Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 672, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 12, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 12, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 13, 2012, 1:16 PM AKST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
216 FZAK51 PAJK 130012 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-131400- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER THE SE GULF THROUGH TUE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE YUKON TONIGHT THEN SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE EAST AND INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA TUE NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A NEW FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF WED. $$ PKZ011-131400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-131400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-131400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-131400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ022-131400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF FOG. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-131400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-131400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-131400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG LATE. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-131400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-131400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-131400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
962 FZAK51 PAJK 130737 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-140145- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER THE SE GULF THROUGH TUE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE YUKON TONIGHT THEN SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE EAST AND INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA TUE NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A NEW FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF WED. $$ PKZ011-140145- GLACIER BAY- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-140145- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWER. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-140145- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-140145- ICY STRAIT- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ022-140145- CROSS SOUND- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-140145- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-140145- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-140145- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG LATE. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-140145- FREDERICK SOUND- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-140145- SUMNER STRAIT- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-140145- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1037 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
437 FZAK51 PAJK 131235 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-140100- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NE GULF TUE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON TUE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SE INTO NORTHERN B.C. TUE NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE E TO THE SE GULF TUE EVENING AND MOVE INTO B.C. WED MORNING AS A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF. $$ PKZ011-140100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-140100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-140100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-140100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. W OF PT ADOLPHUS...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ022-140100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-140100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED WITH SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-140100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-140100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-140100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-140100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-140100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
052 FZAK51 PAJK 132216 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-140115- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NE GULF TUE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON TUE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SE INTO NORTHERN B.C. TUE NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE E TO THE SE GULF TUE EVENING AND MOVE INTO B.C. WED MORNING AS A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF. $$ PKZ011-140115- GLACIER BAY- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-140115- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ013-140115- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ021-140115- ICY STRAIT- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. W OF PT ADOLPHUS...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ022-140115- CROSS SOUND- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-140115- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS...MIXED WITH SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-140115- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-140115- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ034-140115- FREDERICK SOUND- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ035-140115- SUMNER STRAIT- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ036-140115- CLARENCE STRAIT- 116 PM AKST TUE NOV 13 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 12, 3:26 PM AKST, 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 12, 3:26 PM AKST, 34 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
326 PM AKST MON NOV 12 2012
.SHORT TERM...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SCATTERED
THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE PARENT SURFACE LOW CAUSING IT WEAKENS.
UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVES AND VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL INCREASE SHOWERS
AS THEY PASS OVER. CURRENTLY MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP IS FALLING AS
RAIN. HOWEVER CAA IS BEGINNING OUT OF THE NORTH AS A HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER IN THE YUKON BUILDS AND INCREASES THE WINDS THROUGH HAINES
AND SKAGWAY. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT FOR
AREAS NORTH OF A HOONAH TO JUNEAU LINE. THEREFORE EXPECT THOSE
LOCATIONS TO SEE RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW...HOWEVER THE DRIER NORTH
FLOW WILL HELP TO SCATTER OUT SHOWERS EVEN FURTHER. SO NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATIONS. THE CENTRAL
AREAS...INCLUDING JUNEAU...WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS
OVERNIGHT DUE TO ONE OF THOSE SHORTWAVES...SO HAVE GONE WITH
AROUND 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
THE NORTH WIND THROUGH LYNN CANAL WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
EVENING TO ABOUT 30KT. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT SPEEDS COULD REACH
GALE FORCE OF 35 KT...BUT HAVE OPTED TO STICK WITH MAX SMALL CRAFT
FOR NOW AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL BE WEAKENING AND LIMIT THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT. THE PRESSURE PATTERN WEAKENS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY AS THE LOW DIMINISHES AND SHIFTS
OVER THE PANHANDLE. AS A RESULT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...THEN SHIFTING OUT OF THE SOUTH.
