Small Craft Advisory 39, NWS Wakefield, VA

833 
WHUS71 KAKQ 012024
MWWAKQ

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
324 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

ANZ630>632-634-020430-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-120302T0500Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL-
324 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...15 TO 20 KT.

* WAVES/SEAS...3 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
SEAS OF 5 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND
CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING.

&&

$$

ANZ633-020000-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-120302T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-
324 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS...15 TO 20 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS 
OVER THE CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND
CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING.

&&

$$

597 
WHUS71 KAKQ 012346
MWWAKQ

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
646 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

ANZ633-020100-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-120302T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-
646 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 


$$

ANZ630>632-634-020500-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-120302T0500Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL-
646 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* WINDS...15 TO 20 KT.

* WAVES/SEAS...3 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR
SEAS OF 4 FEET OR GREATER OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY ARE EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND
CONSIDER WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS IN PLANNING.

&&

$$

WRS

622 
WHUS71 KAKQ 020454
MWWAKQ

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1154 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012


ANZ630>632-634-020600-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-120302T0500Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL-
1154 PM EST THU MAR 1 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
659 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. A
WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT COLD FRONT SLOWLY CROSSES THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWING WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACRS THE OHIO
VALLEY...PROGGED TO SLIDE EAST LATER TODAY. IN UPR LEVELS
THOUGH...FLOW IS WESTERLY...SO ANY COLD AIR WILL BE DELAYED ALL
DAY. DEW PTS STILL QUITE HIGH OVER SOUTHERN VA/NE NC...AND SOME
SCT/BKN CLOUDS LINGER IN NC A FEW MORE HRS.

LATER TODAY...MUCH DRIER AIR MOVES IN W/ GUSTY WEST WINDS...ALTHOUGH
CURRENT OBS SUGGEST THIS TREND IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS
GUIDANCE HAD PROJECTED. WILL DELAY CLEARING ACRS THE SOUTHEAST FOR
ANOTHER 1-3 HRS...BUT ALL AREAS SHOULD BE MAINLY SUNNY AFTER 10
AM. DEEP MIXING AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL MAKE FOR ANOTHER VERY WARM
DAY (SEE CLIMATE SECTION). STAYING ON HIGH SIDE OF GUIDANCE DUE TO
THE DOWNSLOPE SO MUCH OF CWA FROM ABOUT RIC SOUTH SHOULD SEE HIGHS
INTO THE MID-UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80. A LITTLE COOLER ACRS THE NRN
TIER WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE UPR 60S TO LWR 70S. DEW PTS DRY OUT
SIGNIFICANTLY BY AFTN ALONG WITH WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH
(SEE FIRE WX SECTION).

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRY/SEASONABLE WX TONIGHT WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE UPR 30S TO LOWER
40S UNDER CLR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. FRI STARTS SUNNY...BUT BY AFTN...ANOTHER
WARM FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING THE RGN FM THE SW...BRINGING A
RETURN OF CLDNS AND CHC POPS (ESPLY ACRS SRN/WRN PORTIONS OF FA). HIGHS
ON FRI RANGING FM THE M50S ON THE ERN SHORE TO M60S W OF THE BAY.
AS WARM FRONT LIFTS N FRI EVENING COULD ONCE AGAIN SEE SOME MAINLY
ELEVATED TSTMS (BOTH NAM/GFS SHOW THIS POTENTIAL VIA -SHOWALTER
INDICES). HAVE BUMPED POPS UP FRI EVENING TO HI CHC OR LIKELY.

