Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 361, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 2, 2012, 7:44 AM AKDT. It was in force for 20 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 2, 2012, 7:44 AM AKDT (15:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 3, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
485 FZAK51 PAJK 021545 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-030945- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL MOVE NE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL PASS OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH FRI FOLLOWED BY WEAKER BANDS SAT. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE LATE SUN. $$ PKZ011-030945- GLACIER BAY- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-030945- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ013-030945- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS OUT OF BERNERS BAY. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ021-030945- ICY STRAIT- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF GLACIER BAY. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-030945- CROSS SOUND- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-030945- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. EXCEPT E WIND TO 30 KT SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-030945- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-030945- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT LATE. SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-030945- FREDERICK SOUND- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-030945- SUMNER STRAIT- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...STRONGEST WINDS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-030945- CLARENCE STRAIT- 744 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
614 FZAK51 PAJK 022324 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-031400- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL MOVE NE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO THE FAR EAST GULF LATE SUN. $$ PKZ011-031400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-031400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ013-031400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ021-031400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-031400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-031400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-031400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-031400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-031400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-031400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-031400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
434 FZAK51 PAJK 030218 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 617 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-031400- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL MOVE NE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT. OUTLOOK. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO THE FAR EAST GULF LATE SUN. $$ PKZ011-031400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-031400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 617 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 UPDATED TONIGHT ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ013-031400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ021-031400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-031400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...GALE WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-031400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-031400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-031400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-031400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-031400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-031400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
810 FZAK51 PAJK 031205 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-040100- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH SAT. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO THE SE GULF SUN AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ011-040100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ012-040100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ013-040100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ021-040100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-040100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-040100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...STRONGEST OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES AND SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ032-040100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ033-040100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...MAINLY NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-040100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-040100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...MAINLY NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-040100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 3 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN LATE. .SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT INCREASING TO STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE...EXCEPT 16 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 2, 5:42 AM AKDT, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 2, 5:42 AM AKDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
542 AM AKDT FRI NOV 2 2012
.SHORT TERM...A 950MB LOW IN THE SW GULF AND ITS ASSOCIATED
LARGE FRONTAL BAND ARE CAUSING STORM FORCE WINDS THIS MORNING.
CURRENTLY THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OUT OF CROSS SOUND WHERE WIND
GUSTS OF 54KT HAVE BEEN RECORDED AT CAPE SPENCER. THESE WINDS ARE
BEING ENHANCED BY THE FRONT PASSING OVER THE OUTER COASTAL AREAS
THIS MORNING AND THUS HAVE CONTINUED A STRONG WIND HEADLINE FOR
AREAS SUCH AS ELFIN COVE...SITKA...HYDABURG...KETCHIKAN...AND THE
SURROUNDING COASTAL AREAS...WHERE GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE WILL SEE WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH THE
FRONT AS IS MOVES THROUGH. RAIN WILL MOVE IN WITH THE FRONT
BECOMING MODERATE OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS THIS MORNING.
NORTHERN INLAND AREAS ARE CURRENTLY BELOW FREEZING DUE TO THIN
CLOUDS OVERNIGHT...THUS PRECIP MAY START OUT AS SNOW...HOWEVER
THE EAST OFFSHORE FLOW ALONG WITH RELATIVELY LARGE DEWPOINT
DEPRESSIONS WILL DELAY THE PRECIP FROM MOVING IN SLIGHTLY. THE
JUNEAU AREA IS ALREADY SATURATED...WHICH CAUSED SOME PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT...THUS A FEW FLURRIES ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SEEN THIS
MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BECOME OCCLUDED AND WRAPPED UP
WITH MULTIPLE FRONTAL BANDS. THEREFORE ONCE THE MAIN FRONTAL BAND
PASSES LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING PRECIP WILL BECOME MORE
INTERMITTENT AND SCATTERED BETWEEN BANDS. THEN ANOTHER FRONTAL
BAND WILL MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT CAUSING WINDS TO INCREASE ALONG
THE OUTER COASTAL AREAS ONCE AGAIN. THIS BAND DOES NOT LOOK AS
STRONG SO HAVE ONLY MENTIONED GUSTS TO 35 MPH FOR THE SITKA AND
ELFIN COVE ZONES AND INCREASED WINDS THROUGH SOME OF THE INSIDE
WATERS BACK UP TO SMALL CRAFT LEVEL LATE AND GALES FOR CROSS
SOUND.
