Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Amarillo, TX

309 
WWUS84 KAMA 172005
RFWAMA

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
305 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

OKZ001-TXZ001-006-011-016-181300-
/O.UPG.KAMA.FW.A.0011.120318T1500Z-120319T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0012.120318T1500Z-120319T0100Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120318T0200Z/
CIMARRON-DALLAM-HARTLEY-OLDHAM-DEAF SMITH-
305 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...CIMARRON. IN TEXAS...DALLAM...
  HARTLEY...OLDHAM...DEAF SMITH. 

* 20 FOOT WIND: SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE
  WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH THE MID EVENING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY
  WINDS WILL INCREASE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
  HIGHER GUSTS.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO 5 TO
  15 PERCENT THROUGH THIS EVENING AND TO AROUND 5 TO 15 PERCENT ON
  SUNDAY.

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY
  MID EVENING AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES GRADUALLY INCREASE AND WIND
  SPEEDS DIMINISH. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
  BE MET BY LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY SUNDAY AND IMPROVE SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO QUICKLY
BECOME DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

OKZ002-TXZ002-007-012-017-181300-
/O.NEW.KAMA.FW.W.0012.120318T1500Z-120319T0100Z/
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120318T0200Z/
TEXAS-SHERMAN-MOORE-POTTER-RANDALL-
305 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT SUNDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN OKLAHOMA...TEXAS. IN TEXAS...SHERMAN...
  MOORE...POTTER...RANDALL. 

* 20 FOOT WIND: SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE
  WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH THE MID EVENING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY
  WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY
  MORNING.

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 
  PERCENT ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. 

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY
  MID EVENING AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INCREASE AND WIND SPEEDS
  DIMINISH. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE MET ON SUNDAY
  AROUND LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY AND WILL IMPROVE SUNDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

TXZ003-008-013-018-180200-
/O.CON.KAMA.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-120318T0200Z/
HANSFORD-HUTCHINSON-CARSON-ARMSTRONG-
305 PM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN TEXAS...HANSFORD...HUTCHINSON...CARSON...
  ARMSTRONG. 

* 20 FOOT WIND: SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH
  RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH THE MID EVENING. 

* HUMIDITY: MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO 15 
  PERCENT ARE EXPECTED. 

* TIMING: CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
  BY MID EVENING AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES INCREASE AND WIND SPEEDS
  DIMINISH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER...AND AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER RATING
WILL CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SCHNEIDER

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
359 AM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

.DISCUSSION...
THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN FURTHER TODAY AS HEIGHT
FALLS OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES ENCOURAGES A TIGHTENING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. A DRYLINE WILL
AGAIN MOVE INTO THE EASTERN PANHANDLES BY PEAK HEATING...BUT BELIEVE
THE DRYLINE WILL REMAIN QUIET TODAY WITH THE LACK OF AN UPPER LEVEL
TRIGGER.

UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST NOW WILL CONTINUE TO
MAKE STEADY PROGRESS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN
ROCKIES THROUGH MONDAY. UPPER HEIGHT FALLS START TO SPREAD OUT
ONTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. AS
THIS HAPPENS OUR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SHOULD GO UP...
ESPECIALLY FOR THE EASTERN PANHANDLES. INCREASING MOISTURE COMBINED
WITH INCREASING LIFT AND DYNAMICS FROM THE APPROACHING LONG WAVE
TROUGH SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO HELP PRODUCE THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE THE
SURFACE WIND. WINDS MAY APPROACH HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST AND FAR WESTERN CWA ON SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT INCREASES EVEN MORE. 700 MB AND 500 MB WIND SPEEDS ALSO
SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGH WIND CRITERIA BEING MET...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST SECTIONS. THE DAMAGING WIND THREAT
ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE VERY REAL IF SOME OF THESE
STORMS CAN TAP INTO THESE STRONGER WINDS AND BRING THEM TO THE
GROUND.

THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE PANHANDLES LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING...BRINGING STRONG WINDS
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THIS COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP MOST OF THE
MOISTURE TO THE EAST OF THE CWA ON MONDAY. A FEW SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST WHERE MOISTURE WILL
HANG ON A LITTLE LONGER.

THE STRONGER CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
ON TUESDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS.
AGAIN...THE WINDS MAY GET FAIRLY STRONG BEHIND THIS FEATURE...BUT
THEY WILL PROBABLY BE LIGHTER THAN MONDAY.

A CLOSED LOW WILL THEN EVOLVE JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CWA ON TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  THE INFLUENCE OF THIS LOW WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS THIS LOW SLOWLY MOVES NORTHEAST
AWAY FROM THE AREA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WILL GO AHEAD AND FLIP THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TODAY OVER
TO A RED FLAG WARNING. LOOKS LIKE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MET BEHIND A DRYLINE. WILL KEEP THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH GOING FOR SUNDAY AS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN CWA. INCREASING
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                86  49  77  42  60 /   5   0  20  40   5
BEAVER OK                  83  49  78  48  66 /   5   0  20  50  10
BOISE CITY OK              87  45  75  38  57 /   5   0   5  20   5
BORGER TX                  87  57  83  48  62 /   5   0  20  40   5
BOYS RANCH TX              89  47  79  42  61 /   5   0  20  30   5
CANYON TX                  87  46  78  41  61 /   5   0  20  40   5
CLARENDON TX               87  54  81  50  65 /   5   5  20  50  10
DALHART TX                 86  41  76  36  58 /   5   0   5  20   5
GUYMON OK                  89  45  83  43  61 /   5   0  20  40   5
HEREFORD TX                86  46  77  40  59 /   0   0  20  30   5
LIPSCOMB TX                81  55  78  53  66 /   5   0  20  50  10
PAMPA TX                   83  52  78  46  61 /   5   5  20  50   5
SHAMROCK TX                80  55  79  53  69 /  10   5  20  60  10
WELLINGTON TX              81  55  80  53  72 /  10   5  20  60  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HUTCHINSON...
     MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HARTLEY...
     OLDHAM.

OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON.

&&

08/15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
419 AM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-172130-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
419 AM CDT SAT MAR 17 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL PANHANDLES THROUGH MID EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

CAUTION IS ADVISED ON AREA LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO BREEZY WINDS
OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ALSO MONDAY
ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR
WESTERN PANHANDLES LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND
LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS THE
AREA DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ON SUNDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AREA FIRE MANAGERS AND EMERGENCY OFFICIALS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

GOEHRING