Alert archive / New York / Flood Watches in 2012

Flood Watch 2, NWS Albany, NY

October 27, 20124 states

NWS Albany, NY issued this flood watch at Oct 27, 2012, 4:22 PM EDT for 4 states. It took effect at Oct 29, 2012, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 27, 2012, 4:22 PM EDT (20:22 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 29, 2012, 12:00 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 30, 2012, 3:35 AM EDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY
Flood severity
None

Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 11 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-10-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-10-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
659 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

368 
WGUS61 KALY 272022
FFAALY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
422 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-280430-
/O.NEW.KALY.FA.A.0002.121029T1600Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
422 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...
  NORTHERN LITCHFIELD AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN
  EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...
  EASTERN DUTCHESS...EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...
  EASTERN SCHENECTADY...EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN
  SARATOGA...NORTHERN WARREN...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE...
  SOUTHEAST WARREN...SOUTHERN SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...
  WESTERN ALBANY...WESTERN COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS...WESTERN
  GREENE...WESTERN RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND WESTERN
  ULSTER. IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN WINDHAM AND
  WESTERN WINDHAM.

* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* A POWERFUL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY COMBINING WITH
  AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...WILL AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
  FROM MAINLY MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER
  TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS
  OF VERMONT...BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS...WITH UP TO 6
  INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST FACING SLOPES OF THE CATSKILLS.
  VALLEY LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON VALLEYS CAN
  EXPECT AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. TIDAL
  FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER FROM POUGHKEEPSIE
  NORTHWARD TO ALBANY. LEAVES MAY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH COULD
  CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS WITHIN A
  SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF ISOLATED FLASH
  FLOODING AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
430 
WGUS61 KALY 280146
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
946 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-281000-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.121029T1600Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
946 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
  EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN
  LITCHFIELD AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
  NORTHERN BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN EAST CENTRAL NEW
  YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...EASTERN DUTCHESS...
  EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...EASTERN SCHENECTADY...
  EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN SARATOGA...NORTHERN
  WARREN...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE... SOUTHEAST WARREN...
  SOUTHERN SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON... WESTERN ALBANY...
  WESTERN COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS... WESTERN GREENE...WESTERN
  RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND WESTERN ULSTER. IN SOUTHERN
  VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN WINDHAM AND WESTERN WINDHAM.

* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* A POWERFUL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY COMBINING WITH 
  AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...WILL AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL 
  FROM MAINLY MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL 
  AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE 
  HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN 
  MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT...BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS... 
  WITH UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST FACING SLOPES OF 
  THE CATSKILLS. VALLEY LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON 
  VALLEYS CAN EXPECT AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. 

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN 
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. TIDAL 
  FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER FROM POUGHKEEPSIE 
  NORTHWARD TO ALBANY. LEAVES MAY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH 
  COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS 
  WITHIN A SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF 
  ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
124 
WGUS61 KALY 280825
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
425 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-281630-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.121029T1600Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
425 AM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN 
  LITCHFIELD AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   NORTHERN BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  NEW YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...EASTERN 
  DUTCHESS... EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...EASTERN 
  SCHENECTADY... EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN 
  SARATOGA...NORTHERN WARREN...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE...
  SOUTHEAST WARREN... SOUTHERN SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...
  WESTERN ALBANY... WESTERN COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS...
  WESTERN GREENE...WESTERN RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND 
  WESTERN ULSTER. IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN 
  WINDHAM AND WESTERN WINDHAM. 

* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY WILL
  AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
  NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO
  4 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST
  ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF
  VERMONT...BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS...WITH UP TO 6
  INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST FACING SLOPES OF THE CATSKILLS.
  VALLEY LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON VALLEYS CAN
  EXPECT AROUND 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN 
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. TIDAL 
  FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER FROM POUGHKEEPSIE 
  NORTHWARD TO ALBANY. LEAVES MAY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH 
  COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS 
  WITHIN A SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF 
  ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
019 
WGUS61 KALY 281748
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
148 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-290200-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.121029T1600Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
148 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN 
  LITCHFIELD AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   NORTHERN BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  NEW YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...EASTERN 
  DUTCHESS... EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...EASTERN 
  SCHENECTADY... EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN 
  SARATOGA...NORTHERN WARREN...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE...
  SOUTHEAST WARREN... SOUTHERN SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...
  WESTERN ALBANY... WESTERN COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS...
  WESTERN GREENE...WESTERN RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND 
  WESTERN ULSTER. IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN 
  WINDHAM AND WESTERN WINDHAM. 

* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT

* A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY WILL 
  AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED 
  TO BE 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST 
  ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT... 
  BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS...WITH UP TO 6 INCHES 
  POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST FACING SLOPES OF THE CATSKILLS. 
  VALLEY LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON VALLEYS CAN 
  EXPECT AROUND 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. 

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN 
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. TIDAL 
  FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER FROM POUGHKEEPSIE 
  NORTHWARD TO ALBANY. LEAVES MAY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH 
  COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS 
  WITHIN A SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF 
  ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
808 
WGUS61 KALY 290145
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
945 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-291000-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.121029T1600Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
945 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
  EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN
  LITCHFIELD AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
  NORTHERN BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN EAST CENTRAL NEW
  YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...EASTERN DUTCHESS...
  EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...EASTERN SCHENECTADY...
  EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN SARATOGA...NORTHERN
  WARREN...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE... SOUTHEAST WARREN...
  SOUTHERN SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON... WESTERN ALBANY...
  WESTERN COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS... WESTERN GREENE...WESTERN
  RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND WESTERN ULSTER. IN SOUTHERN
  VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN WINDHAM AND WESTERN WINDHAM.

* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY WILL 
  AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY THROUGH 
  TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED 
  TO BE 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST 
  ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT... 
  BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS...WITH UP TO 6 INCHES 
  POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST FACING SLOPES OF THE CATSKILLS. 
  VALLEY LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON VALLEYS CAN 
  EXPECT AROUND 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL. 

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN 
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. TIDAL 
  FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER FROM POUGHKEEPSIE 
  NORTHWARD TO ALBANY. LEAVES MAY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH 
  COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS 
  WITHIN A SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF 
  ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
741 
WGUS61 KALY 290910
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
510 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-292200-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.121029T1600Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
510 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHERN 
  LITCHFIELD AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD. IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
   NORTHERN BERKSHIRE AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE. IN EAST CENTRAL 
  NEW YORK...EASTERN ALBANY...EASTERN COLUMBIA...EASTERN 
  DUTCHESS... EASTERN GREENE...EASTERN RENSSELAER...EASTERN 
  SCHENECTADY... EASTERN ULSTER...MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN 
  SARATOGA...NORTHERN WARREN...NORTHERN WASHINGTON...SCHOHARIE...
  SOUTHEAST WARREN... SOUTHERN SARATOGA...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON...
  WESTERN ALBANY... WESTERN COLUMBIA...WESTERN DUTCHESS...
  WESTERN GREENE...WESTERN RENSSELAER...WESTERN SCHENECTADY AND 
  WESTERN ULSTER. IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...BENNINGTON...EASTERN 
  WINDHAM AND WESTERN WINDHAM. 

* FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT

* A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY WILL
  AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
  NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO
  4 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST
  ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT...
  BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS...WITH UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE
  ACROSS NORTHEAST FACING SLOPES OF THE CATSKILLS. VALLEY
  LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON VALLEYS CAN EXPECT
  AROUND 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. TIDAL
  FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER FROM POUGHKEEPSIE
  NORTHWARD TO ALBANY. LEAVES AND OTHER DEBRIS MAY CLOG STORM
  DRAINS...WHICH COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY
  RAIN FALLS WITHIN A SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A
  RISK OF ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
307 
WGUS61 KALY 291410
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1010 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-292200-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.121029T1600Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1010 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL
  DISTRICT...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS... LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
  REGION...BERKSHIRES...NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN
  VERMONT.

* THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT

* A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY WILL
  AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE 2 TO 4 INCHES
  ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN
  GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT... BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD
  HILLS...WITH UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST FACING
  SLOPES OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS. VALLEY LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE
  MOHAWK AND HUDSON VALLEYS CAN EXPECT AROUND 1 TO LOCALLY 2
  INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. LEAVES AND
  OTHER DEBRIS WILL LIKELY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH WOULD CAUSE
  ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS WITHIN A SHORTER
  AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF ISOLATED FLASH
  FLOODING AS WELL. 

* TIDAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER AT POUGHKEEPSIE
  WITH TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE NORTHWARD TO ALBANY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
778 
WGUS61 KALY 292136
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
536 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-300600-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
536 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL
  DISTRICT...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS... LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
  REGION...BERKSHIRES...NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN
  VERMONT.

* THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT

* A POWERFUL COASTAL STORM RESULTING FROM HURRICANE SANDY WILL
  AFFECT THE AREA WITH HEAVY RAINFALL INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
  OF THE SOUTHEAST ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF
  VERMONT...BERKSHIRES AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF
  UP 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE EASTERN
  CATSKILLS. VALLEY LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON
  VALLEYS CAN EXPECT AROUND 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. LEAVES AND
  OTHER DEBRIS WILL LIKELY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH WOULD CAUSE
  ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS WITHIN A SHORTER
  AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF ISOLATED FLASH
  FLOODING AS WELL.

* TIDAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER AT POUGHKEEPSIE
  WITH TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE NORTHWARD TO ALBANY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
321 
WGUS61 KALY 300238
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1038 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-301500-
/O.CON.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1038 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...CAPITAL
  DISTRICT...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS... LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
  REGION...BERKSHIRES...NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHERN
  VERMONT.

* THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT

* A POWERFUL STORM RESULTING FROM POST TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY WILL
  CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA WITH RAINFALL...HEAVY AT
  TIMES...INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHEAST
  ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT...BERKSHIRES
  AND LITCHFIELD HILLS. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP 5 INCHES ARE
  POSSIBLE IN UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS. VALLEY
  LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE MOHAWK AND HUDSON VALLEYS CAN EXPECT
  AROUND 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.

* RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OF MAIN 
  STEM RIVERS...STREAMS...AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. LEAVES AND 
  OTHER DEBRIS WILL LIKELY CLOG STORM DRAINS...WHICH WOULD CAUSE 
  ADDITIONAL FLOOD PROBLEMS. IF HEAVY RAIN FALLS WITHIN A 
  SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME...THERE WOULD BE A RISK OF ISOLATED 
  FLASH FLOODING AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
075 
WGUS61 KALY 300735
FFAALY

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
335 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ040>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-300845-
/O.CAN.KALY.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-121031T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...
DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...
BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...
TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...
CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...
HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...
WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...KINGSTON...
NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...PAWLING...
DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...MILLERTON...
GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...
CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...
BRATTLEBORO...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
335 AM EDT TUE OCT 30 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

WHILE SOME MORE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MID WEEK
PERIOD...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO
BE LESS THAN AN INCH. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL NOT BE ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE FLOODING. HOWEVER...SOME FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE HUDSON RIVER TODAY DURING PERIODS OF HIGH TIDE DUE
TO A STRONG TIDAL SURGE UP THE HUDSON RIVER. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Oct 27, 1:34 PM EDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 27, 1:34 PM EDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
134 PM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN WEST OF OUR REGION TODAY.
IT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY MILD AND DRY. THE FRONT WILL  APPROACH FROM
THE WEST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW...ALLOWING FOR A FEW RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THE POWERFUL
STORM...ONCE HURRICANE SANDY  WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
TO THE REGION MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1245 PM...CLOUDS CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. THE FLOW WILL GENERATE SOME LIFT OVER THE ADIRONDACKS
AND COULD PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE MOST
AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY.

THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN
NEW YORK INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY. THIS FRONT WON/T BE ABLE TO
MAKE MUCH PROGRESS TOWARDS OUR AREA THANKS TO A STRONG RIDGE OFF THE
EASTERN SEABOARD AND THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW RUNNING PARALLEL TO THE
SFC BOUNDARY. ITS POSSIBLE THAT SOME ISOLD TO SCT LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
MAKE IT INTO OUR NORTHWESTERN AREAS BY AFTERNOON...SO HAVE POSTED
LOW POPS FOR THOSE AREAS...OTHERWISE IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE
CWA WITH LIGHT WINDS.

EVEN WITH THE CLOUDS...RATHER WARM TEMPS ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR A MILD
DAY...WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE 60S...ALTHOUGH IT WOULD BE MUCH WARMER
IF THERE WERE GOING TO BE MORE BREAKS OF SUNSHINE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
HYBRID STORM DEVELOPING FROM TC SANDY TO IMPACT THE REGION
BEGINNING ON MONDAY...