OVERALL MODELS WERE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE. THE NAM12 AND ECMWF REPRESENTED THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
THROUGH LYNN CANAL THE BEST...SO GAVE THOSE A GREATER WEIGHT FOR
PRESSURE FIELDS. TEMPERATURES AND SNOW LEVELS WERE A FORECAST
CHALLENGE SINCE THIS SYSTEM IS BRINGING IN WARMER AIR ALOFT. THE
WARMER AIR INCREASED SNOW LEVELS...HOWEVER WITH SOME BREAKS
BETWEEN FRONTAL BANDS THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE WILL HAVE A CHANCE
TO GET DOWN TO FREEZING IN HAINES AND SKAGWAY. THEREFORE
MENTIONED MIXING OR CHANGING TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FOR THOSE
LOCATIONS LATE...BUT NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
ACCUMULATIONS. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE...EXCEPT
BELOW AVERAGE FOR CHANCES OF SNOW/ACCUMULATIONS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM...THE FRIDAY STORM FORCE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THE LOW WILL
EVENTUALLY MOVE TOWARD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY SUNDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE ANOTHER DEVELOPING STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE UP FROM
THE NORTH PACIFIC TRACKING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN AK GULF SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WITH THE LOW CENTERED IN DOUBLE JET
STREAMS RIGHT ENTRANCE AND LEFT EXIT REGIONS EXPECTING RAPID
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS SECOND SYSTEM IS MOVING
QUICKER THAN THE FIRST AND WILL EXIT THE REGION MOVING OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA BY LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT. REMNANTS OF THE PREVIOUS STORM FORCE LOW WILL LINGER IN
THE AK GULF THROUGH LATE TUESDAY BEFORE FINALLY TRACKING TO THE
SOUTH THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AK GULF FRIDAY.
OVER THE YUKON COLD AIR MASS WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD WITH DEVELOPING
HIGH PRESSURE AND WHAT LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER ARCTIC OUTBREAK FOR
THE END OF THE WEEK FOR THE AK PANHANDLE.
WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN AK GULF AND PANHANDLE FROM THE FIRST LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DIMINISH THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL INCREASE SUNDAY
MORNING THEN DIMINISH AGAIN LATE SUNDAY. WINDS WILL REACH STORM
FORCE FROM CAPE DECISION SOUTHWARD AND OVER THE SOUTHERN INNER
CHANNELS. COASTAL AREAS WINDS WILL REACH UPWARDS TO 50 TO 55 MPH
AND COULD NEAR HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA OF 60 MPH. WIND WILL
DIMINISH THROUGH THE WEEK WITH JUST THE REMNANTS OF THE LOW IN
THE AK GULF.
PRECIPITATION FROM THESE SYSTEM WILL MAINLY FALL AS RAIN WITH
THE RELATIVELY WARM MID LEVEL AIR MASS. MAY SEE A MIX OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR FREEZING...HOWEVER NOT
EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION. FOR THE END OF THE WEEK
WILL SEE A DRYING TREND AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH.
ARCTIC AIR MOVING WILL DROP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS LOW
TEENS FOR THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND MID TO LOWER 20S FOR THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. EXPECT OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE
YUKON HIGH ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WITH CLEARING SKIES TO RESUME FOR
THE END OF THE WEEK.
MODELS WERE AGAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TWO STORM FORCE
LOWS WITH SOME DIFFERENCES ON THE TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE
EXITING LOW PRESSURE CENTER. THE GENERAL AGREEMENT CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEK WITH EXACT POSITION OF THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IN QUESTION. CONTINUED WITH A BLEND OF GFS AND ECMWF
BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO HPC GUIDANCE. NEW MODELS RUNS DID NOT
SHOW MUCH VARIATION THROUGH DAY 4 COMPARED TO INHERITED GRIDS.
BEGAN TO SEE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN OPERATIONAL GFS AND ECMWF POP UP
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...DECIDED TO KEPT WITH THE MODEL
ENSEMBLES BY KEEPING HPC GRIDS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINS ABOVE
AVERAGE THEN DROPS BY MID WEEK DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY WITH EXACT
POSITION OF THE LOW CENTER.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 10 AM AKDT THIS MORNING FOR AKZ023-027-028.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 1 PM AKDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ022.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ022.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-021-033>036-041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-031-032-053.
&&
HANNON/PRBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 1, 10:20 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Nov 2, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 2, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 4 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.