Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 604, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 18, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 18, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 19, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
944 FZAK52 PAJK 182328 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-191400- 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE YUKON ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ041-191400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL LATE. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ042-191400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ043-191400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-191400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .FRI...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...STRONGEST NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT...STRONGEST NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT...STRONGEST NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-191400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
308 FZAK52 PAJK 190504 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 904 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-192315- 904 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE YUKON ON FRIDAY. $$ PKZ041-192315- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 904 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL LATE. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ042-192315- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 904 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ043-192315- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 904 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-192315- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 904 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT...STRONGEST NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT...STRONGEST NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT...STRONGEST NEAR INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-192315- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 904 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
518 FZAK52 PAJK 191131 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-200100- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE YUKON AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. $$ PKZ041-200100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL LATE. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ042-200100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ043-200100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-200100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ052-200100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
325 FZAK52 PAJK 191847 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1047 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-200100- 1047 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE YUKON AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. $$ PKZ041-200100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1047 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL LATE. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ042-200100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1047 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ043-200100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1047 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ051-200100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1047 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ052-200100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1047 AM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 UPDATED .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
056 FZAK52 PAJK 192322 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-201400- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT SOUTHEAST TO HAIDA GWAII ISLAND BY FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER YUKON WILL BUILD INTO NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. $$ PKZ041-201400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ042-201400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL LATE. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ043-201400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ051-201400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 MPH OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 MPH OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ052-201400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 19 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 18, 3:13 PM AKDT, 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 3:13 PM AKDT, 47 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
313 PM AKDT THU OCT 18 2012
.SHORT TERM...AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUING TO SPIN IN THE NORTHERN GULF. AN
EMBEDDED MESOSCALE LOW WITHIN THIS BROAD LOW IMPACTED THE YAKUTAT
AREA WITH BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE IS CURRENTLY WEAKENING AS IT PUSHES
INLAND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST. COLD AIR ALOFT WRAPPING AROUND
THE BROAD LOW IN THE GULF HAS PRODUCED WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. THERE HAS BEEN A
NOTICEABLE DECREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
BEGINS TO GRADUALLY DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST. AS THIS LOW SLOWLY
MOVES TO THE SOUTHEAST GULF ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON...SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
THE FLIP TO A NORTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS BEEN A BIT DELAYED
FROM PREVIOUS THINKING. WINDS ACROSS THE INNER CHANNELS AND LAND
AREAS REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SMALL
CRAFT WINDS IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS IN
SKAGWAY AND HAINES. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND INCREASE THROUGH
THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS BY LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN THIS AREA. THESE NORTHERLY AND EASTERLY WINDS
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.
GUSTS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO DEVELOP OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES BEGINNING
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
AS NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP AND COLDER AIR BEGINS TO SLOWLY
FILTER INTO THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS LATE TONIGHT...EXPECT
THAT SHOWERS WILL MIX WITH SNOW. ACCUMULATION WILL BE CONFINED TO
KLONDIKE AND HAINES HIGHWAYS WITH LESS THAN 1 INCH ANTICIPATED.
USED A BLEND OF THE EC/NAM FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.
.LONG TERM...LOOKS LIKE A FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE
AREA ESPECIALLY THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE BUILDING OVER SE INTERIOR AK AND NW CANADA...WHILE A LOW
OVER THE FAR SE GULF SLOWLY DRIFTS TO THE SE. THERE WILL BE A
TROF THAT EXTENDS NW ALONG THE OUTER COAST SUN INTO MIDWEEK...AND
A COMBINATION OF THIS TROF AND THE HIGH TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP AN
OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE AREA. THERE ARE SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES ON
FEATURES ALOFT THAT MAY IMPACT CLOUD COVER SAT INTO MON...WITH
THESE SYSTEMS GENERALLY ONLY HAVING HIGH TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS
MOVING IN FROM THE NE. PREFERRED THE 00Z EC APPROACH TO THESE
FEATURES ALOFT AS IT WAS SUPPORTED BY THE 12Z UKMET AND TO A
LESSER EXTENT THE NAM.
MAIN ADJUSTMENT MADE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO BUMP UP MAX TEMPS
ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK. WHILE
COOLER AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN...COMBINATION OF LITTLE TO NO
SNOW COVER...GOOD MIXING BY WINDS...AND LATE OCTOBER SUNSHINE
SHOULD KEEP DAYTIME TEMPS FROM REMAINING BELOW FREEZING...EVEN
OVER MOST OF THE FAR NORTH. THE NIGHTTIME TEMPS WILL BE TRICKIER
AS THEY WILL DEPEND MORE ON HOW MUCH WIND THERE IS ESPECIALLY
NEXT WEEK. STILL LOOKS LIKE MOST AREAS SHOULD DROP WELL BELOW
FREEZING THOUGH AT NIGHT.
WITH MODELS DIFFERING ON FEATURES BY MIDWEEK...THOUGHT THE HPC
ENSEMBLE APPROACH WAS GOOD...SO ENDED UP USING LATEST HPC FROM
MON INTO LATE WEEK. ALL IN ALL...A FAIRLY TRANQUIL WEATHER
PATTERN FOR THE AREA OTHER THAN SOME LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041>043.
&&
TPS/RWTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Oct 19, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 6 days | |
| Oct 19, 6:12 AM AKDT | Dense Fog Advisory | AJK | 4 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.