TROPICAL STORM SANDY IS CURRENTLY OFF THE FLORIDA COASTLINE AND
MOVING NORTHWARD.  THE LATEST SATELLITE/WV IMAGERY ALREADY SHOWS
SANDY UNDERGOING A TRANSITION EARLY THIS SATURDAY MORNING. WHILE THE
STORM/S CENTER REMAINS WARM CORE...SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR HAS BEEN
PULLED AROUND AND INTO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. IN
ADDITION...FRONTAL FEATURES ARE ALREADY STARTING TO APPEAR. SANDY IS
BECOMING A HYBRID SYSTEM...AND AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...IT WILL BE UNDERGOING A WARM SECLUSION...BECOMING A VERY
RARE TYPE OF SYSTEM FOR THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN.

THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS SPLIT INTO TWO CAMPS REGARDING THE LANDFALL
POSITION OF SANDY. THE LATEST 00 UTC NAM/GFS/GGEM/UKMET ALL FAVOR A
CENTRAL NJ SHORE LANDFALL...SOMEWHERE BETWEEN POINT PLEASANT AND
SANDY HOOK. THERE IS REMARKABLE PLACEMENT/TIMING AGREEMENT WITH THE
NAM/GFS/GGEM ALL SHOWING LANDFALL SHORTLY AFTER 00 UTC
TUESDAY...WITH THE UKMET A LITTLE SLOWER. THE 00 UTC GEFS AND NEW
06 UTC NAM SUPPORT THESE SOLUTIONS AS WELL.

ON THE OTHER HAND...THE 00 UTC ECMWF HAS BEEN PERSISTENT IN SHOWING
A MORE SOUTHERN LANDFALL...WITH A LANDFALL AROUND MIDNIGHT ON MONDAY
NIGHT IN SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE. THIS ALSO FITS A LITTLE CLOSER WITH
THE LATEST NHC TRACK. EITHER SCENARIO WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON OUR
REGION DUE TO THE STORM/S LARGE WIND FIELD...ALTHOUGH THE NORTHERN
LANDFALL MAY ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY MORE WIND/RAIN.

THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL SHOWING A VERY DEEP STORM. THE 00 UTC
GEFS SHOWS THE MEAN MSLP TO BE 6 STD BELOW NORMAL. HPC BELIEVES
THIS IS OVERDONE...AND THE MODELS ARE HAVING TROUBLE SINCE THIS IS
SUCH A RARE AND UNUSUAL SYSTEM. EVEN IF IT DOESN/T DEEPEN AS MUCH
AS SHOWN BY THE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE...A 950-970 MB SYSTEM WILL
STILL BE CAPABLE OF HAVING A VERY LARGE WIND FIELD...AND ALONG
WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE /PWATS WILL BE AROUND 2-3 STD ABOVE
NORMAL/...HAVE THE ABILITY TO PRODUCE A LARGE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION.

ANOTHER VERY UNUSUAL SITUATION WILL BE THAT OUR REGION WILL BE ON
THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THIS STORM...WHICH WILL BE UNLIKE IRENE
/2011/ OR FLOYD /1999/...WHEN WE WERE ON THE HIGHER RAIN PRODUCING
LEFT SIDE.   WITH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION BEING ALONG OR JUST
LEFT OF THE STORM/S TRACK ACROSS SOUTH JERSEY/PA/DE...THIS COULD
LIMIT THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL OUR REGION SEES. HOWEVER...WITH
E-SE 850 HPA WINDS OF 70-100 KTS /ACCORDING TO THE 00 UTC
GFS/...THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SIGNIFICANT UPSLOPE FLOW...WHICH CAN HAVE
THE ABILITY TO PRODUCE MORE RAINFALL THAN THE MODELS ARE CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATING. SEE THE HYDRO SECTION FOR DETAILS ON THE RAINFALL
POTENTIAL.

