-200400- /O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA... KALKASKA...GRAYLING 359 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING. * GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT. IMPACTS... * HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED. THIS WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY TRAVEL CONDITIONS. IF TRAVELING...PLEASE REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. * WE WELCOME YOUR SNOWFALL OR ICE REPORTS ANYTIME AT 1-800-647- 8676 (REPORTS ONLY PLEASE...NO FORECASTS) OR ONLINE VIA FACEBOOK. && $$ LAWRENCE
577 WWUS43 KAPX 200357 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1057 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 MIZ008-019>022-200500- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ CHIPPEWA-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD 1057 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING AS ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED. $$ MIZ016-017-023-025>028-031-032-200500- /O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120120T0400Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ATLANTA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE... CADILLAC 1057 PM EST THU JAN 19 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY AS ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 18, 10:45 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 10:45 PM EST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1045 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012
.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 400 PM/
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS LOW WILL DRAG AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES...PRODUCING ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN U.P. AND
NORTHERN LOWER BY THURSDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW
AVERAGE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK...ALONG WITH LINGERING
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE THIS
WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM BRINGING A CHANCE FOR RAIN OR SNOW
LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
LOCKER/SCHWARTZ
&&
.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 1027 PM/...TONIGHT
A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE (NOW 1001 MB) WAS CENTERED OVER
NORTH CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR WITH A TRAILING ARCTIC COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THIS SYSTEM IS THE
FOCUS OF THE SHORT TERM...WITH THE TIMING OF SYNOPTIC
PRECIPITATION THE MAIN CONCERN. CURRENT TRENDS ALONG WITH SHORT
TERM MODEL GUIDANCE IS A TAD SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH
ARRIVAL OF BAND OF SNOW OUT AHEAD OF APPROACHING FRONT (SO HAVE
MADE THIS TIMING ADJUSTMENT). STILL EXPECTING ARRIVAL OF BAND OF
MODERATE SNOWFALL TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE WEE HOURS OF
THURSDAY. IN THE MEANTIME...SSW FLOW LAKE EFFECT SHOULD RAMP UP OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO ACROSS THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE COUNTIES
AS WELL AS ACROSS WESTERN MACKINAC COUNTY. CURRENT HEADLINES LOOK
FINE FOR TONIGHT IN THIS REGARD. HOWEVER...AM CONCERNED THAT AN
ADVISORY MAY NOT HOLD SNOW TOTALS...ACROSS OTSEGO...CHARLEVOIX AND
ANTRIM COUNTIES (AND POSSIBLY EVEN CHIPPEWA COUNTY)...TARGETED BY
WNW FLOW LES THURSDAY. SO MAY UPGRADE AT LEAST THE THREE NORTHERN
LOWER COUNTIES SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SSW WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN AND BE GUSTY OVERNIGHT LEADING TO AREAS OF BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL OVERNIGHT...BEFORE SHIFTING INTO THE WNW
TOWARD MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD NEARLY STEADY IN THE MIDDLE
TEENS TO LOWER 20S FOR THE MOST PART.
SULLIVAN
&&
.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 400 PM/...THURSDAY AND BEYOND
STILL LOOKING LIKE A HIGH IMPACT PERIOD OF WX HEADING INTO
THURSDAY...WITH MAIN FCST FOCUS ON POTENTIAL FOR DECENT LAKE EFFECT
IN SPOTS AND WINDY CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE. ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SHOULD BE CLEARING THE CWA BY 15Z...WITH A STRONG PUSH OF COLD
ADVECTION EXPECTED HEADING INTO EARLY AFTN. LINGERING FRONTAL-DRIVEN
SNOWS ACROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES EARLY SHOULD QUICKLY TRANSITION TO
LAKE EFFECT AS LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO VEER WEST/NORTHWESTERLY
BEFORE LOCKING INTO SOMETHING OF 280-300 DEGREE FLOW THROUGH THE
LATE AFTN HOURS. WHILE DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE EXITING STAGE RIGHT
EARLY...THE LAKE EFFECT SETUP CONTINUES TO LOOK RATHER GOOD INTO THE
AFTN WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS CLIMBING BACK TO AROUND 7-8KFT AND
DEEPENING DGZ DEPTH AS MUCH OF THE LAKE-DRIVEN CLOUD LAYER BETWEEN
THE -13C TO -18C ISOTHERMS BY LATE MORNING.
