Small Craft Advisory 558, NWS Juneau, AK

466 
FZAK51 PAJK 290618 AAD
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-291400-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE PANHANDLE WILL
MOVE EAST TO CANADA BY SATURDAY MORNING. A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE IN THE GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY.    

$$

PKZ011-291400-
GLACIER BAY-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ012-291400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ013-291400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ021-291400-
ICY STRAIT-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ022-291400-
CROSS SOUND-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.



$$

PKZ031-291400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ032-291400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ033-291400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ034-291400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ035-291400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ036-291400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1018 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.



$$

985 
FZAK51 PAJK 291133
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-300100-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE ON SAT MORNING
WILL MOVE E TO CANADA AS A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR KODIAK DRIFTS E TO
THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW IN THE
NE PACIFIC WILL ENTER THE FAR SE GULF ON SUN.  

$$

PKZ011-300100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-300100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ013-300100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-300100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-300100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-300100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-300100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-300100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-300100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT . SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-300100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-300100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

788 
FZAK51 PAJK 291730 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-301130-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE ON SAT
MORNING WILL MOVE E TO CANADA AS A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR KODIAK
DRIFTS E TO THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER
DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL ENTER THE FAR SE GULF ON
SUN. 

$$

PKZ011-301130-
GLACIER BAY-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-301130-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ013-301130-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-301130-
ICY STRAIT-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ022-301130-
CROSS SOUND-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-301130-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-301130-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-301130-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-301130-
FREDERICK SOUND-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT . SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-301130-
SUMNER STRAIT-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-301130-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
930 AM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

624 
FZAK51 PAJK 292042 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-301445-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR KODIAK DRIFTS E TO THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL
ENTER THE FAR SE GULF ON SUN. 

$$

PKZ011-301445-
GLACIER BAY-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-301445-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ013-301445-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-301445-
ICY STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ022-301445-
CROSS SOUND-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-301445-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-301445-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-301445-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-301445-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT . SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-301445-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-301445-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT...HIGHEST GUSTS IN NORTHERN AREAS. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

074 
FZAK51 PAJK 292057 CCA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1256 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-301445-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR KODIAK DRIFTS E TO THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL
ENTER THE FAR SE GULF ON SUN. 

$$

PKZ011-301445-
GLACIER BAY-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-301500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1256 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

CORRECTED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ013-301445-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-301445-
ICY STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ022-301445-
CROSS SOUND-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-301445-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-301445-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-301445-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-301445-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT . SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-301445-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-301445-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT...HIGHEST GUSTS IN NORTHERN AREAS. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

425 
FZAK51 PAJK 292328
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-301400-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR KODIAK DRIFTS E TO THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL
ENTER THE FAR SE GULF ON SUN. 

$$

PKZ011-301400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-301400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-301400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-301400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-301400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-301400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-301400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-301400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-301400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-301400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-301400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

136 
FZAK51 PAJK 300621 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-301400-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A DEVELOPING LOW NEAR KODIAK DRIFTS E TO THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH SUN NIGHT. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL
ENTER THE FAR SE GULF ON SUN. 

$$

PKZ011-301400-
GLACIER BAY-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ012-301400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ013-301400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ021-301400-
ICY STRAIT-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ022-301400-
CROSS SOUND-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ031-301400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ032-301400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ033-301400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ034-301400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ035-301400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ036-301400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1021 PM AKDT SAT SEP 29 2012

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
350 PM AKDT FRI SEP 28 2012

.SHORT TERM...LOW ALOFT OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA PROVIDES
CYCLONIC FLOW ON A LARGE SCALE THAT INCLUDES OUR ENTIRE AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY. THE POLAR FRONT ZONE WILL REMAIN S OF OUR AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE CONVECTIVE FIELD WILL CONTINUE TO COVERED
OUR ENTIRE AREA THROUGH SAT.

