Winter Storm Warning 25, NWS Juneau, AK

388 
WWAK47 PAJK 072056
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1156 AM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

AKZ017-080100-
/X.UPG.PAJK.WS.A.0008.120308T0900Z-120308T2100Z/
/X.EXB.PAJK.WS.W.0025.120308T0900Z-120308T2100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
1156 AM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON
AKST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO NOON AKST THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* SNOW...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW BECOMING MIXED WITH RAIN
  IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY...WHICH WILL LIMIT SNOW
  ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ019-080100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.120308T0000Z-120308T2100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
1156 AM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON AKST THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO NOON AKST THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...FROM THE HAINES AREA NORTHWEST TO THE BORDER.

* SNOW...8 TO 15 INCHES. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR
  AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
  THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL START TO MIX WITH RAIN THURSDAY
  MORNING NEAR SEA LEVEL AND CHANGE TO ALL RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON
  ALL THE WAY TO THE BORDER.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER
CONTENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-080100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.120308T0300Z-120308T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
1156 AM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST THURSDAY. 

* SNOW...6 TO 18 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITE PASS. SNOWFALL
  RATES MAY EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL INCREASE IN FREQUENCY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
  AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL START TO MIX
  WITH RAIN NEAR SEA LEVEL THURSDAY MORNING AND CHANGE TO ALL RAIN
  IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVEL WILL RISE TO 1500 FEET BY THE
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER
CONTENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

549 
WWAK47 PAJK 080039
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
339 PM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

AKZ019-080900-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120308T2100Z/
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HAINES
339 PM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...FROM THE HAINES AREA NORTHWEST TO THE BORDER.

* SNOW...8 TO 15 INCHES.  HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE BORDER. SNOWFALL
  RATES MAY EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL START TO MIX WITH RAIN THURSDAY MORNING NEAR
  SEA LEVEL AND CHANGE TO ALL RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON ALL THE WAY TO
  THE BORDER.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER
CONTENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-080900-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.120308T0300Z-120308T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
339 PM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON AKST THURSDAY. 

* SNOW...6 TO 18 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITE PASS. 
  SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL START TO MIX WITH RAIN NEAR SEA LEVEL
  THURSDAY MORNING AND CHANGE TO ALL RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW
  LEVEL WILL RISE TO 1500 FEET BY THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER
CONTENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ017-080900-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.120308T0900Z-120308T2100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
339 PM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO NOON AKST THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON AKST THURSDAY. 

* SNOW...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW BECOMING MIXED WITH 
  RAIN IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY...WHICH WILL LIMIT 
  SNOW ACCUMULATION. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

876 
WWAK47 PAJK 080633
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
933 PM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

AKZ018-019-081400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120308T2100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES
933 PM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
THURSDAY. 

* LOCATION...FROM SKAGWAY NORTH TO WHITE PASS AND FROM THE HAINES
  AREA NORTHWEST TO THE BORDER.

* SNOW...6 TO 18 INCHES. HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITE PASS AND THE
  HAINES CANADIAN BORDER. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED 1 INCH PER
  HOUR AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL START TO MIX WITH RAIN THURSDAY MORNING NEAR
  SEA LEVEL. SNOW LEVEL WILL RISE TO 1500 FEET BY THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

HEAVY WET SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO MANAGE DUE TO HIGH WATER
CONTENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER
IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ017-081400-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.120308T0900Z-120308T2100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
933 PM AKST WED MAR 7 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
THURSDAY. 

* SNOW...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW
  BECOMING MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON ON
  THURSDAY...WHICH WILL LIMIT SNOW ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

707 
WWAK47 PAJK 081338
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
438 AM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

AKZ017>019-082100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120308T2100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES
438 AM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY. 

