Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 397, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 7, 2012, 10:22 AM AKDT. It was in force for 11 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 7, 2012, 10:22 AM AKDT (18:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 7, 2012, 9:30 PM AKDT
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
775 FZAK51 PAJK 071822 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-081230- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE PANHANDLE WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH SUN. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE OVER THE PANHANDLE TODAY AND INTO CANADA TONIGHT. $$ PKZ011-081230- GLACIER BAY- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-081230- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-081230- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT IN THE EVENING THEN SUBSIDING. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-081230- ICY STRAIT- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-081230- CROSS SOUND- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ031-081230- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-081230- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-081230- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-081230- FREDERICK SOUND- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-081230- SUMNER STRAIT- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-081230- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1022 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
090 FZAK51 PAJK 071844 AAB CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-081245- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE PANHANDLE WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH SUN. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE OVER THE PANHANDLE TODAY AND INTO CANADA TONIGHT. $$ PKZ011-081245- GLACIER BAY- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-081245- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-081245- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT IN THE EVENING THEN SUBSIDING. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-081245- ICY STRAIT- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-081245- CROSS SOUND- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ031-081245- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-081245- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-081245- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-081245- FREDERICK SOUND- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-081245- SUMNER STRAIT- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-081245- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1044 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
434 FZAK51 PAJK 072328 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-081400- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL DISSIPATE EARLY SUN. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE PANHANDLE WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ011-081400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-081400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-081400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT IN THE EVENING THEN SUBSIDING. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ021-081400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-081400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ031-081400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ032-081400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-081400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-081400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ035-081400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-081400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
780 FZAK51 PAJK 080050 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 445 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-081400- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL DISSIPATE EARLY SUN. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE PANHANDLE WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ011-081400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-081400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-081400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT IN THE EVENING THEN SUBSIDING. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ021-081400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-081400- CROSS SOUND- 445 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ031-081400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 445 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT UP TO 25 KT SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND DIMINISHING THROUGH THE EVENING. SEAS 2 EXCEPT UP TO 5 FT SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ032-081400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 445 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-081400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 445 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-081400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ035-081400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-081400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
803 FZAK51 PAJK 080539 AAB CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-081400- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL DISSIPATE EARLY SUN. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE PANHANDLE WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH SUN. $$ PKZ011-081400- GLACIER BAY- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-081400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-081400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ021-081400- ICY STRAIT- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-081400- CROSS SOUND- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ031-081400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ032-081400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-081400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-081400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ035-081400- SUMNER STRAIT- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-081400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 930 PM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 7, 5:23 AM AKDT, 4 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 5:23 AM AKDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 523 AM AKDT SAT JUL 7 2012 .SHORT TERM...WET SATURDAY IN THE WORKS AS A DECENT WEATHER FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL THE PERSISTENT LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WITH A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF THEN SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF. ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT ARE TWO DISTINCT FRONTAL BANDS WITH THE FIRST PUSHING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AT THE MOMENT BRINGING SOME OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAIN TO HAINES AND SKAGWAY THIS MORNING. THE SECOND AND STRONGER BAND IS CURRENTLY IMPACTING THE OUTER COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOSTLY BEEN A RAIN EVENT AS THE HIGHEST WINDS SO FAR ARE SMALL CRAFT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN GULF ASSOCIATED WITH A BARRIER JET THAT HAS SET UP THERE. FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT, THE SECOND FRONTAL BAND WILL MAKE ITS WAY NE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE SPREADING MORE RAIN AS IT COMES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE QUARTER TO THREE QUARTER INCH RANGE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RAIN AND CLOUDS WILL KEEP DAYTIME HIGHS RATHER COOL WITH MOST PLACES TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S TODAY. BY THIS EVENING THE MAIN FRONT WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE AREA AND THE RAIN WILL START TO DIMINISH. SOME VERY WEAK TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT WILL KEEP THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AROUND INTO EARLY TOMORROW. WIND WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A FACTOR TODAY BUT SOME BRIEF BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD BE OBSERVED THROUGHOUT THE PANHANDLE AROUND HEAVIER RAIN BANDS AND AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL FOR THE MOST PART BE 20 KT OR LESS PARTICULARLY AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE NORTHERN GULF TODAY AS THE BARRIER JET KEEPS SMALL CRAFT WINDS GOING INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. THE DIMINISHING WINDS IN THE GULF MEANS THAT WAVE HEIGHTS WILL START TO DIMINISH AS WELL. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES DUE TO SEAS REMAIN UP IN THE NORTHERN GULF THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD START TO DIMINISH AS THE WINDS DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. SHORT RANGE MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT TODAY. SOME MINOR DISAGREEMENT ON HOW WIDE SPREAD THE PRECIP WOULD BE TODAY WITH THE EUROPEAN MODELS PAINTING A BROADER EXPANSE OF PRECIP THAN THE DRYER NCEP MODELS. DECIDED TO HEAD IN THE DIRECTION OF THE DRYER NCEP MODELS AS THEY SEEMED TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON PRECIP AREA BASED ON WHAT RADAR HAS BEEN SHOWING THIS MORNING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE. && .LONG TERM...OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST IS LOW WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO STRUGGLE COMING TO A CONSENSUS REGARDING FEATURES MOVING INTO THE REGION. QUASI STATIONARY UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE AK GULF WILL BEGIN TO PUSH NORTHWARD THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. ANY PREDICTIONS AFTER THIS ARE FAIRLY SPECULATIVE DUE TO THE HIGH VARIABILITY BETWEEN MODELS AND POOR MODEL RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. HOWEVER BEST INDICATIONS SHOW THIS LOW SPLITTING TUESDAY WITH MAIN CENTER MOVING INTO THE INTERIOR AND A SECOND LOBE MOVING TOWARD KODIAK AND POSSIBLY REFORMING AND MOVING BACK INTO THE WESTERN AK GULF WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW A SHORTWAVE WILL FORM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC...TRACK EASTWARD TUESDAY AND THEN MOVE TOWARD HAIDA GWAII. BY THE END OF THE WEEK THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR KODIAK WILL EITHER TRACK EASTWARD TOWARD THE PANHANDLE OR WEAKEN TO SUCH AN EXTENT THAT A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE IN THE AK GULF. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE IN THE AK GULF WILL WEAKEN THROUGH MONDAY AND BEGIN TO RETROGRADE WEST AS A SHORTWAVE TO THE SOUTH ROTATES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF. SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY SUNDAY WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING AS THE LOW TRACKS WEST AND A SURFACE HIGH BUILDS OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND INTO THE AK GULF. THE DRIER PERIOD WILL LAST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SHORTWAVE ROTATING INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF BRINGS A BAND OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE AK PANHANDLE...WHICH WILL EXIT BY TUESDAY. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK KEEPING CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE FORECAST DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF SURFACE FEATURES MOVING INTO THE AREA. FOR THE START OF THE WEEK SOUTHERLY FLOW LOOKS TO BRING WARMER AIR MASS OVER THE PANHANDLE WITH 850 TEMPERATURES REACHING 8 TO 10 C. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATING TEMPERATES POSSIBLY RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S...HOWEVER DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT MODELS LIMITED ANY TEMPERATURES INCREASES. FOR WINDS...NEWER MODELS RUNS INDICATING A WEAKER LOW FOR MONDAY WITH ITS CENTER A BIT FURTHER EAST. WINDS WERE LOWERED OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH SMALL CRAFT WINDS IN THE AK GULF MONDAY EVENING. GFS AND NAM SHOWED THE BEST AGREEMENT FOR THE START OF THE LONG TERM WITH THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE LOW WHILE THE ECMWF WAS MORE OF AN OUTLIER WITH A STRONGER LOW CENTER FURTHER WEST. USED THE 00Z GFS TO UPDATE WIND FIELDS TO DAY 3. MADE FEW CHANGES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM FORECAST. CURRENT GRIDS WERE STILL IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE 00Z GFS. STILL LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE GFS DUE TO POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY BUT AS USING NEW ECMWF WOULD MAKE DRASTIC CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AND HAD JUST AS POOR CONFIDENCE WITH THAT MODEL...SO DECIDED TO LIMIT CHANGES. .AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ041>043-051-052. && EAL/PRB
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.