Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Wakefield, VA

828 
WWUS51 KAKQ 222312
SVSAKQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
712 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

VAC111-222330-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-120522T2330Z/
LUNENBURG VA-
712 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL
LUNENBURG COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

AT 709 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED DIME SIZED HAIL 
IN KENBRIDGE. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR KENBRIDGE. MOVEMENT 
WAS NEARLY STATIONARY BUT SHOWED A SLOW DRIFT TO THE SOUTH. 

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  KENBRIDGE...VICTORIA AND LUNENBURG AROUND 730 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE ORAL OAKS
AND LAFOON CORNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3710 7828 3699 7804 3687 7809 3690 7833
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 026DEG 1KT 3699 7816
WIND...HAIL <50MPH 1.00IN

$$

44

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
400 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FRIDAY INTO THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
CONVECTION HAS BEEN WIDESPREAD THUS FAR THIS AFTN ACROSS SE VA/NE
NC FOLLOWING A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BNDRY AND APPROACHING S/W TROF
OVR EASTERN NC INITIATING SHOWERS AND STORMS IN A MOIST AIRMASS.
THIS WILL CONTINUE THRU THE ERLY EVNG HRS...WITH LESS OF A CHC FOR
RAIN (50% POPS) OVR INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE FA...AND JUST 30% OVR
THE LWR EASTERN SHORE (LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL STABILIZE THE
ATM). ANY TSTMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE SLOW MOVING DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW ALOFT...SO HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AS PWATS
APPROACH 1.5". SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...ENDING IN MOST AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE LWR TO MID 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UNSETTLED CONDS WILL CONTINUE THRU AT LEAST THU WITH AN UPR-LVL
TROF CUTTING OFF FROM THE MEAN FLOW ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD.
THIS WILL LEAD TO PERIODIC CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS AS MOIST
S/SW FLOW CONTINUES. FOR WED...SFC TROF WILL BE SITUATED OVR
WESTERN PART OF THE FA WHERE HIGHEST POPS (60%) WERE
PLACED...40-50% ELSEWHERE. TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE UPR 70S TO LWR 80S
UNDER A MSTLY CLDY SKY. RAIN MAY LINGER INTO WED NGT...WITH THE
BEST CHC AGAIN OVR WESTERN AREAS. FOR THU...STILL A CHC FOR RAIN
WITH MOIST S/SW FLOW CONTINUING...BUT WILL LIMIT POPS AT 30-40% AS
MID-LVL S/W PULLS NE OF THE AREA. DRYER CONDS FOR FRI AS HI PRES
SLOWLY BLDS IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE LWR TO
MID 80S THU AND FRI.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
GOING WITH A COMBINATION OF THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF FOR THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. HI PRES RDG ALOFT WILL BLD OVR THE TN AND OH VALLEYS FRI NGT
THRU SUN...THEN EWRD ACRS THE AREA AND OFF THE MID ATLC CST MON THRU
TUE. WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY A DRY FCST THRU MON NGT...BUT WILL HAVE
TO WATCH OUT FOR MCS ACTIVITY COMING OVR THE TOP OF THE RDG FM SAT
AFTN INTO MON. OTHRWISE...A SFC TROF OR COLD FRNT APPROACHING FM THE
WNW BY LATE TUE COULD TRIGGER ISLTD OR SCTD PCPN TUE AFTN/NGT. VRY
WRM TEMPS EXPECTED ACRS THE REGION THRU THE PERIOD. MIN TEMPS WILL
RANGE FM THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70...WHILE MAX TEMPS WILL MAINLY RANGE
FM THE MID 80S TO LWR 90S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE AREA AS OF 18Z
TUE. TAF SITES CAN EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WINDS GUSTING TO 35KT AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING DURING ANY STORM. EXPECT THE STORMS TO DIE DOWN
AFTER SUNSET DUE TO THE LOSS OF INSTABILITY. WITH THE ADDED
MOISTURE FROM ANY RAINFALL TO AN ALREADY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT...IFR/LIFR FOG MAY IMPACT TAF SITES WED MORNING. THE
FOG SHOULD CLEAR QUICKLY DUE TO A SW WIND THAT DEVELOPS. EXPECT
ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WED AFTERNOON.

