Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 321, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 11, 2012, 8:41 PM AKDT. It was in force for 19 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 11, 2012, 8:41 PM AKDT (04:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 12, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
262 FZAK51 PAJK 120441 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-122245- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A FRONTAL BAND EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF TO SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLE. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE PANHANDLE FRIDAY. A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-122245- GLACIER BAY- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-122245- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-122245- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-122245- ICY STRAIT- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-122245- CROSS SOUND- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-122245- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-122245- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-122245- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-122245- FREDERICK SOUND- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-122245- SUMNER STRAIT- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-122245- CLARENCE STRAIT- 841 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
837 FZAK51 PAJK 121149 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-130100- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A FRONTAL BAND ALONG A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH FRIDAY. A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-130100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-130100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-130100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-130100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-130100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-130100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-130100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-130100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-130100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-130100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-130100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
629 FZAK51 PAJK 121513 CCA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-130100- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A FRONTAL BAND ALONG A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH FRIDAY. A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-130100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-130100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-130100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING AND BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-130100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-130100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ031-130100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-130100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-130100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ034-130100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-130100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-130100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
029 FZAK51 PAJK 122333 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-131400- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GULF TO THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE NORTH AND REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST BY SATURDAY MORNING AS IT SENDS GALE FORCE WINDS INTO THE EAST GULF. A COMPLEX LOW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL AND EAST GULF SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. $$ PKZ011-131400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-131400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-131400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-131400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-131400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-131400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE EVENING. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-131400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-131400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-131400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-131400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-131400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .SUN...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 11, 3:40 PM AKDT, 5 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 3:40 PM AKDT, 5 hours 1 minute before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
340 PM AKDT THU OCT 11 2012
.SHORT TERM...THE ENDING OF OUR LONG DRY PERIOD IS OCCURRING IN
A SOUTH TO NORTH SEQUENCE. THE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF
FREDERICK SOUND TONIGHT, AS CLOUD COVER INCREASES TO THE NORTH.
THE RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD NORTH OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
PANHANDLE FRIDAY BUT WILL BE MINIMAL FROM NORTH OF A GUSTAVUS TO
JUNEAU LINE DUE TO THE DRYING INFLUENCE OF DRY NORTHEAST WINDS.
SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE KLONDIKE DESPITE
TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING AS LATENT HEAT LOSS FROM THE SNOW IN
DRY AIR CAN HELP IT REACH THE SURFACE.
CONFIDENCE IN THIS SHORT RANGE PACKAGE IS AVERAGE.
GOES WV AND IR SHOW THE LARGE SCALE CONFLUENCE OF FLOW ALOFT
FROM THE NORTHWEST AND THE SOUTHWEST. THE BRANCH FROM THE
NORTHWEST IS DRY AND THE BRANCH FROM THE SOUTHWEST IS ASSOCIATED
WITH AN OCCLUSION ABOUT 300 NM S OF A SITKA TO KETCHIKAN LINE AT
THIS TIME.
THAT SOUTHWEST FLOW BRANCH HAS A GOOD CONNECTION TO HIGH WATER
VAPOR CONTENT FROM LOWER LATITUDES AND RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL
OCCUR IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE BEGINNING TONIGHT.
THE AIRMASS COMING FROM THE NORTHWEST (NORTH IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER) IS COOLER AND DRIER THAN OUR MARINE LAYER. THE DESCENT OF
THIS AIRMASS INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA HAS RESULTED IN ADIABATIC
WARMING OF THIS DEEP LAYER, WHICH WIDENS THE DEW POINT
DEPRESSION. TRACE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION CAN OCCUR WHEN THIS
AIR MASS SLIDES UNDERNEATH AND LIFTS OUR MARINE LAYER. JUNEAU GOT
A TRACE OF PRECIPITATION BUT THESE AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL
NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHEN MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION SPREADS UP TO A GUSTAVUS TO JUNEAU LINE.
AN AGEOSTROPHIC ENHANCEMENT SHOULD BE CONTRIBUTING TO THE N
WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. AN ENTRANCE REGION TO STRONGER
UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND TO THE EAST WILL
GENERATE AN AGEOSTROPHIC CIRCULATION. FOR A VERTICAL CROSS
SECTION PLANE ORIENTED N-S THIS AGEOSTROPHIC FLOW WILL BE
COUNTER-CLOCKWISE AND THEREFORE FROM THE NORTH IF INDEPENDENT OF
OTHER ACCELERATIONS. THIS NORTH DIRECTION OF THE LOWER LEVEL FLOW
ALSO IS GENERALLY IN PHASE WITH N WINDS IN THE DEEP FRICTION
LAYER IN THE NRN PANHANDLE.
