Small Craft Advisory 13, NWS Juneau, AK

303 
FZAK52 PAJK 040910 AAC
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1140 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-042100-
558 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE TO THE GULF WEDNESDAY. A
975 MB LOW WILL BE DEVELOPING ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL BAND AND INTO
THE SOUTHEAST GULF EARLY WEDNESDAY AND THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OUTLOOK. A FAST MOVING RIDGE WILL BE MOVING
ACROSS THE GULF TO THE PANHANDLE BY THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY THE
NEXT WEATHER FRONT. 

$$

PKZ041-042100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1155 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SOUTH 35 KT LATE MORNING. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-042100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1140 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT
LATE. RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-042100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
558 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-042100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
558 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-042100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
558 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SE SWELL. RAIN IN
THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 



$$

649 
FZAK52 PAJK 041520
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-050100-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 970 MB STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR CAPE DECISION
EARLY THIS MORNING THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO CANADA
BY LATE MORNING. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
GULF WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-050100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-050100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-050100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-050100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-050100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
SE SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 

$$

927 
FZAK52 PAJK 041556 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
655 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-050200-
655 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A 970 MB STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR CAPE DECISION
EARLY THIS MORNING THEN WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO CANADA
BY LATE MORNING. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
GULF WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEAST ALASKA THURSDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-050200-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
655 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-050200-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
655 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-050200-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
655 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-050200-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
655 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-050200-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
655 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
SE SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 

$$

225 
FZAK52 PAJK 050031
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-051400-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA
THURSDAY. THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL SPREAD GALES AND STORMS
INTO THE EASTERN GULF THURSDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-051400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING 35 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING
TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-051400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO
18 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-051400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-051400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-051400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST WED JAN 4 2012 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
405 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2012

.SHORT TERM...COMPLEX PATTERN IS SITUATED OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA. PARENT LOW ABUT 52/150 HAS ONE LOW/FRONT MOVING ACROSS
THE HORTEN PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. ANOTHER DEVELOPING
FEATURE IN THE EAST PACIFIC ON THE LONG FRONT THAT IS DEVELOPING
AND PULLING NORTH. MODELS WERE INDICATING A RAPID DEEPENING  AND
IS TO MOVE NORTH TO JUST WEST OF DIXON ENTRANCE AROUND 12Z AND A
DEPTH AROUND 973 MB OR SO. A TIGHT WIND PATTERN WITH IT WILL
SPREAD STORM FORCE INTO CLARENCE STRAIT AND GALES INTO THE OTHER
SURROUNDING MARINE AREAS. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO REINFORCE THE
WARMER AIR ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AREA. AS THE NEXT LOW MOVES TO
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THE NORTH WINDS (UP TO GALES) WILL
REDEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS WELL.

PRECIPITATION PATTERN A LITTLE DIFFICULT AS WELL. MODELS TRYING
TO SHOW A FAIRLY GOOD WARM UP OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE WITH THE
RAIN LINE MOVING MOVING NORTH OF JUNEAU AND GUSTAVUS TONIGHT...
BUT FOR NOW HAVE HELD THE LINE JUST SOUTH OF THOSE AREAS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN SHOVED THE THE LINE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON. SO AS A RESULT THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PANHANDLES
FORECAST IS FOR SNOW AND RAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THERE. WILL MENTION
SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FOR THE SOUTHERN THIRD ON WEDNESDAY AS
THE SATELLITE DERIVED TOTAL PRECIPATIAL WATER IS 1 TO 1.25 INCHES
WITH THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM WITH ITS MID TROPICAL SOURCE REGION.

HAVE JUST GONE WITH STRONG WIND HEADLINES FOR UP TO 55 MPH LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH THE SYSTEM BUT WILL NEED TO KEEP AN
EYE ON IT AS SOME EARLIER THINKING HAD THE POTENTIAL FOR A HEIGHT
WIND EVENT FOR THE REGION AROUND SOUTHERN PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND.

.LONG TERM...HIGHLY PROGRESSIVE AND ACTIVE PATTERN OVER A RANGE OF SCALES.
CHANGES ARE SMALL AND CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.

BY 12Z SAT THE EC IS SYNOPTICALLY SLOWER THAN THE GFS FOR A
TRIPLE POINT MOVG N INTO THE ERN GLFALSK.  IS ONE SENSE THIS IS
NOT A LARGE DIFFERENCE BECAUSE OF HOW FAST THE PROGRESSION IS
18Z SAT A 960 MB SHOULD BE ABOUT 150 NM SE OF PADQ ALBEIT THE MODEL
SPREAD IS LARGE ON LOCATION.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR AKZ027.
         STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ023-028-029.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ036.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-031>035-041>043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-051-052.

&&

BEZENEK/JBT