Small Craft Advisory 366, NWS Juneau, AK

288 
FZAK51 PAJK 141252 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-150100-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS SE AK THROUGH
TONIGHT. A WEAK LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL DISSIPATE EARLY
THIS EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW
OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF
ON FRI. 

$$

PKZ011-150100-
GLACIER BAY-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-150100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-150100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-150100-
ICY STRAIT-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-150100-
CROSS SOUND-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-150100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-150100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-150100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-150100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-150100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS TO 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-150100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
452 AM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS TO 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

980 
FZAK51 PAJK 142339
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-151400-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG SE AK WILL WEAKEN BY FRIDAY
MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW OVER
THE FAR  SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF FRI. 

$$

PKZ011-151400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-151400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-151400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-151400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-151400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-151400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-151400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-151400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-151400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-151400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-151400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

352 
FZAK51 PAJK 150736 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1100 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-151400-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG SE AK WILL WEAKEN BY FRIDAY
MORNING. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW OVER
THE FAR  SOUTHWESTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF FRI. 

$$

PKZ011-151400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-151400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-151400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1100 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-151400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-151400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-151400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-151400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-151400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-151400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-151400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-151400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU JUN 14 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

494 
FZAK51 PAJK 151217
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160100-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A FRONTAL TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW TO THE DISTANT SOUTHWEST
WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE GULF FRI WITH GALE FORCE WINDS. A NEW
LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-160100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-160100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-160100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-160100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-160100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-160100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-160100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-160100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE EVENING AND DIMINISHING
LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-160100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-160100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-160100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUN 15 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
245 PM AKDT WED JUN 13 2012

.SHORT TERM...AFTERNOON SATELLITE LOOP REVEALS A WEAK RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA
AND A WEAK LOW SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
WITH ITS ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
GULF. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPLEX UPPER LOW SYSTEM
ACROSS YUKON/BRITISH COLUMBIA BORDER...ALASKAN INTERIOR AND
SOUTHEASTERN GULF. WITH A MAIN JET STREAM CONFINES SOUTH OF
50N...THIS COMPLEX LOW HAS BEEN BRINGING VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES
ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. SOUTHERLY
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES A BIT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT EXPECT
TO ENHANCE AGAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS.

MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH
THURSDAY. A WEAK DEVELOPING LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL CONTINUE
TO DRIFT EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW
WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN GULF AND FURTHER WEAKEN THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS A
DEVELOPING LOW FAR SOUTHWESTERN GULF PUSHES A FRONTAL PASSAGE INTO
THE SOUTHERN GULF. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MOST CONSISTENT AND WAS USED
PRIMARILY TO REFRESH THE INHERITED FORECAST PACKAGE TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY. ADDED A LITTLE OF NAM SOLUTIONS TO HANDLE THE SMALLER
FEATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLE CLOSER TO THE COAST
MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN MOST PANHANDLE.

AN ARCTIC UPPER HIGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE A
LITTLE TO THE WEST AND THE COMPLEX UPPER LOW SYSTEM WILL BECOME A
SIMPLIFIED CLOSED LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY THURSDAY
MORNING...THEN REMAIN THERE UNTIL IT OPENS TO THE NEXT SYSTEM
DEVELOPS FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE EXPECTED
SURFACE REFLECTION IS CONTINUED SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF AND THE PANHANDLE WITH MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST AND NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLE AREAS.

ENHANCED SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE
LOW OVER YUKON WILL MAINTAIN BREEZY CONDITIONS ALONG TAIYA INLET
THIS EVENING AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT WINDS WILL
CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN LYNN CANAL EARLY THIS EVENING AND AGAIN
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON THURSDAY. THE INCOMING LOW OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF WILL INCREASE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST OUTSIDE WATERS FROM ICY CAPE TO CAPE
SUCKLING LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ELSEWHERE...WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHTER SIDE.

.LONG TERM...CHANGES ARE SMALL, YET CAN BE SIGNIFICANT.  FOR EXAMPLE,
THE WINDS IN SRN SE AK FOR SATURDAY COME OUT ABOUT THE SAME IN THE TEXT
OUTPUT OF THE FORECASTS, YET THE GRAPHICAL FORECASTS THEMSELVES TAKE
INTO ACCOUNT THE FEATURES DISCUSSED BELOW. ALSO FOR SAT THE WINDS
DO NOT DROP OFF AS MUCH IN THE NRN PANHANDLE AS IN THE PRIOR
FORECAST PACKAGE. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

COMPLEX LOW HAS ALMOST FINISHED CROSSING THE DATELINE IN ABOUT 600 NM
S OF THE CHAIN. MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION BELOW IS DEDICATED TO HOW THE
RESULTS OF THIS SYSTEM TRACK INTO THE GULF FRI NIGHT AND SAT.  THIS
COMPLEX LOW MIGHT INCLUDE IMPORTANT FEATURES THAT ARE TRICKY FOR THE
MODELS TO DEPICT GIVEN THE LACK OF SURFACE DATA AS WELL AS THE LIMITS
THAT EXIST WITH WITH INCORPORATING SENSOR DATA FROM OVER THE NPAC.

STRONGER WAVE SOLN FROM EC FOR 06Z SUN HAS A LAND FALLING FRONTAL WAVE
THAT IS BOTH STRONGER AND FASTER THAN THE GFS.  DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN
THIS SPECIFIC WAVE TIMING AND STRENGTH, BUT MODELS DO TEND TO MISS SMALL
STRONG FEATURES SO FAR OUT IN THE FUTURE WITH AN ORIGIN FROM A COMPLEX
POLAR FRONT ZONE.  THE 1300 EC HAS A BROAD WAVE THAT WOULD NOT BE A
POOR FIT FOR A CLOSE-COUPLED PAIR OF WAVES AND IS USEFUL FOR THE CURRENT
PACKAGE.

12Z FRI A PARENT LOW IS RESOLVED AT 300 NM SSW OF PADU AS 978 MB
WITH A MODEL TRIPLE PT 550 NM S OF PAYA, AND A COLD FRONT EXTENDING
SW FM THE TRIPLE TO WITH FRONTAL WAVES UPSTREAM. TRIPLE PT DOES NOT
HAVE OBVIOUS CYCLOGENESIS PRIOR TO THE LANDFALL INVOF PASI ABT 12Z
SAT.  AT THIS TIME, THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER
TRIPLE POINT FEATURES IS NOT INDICATED, WITH THE JET-STREAM AXIS SHIFTING
TO THE S.  HOWEVER, THAT S SHIFT IN THE JET IS NOT GIVEN A GOOD CONSENSUS
IN THE MODELS YET.  12Z SAT COULD WE COULD SEE A SMALL AND CYCLOGENETIC
SYSTEM THAT THE MODELS WILL HAVE A HARD TIME PREDICTING, BUT THE
CONFIDENCE FOR SUCH A SCENARIO IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH...YET. ALL IT
WILL TAKE IS A LAST JET-STREAK WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION FOR A SHORT
TIME AND WE COULD TURN ONE OF THOSE FRONTAL WAVES INTO A STRONGER
WIND EVENT.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-052.

&&

AHN/JBT