THE 00 UTC GEFS SHOWS THE AFOREMENTIONED 850 HPA WINDS TO BE AN
UNPRECEDENTED 6 STD BELOW NORMAL IN THE U DIRECTION ACROSS OUR AREA.
THESE STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL BE MIXED DOWN AT TIMES...ESP DURING
HEAVIEST RAINFALL...WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH POSSIBLE.
HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CAPITAL REGION WILL SEE
THE MORE FREQUENT AND HIGHER GUSTS...AND GUSTS APPROACHING OR
EXCEEDING 70 MPH CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR THESE HIGH TERRAIN AREAS
SUCH AS THE EASTERN CATSKILLS AND BERKSHIRES. THE EXACT WIND
SPEEDS WILL DEPEND ON THE LANDFALL POSITION AND STRENGTH OF THE
STORM...SO ANY OF THIS IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

FOR OUR AREA...IT WILL REMAIN RATHER QUIET SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS TO OUR WEST. THIS FRONT
WILL NOT BE ABLE TO MAKE MUCH EASTERN PROGRESS TO THE STRONG
BLOCKING RIDGE IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...AND THE APPROACHING
HYBRID STORM. SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATER ON SUNDAY AS
MOISTURE INCREASES WELL OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM...MAINLY FOR
SOUTHERN AREAS. TEMPS WILL BE COOLER ON SUNDAY WITH ONLY 50S TO
NEAR 60 AND CONTINUED CLOUDY CONDITIONS.

A NORTHERLY WIND ON SUNDAY NIGHT MAY ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO COOL DOWN
WITH 40S ACROSS THE AREA. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT
THE NIGHT AS THE STORM CONTINUES TO APPROACH...AND MOST AREAS SHOULD
SEE RAIN BY MONDAY MORNING.

DURING THE DAY MONDAY...BOUTS OF RAINFALL WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
HEAVY...AND THE WIND WILL PICK UP NOTICEABLY BY AFTERNOON. THE
PERIOD OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE LATE MONDAY INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS LOOK TO OCCUR ON MONDAY NIGHT. WITH THE
CLOUDS IN PLACE...TEMPS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 50S FOR MONDAY...WITH
UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S FOR MON NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ATTENTION AND FOCUS WILL REMAIN ON WHAT IS LEFT OF SANDY AS ITS
IMPACTS THAT WILL LINGER FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEK.

LATEST LONG TERM GLOBAL FORECAST GUIDANCE AND ASSOCIATED ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS TAKE SANDY ACROSS PA VICINITY AS IT BEGINS TO FILL RATHER
QUICKLY.  PWATS WILL REMAIN ANOMALOUSLY HIGH FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS DOES REMAIN A POSSIBILITY INTO
THURSDAY.  HOWEVER...IT DOES SEEM THE BEST THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH
THE RIVER RESPONSES VERY CLOSELY.  IN ADDITION...AS THIS SYSTEM DOES
FILL...SO DOES THE CONTINENTAL DRIER AIR INTRUSION WHICH WILL
COMPLICATE RAINFALL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE MID WEEK
PERIOD.  PRESSURE GRADIENT DOES REMAIN SOMEWHAT TIGHT WHICH WILL
RESULT IN BRISK CONDITIONS FROM TIME TO TIME.  THE HIGHER MOMENTUM
WIND MAGNITUDES WILL LIKELY IMPACT LOCATIONS AT OR ABOVE 1000 FEET
WITH EFFECTIVE MIXING SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS.
HOWEVER...STRONGER SHOWERS COULD EASILY TRANSPORT THOSE WINDS TO THE
SURFACE.

TIMING FOR THE DEPARTURE OF THIS SYSTEM SEEMS TO OCCUR DURING
FRIDAY.  THIS IS WHEN THOSE 850MB TEMPS DROP BACK TO 0C OR SLIGHTLY
LOWER WHICH WOULD INTRODUCE THE CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS
THE TERRAIN.  NOT EXPECTING TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATIONS BUT
A GENTLE REMINDER THAT WE WILL BE IN THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATED THAT AT LEAST BRIEFLY...THE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE MIGHT BREAK. HOWEVER...HIGH CLOUDS WELL AHEAD OF SANDY HAVE
ALREADY STARTED MOVING WELL NORTH OF SANDY'S CENTER.

WE ARE LOOKING AT MVFR...OCCASIONALLY VFR CIGS THROUGHOUT THE REST
OF THE AFTERNOON. AFTER DARK...ONCE AGAIN...STRATUS MIGHT REFORM BUT
AT THIS POINT...WE BELIEVE IT WILL STAY MVFR RANGE (LOW MVFR AT
KPSF AND KGFL).