NONE OF THE MODEL INITIALIZATIONS HAD IMPORTANT PROBLEMS AND
THEIR CONSENSUS REMAINS USEFUL.  CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE
ARE FEW. THE VAST AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTIVE CELLS, AND THEIR
TENDENCY TO NOT BE ORGANIZED PROVIDES A LACK OF DETAIL TO BE
USED FOR TRACKING MODEL FEATURES ALOFT.

THIS CONVECTIVE AIRMASS WILL HAVE A SMALL CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT
MOVING FROM THE EAST GULF TO ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TO CANADA
BY SATURDAY MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN OCCUR IN THE
EASTERN
GULF TONIGHT AND CAN EXTEND AS FAR SOUTH AS DIXON ENTRANCE WITH
THE CONVECTIVE BLOOM. THE ECMWF AND SREF POINTED TO THIS CONVECTIVE
BLOOM.

&&

.LONG TERM...COMPLEX AND UNCERTAIN EXTENDED WEATHER PATTERN IN
STORM FOR SOUTHEAST AK. AT MID LEVELS: 500 MB LOW DROPS FROM THE
ARCTIC INTO BRISTOL BAY THEN OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN AK GULF SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS LOW WILL WEAKEN TO
AN OPEN WAVE TROUGH AS IT MOVES OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH MONDAY
THEN DROPS SOUTH OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA TUESDAY. TO THE SOUTH
FRONTAL BARRIER IS EVIDENT FROM 300 MB JET STREAM AND 500 MB VORT
MAX. MEANWHILE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN
AK GULF THEN TRACK EASTWARD. RIDGE AXIS WILL BE OVER THE EASTERN
GULF MONDAY EVENING THEN OVER THE PANHANDLE TUESDAY EVENING. BEYOND
TUESDAY LARGE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING SHORTWAVES TO THE WEST OF THE
RIDGE AND THE TIMING OF THE EVENTUAL RIDGE BREAK DOWN.

AT THE SURFACE: A RE DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTHWEST GULF
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH MONDAY. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
PANHANDLE BEFORE THIS LOW WEAKENS AND EXITS THE REGION TO THE EAST.
IN THE NORTH PACIFIC A SECOND SHORT WAVE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST
TOWARD HAIDA GWAII. THIS WAVE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND WHILE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE LOW EXISTS
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE STRENGTH AND POSITION OF POSSIBLE
MULTIPLE LOW CENTERS. HOWEVER THESE SYSTEMS ARE TRENDING TO REMAIN
JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION. BY LATE MONDAY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AT THE
SURFACE WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE AND TREND TOWARD A DRY
PERIOD. STABLE AIR AND ONSHORE FLOW MAY PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF
MARINE LAYER. BY MID WEEK INDICATION OF NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVING IN...BUT AGAIN MODELS ARE SHOWING LARGE VARIATIONS ON TIMING
AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. EXPECT THE FORECAST FORM WEDNESDAY
ONWARD TO UNDERGO QUITE A FEW CHANGES.

NAM/ECMWF WERE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS BIT MORE OF AN
OUTLIER AT THE START OF THE LONG RANGE FORECAST. GFS CONTINUED ITS
TREND OF BEING INCONSISTENT RUN TO RUN AND WITH OTHER
MODELS...ESPECIALLY STARTING WITH THE 12Z RUN BY BOMBING A LOW IN
THE WESTERN GULF BY TUESDAY. OPERATIONAL ECMWF WHILE A BIT BETTER
HAS NOT BEEN VERY CONSISTENT RUN TO RUN EITHER. REFRESHED THE
FORECAST TO DAY 3 USING 12Z ECMWF/NAM BLEND WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES. WIND WILL TRANSITION FROM SOUTHERLY TO NORTHERLY SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WITH THE BUILDING RIDGE BUT AS THEY WILL BE LIGHT AND
GRADIENT WILL BE WEAK BIT OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE TIMING. FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG RANGE USED UPDATED HPC FOR AN ENSEMBLE
APPROACH. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVERAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
         TONIGHT FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-022-036-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041>043-051-053.

&&

JBT/PRB