STEADY STATE FLOW REGIME ADDS SOME CONFIDENCE THAT AMOUNTS MAY END
UP HIGHER THAN FCST...AS DOES TIGHTENING CYCLONIC FLOW SIGNATURE
RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR A LAKE SUPERIOR CONNECTION.
OVERALL...WILL UP AMOUNTS ACROSS THE FAVORED SPOTS OF NORTHWEST
LOWER AND INTO NORTHERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY WHERE CAN FORESEE SOME SPOTS
PICKING UP AN ADDITIONAL 5 (PERHAPS MORE) INCHES THROUGH THE DAY.
WILL MAINTAIN THE LAKE SNOW ADVISORIES AS THEY ARE NOW...BUT LATER
SHIFTS MAY NEED TO UPGRADE. REGARDLESS...ALL SPOTS WILL SEE
INCREASING WINDS THROUGH THE MORNING AS COLD ADVECTION ENSUES...WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25-35MPH EXPECTED...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW. TEMPS THROUGH THE DAY WILL DO NOTHING BUT
FALL...REACHING THE LOWER TEENS BY LATE AFTN ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHWEST LOWER/EASTERN UPPER.
LAWRENCE
THURSDAY NIGHT...WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT FROM THE NW
FLOW TO WEST. 850 MB TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND -20C DURING THE
NIGHT WITH THE MOISTURE AROUND 60% NEAR E UPPER IN THE 850-700 MB
LAYER. MOISTURE IS AROUND 50% IN N LOWER IN THE LAYER, SO HAVE THE
POPS GRADUALLY FALLING OFF OVERNIGHT, WITH THE FOCUS OF WHERE THE
SNOW WILL FALL SHIFTING.
FRIDAY...THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE MORNING. WHILE
THERE IS A DEARTH OF MOISTURE IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER, WOULD SUSPECT
THAT THE SNOW THAT MAY BE LEFT OVER FROM THURSDAY NIGHT, WILL GET
PUSHED INTO THE SW FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. THE NAM IS SLOWER
WITH THE MOISTURE MOVING IN, AS WELL AS, HAVING LESS MOISTURE IN THE
LAYER THAN THE ECMWF AND GFS FOR THE SAME TIME PERIOD. SO WILL
CONTINUE THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS FROM LES. FOR THE AFTERNOON,
THE MOISTURE IS BACK IN WITH UPWARD MOTION FROM THE INCOMING SYSTEM.
SO WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS IN THE SW COUNTIES, AND CHANCE POPS
EVERYWHERE ELSE, THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE THAT ALONG THE LAKE
MICHIGAN SHORE WILL BE ELEVATED AS THE MOISTURE MOVES IN AND
ENHANCES THE LAKE EFFECT.
FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE MAIN SFC LOW IN THE OHIO VALLEY, THE WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NE OVERNIGHT, HOWEVER, THE MODELS ARE FORCING A
WEAK SFC LOW OR TROUGH NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. PART OF THIS IS FORCING
FROM THE 500 MB SPEED MAX MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW OVER E UPPER,
AND THE OTHER PART IS THE LAKE AGGREGATE TROUGHING. SO THERE IS A
GOOD CASE TO BE MADE FOR THE WINDS TO TURN MORE NW. THIS COULD
CAUSE SOME ISSUES IF THE WINDS DUE SHIFT THIS FAR AS THERE COULD
BE MORE SNOW DUE TO LES THAT WOULD RESULT. 850 MB TEMPERATURES ARE
STILL IN THE -16C RANGE AND THE MOISTURE IS AROUND 50% BY 12Z. SO
THERE IS SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR LES LATE AND A FEW MORE INCHES TO BE
ADDED ONTO WHAT WE WILL GET.
SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION AND LOOKS TO KILL
OFF THE LES. SO HAVE THE DAY DRY. LOOKS LIKE IT COULD TURN OUT TO BE
SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY FOR SOME AREAS. OVERNIGHT, THE NEXT SYSTEM
BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION. LOOKS LIKE AT THE RATE THE MODELS
ARE SHOWING WITH THE MOISTURE IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER AND AT 850 MB,
WILL EXPECT THAT THERE WILL BE CHANCE POPS IN E UPPER AS THE WARM
FRONT AND THE 500 MB JET COUPLE TO BEGIN TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME SNOW.