ON SUNDAY...THE CLOUDS LOOK TO JUST LIFT INTO THE VFR RANGE. ANY
RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY. EVEN IF LIGHT
SHOWERS WERE TO TAKE PLACE...THEY WOULD HAVE VERY LITTLE IMPACT ON
VFR CONDITIONS.

THE WIND LOOKS LIGHT TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THIS EVENING...WELL UNDER
10KTS...BECOMING LIGHT TO NORTHEAST AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY.

THE IMPACTS OF SANDY OR A HYBRID THEREOF LOOK TO BEGIN TO IMPACT OUR
REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

OUTLOOK...
SUN-SUN NT...SUB-VFR. CHC -SHRA.
MON-TUE NT...SUB-VFR. WINDY WITH RA/+RA FROM IMPACTS OF SANDY. LLWS
POTENTIAL INCR.
WED/THU...VFR...CHANCE SUB-VFR WITH SHOWERS. BREEZY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
FIRE WEATHER RELATED CONCERNS WILL BE MINIMAL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS DUE TO LIGHT WINDS FOR SAT/SUN AND PERSISTENT HIGH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES. STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS LOW FOR EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK. REFER TO LATEST FWFALY FOR
MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR SOME FLOODING FOR EARLY TO MID NEXT
WEEK...BUT THE EXTENT OF THIS IS STILL UNKNOWN.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME SHOWERS FOR TODAY INTO
TOMORROW...MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS. RAINFALL THROUGH SUNDAY WILL
BE LIGHT AND HAVE LITTLE HYDROLOGIC IMPACT.

A HYBRID COASTAL STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA BEGINNING ON MONDAY AND
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. TOTAL QPF IS STILL UNCERTAIN...AS THIS
WILL DEPEND ON THE TRACK/STRENGTH OF THE STORM...WHICH MODEL
GUIDANCE IS STILL NOT YET IN AGREEMENT ABOUT. ONE THING THAT MODEL
GUIDANCE DOES SEEM TO AGREE IS THAT OUR AREA WILL BE ON THE
NORTHERN /RIGHT/ SIDE OF THIS STORM...WHICH LOOKS TO BE THE MORE
DRIER SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. STILL...UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE HIGH
TERRAIN WILL ALLOW FOR ENHANCED RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CATSKILLS...BERKSHIRES...AND GREEN MTNS. AT THE SAME TIME...THIS
COULD ALLOW FOR DOWNSLOPE FLOW FOR VALLEY AREAS...WHICH COULD
LIMIT RAINFALL FOR AREAS TO THE WEST OF THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND
TACONICS. EXACT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE STILL UNKNOWN...BUT FLOODING
ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IS POSSIBLE...ESP FOR AREAS OF THE SOUTH OF
THE CAPITAL REGION. THE EXPERIMENTAL MMEFS SHOWS SEVERAL POINTS TO
THE SOUTH OF CAPITAL REGION HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
ACTION STAGE.

IN ADDITION...TIDAL FLOODING UP THE HUDSON
RIVER WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT SURGE MOVING
UP THE NEW YORK BIGHT AND INTO THE HUDSON RIVER. PLEASE CONTINUE
TO MONITOR AND STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES REGARDING THE HYDROLOGIC
ASPECTS OF THIS STORM.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FRUGIS
NEAR TERM...FRUGIS/HWJIV
SHORT TERM...FRUGIS
LONG TERM...BGM
AVIATION...HWJIV
FIRE WEATHER...FRUGIS
HYDROLOGY...FRUGIS
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 27, 5:02 AM EDT, 11 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
502 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-281100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
502 AM EDT SAT OCT 27 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT OUR REGION MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH HEAVY RAIN...ALTHOUGH THE EXACT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
IS STILL UNKNOWN. FLOODING MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE
EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE STORM.

IN ADDITION...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING ON THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
TO DAMAGING WINDS...WHICH MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER
OUTAGES FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR SANDY...AND MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECASTS AND PRODUCTS DURING THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 27, 4:23 PM EDTHigh Wind WatchALYBennington, Windham12 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in New York, 2012Flood Watches in Vermont, 2012Flood Watches in Connecticut, 2012Every flood watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.