Winter Storm Warning 24, NWS Juneau, AK

894 
WWAK47 PAJK 061153
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
253 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

AKZ025-061800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
253 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY FOR STORM
  TOTAL 9 TO 15 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ026-061800-
/X.EXT.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.120306T1153Z-120307T0200Z/
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
253 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-019-021-024-061800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...HOONAH...ANGOON
253 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

* WIND...SOUTH WIND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH NEAR
  SKAGWAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. BLOWING SNOW.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ020-022-061800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120306T2100Z/
GLACIER BAY-SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN
253 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TODAY. 

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL 2TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION FOR STORM TOTAL 4
  TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE CHANGING
  TO RAIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ017-061800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120306T1800Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
253 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS
MORNING. 

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION FOR STORM TOTAL 3
  TO 7 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE MIXING
  WITH RAIN BY LATE MORNING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ027-028-061800-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.120306T1400Z-120306T2100Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...
METLAKATLA
253 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TODAY. 

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION FOR STORM TOTAL 3
  TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE CHANGING
  TO RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

669 
WWAK47 PAJK 061811
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
911 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

AKZ017-062100-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120306T1800Z/
/X.EXB.PAJK.WS.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120306T2100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
911 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST TODAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AROUND 4 INCHES FOR STORM TOTAL UP
  TO 13 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN
  HEAVY SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ025-062100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
911 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY FOR 
  STORM TOTAL 9 TO 15 INCHES. 

* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-019-021-024-026-062100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...HOONAH...ANGOON...
PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
911 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION...HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR
  HAINES AND ALONG THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH CAUSING
  BLOWING SNOW NEAR SKAGWAY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ020-022-027-028-062100-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120306T2100Z/
GLACIER BAY-SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...
CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
911 AM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AKST
TODAY. 

* SNOW...2 TO 4 INCHES NEAR KETCHIKAN AND CRAIG FOR A STORM TOTAL
  2 TO 4 INCHES. ADDITIONAL 2 INCHES NEAR GUSTAVUS AND PELICAN
  WITH A STORM TOTAL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY NOON AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

588 
WWAK47 PAJK 062100
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1200 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

AKZ017-062200-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WS.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120306T2100Z/
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...YAKUTAT
1200 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT NOON AKST TODAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT NOON AKST TODAY. 

THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON WITH UP TO 1
INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. STORM TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION AROUND 11 INCHES.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ021-024-062200-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOONAH...ANGOON
1200 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BUT WILL TURN OVER TO RAIN THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO LESS THAN 2
INCHES AS THE AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 32 DEGREES.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ020-022-027-028-062200-
/X.EXP.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120306T2100Z/
GLACIER BAY-SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUSTAVUS...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...
CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
1200 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON AKST TODAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON AKST TODAY. 

THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BUT WILL TURN OVER TO RAIN THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIMITED TO LESS
THAN 1 INCH AS THE AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 32 DEGREES.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ025-070200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WS.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
1200 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES TODAY FOR STORM
  TOTAL 11 TO 17 INCHES...HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE MENDENHALL VALLEY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...DRIVING WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WARNING MEANS THAT A WINTER STORM IS ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THIS STORM COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ018-019-026-070200-
/X.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...PETERSBURG...
WRANGELL...KAKE
1200 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* SNOW...3 TO 7 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH 
  CAUSING BLOWING SNOW NEAR SKAGWAY. 

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN 
  HEAVY SNOW. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS EVENT IS ALREADY
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 PM AKST TODAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

892 
WWAK47 PAJK 070036
WSWAJK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
336 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

AKZ025-070145-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WS.W.0024.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JUNEAU
336 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SNOW IS BEGINNING TO MIX WITH RAIN AND WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN
THIS EVENING. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION IN THE JUNEAU AREA RANGES
FROM 8 TO 15 INCHES.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

AKZ018-019-026-070145-
/X.CAN.PAJK.WW.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-120307T0200Z/
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...HAINES...PETERSBURG...
WRANGELL...KAKE
336 PM AKST TUE MAR 6 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW IS MIXING WITH RAIN OR WILL BECOME MIXED WITH RAIN THIS
EVENING. STORM TOTALS VARY FROM PLACE TO PLACE WITH UP TO 5
INCHES NEAR HAINES AND PETERSBURG.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ON THIS EVENT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
359 PM AKST MON MAR 5 2012

.SHORT TERM...A FAIRLY FLAT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE EASTERN
GULF TODAY WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH
TOMORROW AND ALLOW A 150+ KT WSW JET MAX INTO THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE BY MORNING AND SINK TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY
AFTERNOON. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT
AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA ON TUESDAY.

