Small Craft Advisory 280, NWS Juneau, AK

637 
FZAK51 PAJK 262149 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-270100-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 994 MB LOW W OF HAIDA GWAII WILL WEAKEN TO 1005 MB NEAR CAPE
DECISION BY FRI MORNING...THEN MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT AND DISSIPATE EARLY SAT MORNING. A WEAK
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS SE AK ON SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-270100-
GLACIER BAY-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-270100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-270100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-270100-
ICY STRAIT-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-270100-
CROSS SOUND-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-270100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-270100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.REST OF TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS
LATE.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-270100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-270100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-270100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS
LATE.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-270100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
149 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS
LATE.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

068 
FZAK51 PAJK 262325
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-271400-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 994 MB LOW 200 NM SW OF DIXON ENTRANCE WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD
OVERNIGHT WEAKENING TO 1005 MB JUST OFF CAPE DECISION FRI MORNING.
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE FRI
NIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE COAST SAT. 
$$

PKZ011-271400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-271400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING N 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-271400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-271400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-271400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-271400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-271400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-271400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. SHOWERS
LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-271400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-271400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN LATE.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-271400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

340 
FZAK51 PAJK 270456 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-272300-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 994 MB LOW 200 NM SW OF DIXON ENTRANCE WILL MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT WEAKENING TO 1005 MB JUST OFF CAPE DECISION
FRIDAY MORNING. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER
THE PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE COAST SAT.  

$$

PKZ011-272300-
GLACIER BAY-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-272300-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-272300-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-272300-
ICY STRAIT-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ022-272300-
CROSS SOUND-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-272300-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-272300-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-272300-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. SHOWERS
LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-272300-
FREDERICK SOUND-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-272300-
SUMNER STRAIT-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-272300-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
855 PM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

774 
FZAK51 PAJK 271131
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-280100-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW OVER THE FAR SE GULF WILL DRIFT N AND DISSIPATE
JUST OFFSHORE THE CENTRAL COAST OF SE AK BY THIS EVENING. A WEAK
FRONT WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN GULF SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-280100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-280100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-280100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-280100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-280100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-280100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-280100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-280100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-280100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-280100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-280100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

245 
FZAK51 PAJK 271751 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-280100-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW OVER THE FAR SE GULF WILL DRIFT N AND DISSIPATE
JUST OFFSHORE THE CENTRAL COAST OF SE AK BY THIS EVENING. A WEAK
FRONT WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN GULF SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-280100-
GLACIER BAY-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-280100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-280100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-280100-
ICY STRAIT-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-280100-
CROSS SOUND-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-280100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-280100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

UPDATED

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-280100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-280100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-280100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-280100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
951 AM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

703 
FZAK51 PAJK 272146 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-280100-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW SLOWLY DRIFTING N WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE
CENTRAL COAST OF SE AK BY EARLY TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW ACROSS
THE WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH A WEAK WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN
GULF ON SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-280100-
GLACIER BAY-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-280100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-280100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-280100-
ICY STRAIT-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-280100-
CROSS SOUND-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-280100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-280100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-280100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-280100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-280100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-280100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
146 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

963 
FZAK51 PAJK 272342
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-281400-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAKENING LOW SLOWLY DRIFTING N WILL DISSIPATE NEAR THE
CENTRAL COAST OF SE AK BY EARLY TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW ACROSS
THE WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH A WEAK WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN
GULF ON SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-281400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 3
FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-281400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING LATE.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-281400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-281400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-281400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-281400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-281400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND BECOMING N AND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-281400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-281400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING
LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-281400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-281400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI APR 27 2012 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
540 AM AKDT THU APR 26 2012

.SHORT TERM...988 MB LOW ABOUT 200 NM W OF NRN HAIDA GWAII WILL
REMAIN THERE THIS MORNING THEN BEGIN TO DRIFT NNE THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO THE SE GULF TONIGHT...SLOWLY WEAKENING THROUGH
THE PERIOD. OCCLUDED FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL SE AK WILL CONTINUE NWD
TO NRN SE AK THIS MORNING THEN NWWD TO THE NE GULF COAST BY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...WHERE IT WILL STALL AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. USED
THE 00Z ECMWF AS IT HAD BEST HANDLE ON THE LOW W OF HAIDA GWAII.

