Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012
Small Craft Advisory 293, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at May 4, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 4, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 5, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
060 FZAK52 PAJK 041147 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-050100- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH THE DAY. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE SE AK LATE FRI AFTERNOON AND EVENING. OUTLOOK...A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN GULF SUN. $$ PKZ041-050100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL LATE. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-050100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-050100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-050100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-050100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
329 FZAK52 PAJK 042332 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-051400- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAK LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH AND MOVE ONSHORE SE AK LATE TONIGHT. GALE FORCE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE N INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE SAT NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE NE TO THE EASTERN GULF EARLY SUN THEN ONSHORE SE AK SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-051400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. SW SWELL LATE. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-051400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. SW SWELL LATE. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-051400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-051400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-051400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
791 FZAK52 PAJK 050627 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1027 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-060030- 1027 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAK LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH AND MOVE ONSHORE SE AK LATE TONIGHT. GALE FORCE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE N INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY LATE SAT NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE NE TO THE EASTERN GULF EARLY SUN THEN ONSHORE SE AK SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-060030- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1027 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-060030- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1027 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. SW SWELL LATE. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-060030- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1027 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-060030- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1027 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-060030- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1027 PM AKDT FRI MAY 4 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. SW SWELL LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
256 FZAK52 PAJK 051144 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-060100- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE NE TO THE EASTERN GULF EARLY SUN THEN ONSHORE SE AK SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-060100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-060100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-060100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-060100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-060100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAY 5 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at May 3, 4:12 PM AKDT, 11 hours 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 3, 4:12 PM AKDT, 11 hours 48 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 412 PM AKDT THU MAY 3 2012 .SHORT TERM...WEAK UPPER TROF WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BE EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE EVENING. A STRONGER TROF WILL MOVE INTO THE ERN GULF LATE TONIGHT...THEN DRIFT ONSHORE FRI. USED A BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS AND NAM FOR TONIGHT AND FRI. MAIN FORECAST ISSUES WILL BE PRECIP POTENTIAL...TEMPS...AND WINDS. RIGHT NOW MUCH OF THE LAND AREA IS GETTING MODERATE CU FORMATION AND THIS WILL REMAIN AROUND THRU EARLY EVENING AS FIRST WEAK TROF PASSES THRU THE AREA. HAVE SOME SHOWERS AROUND AND WILL KEEP ISO TO SCT SHOWER COVERAGE THRU TONIGHT...WITH A SLIGHTLY LOWER THREAT AFTER LATE EVENING DUE TO SOME STRATIFICATION. BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL MOVE IN FRI AS STRONGER TROF MOVES IN WITH DEEPER UNSTABLE LAYER AND ONSHORE FLOW. WILL HAVE POPS RISE TO LIKELY FOR THE AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. AS FOR TEMPS...THEY WILL BE MOST TRICKY TONIGHT. MAIN ISSUE IS HOW MUCH BREAK IN CLOUDS WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT. 850 MB TEMPS ARE RATHER COOL...GENERALLY -4 TO -7C...WHICH WOULD ALLOW GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING SHOULD ENOUGH BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS DEVELOP. THINK THERE WILL BE BREAKS IN CLOUDS TONIGHT...SO AM ALLOWING TEMPS IN SOME OF THE OUTLYING AREAS TO DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING ESPECIALLY AROUND PAJN. WILL MENTION PATCHY FROST IN OUTLYING AREAS AROUND THE PAJN AREA AS WELL GIVEN THE GROWING SEASON IS UNDERWAY LOCALLY. SOME OTHER AREAS UP NORTH MAY ALSO HAVE BELOW FREEZING TEMPS IN OUTLYING AREAS BUT GROWING SEASON HAS NOT LIKELY STARTED AS SNOW COVER IS EITHER STILL THERE OR HAS JUST RECENTLY DISAPPEARED. AS FOR WINDS...MOST WIND WILL BE WITH THE TROF ON FRI. HAVE SCA LEVEL WINDS OVER THE FAR ERN GULF AND CLARENCE STRAIT AREAS DURING FRI AFTERNOON...WITH AROUND 20 KT FOR MUCH OF THE REMAINING ERN GULF AND PARTS OF THE INNER CHANNELS. BEFORE THEN...WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE 15 KT OR LESS. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW WITH A 500 HGT OF 507DM, CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR BERING STRAIT, IS STARTING TO DIG SOUTHWARD INTO BRISTOL BAY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA, PICKING UP SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF IT. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS STORM SYSTEM IS GOING TO BRING WIND AND POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA FOR THE WEEKEND. THERE ARE STILL MINOR DIFFERENCES IN THE PRESSURE FIELD BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS. DECIDED TO GO WITH AN ENSEMBLE APPROACH OF NAM/EC/GFS/HPC FOR PRESSURE FIELD TO HEDGE FOR THE POSITION AND TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS. FOR TEMPERATURES, DECIDED TO NUDGE WITH MOS AND DECREASE THE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGE. THIS GULF LOW HAS REALLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL COLD AIR. SO DO EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE AROUND UPPER 40S, WHICH IS BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMING BACK TO SEASONABLE LEVEL AT THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. FOR WINDS, FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF SATURDAY NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS AND IN CLARENCE STRAIT. STRONG WIND MAY BE ALSO FOUND ALONG EXPOSED AREA IN THE OUTER COAST AREAS FROM BARANOF ISLAND TO PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND THROUGH SUNDAY. MOST OF THE AREAS SHOULD SEE CLOUDY SKIES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. POPS WILL BE IN THE LIKELY CATEGORY FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH A WEAK FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEEKEND GULF LOW WILL IMPACT THE AREA FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SOME SLIDES IN THIS AREA AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE. THERE ARE STILL DETAILS ABOUT THE TIMING, STRENGTH, AND PLACEMENT OF THE GULF LOW AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONT DURING THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER THE GENERAL IDEA BETWEEN MODELS ABOUT THE RAIN EVENT IS SIMILAR. && .AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ036-041>043-051. && RWT/RCL/HANNON
The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| May 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 30 hr | |
| May 4, 11:49 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 11 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.