Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Amarillo, TX

037 
WWUS54 KAMA 030359
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
959 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

TXC011-065-233-341-375-381-030430-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120203T0430Z/
HUTCHINSON TX-MOORE TX-POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-CARSON TX-ARMSTRONG TX-
959 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CST
FOR WESTERN ARMSTRONG...WESTERN CARSON...RANDALL...EASTERN POTTER...
SOUTHEASTERN MOORE AND SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

AT 953 PM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE 6 MILES NORTH OF AMARILLO.  
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES 
SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MEREDITH TO AMARILLO TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF 
CANYON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 22 MILES NORTH OF AMARILLO 
TO AMARILLO TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF CANYON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THE LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY
RURAL AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTIES.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WHICH MAY CAUSE DAMAGE
TO PROPERTY OR PERSONAL INJURY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.

LAT...LON 3519 10194 3565 10193 3569 10141 3519 10136
      3475 10138 3474 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0357Z 270DEG 21KT 3552 10176 3519 10178
          3481 10189

$$

JACKSON

353 
WWUS54 KAMA 030414
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1014 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

TXC011-065-233-341-375-381-030430-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120203T0430Z/
HUTCHINSON TX-MOORE TX-POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-CARSON TX-ARMSTRONG TX-
1014 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CST
FOR WESTERN ARMSTRONG...WESTERN CARSON...EASTERN RANDALL...EASTERN
POTTER...SOUTHEASTERN MOORE AND SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

AT 953 PM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE 6 MILES NORTH OF AMARILLO.  
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTH 
OF FRITCH TO 6 MILES WEST OF WASHBURN TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF 
CANYON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BORGER 
TO 8 MILES EAST OF AMARILLO TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF CANYON...MOVING 
EAST AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED 
AMARILLO...CANYON...LAKE TANGLEWOOD...TO WAYSIDE.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING HAIL AND VERY HEAVY 
RAIN. GO INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 3 3 5 1 1 2 1.

LAT...LON 3519 10142 3475 10149 3474 10205 3519 10188
      3566 10176 3569 10141
TIME...MOT...LOC 0413Z 270DEG 21KT 3552 10164 3519 10167
          3477 10196

$$

MBS

520 
WWUS54 KAMA 030430
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1030 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

TXC011-065-233-341-375-381-030439-
/O.EXP.KAMA.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120203T0430Z/
HUTCHINSON TX-MOORE TX-POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-CARSON TX-ARMSTRONG TX-
1030 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN ARMSTRONG...WESTERN
CARSON...EASTERN RANDALL...EASTERN POTTER...SOUTHEASTERN MOORE AND
SOUTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1030 PM CST...

AT 1030 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAD
WEAKENED. THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE.

PENNY SIZE HAIL IS LIKELY EAST OF CANYON...SOUTH OF LAKE 
TANGLEWOOD...AND NEAR PALO DURO CANYON AS WELL AS JUST SOUTH OF 
FRITCH THROUGH 1100 PM CST.

LAT...LON 3519 10142 3475 10149 3474 10205 3519 10188
      3566 10176 3569 10141
TIME...MOT...LOC 0429Z 270DEG 21KT 3551 10152 3518 10156
          3477 10185

$$

MBS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
920 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

.UPDATE...
CURRENT RADAR REFLECTIVITY IMAGERY IS INDICATING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
PANHANDLE WITH AN AREA OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEAST TX
PANHANDLE. THE 00Z KAMA SOUNDING SHOWS A PRETTY SHALLOW MOIST LAYER
BETWEEN 850-825 MB WITH DRY AIR ALOFT CORRESPONDING TO A DRY SLOT
THAT WAS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA AT LAUNCH TIME. THE SOUTHWEST TX
PANHANDLE APPEARS TO BE CAPPED ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THIS
AREA CAN BREAK THE CAP IF DEWPOINTS CONTINUE TO INCH UP AS THEY HAVE
BEEN THIS EVENING. HOWEVER NOT TOO CONFIDENT THAT THIS WILL OCCUR
WITH THE ASOS REPORTING LIGHT FOG. A 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WILL CRANK
UP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS HELPING TO TRANSPORT
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE WHILE INCREASING
THE INSTABILITY. THE ONGOING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TX PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 3 AM CST WITH
LARGE VALUES OF SHEAR SUPPORTING LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN THREAT AS
EXPECT STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED. HAVE A SMALL CONCERN FOR TORNADOES IN
THE SOUTHEAST TX PANHANDLE WHERE A STORM OR TWO CAN BECOME SURFACE
BASED...BUT THINKING CHANCES OF THIS OCCURRING ARE PRETTY SLIM.

A COLD FRONT HAS STARTED ENTERING THE WESTERN OK PANHANDLE AND THE
NORTHWEST TX PANHANDLE...WITH MUCH DRIER AIR MOVING IN AS DEW POINTS
HAVE FALLEN BACK INTO THE 30S. AS SUCH THE CONVECTIVE THREAT HAS
ENDED IN THIS AREA.