 MAIN FORECAST ISSUES WILL BE PRECIP POTENTIAL AND WINDS. RIGHT
NOW A BAND OF RAIN IS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN SE PUBLIC...AND IS
DRIFTING NWD. EXPECT THIS BAND TO REACH THE PAJN-PAEL CORRIDOR BY
15Z THIS MORNING THEN THE PAHN/PAGY AREAS IN THE 17-20Z TIME
FRAME. THE PRECIP BAND WILL LIKELY DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AS IT
ENCOUNTERS DIFLUENT FLOW OVER THE NRN AREA...ALTHOUGH THIS MAY
ALSO CAUSE A BRIEF INTENSIFICATION OF THE PRECIP ALONG A NARROW
DEFORMATION AXIS. EXPECT THE MAIN PRECIP BAND TO BE OVER THE NE
GULF AREA BY EARLY THIS EVENING. A SECOND PRECIP BAND WILL BE
MOVING NE INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER TO THE
AREA...REACHING THE SRN AND CENTRAL COAST THIS EVENING THEN AS
FAR NE AS THE PAJN AREA BY DAYBREAK FRI. IN BETWEEN THESE PRECIP
BANDS WILL HAVE SOME SHOWERS AROUND IN THE DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC
SELY FLOW...WITH COVERAGE SCATTERED OR LESS.

 AS FOR WINDS...NLY PRESSURE GRADIENT IS KEEPING 20-30 KT NLY
WINDS OVER THE NRN INNER CHANNELS BUT THIS WILL WEAKEN TO
10-20 KT AS FRONT MOVES INTO THE NRN AREA LATER THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. OTHER MAIN WIND AREA WILL BE AROUND THE LOW MOVING
INTO THE SE GULF...WITH 25-30 KT WINDS LIKELY ON NRN AND ERN SIDE
OF THE LOW TONIGHT. WILL ALSO SEE SOME SCA LEVEL E-SE WINDS OVER
THE SRN INNER CHANNELS LATE TONIGHT.

 OTHERWISE TEMPS WILL BE TRICKY TODAY...BOTH HOW WARM THEY GET
AND WHEN THEY REACH THAT MAX. THE DOWNSLOPE FLOW AHEAD OF THE
FRONT MAY CAUSE TEMPS TO PEAK THIS MORNING OVER THE FAR NRN INNER
CHANNELS AND NE GULF COAST...THEN DROP BACK SEVERAL DEGREES ONCE
WIND SHIFTS TO A MORE SLY DIRECTION OR PRECIP ARRIVES. USED THE
LOCAL WRF FOR THE DIURNAL MAX AS IT LOOKED PRETTY GOOD ON THAT
TIMING. TEMPS TONIGHT WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH OF A BREAK IN
CLOUDS AND WIND OCCURS BEFORE THE CLOUDS/WINDS WITH THE LOW MOVE
IN. TENDED TO KEEP TEMPS A LITTLE WARMER THAN MOS DUE TO
LIKELIHOOD OF PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER BEING IN PLACE NOT TOO LONG
AFTER SUNSET...AND WINDS PICKING UP SOME LATER TONIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE FORECAST STARTS OUT WITH THE PERSISTENT
LOW CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE PANHANDLE STICKING AROUND IN THE
EASTERN GULF UNTIL FRI EVENING. THE LOW IS DECENTLY VERTICALLY
STACKED UNTIL FRI AFTERNOON WHEN THE UPPER LEVEL LOW GETS SHOVED
OFF TO THE EAST BY A WEAK UPPER RIDGE. WITHOUT THIS UPPER SUPPORT
THE SURFACE LOW WILL FINALLY WEAKEN AWAY RATHER QUICKLY FRI
EVENING. STILL SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER THE PANHANDLE INTO THE
WEEKEND AS ONSHORE SW TO SE FLOW CONTINUES.