* SNOW...YAKUTAT AREA 6 TO 8 INCHES STORM TOTAL EXPECTED. FOR
  HAINES AND SKAGWAY AREA 6 TO 18 INCHES STORM TOTAL EXPECTED WITH
  HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITE PASSES AND NEAR BORDER ON THE HAINES
  HIGHWAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW
  BECOMING MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY...
  WHICH WILL LIMIT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

771 
WWAK47 PAJK 082056
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1156 AM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

AKZ017>019-090100-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WS.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120309T0100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES
1156 AM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...YAKUTAT AREA HAS HAD 6 INCHES SO FAR AND UP TO 4 INCHES
  OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...FOR A STORM TOTAL OF 8
  TO 12 INCHES. HAINES AND SKAGWAY HAVE HAD UP TO 18 INCHES OF
  SNOW SO FAR. UP TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS
  AFTERNOON MAKING A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 22 INCHES. HIGHEST
  AMOUNTS NEAR WHITE PASS AND HAINES AND THE LOWEST AMOUNTS WILL
  BE IN SKAGWAY.

* BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE KLONDIKE HIGHWAY WILL LIMIT VISIBILITY
  TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL
  BECOME MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL LIMIT
  ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 4 PM AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

BECKER

640 
WWAK47 PAJK 090044
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
344 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

AKZ018-090145-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WS.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120309T0100Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
344 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ017-019-090700-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WS.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120309T0700Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...HAINES
344 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKST THIS
EVENING. 

* SNOW...YAKUTAT AREA HAS HAD 10 INCHES SO FAR AND ADDITIONAL 3 TO
  5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING...FOR A
  STORM TOTAL OF 13 TO 15 INCHES. HAINES HAS HAD IN EXCESS OF 18
  INCHES OF SNOW SO FAR. UP TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IS EXPECTED
  THROUGH THE LATE EVENING GIVING A STORM TOTAL AROUND TWO FEET.
 
* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE MIXING
  WITH RAIN. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 10 PM AKST THURSDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

BECKER

239 
WWAK47 PAJK 090652
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
952 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012


AKZ017-019-090800-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WS.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120309T0700Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...HAINES
952 PM AKST THU MAR 8 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM AKST THIS EVENING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM AKST THIS EVENING. 

SNOW HAS CHANGED OVER TO RAIN AT SEA LEVEL IN BOTH YAKUTAT AND
HAINES. HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS ALONG THE HAINES HIGHWAY ARE
STILL SEEING SNOW BUT SNOW RATES ARE TAPERING OFF. EXPECT ONLY 2
TO 4 MORE INCHES NEAR THE BORDER ON THE HAINES HIGHWAY THROUGH THE
REST OF THE NIGHT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
414 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

.SHORT TERM...THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE PANHANDLE
UNDER CLOUDY SKIES AS A WARM FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. MOST
STATIONS ATTM ARE REPORTING PRECIP WITH DEEP ONSHORE FROM THE SW
AT MOST LEVELS. P-TYPE HAS BEEN TRICKY WITH THE SE WINDS OVER THE
INNER CHANNELS AND WAA. MOST PLACES OVER THE COASTAL AND SOUTHERN
AREAS HAVE CHANGED OVER TO RAIN WITH SOME ISOLATED AREAS OF
MIXED. OVER THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS THERE IS A MIX OF RAIN
AND SNOW BUT THERE IS SOME AREAS THAT ARE STILL SNOW. MOST AREAS
WILL TURN ALL OVER TO RAIN THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING HOURS AS THE WARM AIR CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA FROM
THE SW. SO WITH THAT WILL EXPIRE ALL WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS THIS
AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT BUT THERE IS AN AREA OF DRIER CONDITIONS MOVING
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF ATTM. THIS AREA WILL DRIFT OVER THE FAR
NORTHERN AREAS ALONG WITH SOME COOLER AIR THAT WILL DIMINISH THE
THREAT OF PRECIP SOME AND IT MAY BE IN THE FROZEN FORM. WITH
ATMOSPHERE BEING VERY STABLE THERE WILL BE LOW CLOUD COVER ALONG
WITH POSSIBLE AREAS OF FOG ALONG THE COASTAL AND LOCAL AREAS OF
INNER CHANNELS.