CLK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS FORECAST CENTERS ON CONVECTION
CHANCES THROUGH THE NEXT 6 HOURS.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EJECTING AHEAD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO HAS TRIGGERED SCT TSRA IN THE WESTERN TX/OK
PANHANDLES. AT THE SURFACE...A DRYLINE HAS MIXED INTO THE FAR WESTERN
PANHANDLES WHERE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S WERE COMMON EAST OF
THE DRYLINE. EXPECT THE DRYLINE TO RETREAT SOON BACK INTO NM LEAVING
A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR CONVECTION TO FURTHER
DEVELOP/SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. FOR NOW JUST HAVE VCTS
MENTION IN THE TAFS BUT WILL UPDATE TO A PREVAILING TSRA IF IT LOOKS
LIKE STORMS WILL DIRECTLY THREATEN THE TERMINALS. FURTHER EAST...A 50
KT LOW- LEVEL JET WILL CRANK UP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...
TRANSPORTING MORE GULF MOISTURE INTO THE PANHANDLES. THIS WILL SERVE
AS A BETTER FOCUS FOR CONVECTION LATER THIS EVENING SO HAVE TSRA
ENDING AROUND 03-04Z AT THE TERMINALS. SHOULD SEE CLOUDS LOWER TO
MVFR AND IFR LATER TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF LIGHT FOG REDUCING VISBYS TO
1 TO 3 MILES DUE TO ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE. A SURFACE
LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT WITH A COLD FRONT
PUSHING INTO THE AREA. AHEAD OF THIS WINDS WILL VEER FROM THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. ONCE THE FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH...WINDS WILL FURTHER VEER AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST. CAN SEE A
FEW WRAP AROUND RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY AT THE KGUY TERMINAL BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING IS PRETTY LOW. DRIER AIR WILL WORK ITS
WAY INTO THE AREA RESULTING IN VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING AROUND 18Z
FRIDAY.

CLK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT AND THEN ACROSS THE
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWESTERN OR WESTERN KANSAS FRIDAY. LOW
LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY JET AROUND 25 TO 35 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT
PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE PANHANDLES TODAY AND TONIGHT.
LEADING SHORTWAVE ENERGY AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW HAS BEGUN TRIGGERING
MAINLY SHOWERS ALONG WITH A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...AND ALSO THE NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECTING CONVECTION TO CONTINUE TO
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT AS BETTER UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND INSTABILITY FORECAST OVER
THE PANHANDLES. GREATEST PRECIP CHANCES OVER THE NORTHERN HALF AND
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...WHICH SHIFTS
EASTWARD FRIDAY MORNING TO THE EXTREME NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS
OF THE PANHANDLES. WRAP AROUND PRECIP AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES
TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS KANSAS SHOULD AFFECT THE NORTHERN PANHANDLES
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE EXITING THE FORECAST AREA LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH AND EAST FURTHER AWAY FROM
THE PANHANDLES. COLD FRONT TO PUSH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
USHERING IN COLD AIR ADVECTION ON BREEZY TO WINDY NORTHERLY WINDS.

MUCH COOLER SATURDAY DUE TO CONTINUED STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND
CLOUD COVER WITH DECREASING CLOUDINESS BY SUNDAY. SURFACE HIGH TO
BUILD IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THIS WEEKEND BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR
INTO THE PANHANDLES. GFS MAINLY...BUT THE ECMWF ALSO TO SOME
EXTENT...FORECASTING NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY SOME PRECIP OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE PANHANDLES. DECIDED NOT TO INTRODUCE ANY POPS AT THIS
TIME...HOWEVER LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO WATCH CLOSELY. MODERATING
TEMPS THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK AND FORECASTING DRY CONDITIONS
FOR NOW.

SCHNEIDER

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND
END OF NEXT WEEK. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FORECAST TO BE GREATER
THAN 20 PERCENT THROUGH THE PERIOD EVEN THOUGH 20 FOOT WINDS MAY
REACH OR EXCEED 20 MPH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WITH SPEEDS LESS THAN 15
TO 20 MPH SUNDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
754 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-031200-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
754 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE UNTIL 3 AM CST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES TONIGHT.
THESE STORMS CAN BECOME SEVERE...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS
IS THE PRIMARY HAZARD ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH AND
LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
PANHANDLES FRIDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME
SEVERE.

IN ADDITION...LIGHT SNOW OR A RAIN AND SNOW MIX WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE INCH ARE
POSSIBLE NORTHWEST OF A TEXLINE TO LIBERAL KANSAS LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH 3 AM CST TONIGHT MAINLY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PANHANDLES.

CLK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
844 PM CST THU FEB 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0827 PM     HAIL             1 W LAKE MEREDITH       35.65N 101.68W
02/02/2012  E1.00 INCH       MOORE              TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200051

KRAUSE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
855 PM CST THU FEB 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     HAIL             STINNETT                35.82N 101.44W
02/02/2012  E1.00 INCH       HUTCHINSON         TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200052

M. SCOTTEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
926 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

TXZ009-014-030415-
GRAY TX-ROBERTS TX-
926 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1015 PM CST FOR ROBERTS AND GRAY
COUNTIES.

AT 924 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF LEFORS...OR ABOUT
15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAMPA...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

ONE HALF INCH HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

JACKSON/MOULTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
932 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

OKZ003-TXZ004-005-030415-
BEAVER OK-LIPSCOMB TX-OCHILTREE TX-
932 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1015 PM CST FOR OCHILTREE...LIPSCOMB
AND BEAVER COUNTIES.

AT 929 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PERRYTON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS POSSIBLE.

JACKSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
940 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

TXZ007-008-012-013-017-018-030430-
HUTCHINSON TX-MOORE TX-POTTER TX-RANDALL TX-CARSON TX-ARMSTRONG TX-
940 PM CST THU FEB 2 2012

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1030 PM CST FOR ARMSTRONG...
CARSON...RANDALL...POTTER...MOORE AND HUTCHINSON COUNTIES.

AT 938 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
10 MILES SOUTH OF MASTERSON TO NEAR CANYON...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 22 MILES NORTH OF AMARILLO TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CANYON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.

JACKSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
951 PM CST THU FEB 02 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     HAIL             5 S AMARILLO            35.13N 101.82W
02/02/2012  E1.00 INCH       RANDALL            TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200053

SMB