NEXT NOTABLE FEATURE WILL BE A TROUGH THAT WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY
NORTH THROUGH THE GULF FRI NIGHT AND SAT. THERE ARE SOME
DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS WITH THIS FEATURE, MAINLY FROM THE GFS.
THE GFS IS TAKING THE FEATURE FARTHER NORTH FASTER THEN MOST OTHER
MODELS. IT DOES THE SAME WITH THE PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH IT AS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE GETS MUCH HIGHER POPS IN THE GFS OUT OF THIS
TROUGH ON SAT THEN THE OTHER MODELS SUGGEST. NAM, EC, AND UK ARE
SLOWER AND THE HIGHER POPS DO NOT MAKE IT TO THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE. DECIDED TO STICK WITH THE MAJORITY AND WENT WITH A
SLOWER SOLUTION WITH MOST OF THE HIGHER POPS STICKING TO THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND OUTER COAST.

FOLLOWING THIS IS A SYSTEM THAT THE EC AND GFS SEEM TO HAVE COME
TO A COMPROMISE ON. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY OUT JUST SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN ISLAND, BUT WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF ON SUN. SUPPORTED BY A
80 KT JET STREAK AND A DECENT VORTICITY MAX, THE LOW WILL ONLY
DEEPEN TO JUST UNDER 1000 MB IN THE WESTERN GULF BUT IT WILL BE
LONG LIVED, WEAKENING TO JUST OVER 1000 MB BY THE TIME IT MAKES IT
TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF. MODELS ARE A LITTLE AT ODDS ON A FEW
DETAILS BUT TIMING AND TRACK HAS IMPROVED FROM PREVIOUS MODEL
RUNS. PRECEDING IT IS FRONT THAT WILL BRING AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT
WINDS TO THE OUTSIDE WATERS AND RAIN TO MOST OF THE PANHANDLE SUN.
REMNANTS OF THIS LOW WILL STICK AROUND IN THE EASTERN GULF UNTIL
AT LEAST MID WEEK CONTINUING TO SPREAD SHOWERS INTO THE AREA.

LONG RANGE MODELS HAVE GOTTEN BETTER OVERNIGHT WITH DEPICTING THE
SYSTEM FOR SUN WITH THE 0Z EC AND THE GFS MATCHING UP RATHER
NICELY THROUGH MOST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. GFS WAS A BIT OF AN
OUTLIER ON SAT WITH ITS DEPICTION OF THE TROUGH MOVING NORTH A
LITTLE TOO FAST COMPARED TO THE OTHER MODELS. NAM WAS A BIT BETTER
WITH THAT FEATURE AND COMPLIMENTED THE EC BUT WAS RATHER TERRIBLE
AT REPRESENTING THE LOW ON SUN. AS SUCH THE 0Z EC WAS THE MAIN
MODEL OF CHOICE FOR THE LONG RANGE WITH THE GFS MIXED IN AT MOST
TIMES EXCEPT FOR SAT. YESTERDAY'S HPC GUIDANCE WAS NOT MUCH HELP
IN THE SUN TO TUES PERIOD AS THE FEATURES DEPICTED IN IT WERE MUCH
TOO FAR WEST COMPARED TO CURRENT OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE MEAN
DATA. THUS IT WAS NOT USED UNTIL TUES AND ONWARD WHEN ITS
SUGGESTION BECAME MORE IN LINE WITH WHAT CURRENT MODEL DATA WAS
DEPICTING, AND EVEN THEN IT WAS MOSTLY USED IN A BLEND WITH THE EC
AND GFS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-033-035-036-041>043-053.

&&

RWT/EAL