Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 446, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 1, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 20 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 1, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 2, 2012, 12:06 PM AKST
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
033 FZAK52 PAJK 020027 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-021400- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 980 MB LOW SW OF HAIDA GWAII SAT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NORTH TO BE OVER DIXON ENTRANCE BY SUNDAY MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SAT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE YUKON AND WESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA. $$ PKZ041-021400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN LATE. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ042-021400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-021400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-021400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-021400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
448 FZAK52 PAJK 021307 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-030100- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 980 MB LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII SAT WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TO BE 100 NM W OF KRUZOF ISLAND BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO DRIFT NW THROUGH MON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE YUKON AND WESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA. $$ PKZ041-030100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-030100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ043-030100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-030100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ052-030100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT . SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
715 FZAK52 PAJK 021320 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 420 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-030100- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 980 MB LOW WEST OF HAIDA GWAII SAT WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TO BE 100 NM W OF KRUZOF ISLAND BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO DRIFT NW THROUGH MON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE YUKON AND WESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA. $$ PKZ041-030100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-030100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ043-030100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-030100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ052-030100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT . SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
198 FZAK52 PAJK 022107 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1206 PM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-031515- 1206 PM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 980 MB LOW WEST OF PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND SUN WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TO BE 100NM W OF KRUZOF ISLAND BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO DRIFT NW THROUGH MON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE YUKON AND WESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA. $$ PKZ041-031515- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1206 PM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-031515- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1206 PM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ043-031515- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1206 PM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-031515- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1206 PM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. SNOW IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ052-031515- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1206 PM AKST SUN DEC 2 2012 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT . SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 1, 3:23 PM AKST, 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 1, 3:23 PM AKST, 37 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
323 PM AKST SAT DEC 1 2012
.SHORT TERM...OVERALL THE PATTERN HAS NOT ALTER SIGNIFICANTLY.
SAME VERTICALLY STACKED LOW WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST
CANADA. ORIGINALLY THOUGHT TONIGHTS FORECAST ISSUE WAS GOING TO
BE THE WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS. STORM FORCE
SUSTAINED OVER MARINE WATERS IN THE PANHANDLE...AND STRONGER
GUSTS AS WELL. REISSUED THE WARNING FOR TAKU WINDS IN THE JUNEAU
AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INITIAL THINKING IS THAT
IT SHOULD TAPER OFF THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
FOR SATURDAY THE ISSUE WAS TO BE WINDS IN THE NORTH WITH SNOW
SPREADING INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL PANHANDLE. SNOW AMOUNTS WAS TO
BE THE CONCERN BUT THOUGHT TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY BUT WITH
FURTHER REVIEW WAS COLDER AIR BEING PULLED SOUTH UNDER THE
SOUTHERLY AIR ALOFT. WILL BE GOING WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME
FREEZING RAIN LATE.
ADDITIONAL MARINE PRODUCT ISSUE IS THE FREEZING SPRAY AND HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY AFFECTING NORTHERN INNER CHANNEL AREAS SOME OUTER
WATERS NEAR YAKUTAT WITH THE STRONGER OUTFLOW LOCATIONS.
&&
.LONG TERM...NOT MUCH VARIATION IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS TODAY. A
MEANDERING LOW REMAINS IN THE GULF THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
WITH AN AREA OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING ENTRENCHED IN THE
YUKON. THE MOST VARIATION WILL BE FROM THE VARIOUS SHORT WAVES
THAT ARE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE GULF LOW THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THE FIRST OF THE WAVES WILL BE STARTING TO WEAKENING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN OUTER COAST SUN NIGHT AFTER BRINGING ALL THE SNOW TO THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE ON SUN. SNOW WILL BE CONTINUING
THROUGH SUN NIGHT THOUGH AT A REDUCED RATE AS SOUTHERLY
OVERRUNNING FLOW WEAKENS WITH THE LOW. BY MON SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY
STILL BE AROUND DUE TO SOME WEAK UPPER LEVEL VORTICITY MAXES
MOVING THROUGH BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT. THE
NEXT GOOD CHANCE OF SNOW MAINLY FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PANHANDLE COMES MID WEEK WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE NEXT WAVE.
MODELS STILL DON'T HAVE THE GREATEST HANDLE ON IT AS THEY ARE
BACK TO A STRONGER LOW BEING PRODUCED OUT OF IT AND THEY ARE
TAKING IT MUCH FARTHER EAST. THE LOW IS NOW COMING UP HECATE
STRAIT RATHER THEN THE WEST SIDE OF HAIDA GWAII. THINGS GET EVEN
MORE COMPLICATED ONCE IT REACHES THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. NAM IS
SPLITTING THE LOW IN TWO WITH PART OF IT GOING INTO CANADA AND
THE REST HEADING UP THE OUTER COAST. GFS AND ECMWF ON THE OTHER
HAND KEEP IT MOSTLY TOGETHER AND BRING IT UP THE OUTER COAST. IN
EITHER CASE THE COLD AIR IN THE INNER CHANNELS IS STILL THERE SO
SNOW IT A GOOD POSSIBILITY FOR THE CENTRAL INNER CHANNELS AGAIN
ON TUES NIGHT INTO WED.
FARTHER NORTH THE HIGH IN THE YUKON WILL HANG AROUND THROUGH THE
PERIOD THROUGH NOT AS STRONG AS IT HAS BEEN. THE REINFORCING
SHOTS OF COLD AIR ARE BEING DIRECTED TOWARD WESTERN ALASKA SO IT
IS ONLY THEIR BECAUSE OF THE TRAPPED COLD AIR ON THE CANADIAN
SIDE OF THE COAST MOUNTAINS. THERE ARE NO SYSTEMS COMING THROUGH
THAT WILL PUSH THAT COLD AIR OUT OF THERE EITHER SO IT WILL
REMAIN THERE FOR THE NEXT WEEK AT LEAST. AS A RESULT COLD OUTFLOW
WINDS WILL STILL BE FLOWING OUT OF THE VARIOUS INTERIOR PASSES
THROUGH MID WEEK. GALES AND FREEZING SPRAY ESPECIALLY IN LYNN
CANAL WILL BE THE RULE FOR THE MOST PART. A REDUCTION IN THE
WINDS IS LOOKING TO BE IN THE WORKS FOR WED NIGHT AND BEYOND AS
THE GULF LOW FINALLY WEAKENS AWAY AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SLACKENS AND TURNS MORE EAST-WEST.
LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND
BUT AS DESCRIBED ABOVE DIVERGE A BIT BY TUES. THERE ARE ALSO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES THAT POP UP LATER IN THE WEEK
PARTICULARLY WITH SNOW LEVEL BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF. DECIDED
ON A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND NAM FOR THE MID RANGE AS THEY STILL
HAVE A GOOD REPRESENTATION OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE
COAST MOUNTAINS. USED HPC/ECMWF FOR TUES ONWARD FOR A MORE MIDDLE
OF THE ROAD APPROACH TO THE EXTENDED GRIDS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS ABOUT AVERAGE FOR TO MON THEN FALLS TO BELOW AVERAGE AFTER
THAT.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ023-024-026.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ021-025.
STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ017-019-029.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
FOR AKZ019.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018.
WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012-013.
STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031-032-036-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ033>035-043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041-042.
&&
BEZENEK/EALThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 4 days | |
| Dec 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 days | |
| Dec 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days | |
| Dec 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 3 days | |
| Dec 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AJK | 4 days | |
| Dec 2, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Dec 2, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Dec 2, 5:01 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Dec 2, 12:06 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 52 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.