THE PROFILES WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED WITH THIS SYSTEM AS THE ECMWF
SHOWS THE 850 MB 0C LINE MOVE IN NORTH INTO C LOWER. THE GFS IS
STILL COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW SO WILL LEAVE THAT FOR THE TIME
BEING.
EXTENDED (SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...SUNDAY, WARM FRONT AHEAD OF
THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM LOOKS TO KICK OFF SOME PRECIPITATION. MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE SNOW. MONDAY, WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE CHANCE OF SNOW AS THE SFC LOW MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION AND WE GET INTO LES BY THE AFTERNOON. TUESDAY, MOISTURE TRIES
TO MOVE OUT, BUT THE FLOW IS PERSISTENTLY NW. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN THE SOLUTIONS IS THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES. GFS IS -10C IN N
LAKE MICHIGAN, WHILE ECMWF WARMS THROUGH THE DAY, PUTTING US AT -2C
BY 00Z. TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKS DRY. WEDNESDAY, LOOKS LIKE PRECIPITATION
WILL HOLD OFF MOST OF THE DAY, SO WILL PROBABLY KEEP IT DRY.
HOWEVER, AT NIGHT WILL EXPECT THAT RAIN OR SNOW WILL MOVE IN,
DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL IS RIGHT.
JSL
&&
.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 400 PM/
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR OVERNIGHT...
WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSING THE NEARSHORE WATERS NO LATER THAN
LATE MORNING. IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT...EXPECT TO SEE SOUTHWESTERLY
GALES DEVELOP UP THE SPINE OF LAKE MICHIGAN THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH
GALES DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE NEARSHORE WATERS ON
THURSDAY AS MUCH COLDER AIR PUSHES INTO THE AREA. WINDS/WAVES WILL
DIMINISH RATHER QUICKLY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS THE GRADIENT
WEAKENS ACROSS THE AREA...WITH WINDS BECOMING EVEN LIGHTER INTO THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS OVERHEAD. WINDS
MAY AGAIN INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH ON SUNDAY WITH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OUT AHEAD OF ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.
LAWRENCE
&&
.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 619 PM/...VALID FOR 00Z TAFS
EXPECT HIGH END MVFR TO LOW END VFR CEILINGS TO CONTINUE THIS
EVENING. AN APPROACHING ARCTIC COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO PUSH A BAND OF HEAVIER LAKE SNOWS
ACROSS ALL TERMINAL SITES...REDUCING VISIBILITIES AND PERHAPS
CEILINGS TO IFR. WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY GUSTY AT ALL SITES
LATER THIS EVENING...AND ESPECIALLY INTO THE DAY ON
THURSDAY...WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE. EVEN STILL...LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR WILL BE AN ISSUE ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE
OVERNIGHT. THOSE WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE THEN EXPECTED DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY.
AJS
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY FOR MIZ020-025-
026-031-032.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY FOR MIZ016-
019-021-022-027-028.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY FOR MIZ008.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR MIZ015.
LH...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LHZ345>349.
LM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
LS...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LSZ321-322.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 18, 4:18 PM EST, 7 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 418 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042- 191200- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA- MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO- GLADWIN-ARENAC- 418 PM EST WED JAN 18 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...PRIMARILY ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND WESTERN CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES FOR MORE DETAILS. GALE FORCE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS ALL NEARSHORE WATERS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THE NIGHT. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NEARSHORE MARINE FORECASTS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE DAY ON THURSDAY WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALSO EXPECTED. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND INTO CHIPPEWA COUNTY OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. SEE ONGOING LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORIES FOR MORE DETAILS. GALE FORCE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST ACROSS ALL NEARSHORE WATERS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. PLEASE SEE THE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECASTS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS...PLEASE PASS ALONG SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN ALSO POST SNOWFALL REPORTS AND PICTURES TO OUR FACEBOOK PAGE. LAWRENCE
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Michigan, 2012Every lake effect snow warning in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.