A SLOW MOVING UPPER SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED UNSETTLED
WEATHER WED AFTERNOON AND THU...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLIGHT
RESTRICTIONS IN PATCHY FOG EACH MORNING AND IN SCT CONVECTION EACH
AFTN. CLEARING FINALLY BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST FOR FRIDAY AND INTO
THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...
WILL CONTINUE WITH SCA FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS THRU LATE TNGT ON THE CSTL
WTRS DUE TO WEAK LO PRES OFF THE MID ATLC CST CAUSING SE SWELLS AND
PERIODS OF 9 TO 10 SECONDS. THEN...GENERALLY S WNDS 15 KT OR LESS
WILL OCCUR FM WED THRU SUN...AS SFC HI PRES SETS UP WELL OFF THE MID
ATLC/SE CST. WAVES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FT AND SEAS WILL BE 2 TO 4 FT.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 AM EDT
     WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ650-652-654-656-658.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MAS
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...MAS
LONG TERM...TMG
AVIATION...MAM/DAP
MARINE...TMG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
357 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>098-232000-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-
PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-
LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-
KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-
MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-
SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-
SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
357 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER
BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ650-652-654-656-658-232000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT TO
20 NM-
357 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ630>638-232000-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA-
CURRITUCK SOUND-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK TO CAPE HENRY VA...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL-
RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT-YORK RIVER-
JAMES RIVER FROM JAMESTOWN TO THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE-
JAMES RIVER FROM THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE TO THE HAMPTON ROADS BRIDGE-
TUNNEL-
357 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL CHESAPEAKE
BAY...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK SOUND...THE EASTERN
JAMES RIVER...THE EASTERN RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER AND THE EASTERN YORK
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-232000-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
357 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
351 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 E KEMPSVILLE          36.83N 76.12W
05/22/2012                   CITY OF VIRGINIA B VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED BY PUBLIC NEAR MT TRASHMORE IN
            VIRGINIA.

&&

JFOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
413 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

NCZ017-102-VAZ097-098-222115-
CHESAPEAKE VA-EASTERN CURRITUCK NC-VIRGINIA BEACH VA-WESTERN
CURRITUCK NC-
413 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER CHESAPEAKE AND VIRGINIA
BEACH...

AT 410 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF LYNNHAVEN TO 7 MILES
WEST OF KNOTTS ISLAND...OR FROM KEMPSVILLE TO CURRITUCK...MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  LYNNHAVEN...
  KNOTTS ISLAND...
  CAPE HENRY AROUND...
  VIRGINIA BEACH OCEANFRONT...

IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING. MOVE INTO A SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THESE STORMS REACH YOUR
AREA. REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
HAIL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...AND
POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3651 7599 3655 7602 3651 7602 3651 7604
      3690 7618 3692 7606 3694 7602 3694 7600
      3692 7597 3690 7598 3679 7596 3662 7587
      3649 7585

JFOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
610 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

VAZ048-222245-
FLUVANNA VA-
610 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO FLUVANNA COUNTY...

AT 609 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAKE MONTICELLO...OR ABOUT 9
MILES WEST OF PALMYRA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR ANTIOCH AT 620 PM EDT...CUNNINGHAM AT 630
PM EDT...CENTRAL PLAINS AT 645 PM EDT.

EXPECT WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND POSSIBLE SMALL
HAIL IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

THE RUNOFF FROM THE RAINFALL MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3795 7836 3782 7823 3773 7837 3773 7841
      3775 7845 3777 7848 3779 7849 3781 7849

44

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
630 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

VAZ066-067-079-222330-
BRUNSWICK VA-LUNENBURG VA-NOTTOWAY VA-
630 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO LUNENBURG COUNTY...

AT 627 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER KENBRIDGE...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. THE
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR LAFOON CORNER AT 635 PM EDT...
KENBRIDGE AT 640 PM EDT...VICTORIA AT 700 PM EDT...ORAL OAKS...AND...
VICTORIA AT 705 PM EDT...LUNENBURG AT 720 PM EDT.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
EXPECT BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. IF YOU HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE INTO A SAFE SHELTER BEFORE
THIS STORM REACHES YOUR AREA. REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

THE RUNOFF FROM THE RAINFALL MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3682 7825 3703 7832 3710 7803 3694 7795

GINGRICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
632 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     LIGHTNING        VIRGINIA BEACH          36.85N 75.98W
05/22/2012                   CITY OF VIRGINIA B VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL HOUSE FIRES REPORTED THROUGHOUT THE CITY BETWEEN
            400 AND 430 PM DUE TO LIGHTNING STRIKES

&&

JFOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
652 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

VAZ048-061-062-222345-
CUMBERLAND VA-FLUVANNA VA-GOOCHLAND VA-
652 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER BUCKINGHAM AND FLUVANNA COUNTIES MOVING
EAST...

AT 648 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM PALMYRA TO 19 MILES WEST OF CUMBERLAND...OR
FROM PALMYRA TO 7 MILES WEST OF DILLWYN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 745
PM INCLUDE...
  FORK UNION ...
  COLUMBIA...
  LAKESIDE VILLAGE...
  CUMBERLAND...

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH...SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. IF YOU HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE INTO
A SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THESE STORMS REACH YOUR AREA. REMAIN INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE STORMS CAN CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3798 7827 3785 7800 3744 7827 3748 7837
      3761 7827 3768 7824 3773 7837 3772 7838
      3774 7843 3775 7845 3780 7845

JFOSTER