.LONG TERM...FORECAST BECOMES SOMEWHAT TRICKY OVER THE WEEKEND AS
FAR AS THE DETAILS GO. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT A COMPLEX LOW
PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE N INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SAT NIGHT AND SUN.
THEY DIFFER ON SMALLER SIZED WAVES MOVING AROUND THE MAIN LOW
HOWEVER...AND THESE WILL BE IMPORTANT FOR POTENTIALLY STRONGER
WINDS IF THEY MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF. ENDED UP BASING THE FRI
NIGHT THROUGH SUN EVENING PERIODS ON THE 12Z ECMWF...MAINLY FOR
ITS HANDLING OF THE MAIN LOW AND A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING IN FOR
FRI NIGHT...BUT BECAUSE THE ECMWF HAD ONE OF THE STRONGER WAVES
AND FURTHER EAST WITH IT FOR LATE SAT NIGHT AND SUN...LIMITED WINDS
TO MIN GALES WITH THIS FEATURE. IF THE 12Z ECMWF IS RIGHT WINDS
OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL NEED TO BE BOOSTED TO HIGHER END GALE
OR POSSIBLY MIN STORM LATER SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. DID NOT CHANGE
FORECAST AFTER SUN NIGHT THOUGH...AND WILL EXPLAIN THAT BELOW.
SO...FOR FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...A COUPLE OF OCCLUDED FRONTS WILL BE
LIFTING NWD THRU THE PANHANDLE. AIRMASS OUT AHEAD OF THE FIRST FRONT
OVER THE NORTH IS FAIRLY COOL AND DRY...AND THIS MAY ALLOW SOME
SNOW TO REACH FAIRLY LOW LEVELS IN THE PAHN/PAGY AREAS DEPENDING
ON PRECIP RATES FRI EVENING. EVAPORATIONAL COOLING ITSELF WILL
LIKELY ALLOW SNOW AS LOW AS 600 FEET...AND IF A BURST OF HEAVIER
PRECIP OCCURS IN THE EXPECTED LIGHT WINDS OVER THE FAR N...SNOW
COULD REACH SEA LEVEL FRI EVENING. FIRST OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE
N OF THE AREA LATE FRI NIGHT BUT SECOND WEAK OCCLUDED FRONT WILL
MOVE ONSHORE FRI EVENING AND BE RIGHT BEHIND THE FIRST FRONT
MOVING PAST THE NORTH LATE FRI NIGHT. POPS WILL BE HIGH OVER THE
AREA FRI NIGHT WITH A SLIGHT DROP OFF SAT BUT STILL ON THE HIGH
SIDE MOST PLACES.
FOR SAT NIGHT INTO SUN NIGHT...WILL HAVE STRONGER OCCLUDED FRONT
MOVING INTO THE AREA WITH POTENTIAL LOW PRESSURE WAVES MOVING N
THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF AS WELL. POPS WERE KEPT HIGH FOR THIS
TIME FRAME FOR MOST OF THE AREA...WITH ONLY THE PAGY AREA SEEING
LOWER THAN LIKELY POPS DURING THIS PERIOD. WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME
WIND HEADLINES SOMETIME DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH SEVERITY
DEPENDENT ON STRENGTH AND TRACK OF ANY LOW PRESSURE WAVES.
AS FOR MON ONWARD...REASON FOR LEAVING IT AS IS WAS NOT LIKING
LATEST HPC AT THIS POINT...DUE TO IT USING A HEAVY DOSE OF THE 12Z
GFS DURING THE WEEK. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE SOME
SHORTWAVE FEATURES MOVING NE TOWARD THE SE GULF OR JUST S OF THE
AREA...BUT THEY DIFFER ON TIMING AND TRACK OF ANY SFC LOWS THAT
DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF THESE FEATURES. GFS HAS STRONGEST WITH
LIFTING A LOW NE INTO THE SE GULF AND PANHANDLE AREA TUE NIGHT
INTO WED...WHICH WAS NOT WELL SUPPORTED BY THE OTHER MODELS OR THE
GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN. THAT BEING SAID...IF THE 00Z MODEL RUNS TREND
TOWARD THE 12Z GFS IDEA ON THIS SYSTEM...THEN HPC WILL BE
REASONABLE TO USE FOR THE TUE NIGHT-WED TIME FRAME. HPC DID LOOK
REASONABLE FOR OTHER PERIODS HOWEVER.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031>036-041>043-051-053.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.
&&
JBT/RWTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 7 days | |
| Oct 11, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.