LOOKS LIKE A LULL LATER FRI NIGHT...BEFORE SFC COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM NW TWDS DAYBREAK SAT. MIN TEMPS FRI NIGHT WILL
LIKELY OCCUR IN THE EVENING (UPR 40S NE TO MID-UPR 50S S)...WITH
STEADY OR RISING TEMPS OVERNIGHT AS WARM FRONT PUSHES N OF THE
AREA. STRONG LIFT AND DEEP MSTR OVERSPREADS THE REGION SAT MORNING
THROUGH THE AFTN FROM NW TO SE. LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER ROUND OF
WIDESPREAD SHRAS...AND EVEN SCT TSRAS...WHICH COULD BRING HVY RA
POSSIBLE SAT...AND HAVE LIKELY POPS ALL ZONES AT SOME POINT. NOT
RULING OUT STRONG/SVR CNVTN...WL BE DEPENDENT OF DEPTH OF MSTR
(DEEPER MSTR WOULD FAVOR HVY RA OVR SVR) AND CHARACTER OF WND
FIELD. HI TEMPS SAT FM THE U60S NW TO THE LWR TO MID 70S SE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SFC LOW PRESSURE RIDES NORTHWARD ALONG A COLD FRONT AS
IT EXITS THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE THE
FRONT TO SLOW DOWN AND SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT (ESPECIALLY SE SECTIONS). AS SUCH...HAVE
INCREASED POPS ESPECIALLY IN THE SE AND ALSO PULLED HIGHER POPS BACK
TO THE NORTH/WEST. THE SFC LOW AND COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE SUNDAY
MORNING WITH SHOWERS LINGERING ALONG SE SECTIONS...ESPECIALLY
THROUGH THE AM HRS. WILL KEEP SILENT/SLIGHT CHC POPS SUN AFTN AS
UPR SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE W. H5 TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SOME CLOUD COVER BUT NO PRECIP. ANOTHER
(STRONGER) SHORTWAVE WILL BRING SOME COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION
FOR MONDAY. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL PROHIBIT MOST OF THE MOISTURE WITH
THIS FEATURE FROM MAKING IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND LOW-LEVELS LOOK
FAIRLY DRY SO WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY FOR NOW. HOWEVER...CANNOT
RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SPRINKLES OR AN ISOLATED SHOWER. SFC
HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR DRY WX AND A
WARMING TREND.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 11Z...SOME OF THE TAF SITES MAY  LOWER TO MVFR/IFR THROUGH
ABOUT 14Z AS DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS REMAIN LOW. SCT-BKN STRATUS HAS
BEEN REPORTED. OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL BE MAINLY CLEAR AND WINDS WILL
GUST FROM THE WEST TODAY BEGINNING IN THE LATE MORNING. WINDS BECOME
LIGHT AND VEER TO N/NE TONIGHT.

VFR WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY BUT PCPN WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE IN
THE DAY. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A ROUND OF PCPN AND
PERIODS OF IFR BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD RESUME SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
SW WINDS WILL VEER TO WEST BY LATE MORNING. ALTHOUGH WIND GUSTS OVER
LAND WILL REACH CLOSE TO 25 KNOTS IN SOME AREAS...WARM AIR OVER
RELATIVELY COOL WATER WILL REDUCE MIXING AND KEEP WINDS BELOW SCA
CRITERIA. THEREFORE...NO HEADLINES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THIS PACKAGE.

WINDS DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 10 KNOTS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. BY
FRIDAY EVENING...SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO AN
APPROACHING LOW FROM THE WEST. SCA WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 20 TO 25
KNOTS. ON SATURDAY...SEAS ARE FORECAST TO REACH 5 TO 8 FT WITH 4 FT
WAVES IN THE BAY. WINDS DIMINISH SATURDAY NIGHT BUT 5 FOOT SEAS WILL
BE PSBL INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
VERY WARM/BREEZY TODAY...WITH RH VALUES DROPPING OFF TO < 30% MOST
AREAS THIS AFTN...AND TO AROUND 20-25% ALONG/WEST OF I-95. GROUND IS
FAIRLY MOIST HOWEVER (ESP OVER NRN 1/2 CWA)...SO IT WILL TAKE
TODAY'S DRYING FOR FUELS TO BE DRY ENOUGH FOR ANY MAJOR CONCERNS. NO
FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS THU/MAR 1ST:

RICHMOND.........80 (1976)
NORFOLK..........81 (1918)
SALISBURY........80 (1976)
ELIZABETH CITY...80 (1997)

IN ADDITION...METEOROLOGICAL WINTER (DEC-FEB) HAS ENDED UP AS 4TH
WARMEST WINTER SEASONS ON RECORD AT BOTH RICHMOND AND NORFOLK. MORE
DETAILS WILL FOLLOW LATER TODAY W/ A PNSAKQ.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MAM
NEAR TERM...LKB
SHORT TERM...LKB/ALB
LONG TERM...JDM
AVIATION...LSA
MARINE...LSA
FIRE WEATHER...LKB
CLIMATE...AKQ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
546 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-021100-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-
PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-
LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-
KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-
MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-
SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-
SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
546 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS
VIRGINIA...THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ630>634-650-652-654-656-658-021100-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
CURRITUCK SOUND-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO
20 NM-
546 AM EST THU MAR 1 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE
BAY...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS
AND CURRITUCK SOUND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

BROWN