Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012

Gale Warning 329, NWS Juneau, AK

October 16, 2012

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 16, 2012, 7:33 PM AKDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 16, 2012, 7:33 PM AKDT (03:33 UTC)
Expired
Oct 17, 2012, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

595 
FZAK51 PAJK 170333 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171500-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE
SE AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB BY WED NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN
THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO JUST W OF HAIDA GWAII WED
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WED EVENING
AND INTO CANADA. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171500-
GLACIER BAY-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-171500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-171500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-171500-
ICY STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. HIGHEST WINDS WESTERN HALF. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-171500-
CROSS SOUND-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
9 FT. SW SWELL LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-171500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-171500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-171500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-171500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-171500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-171500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
733 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
2 follow-up statements
904 
FZAK51 PAJK 170630 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171500-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE
SE AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB BY WED NIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER SE AK TUE NIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN
THE NE PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO JUST W OF HAIDA GWAII WED
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WED EVENING
AND INTO CANADA. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WED
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171500-
GLACIER BAY-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-171500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT ENDING BY MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-171500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-171500-
ICY STRAIT-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. HIGHEST WINDS WESTERN HALF. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-171500-
CROSS SOUND-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
9 FT. SW SWELL LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-171500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-171500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-171500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-171500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-171500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-171500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1030 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
010 
FZAK51 PAJK 171135
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-180100-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 1000 MB LOW WILL ENTER THE SOUTHEAST GULF WEDNESDAY MORNING
AND DEEPEN TO 992 MB NEAR HAIDA GWAII BEFORE CROSSING OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND ENTERING CANADA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THURSDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-180100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS
LATE. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-180100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT EARLY...BECOMING N 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-180100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT EARLY...BECOMING N AND THEN INCREASING TO
20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AND BECOMING S EARLY
EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-180100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-180100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND BECOMING SE AND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-180100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE MORNING. GUSTS TO 35 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-180100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE EVENING AND INCREASING TO
20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-180100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-180100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. GUSTS
TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-180100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W LATE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-180100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 17 2012 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT SHIFTING NW 35 KT LATE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 16, 4:44 PM AKDT, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 4:44 PM AKDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
444 PM AKDT TUE OCT 16 2012

.SHORT TERM...CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGE TODAY SHOWS A WEAK
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE PANHANDLE AT THE MOMENT WHICH IS
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFFECTING THE AREA. A
SPOTTER AT POINT BAKER CALLED IN THIS MORNING WITH SOME SMALL
HAIL OR ICE PELLETS FROM ONE OF THESE SHOWERS SO SOME OF THE
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON COULD STILL HAVE SOME SMALL HAIL OR EVEN A
RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER AS WELL BEFORE THE TROUGH MOVES
COMPLETELY THROUGH THIS EVENING. ALSO BEING AFFECTED BY THIS
TROUGH IS A DECENT SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER LYNN CANAL
THAT IS SPARKING SMALL CRAFT WINDS THERE.

 INTO TONIGHT, SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AS SW
ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES BUT THE FREQUENCY WILL DIMINISH A BIT THIS
EVENING AS A WEAK RIDGE BRIEFLY BUILDS OVER THE PANHANDLE.
ANOTHER TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL THEN MOVE IN
LATE TONIGHT INCREASING THE FREQUENCY OF THE SHOWERS ONCE AGAIN.
ALSO ACCOMPANYING THIS TROUGH IS THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COOLER
AIR THAT IS WORKING SOUTH AND THEN EAST AROUND THE NORTHERN GULF
LOW. BY EARLY TOMORROW, 850 MB TEMPS WILL BE AROUND -6 TO -8C
OVER MOST OF THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE TOO WARM FOR SNOW AT SEA LEVEL IN MOST AREAS EXCEPT FOR
YAKUTAT (ESPECIALLY IF THEIR WIND TURNS TO THE E OR NE TOMORROW
MORNING), HAINES AND SKAGWAY (MOSTLY IF THEIR SOUTHERLY WINDS
DROP OFF). SNOW ACCUMULATIONS, IF ANY, WILL BE LIGHT. YAKUTAT AND
THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS WILL BY THE PLACES THAT WILL BE
MOST LIKELY TO SEE ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION LATE TONIGHT.

 IN ADDITION TO THE SHOWERS, WINDS WILL BE STARTING TO PICK UP IN
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS THE TROUGH STARTS
MOVING THROUGH. THESE WINDS WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT STRONG
WIND HEADLINES FOR HYDABURG AND KETCHIKAN ZONES, AND GALES FOR
CLARENCE STRAIT FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL STAY
HIGH INTO THE EVENING AS THE NEXT LOW COMES UP FROM THE SW.