 THE STEADY SNOW IS JUST STARTING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF COAST
WITH AREAS OF SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK OVERRUNNING OVER THE
RIDGE DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHERN PANHANDLE. EXPECT STEADIER SNOWS
TO SPREAD E AND SE OVERNIGHT AND REACH SOUTHERN AREAS BY TUESDAY
MORNING. IN GENERAL EXPECT SNOW AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 3 INCHES
COASTAL AND SOUTHERN UP TO 7 INCHES ALONG COAST MTNS.

 DO HAVE A FAIRLY COLD AIR MASS IN LOW LEVEL IN PLACE SO EXPECT
ALL AREAS WILL START AS SNOW. OVERALL PRECIP AMOUNTS ARE NOT HUGE
BUT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW ADVISORIES. WITH JET DROPPING A BIT TO
THE SE THROUGH THE PERIOD...HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG THE
COAST MOUNTAINS BETWEEN PAJN AND PAPG EARLY TUESDAY. NORTHERN
AREAS WILL STAY COLDER BUT GET LESS PRECIP. SOUTHERN ZONES WILL
TURN TO RAIN IN SHORTER AMOUNT OF TIME BUT HAVE LOWER ADVISORY
THRESHOLDS. WARM FRONT MOVES ONSHORE AROUND 18Z AND IS NEAR
PAJN-PAKT BY 03Z. WILL SEE PRECIP MIX WITH RAIN JUST IN ADVANCE
OF FRONT AND TURN TO ALL RAIN AND DIMINISH AS FRONT MOVES
THROUGH.

 AS RIDGE BREAKS BY THIS EVENING WILL SEE INCREASING SLY
GRADIENTS. HAVE SMCR IN ALL INNER CHANNELS BY TUESDAY MORNING
WITH A GALE DEVELOPING IN LYNN CANAL TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH TUESDAY. A STRONG WIND IS EXPECTED FOR PAGY AND WILL BE
INCORPORATED INTO WSW STATEMENT.

 GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. GFS HAD STRONGEST
SLY GRADIENT AND WAS USED FOR PRES AND WIND.

.LONG TERM...THE MODELS ARE IN A BIT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE SYSTEM
THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS STILL LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THAT PORTION ALONG WITH THE REST OF THE EXTENDS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE EC CONTINUE HAVE POOR RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY BUT THERE WAS GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GEM ALONG WITH
GEFS WITH A BIT FASTER TRACK. WHEN THE NEW 12Z EC RUN CAME IN IT
SLOWED THE NORTHWARD MOVING OVER THE LOW ON THURSDAY AND LOOKED
LIKE THE 12Z GFS AND THE NAM. BOTH THE 18Z NAM/GFS RUN BOTH LOOK
GOOD FROM RUN TO RUN. SO WITH THAT SAID...FROM WED NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY DID A BLEND OF THE GEM AND SOME 12Z GFS AS IT WAS A GOOD
MIDDLE GROUND. THIS WILL BRING A LOW INTO THE GULF BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH GALES OVER THE GULF, WARM TEMPS AND RAIN OVER THE
FORECAST AREA. FOR THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PORTIONS REFRESHED THE
FORECAST WITH THE LATEST HPC WITH LOW FORECASTER CONFIDENCE.

IN THE MID RANGE OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD THERE IS ABOUT AVERAGE FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE WITH THE WARMER AND WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE
PANHANDLE. AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF WILL DEVELOP A DEEP SW
FLOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC ALONG WITH A 150KT JET MOVING OVER THE
REGION. THE EC HAS BEEN THE BEST MODEL WITH THIS PATTERN AND
OVERALL NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. THE
WEATHER FRONT MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE IN THE SHORT RANGE WILL
STALL OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUE NIGHT. MOST OF THE PRECIP WILL BE
IN THE LIQUID FORM ACROSS THE AREA WITH SO POSSIBLE MIXED PREICP
NEAR PAHN IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND SNOW NEAR WHITE PASS. THE WARM
MOIST SW FLOW WILL KEEP THE STEADY RAIN GOING INTO WED. THE GUSTY WINDS
FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE AS A LEE SIDE LOW DEEPENS IN THE
YUKON AND THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE PERSISTS. THIS WILL
KEEP THE GALES OVER NORTHERN LYNN AND SMALL CRAFT OVER THE REST OF
THE MARINE WATERS. OVERLAND WINDS WILL BE ON THE GUSTY SIDE BUT
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR PAGY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF INTO WED SO RAIN WILL BE
CAT TO LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA WITH SW FLOW AT MOST LEVELS. THE
SURFACE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN SOME THROUGH WED SO THE WINDS
OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 5 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ026.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO NOON AKST TUESDAY FOR
     AKZ027-028.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 PM AKST
     TUESDAY FOR AKZ018-019-021-024.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ025.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON AKST
     TUESDAY FOR AKZ020-022.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM AKST TUESDAY FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-021-022-031>036-041>043-051>053.

&&

MM/ABJ