Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 281, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 6, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 6, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 7, 2012, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
453 FZAK52 PAJK 062330 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-071400- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE FRIDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-071400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. RAIN LATE. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-071400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ043-071400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ051-071400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-071400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
4 follow-up statements
283 FZAK52 PAJK 071129 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-080100- 400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN YUKON SAT MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF SAT MORNING WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF SAT NIGHT THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ041-080100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND BECOMING 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ042-080100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ043-080100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ051-080100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-080100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
939 FZAK52 PAJK 071733 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 933 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-080100- 933 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN YUKON SAT MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF SAT MORNING WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF SAT NIGHT THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ041-080100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 933 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ042-080100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 933 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ043-080100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 933 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ051-080100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 933 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-080100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 933 AM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
587 FZAK52 PAJK 072058 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1258 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-080100- 1258 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN YUKON SAT MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF SAT MORNING WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF SAT NIGHT THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ041-080100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1258 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ042-080100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1258 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ043-080100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1258 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT LATE. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ051-080100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1258 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ052-080100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1258 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
484 FZAK52 PAJK 072333 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-081400- 400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE FRI NIGHT THEN DISSIPATES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN YUKON SAT MORNING. A DEVELOPING LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF SAT NIGHT THEN INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ041-081400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ042-081400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING... THEN SHOWERS LATE. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ043-081400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE EVENING THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ051-081400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. .SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND BECOMING 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ052-081400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 7 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING SWITCHING TO THE NW...THEN BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 6, 3:58 PM AKDT, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 6, 3:58 PM AKDT, 2 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
358 PM AKDT THU SEP 6 2012
.SHORT TERM...FROM AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY CLOUD BAND ALONG
THE BOUNDARY CAN BE SEEN FLOWING TO THE NORTHEAST RIDING OVER
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN THE EASTERN GULF AND AK PANHANDLE.
SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE
EARLY TODAY HAS DIMINISHED WITH INCREASING BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER.
EXPECTING CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THIS WAVE IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WITH
THE LOW TRACKING INTO THE AK GULF LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE TRACK
AND STRENGTH OF THIS LOW IS STILL IN QUESTION. THE EUROPEAN
MODELS HAVE THE LOW TRACKING INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF AND
STRENGTHENING TO GALE FORCE WHILE THE NORTH AMERICAN MODELS WERE
TRACKING A WEAKER LOW FURTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST. WHILE INITIALLY
DID NOT SEE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN MODEL INITIALIZATION BEGAN
TO SEE GREATER CONSENSUS AMONG ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FOR THE EUROPEAN
MODEL SOLUTION. THAT SAID HAVE KEEP WITH THE GALE FORCE LOW
MOVING INTO THE GULF...BUT DID NOT GO WITH AS STRONG A LOW CENTER
AS THE OPERATIONAL ECMWF BY USING A BLEND OF THE UKMET. AS THE
LOW MOVES TOWARD THE PANHANDLE COAST EXPECT WINDS WITH INCREASE
ALONG COASTAL AREAS WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 35 MPH. MAY SEE HIGHER
WINDS AND GUSTS WITH A DEEPER LOW CENTER. AS THE LOW MOVES
ONSHORE WILL SEE A SOUTHERN PUSH OF WINDS SO EXPECTING THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND INNER CHANNEL WINDS TO INCREASE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL
TRANSITION TO STEADY RAIN AS THE LOW DEVELOPS AND MOVES INTO THE
NORTHEAST GULF. HAVE EXTENDED PRECIP FURTHER TO THE SOUTH TO
COVER SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW. LONG FETCH OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE SEEN IN WATER VAPOR SATELLITE WILL BEING IN
HIGHER QPF VALUES TO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WITH POSSIBLE HEAVY
RAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH 6 HOUR QPF VALUES OVER HALF AN INCH.
AS WITH WINDS IF THE LOW DOES TRACK FURTHER SOUTH WILL ALSO SEE A
SHIFT OF THE HIGHER QPF VALUES TO THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE.
DUE TO EARLY MODEL SPREAD WITH POSITION OF THE LOW FRIDAY
AFTERNOON FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVERAGE. USED A BLEND OF
00Z ECMWF AND 12Z UKMET TO UPDATE WINDS AND PRESSURE FOR THE
SHORT TERM. USED A BLEND OF SREF AND ECMWF FOR POP AND QPF.
&&
.LONG TERM...PER THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION MUCH UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS IN THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE LOW DEPARTING THE
NORTHEAST GULF ON FRIDAY NIGHT. THE PREFERRED SOLUTION OF THE
ECMWF AND UKMET WILL RESULT IN A SOUTHERLY PUSH AND BURST OF WINDS
LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS THE RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE INNRE CHANNELS. WINDS WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS IN THE
NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS WITH HIGHER GUSTS DEVELOPING IN THE
SKAGWAY AND HAINES AREAS. IF THE LOW DOES TAKE THIS TRACK...WINDS
COULD BE HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECASTED. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
BE HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. SOME LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE
0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF RAIN FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE NIGHT.
ANY SHIFT IN TRACK OF THE LOW TO THE SOUTH FROM CURRENT THINKING
WILL RESULT IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DROP SOUTHEAST INTO THE GULF ON SATURDAY
WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE REFLECTION. MODELS HAVE ALSO HAD A HARD
TIME COMING TO A CONSENSUS ON THIS SYSTEM AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THE WAVE ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE. TOOK A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD
APPROACH AND BLENDED THE WEAKER 12Z NAM AND THE STRONGER ECMWF. IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THE 18Z NAM HAS TRENDED TOWARD THE STRONGER
SOLUTION ADVERTISED BY THE ECMWF. ANOTHER FETCH OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE PICKED UP BY THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A SECOND ROUND
OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE.
THIS AREA CAN ALSO EXPECT STRONG WINDS BUT AT THIS POINT THE
DETAILS ON EXACTLY WHEN AND WHERE ARE TOO HARD TO DETERMINE BASED
ON POOR MODEL CONSENSUS. AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH AND THE COLD
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES OVERHEAD SUNDAY...STEADY RAIN WILL
TRANSITION TO SHOWERS. ANOTHER FRONT LOOKS TO MOVES ACROSS THE
GULF AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
USED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/UKMET IN THE VERY EARLY PORTION OF THE
LONG TERM THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY. WITH THE NEXT APPROACHING WAVE
USED MAINLY THE ECMWF WITH A LITTLE BIT OF NAM THROWN IN. WENT
STRAIGHT HPC FROM DAY 5 ONWARD. AS NOTED ABOVE FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE THROUGH THE WHOLE PERIOD IS BELOW AVERAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-012-021-022-033-036-041-042-052-
053.
&&
PRB/TPS/ABJThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 21 hr | |
| Sep 6, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 7, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 7, 8:02 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.