 SHORT RANGE MODELS ARE IN SOMEWHAT DECENT AGREEMENT BUT SUFFER
FROM SOME STRENGTH AND TRACK DISAGREEMENTS WITH THE LOW THAT IS
JUST ENTERING THE FORECAST DOMAIN AT THE END OF THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. THE 12Z EC SEEMED TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE STILL
DEVELOPING SYSTEM AND USED THAT FOR THE PRIMARY GUIDANCE
PARTICULARLY FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT
AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...THERE IS SOME LARGE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST FROM WED
NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THE AMERICAN MODELS(NAM/GFS) INITIALIZED ON THE
POOR SIDE WITH THE WEATHER SYSTEM MENTIONED IN THE SHORT TERM
WHILE THE THE UKMET/CANADIAN/EC DID MUCH BETTER AND THERE WAS
GOOD ENSEMBLE AGREEMENT. THE NAM/GFS TRACKED THE LOW MUCH FURTHER
SOUTH AND WEAKER ALONG WITH MUCH COLDER AIR BEING ADVECTED OVER
THE GULF AND PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS WEEK. THE PREFERRED MODEL WAS
THE EC THROUGH THE MID RANGE AND THEN HPC FROM DAY 5 THROUGH DAY 8
AS THERE WAS GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND THERE WAS SMALL SPREADS
IN THE ENSEMBLES INTO THE WEEKEND.

THE TACK OF THE LOW AT THE START OF THE FORECAST PERIODS WAS VERY
TRICKY BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE TRACK WILL MOVE THE LOW OVER THE
SOUTHERN AREAS AND THEN INTO CANADA THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THERE IS VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THAT WILL PRODUCE STRONG
SHOWERS AND THEY MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING. ONCE
THE LOW WILL PRODUCE SOLID GALES OVER CLARENCE STRAIT WITH THE
NORTHERN HALF SEEING WINDS FROM THE NORTH NEAR 15 KT BUT AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA THE SOUTHERLY PUSH WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE INNER CHANNELS. THIS WILL INCREASE THE WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO
MAX SMALL CRAFT AND GUSTY WINDS OVER LAND AREAS. THE COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA WED NIGHT AND SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY ALONG WITH WEST WINDS OVER THE GULF TO 25KT. THE SOUTH
WINDS OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS THE RIDGE
WEAKENS SOME BUT SMALL CRAFT WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER LYNN CANAL
THROUGH WED NIGHT.

THERE WAS A CHANGE IN THE FORECAST THAT TOOK OUT THE SNOW OVER THE
INNER CHANNELS A IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE COLDEST AIR WILL BE
OVER THE AREA WHEN THERE IS PRECIP. FROM WED THROUGH FRIDAY TEMPS
WILL BE ON THE COOL SIDE BUT WITH THE OCEAN WATER IN THE UPPER 40S
AND 850MB TEMPS AROUND -6 THE COLD AIR MOVING OVER THE GULF WILL
WARM AND KEEP TEMPS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S OVER THE
PANHANDLE.

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE TO THE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH FRIDAY AND PULL ALL THE SHOWERS SOUTH WITH IT. AS THIS
HAPPENS THE COLD/DRY AIR LOCKED UP IN THE INTERIOR WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE
SOUTH. SO THE SHOWERS OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL DIMINISH FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH THROUGH FRIDAY AND WITH THAT INCREASE THE NORTHERLY
WINDS. TEMPS WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING FRIDAY NIGHT AND THERE WILL
BE LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING NEAR GAPS AND OVER MARINE
WATERS. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST AND THE SKIES WILL BECOME
PARTLY CLOUDY OVER THE WEEKEND AND THAT MAY PERSIST INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE NEAR 40 WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
DIP INTO THE 20S OVER THE NORTHERN AREAS WITH THE LOWER 30S OVER
THE SOUTHERN AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND.

THERE IS ABOUT AVERAGE FORECASTER CONFIDENCE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR
     AKZ027.
         STRONG WIND FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-033>035-041>043-051-
     052.

&&

EAL/ABJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 16, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Oct 16, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Oct 16, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK60 hr
Oct 17, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Oct 17, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK8 hr
Oct 17, 9:05 AM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK68 min
Oct 17, 10:13 AM AKDTWinter Storm WarningAJK8 hr
Oct 17, 11:44 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK4 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2012Every gale warning in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.