 THE WINDS CONTINUE TO BE ON THE GUSTY SIDE AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BE ON THE TIGHT SIDE WITH THE LEE SIDE LOW OVER THE
YUKON AND THE RIDGE OVER SE AK. THE LOW OVER THE YUKON WILL
SLOWLY SLIDE TO THE EAST AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX
THROUGH TONIGHT. SO WITH THAT SAID THE GALES OVER NORTHERN LYNN
AND THE SMALL CRAFT OVER THE REST OF THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS
WILL DIMINISH TO RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 KT. THE WINDS OVER THE
SOUTHERN AREAS WILL INCREASE SOME TONIGHT AS RIDGE WILL PERSIST
AND THE WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR THE SMALL CRAFT RANGE.

 FOR WED...THE DEEP SW FLOW WILL PERSIST ALONG WITH THE SURFACE
RIDGE OVER THE FORECAST. THE PRECIP WILL REMAIN CATEGORICAL OVER
THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS WITH CHANCES OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS. THE
WARM AIR WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT NORTH AND IN DOING SO INCREASE THE
THREAT OF PRECIP OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS BUT PAYA WILL REMAIN ON
THE DRY SIDE. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL KEEP THE SOUTHERN WINDS
GOING AND WILL RANGE FROM 35 KT OVER CLARENCE TO 15 KT NEAR
GLACIER BAY.

USED A BLEND OF THE INHERITED FORECAST AND THE 12Z/NAM/GFS. THERE
IS ABOUT AVERAGE FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IN THE NEXT 24HRS.

&&

.LONG TERM...EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST BEGINS WITH A LOW AND WELL
ORGANIZED FRONT APPROACHING THE PANHANDLE FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
THICKNESS PATTERN INDICATES THAT THE OCCLUSION WILL REMAIN
OFFSHORE THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING, SO FRONTAL PASSAGE
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA SHOULD BE A TRUE WARM FRONT. ADJUSTED SNOW
LEVELS UP A BIT IN RESPONSE. IN SPITE OF THIS, STILL HAVE SNOW IN
THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR JUNEAU AND LOCATIONS NORTH OF A
LINE FROM ANGOON TO SITKA. SNOW TOTALS AROUND 2 INCHES OR LESS,
BUT QPF VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT ARE QUITE HIGH, SO MINOR
CHANGES TO TEMPS AND SNOW LEVELS COULD PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOW
TOTAL CHANGES. AS IT IS, HAVE RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES FOR THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE PENINSULA.

PRESSURE GRADIENT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT QUITE STRONG, SO AM
EXPECTING STRONG WIND HEADLINES ALONG THE OUTER COAST FROM CAPE
SPENCER SOUTH TO THE DIXON ENTRANCE THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. SOUTHEAST GALES OVER THE COASTAL MARINE ZONES IN ADVANCE OF
THE FRONT FOLLOWED BY POST FRONTAL SOUTHWEST GALES.

THE NEXT FRONT WILL ARRIVE ALONG THE OUTER COAST FRIDAY NIGHT. A
COLDER LOW LEVEL AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE FOR THIS SYSTEM AND THE
WARM SECTOR NOT NEARLY AS PRONOUNCED, SO HIGHER PROBABILITY FOR A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT GOING INTO THE WEEKEND. SOUTHEASTERLY GALES
OVER THE COASTAL MARINE ZONES IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT AS WELL,
BUT LIMITED TO THOSE MARINE ZONES SOUTH OF CAPE EDGECUMBE.

EXCELLENT RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY IN GFS, WHICH WAS THE PREFERRED
SOLUTION BY HPC AS WELL. FORECAST HEAVILY WEIGHTED TOWARDS GFS
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, THEN EQUALLY BLENDED WITH HPC FOR PRESSURE
THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
AVERAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     AKZ018-019-026.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-036.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>035-041>043-051-
     052.

&&

ABJ/FRITSCH