OVERALL MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. USED AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH
WITH AN EMPHASIS ON THE NAM12 AND HIRES NMM. ONE CHALLENGE WAS
WITH THE WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN AND RESULTING VARIED WIND
DIRECTIONS. OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE
TO FLATTEN AS IT TRACKS TO THE EAST WHILE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
YUKON WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE TO THE EAST. AT THE SAME TIME A WARM
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH 970 MB LOW IN THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AK GULF REACHING THE PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE
FRONT WILL SPREAD PRECIP OVER THE PANHANDLE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY INCREASE
WITH THE PASSING FRONT. PRECIP WILL TRANSITION TO MOSTLY RAIN
OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE WARM AIR ADVECTION AND WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH. WILL ALSO SEE AN INCREASE IN WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND
INNER CHANNELS DUE TO THE PASSING FRONT.
BY THURSDAY THE BERING SEA LOW WILL TRACK OVER THE ALEUTIANS WITH
THE 988 LOW CENTER MOVING NEAR KODIAK. THIS LOW WILL BECOME THE
DOMINANT FEATURE IN THE GULF THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE TRACKING TO
THE SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY. AS THE LOW MOVES SOUTH AN ARCTIC HIGH
WILL REFORM OVER THE YUKON. THIS ARCTIC AIR ALONG WITH COLD AIR
PUSHING SOUTH WITH THE INCOMING LOW WILL DROP TEMPERATURES LATE IN
THE WEEK WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE TEENS POSSIBLE FOR THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE. PRECIP FROM THE LOWS SECOND WARP WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BY THE WEEKEND...BUT STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING OF THE LOWS EXIT SO HOLDING BACK
ON DRYING OUT THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE JUST YET. ON THURSDAY WINDS
WITH THE APPROACHING LOW WILL NEAR GALE FORCE ALONG THE AK GULF
COAST AND INNER CHANNELS WITH WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE PANHANDLE
DUE TO THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. MAY SEE SOME HEAVIER
PRECIP ALONG THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WITH THE PASSING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.
MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE START OF THE LONG TERM.
NAM/ECMWF SHOWED GOOD INITIALIZATION WITH THE GFS VERY CLOSE WITH
RESPECT TO FEATURES OVER THE AK GULF. THE GFS IS A BIT DEEPER
COMPARED TO THE ECMWF FOR THE BERING SEA LOW INITIALLY AND STAYS A
BIT DEEPER AS THE LOW MOVES NEAR KODIAK. BY 12Z FRIDAY THE GFS
BEGINS TO FILL THE LOW MUCH FASTER THAN THE ECMWF. THE 00Z ECMWF
WAS DEEPER WITH THE LOW CENTER...978 MB AT 18Z FRI COMPARED TO THE
12Z ECMWF WITH A LOW CENTER OF 985 MB...WHICH IS CLOSER TO THE 12Z
GFS. HOWEVER NEWER MODELS ARE STILL STRONGER WITH THE LOW THAN
PREVIOUS MODELS AND FORECAST. USED A BLEND OF 12Z ECMWF AND NAM
THROUGH DAY 3...MAIN CHANGES WERE TO BUMP UP SOME WINDS WITH THE
WARM FRONT PASSAGE. BY DAY 4 TRANSITIONED TO A 12Z ECMWF/GFS BLEND
THEN DID A 50/50 BLEND OF HPC WITH INHERITED GRIDS. WHILE PRESSURE
CENTER WITH NEW PACKAGE WAS DROPPED DID NOT GO AS DEEP AS THE NEW
HPC..MAINLY AS HPC WAS AN ECMWF/ECMWF ENSEMBLE BLEND AND THERE WAS
ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY WITH BETWEEN THE 00Z AND 12Z ECMWF RUNS.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS GOOD WITH RESPECT TO THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT THERE ARE ENOUGH UNCERTAINTIES
WITH THE STRENGTH AND POSITION OF THE LOW TO KEEP CONFIDENCE JUST
BELOW AVERAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041-042.
&&
HANNON/PRBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 13, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.